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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 21, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pistons47%9596
10Timberwolves53%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 28.4
43.3
36.6
16
63%
12
1
1
1
2
2
4
8
2-6
33%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.2
35.4
32.9
11
46%
4
2
0
1
3
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
43%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.0
34.2
25.4
23
55%
6
0
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
10-20
5-12
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.4
32.2
26.3
23
53%
0
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
11-11
100%
6-9
2-6
67%
43%
0-8
0%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
13.7
18.7
2
35%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.2
25.5
24.3
11
47%
10
1
0
1
0
0
2
8
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
16.8
19.2
1
10%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.6
16.1
20.4
6
150%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
2-2
100%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 28.5
15.8
21.2
3
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.0
4.3
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 32.8
2.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 36.8
0.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.0
39.8
37.0
20
47%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
6-15
6-12
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
39.6
37.7
34
60%
16
2
2
1
0
2
8
8
7-12
58%
12-21
8-17
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.2
34.7
25.7
9
83%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
34.5
29.8
12
57%
13
2
0
1
3
2
1
12
0-1
0%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 26.9
32.9
33.9
12
55%
3
11
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-8
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.7
16.9
26.6
7
72%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
3-8
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 23.8
15.1
10.5
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.4
13.8
14.1
9
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.1
12.7
12.7
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
7.1
0
1-2
47%
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.9
3.8
0
0-1
38%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.7
1.9
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.