FinalWin Prob.pScore
925%94
87
175%102
95
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.69296.6
DAL logo DAL
105.69086.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL87
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASSpurs Rebound87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMISS Claxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)87
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)87
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASParker 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALNash 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot83
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 1:19DALJump Ball Van Exel vs. Ginobili: Tip to Nowitzki83
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot83
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 1:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 1:30DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 1:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 1:55SASMISS Rose Layup83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 1:56SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)83
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 1:58SASMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 2:15DALNash 10' Jump Shot (25 PTS)83
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 2:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
4.9%
87
95.1%
Q4 - 2:38SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 283
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q4 - 2:38SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)83
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 2:55DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)82
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)82
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)81
12.1%
84
87.9%
Q4 - 3:25SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)80
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 3:27DALMISS Van Exel 4' Jump Shot80
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 3:45SASRose 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 4:16DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)78
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 4:37SASParker Driving Layup (11 PTS)78
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 4:58SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 5:00DALMISS LaFrentz Layup76
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:22SASRose Reverse Layup (20 PTS)76
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 5:35DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 5:35DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 5:50DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 5:51DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 5:51DALMISS LaFrentz Layup74
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 5:53DALMISS Nash 7' Jump Shot74
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 6:03DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 6:07SASMISS Ginobili 5' Hook Shot74
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 6:21SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)74
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 274
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 274
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 6:42SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)74
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 7:00SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 7:05DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 7:31SASRose 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS)71
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 7:45SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 7:48DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 8:08SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 8:30DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 8:30DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 266
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 8:39SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)66
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 8:59DALNash Reverse Layup (23 PTS)63
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 9:16DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot63
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 9:34DALNash Reverse Layup (21 PTS)63
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 10:01DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:03SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot63
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 10:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)63
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 10:15DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 10:21DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 263
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 10:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)62
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:29DALMISS Nash 12' Jump Shot62
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 10:41SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 10:41SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 11:00DALNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)60
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:19DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 11:20SASMISS Claxton 6' Jump Shot60
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q4 - 11:36DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS60
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)60
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0DALMISS Najera Layup60
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASKerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)60
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 1:04SASGinobili Layup (9 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)57
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 1:18DALWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)55
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 1:24DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 1:27SASMISS Kerr 16' Jump Shot55
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 1:48DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)55
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 1:56DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 1:58SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 2:20DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 2:20DALNajera Layup (4 PTS)55
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 2:21DALMISS Najera Layup55
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 2:25DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 2:27DALMISS Finley 5' Jump Shot55
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 2:46SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 2:46SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 2:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 2:55DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot53
9.1%
60
90.9%
Q3 - 3:20SASGinobili Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 3:22DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)51
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 3:26SASFinley STEAL (2 STL)51
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 3:46DALNash 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)51
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 3:59DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q3 - 4:00SASLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)51
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 4:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
10.2%
58
89.8%
Q3 - 4:14DALMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot51
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 4:38DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 4:39SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 251
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 4:39SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 4:53SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)50
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 4:55DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 5:07SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)50
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 5:07SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS)49
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 5:27DALBell Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)47
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 5:30DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 5:32SASFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)47
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q3 - 5:54DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 6:19SASDuncan Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)47
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q3 - 6:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 6:31DALMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot45
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q3 - 6:36DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
6.8%
54
93.2%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 6:55DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)45
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 6:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q3 - 7:01DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot45
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 7:18DALBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q3 - 7:21DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot45
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 7:27DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q3 - 7:29SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot45
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q3 - 7:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q3 - 7:42DALMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot45
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 7:58SASBowen 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q3 - 8:10SASSpurs Rebound43
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 8:12SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot43
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 8:26DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)43
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 8:48SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T17)43
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 9:00DALBradley Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T10)43
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 9:14SASBell STEAL (3 STL)43
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q3 - 9:28SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)43
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 9:31DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot43
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q3 - 9:39DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot43
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q3 - 10:00DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)43
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 10:02DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q3 - 10:04SASMISS Willis 22' Jump Shot43
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q3 - 10:29DALNash Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)43
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q3 - 10:32DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q3 - 10:34SASBradley BLOCK (2 BLK)43
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q3 - 10:53DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)43
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q3 - 10:53DALMAVERICKS Rebound43
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q3 - 10:54DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q3 - 11:17SASJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T15)43
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q3 - 11:40DALFinley Driving Layup (11 PTS)43
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q3 - 11:44SASNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)43
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (6 PTS)43
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALMISS Williams Layup43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound43
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot43
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALMISS Nash 11' Jump Shot43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)43
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 1:10DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 1:19SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T12)43
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 1:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 1:39DALMISS Nash 5' Jump Shot43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 2:01DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 243
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 2:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 2:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 2:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 2:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 2:17DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 2:17DALMISS Nash Free Throw 1 of 241
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 2:20DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q2 - 2:23SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot41
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 2:39DALLaFrentz 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)41
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 2:47DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 2:50DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot41
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 3:01SASLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)41
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 3:15DALBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
23.7%
41
76.3%
Q2 - 3:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 3:51DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)40
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q2 - 3:58DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 3:59SASMISS Jackson Driving Layup40
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 4:25DALNash 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
25.3%
39
74.7%
Q2 - 4:31SASBell STEAL (2 STL)40
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 4:53DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 5:13SASWillis Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
31.8%
35
68.2%
Q2 - 5:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 5:21DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot38
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 5:44SASKerr 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 5:49DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
25.1%
35
74.9%
Q2 - 6:05SASMISS Willis Free Throw 1 of 136
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 6:05SASWillis Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 6:16SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 6:18DALMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 6:24DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 6:26SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot34
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 6:39DALNajera Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)34
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 6:44DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 6:45SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot34
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 7:02DALNash 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 7:18SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 7:28DALWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 7:46SASRose 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)32
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 7:56SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 7:59DALMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Shot30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 8:12SASFinley STEAL (1 STL)30
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 8:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 8:20DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 8:38SASRose 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)30
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 8:46SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 8:48DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot28
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 9:03SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 9:03SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 9:30SASSpurs Rebound26
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS Jackson Layup26
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 9:35SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 9:37SASNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)26
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 9:42DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 10:00SASRose 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)26
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q2 - 10:15DALFinley Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)24
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q2 - 10:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 10:17DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot24
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 10:41SASJackson Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)24
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 10:55DALNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)22
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 11:13DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q2 - 11:15SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot22
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 11:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 11:25DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot22
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q2 - 11:43SASKerr 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)22
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL19
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Kerr 6' Jump Shot19
9.0%
29
91.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
9.7%
28
90.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASRose Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)19
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot17
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASDuncan Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)17
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 1:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q1 - 1:11DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 215
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q1 - 1:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 1:22DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 1:23SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 1:38DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)15
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 1:42SASNash STEAL (2 STL)15
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 1:57DALNash 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)15
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 2:17SASJackson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 2:23SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:25DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot13
10.3%
22
89.7%
Q1 - 2:46SASRose Reverse Layup (2 PTS)13
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 2:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 2:54DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 3:00SASNash STEAL (1 STL)11
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 3:26DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)11
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 3:29DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 3:31DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot11
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 3:43DALNash Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)11
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 3:43SASBell STEAL (1 STL)11
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 4:04DALFinley Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 4:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot11
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 4:31DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)11
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 4:37DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 4:40DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 4:46DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot11
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 5:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 5:09DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot11
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 5:23DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 5:25DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot11
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 5:46SASJackson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 5:50DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 6:08SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 6:08SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 28
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 6:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 6:18DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 6:42SASJackson 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 6:57DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)6
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 7:12SASWillis Foul Turnover (P2.T5)6
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 7:22DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)6
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 7:35SASWillis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)6
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 7:53DALBradley Layup (2 PTS)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:54DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 7:56DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot6
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 8:21DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 8:23SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot6
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 8:48DALNash 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)6
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 8:55SASBradley STEAL (2 STL)6
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 9:13DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:30SASParker 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 9:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 9:34SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot4
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 9:47DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 9:51DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.4%
4
81.6%
Q1 - 9:53SASBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)4
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 10:08DALNash 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 10:19SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:35SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:37DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:47SASJackson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:50SASDuncan 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:08SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 11:16DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:28SASBradley STEAL (1 STL)0
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 11:40SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:42DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot0
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Willis: Tip to Nowitzki0
18.4%
0
81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.4%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
29
59%
DAL
14
22
64%
Midrange
SAS
8
26
31%
DAL
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
DAL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
19
27
70%
DAL
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Rose2563%12.5 / 20
T. Parker1365%6.5 / 10
T. Duncan1139%5.5 / 14
M. Ginobili1150%5.5 / 11
S. Jackson1050%5.0 / 10
S. Kerr867%4.0 / 6
K. Willis450%2.0 / 4
D. Ferry375%1.5 / 2
B. Bowen233%1.0 / 3
S. Claxton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash2960%14.5 / 24
D. Nowitzki2252%11.0 / 21
M. Finley1945%9.5 / 21
R. LaFrentz660%3.0 / 5
W. Williams675%3.0 / 4
E. Najera660%3.0 / 5
N. Van Exel325%1.5 / 6
R. Bell225%1.0 / 4
S. Bradley2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+8
-18
82
DAL
78
+15
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.4%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
108.0
SAS 94.6 +11.0
DAL 105.6
Pace
92.6
94.9
SAS 96.6 +10.6
DAL 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.3
SAS 14.9 +1.8
DAL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
49.8%
SAS 50.0% +0.6%
DAL 49.4%
TO %
16.5%
11.6%
SAS 18.4%
DAL 12.6% +5.8%
ORB %
28.8%
25.5%
SAS 12.8%
DAL 28.9% +16.1%
FTrt
34.8
25.7
SAS 39.7 +16.5
DAL 23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
58.1%
SAS 51.6% +0.2%
DAL 51.4%
STL %
8.3%
8.5%
SAS 7.6%
DAL 13.3% +5.7%
BLK %
9.3%
8.5%
SAS 1.6%
DAL 10.9% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
52.1%
SAS 52.4% +2.4%
DAL 50.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
58.2%
SAS 58.6%
DAL 63.6% +5.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.7%
SAS 30.8%
DAL 41.0% +10.2%
3P %
35.4%
38.1%
SAS 46.2% +12.9%
DAL 33.3%
FT %
72.5%
82.9%
SAS 70.4%
DAL 73.7% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
29.6%
SAS 42.6% +15.8%
DAL 26.8%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
46.5%
SAS 38.2% +9.3%
DAL 47.6%
3P Att. %
20.2%
23.9%
SAS 19.1%
DAL 25.6% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8795
Rebounds3747
Assists1619
Steals712
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals31-6837-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2914-22
Midrange FG8-2616-39
2-Point FG25-5530-61
3-Point FG6-137-21
Free Throws19-2714-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
36.8
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
34.8
13
65%
6
1
1
0
2
6
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
34.4
11
39%
6
2
0
0
7
1
1
5
4-8
50%
2-9
22%
1-1
100%
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
19.8
10
50%
4
2
0
0
4
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 40
13.8
4
50%
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
35.8
25
63%
14
2
1
0
1
2
1
13
9-10
90%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
29.5
11
50%
3
4
3
0
1
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
14.3
8
67%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
12.0
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 5'11" 170 · 25
8.8
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
52%
37
16
7
1
18
0
5
32
19-27
70%
25-55
45%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.