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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 19, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers30%9593
5Jazz70%10287
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
39.5
40.4
40
61%
6
1
1
2
0
3
1
5
6-9
67%
11-23
10-22
48%
46%
4-6
67%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.6
32.5
28.3
11
50%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-8
38%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.5
31.2
37.3
16
52%
5
4
0
1
1
0
2
3
8-8
100%
1-7
3-8
14%
44%
2-5
40%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
18.3
7.6
2
25%
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
7.9
24.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
37.6
34.4
4
52%
3
1
5
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
23.4
19.0
4
34%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.1
22.5
14.4
7
72%
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.9
16.8
7.3
4
50%
3
3
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
8.5
10.0
3
150%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-1
100%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
1.9
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.0
16.7
0
4-7
53%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.6
38.7
35.1
25
54%
7
6
0
2
1
1
2
5
7-9
78%
9-19
7-16
47%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
35.9
31.4
21
77%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
7-9
6-11
78%
51%
1-2
50%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.9
30.1
25.8
15
61%
3
7
1
2
3
2
1
2
3-3
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.0
30.1
26.7
3
31%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.6
29.0
24.6
3
19%
4
2
3
1
0
1
3
1
1-4
25%
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
25.6
30.4
4
25%
4
0
0
2
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.9
17.9
17.3
4
25%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
16.6
13.6
6
61%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.9
12.9
10.2
6
43%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.2
3.3
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
12.6
0
2-4
46%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.6
3.4
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.