FinalWin Prob.pScore
1527%87
93
573%94
91
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
106.98783.9
DET logo DET
105.88689.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET93
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS)93
95.4%
91
4.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
52.5%
91
47.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0NOHMashburn 10' Jump Shot (27 PTS)91
80.4%
88
19.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
63.2%
88
36.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETMISS Billups Layup89
57.4%
88
42.6%
Q4 - 1:00NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Mashburn 10 AST)89
43.0%
88
57.0%
Q4 - 1:11DETWilliamson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
19.2%
88
80.8%
Q4 - 1:22NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mashburn 9 AST)86
27.6%
86
72.4%
Q4 - 1:34NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
19.7%
86
80.3%
Q4 - 1:37DETMISS Billups 8' Running Jump Shot84
17.2%
86
82.8%
Q4 - 1:55NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
13.0%
86
87.0%
Q4 - 1:55NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)83
11.9%
86
88.1%
Q4 - 2:07DETWilliamson 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)82
9.6%
86
90.4%
Q4 - 2:23NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
12.1%
84
87.9%
Q4 - 2:23NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
11.2%
84
88.8%
Q4 - 2:46DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 2:46DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 2:57NOHLynch Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)80
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q4 - 3:11NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
22.1%
82
77.9%
Q4 - 3:13DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot80
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q4 - 3:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)80
16.0%
82
84.0%
Q4 - 3:42NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Jump Shot80
17.6%
82
82.4%
Q4 - 4:04DETHamilton Driving Layup (23 PTS)80
21.8%
82
78.2%
Q4 - 4:17NOHBrown 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)80
28.5%
80
71.5%
Q4 - 4:18NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 4:21NOHMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot78
17.4%
80
82.6%
Q4 - 4:39NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)78
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 4:40DETMISS Williamson Layup78
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q4 - 4:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)78
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 5:02NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot78
18.0%
80
82.0%
Q4 - 5:05NOHHornets Rebound78
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 5:06NOHWilliamson BLOCK (1 BLK)78
18.0%
80
82.0%
Q4 - 5:10NOHHornets Rebound78
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 5:11NOHBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)78
18.0%
80
82.0%
Q4 - 5:33DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q4 - 5:51NOHMagloire 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mashburn 8 AST)78
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 6:07NOHHornets Rebound76
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q4 - 6:09DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
20.2%
78
79.8%
Q4 - 6:30DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
16.6%
78
83.4%
Q4 - 6:31NOHMISS Mashburn 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 6:36NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)76
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q4 - 6:39DETMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
20.2%
78
79.8%
Q4 - 7:03NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 7:03NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 7:15DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)74
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q4 - 7:33NOHWesley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)74
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q4 - 7:43DETWilliamson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)71
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q4 - 8:03NOHMashburn 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)71
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q4 - 8:28DETBarry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)69
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 8:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)69
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q4 - 8:32DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot69
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 8:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)69
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q4 - 8:35DETMISS Atkins 17' Jump Shot69
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 8:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q4 - 8:50DETMISS Williamson 8' Jump Shot69
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 9:12NOHMashburn 11' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 9:35DETAtkins Driving Layup (8 PTS)67
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 9:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q4 - 9:50NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot67
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q4 - 10:05DETWilliamson 5' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)67
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q4 - 10:25NOHMashburn 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)67
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q4 - 10:50DETWilliamson Layup (12 PTS)65
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q4 - 11:09NOHOkur STEAL (1 STL)65
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q4 - 11:18NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q4 - 11:20NOHMISS Traylor 6' Jump Shot65
11.7%
70
88.3%
Q4 - 11:40DETOkur Layup (7 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)65
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET65
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot65
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETWilliamson Layup (10 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)65
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
22.8%
66
77.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHMISS Haston 21' Jump Shot65
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
26.6%
66
73.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
27.1%
65
72.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot65
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 1:14NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
34.5%
64
65.5%
Q3 - 1:15DETMISS Williamson Layup65
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 1:39NOHMashburn 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)65
30.1%
64
69.9%
Q3 - 1:56NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
26.3%
64
73.7%
Q3 - 1:59DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot63
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 2:10NOHAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
22.1%
64
77.9%
Q3 - 2:10NOHAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
21.5%
64
78.5%
Q3 - 2:25DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)61
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 2:31DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
22.2%
62
77.8%
Q3 - 2:33NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot61
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 2:56NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 2:58DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot61
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 3:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 3:03NOHMISS Mashburn 6' Hook Shot61
23.4%
62
76.6%
Q3 - 3:04NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 3:06NOHMISS Mashburn 6' Jump Shot61
23.4%
62
76.6%
Q3 - 3:20DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 3:34NOHLynch 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 3:36NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)59
25.9%
60
74.1%
Q3 - 3:38NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot59
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 3:53DETBillups 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
25.9%
60
74.1%
Q3 - 4:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 4:09NOHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot59
29.6%
58
70.4%
Q3 - 4:21NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q3 - 4:22DETMISS Hamilton Layup59
31.3%
58
68.7%
Q3 - 4:27DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 4:29NOHMISS Lynch 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
29.7%
58
70.3%
Q3 - 4:42DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
32.7%
58
67.3%
Q3 - 4:42DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
33.1%
57
66.9%
Q3 - 4:57NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
36.0%
56
64.0%
Q3 - 4:57NOHWesley Driving Layup (14 PTS)58
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 5:03NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot56
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 5:13NOHHornets Rebound56
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 5:14NOHWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)56
26.1%
56
73.9%
Q3 - 5:23NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 5:25DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q3 - 5:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
25.1%
56
74.9%
Q3 - 5:40NOHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot56
26.1%
56
73.9%
Q3 - 5:52DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)56
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 6:07NOHLynch Dunk (10 PTS)56
24.7%
56
75.3%
Q3 - 6:10NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q3 - 6:11NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot54
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q3 - 6:26DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)54
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q3 - 6:26DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
22.5%
55
77.5%
Q3 - 6:36NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q3 - 6:36NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
24.1%
54
75.9%
Q3 - 6:48DETCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)52
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q3 - 7:10NOHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
27.4%
51
72.6%
Q3 - 7:15NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Robinson 10' Hook Shot50
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 7:40NOHMashburn 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q3 - 7:53NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q3 - 7:55DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot48
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q3 - 8:17NOHBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)48
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 8:29DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q3 - 8:48NOHWallace STEAL (2 STL)48
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 9:04DETHamilton 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q3 - 9:20NOHBrown 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)48
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q3 - 9:44DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)46
19.1%
49
80.9%
Q3 - 9:44DETPISTONS Rebound46
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q3 - 9:44DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot46
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 10:11NOHLynch 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q3 - 10:20NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q3 - 10:23DETMISS Robinson 4' Jump Shot44
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q3 - 10:45NOHLynch 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)44
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q3 - 11:01NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q3 - 11:03NOHMISS Mashburn 21' Jump Shot42
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q3 - 11:15NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q3 - 11:16DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q3 - 11:36NOHMagloire 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)42
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET40
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)40
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0NOHBillups STEAL (1 STL)40
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)40
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHMashburn 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 1:08DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 1:08DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 1:33NOHMashburn 11' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)38
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q2 - 1:50NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 1:53NOHMISS Augmon 9' Hook Shot36
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 2:05DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 2:05DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 2:05DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 2:07DETMISS Wallace Layup36
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 2:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 2:28NOHMISS Augmon 7' Jump Shot36
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 2:42NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 2:44DETMISS Williamson 6' Jump Shot36
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 3:12NOHMashburn Driving Dunk (9 PTS)36
9.1%
45
90.9%
Q2 - 3:23DETWilliamson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 3:41NOHAugmon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 3:41NOHAugmon 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)33
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 3:52DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 3:52DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q2 - 3:59NOHLynch 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pack 1 AST)31
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 4:18DETRobinson 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)29
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 4:30DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 4:32NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot29
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 4:55DETAtkins 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)29
9.3%
39
90.7%
Q2 - 5:13DETPISTONS Rebound29
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 5:14NOHRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)29
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 5:21DETWilliamson Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)29
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 5:34NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 5:34NOHMashburn Driving Layup (6 PTS)28
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 5:56DETHamilton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)26
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 6:16NOHPack Layup (2 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)26
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 6:31DETOkur 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)24
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 6:47DETPISTONS Rebound24
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 6:48NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot24
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 7:00DETOkur Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q2 - 7:16NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)24
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 7:34NOHHornets Rebound21
8.2%
33
91.8%
Q2 - 7:36DETMISS Robinson Layup21
7.9%
33
92.1%
Q2 - 8:04NOHWesley 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)21
7.5%
33
92.5%
Q2 - 8:23NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 8:25DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q2 - 8:38DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 8:39NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot19
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q2 - 8:56DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 119
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 8:56DETWilliamson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)19
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 9:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 9:04DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 9:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 9:16NOHMISS Moiso Dunk19
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 9:30NOHHornets Rebound19
8.5%
31
91.5%
Q2 - 9:31DETMISS Williamson 14' Jump Shot19
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 9:40DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 9:42NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot19
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 10:04NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Williamson 9' Jump Shot19
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 10:21NOHTraylor Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)19
7.8%
31
92.2%
Q2 - 10:33NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q2 - 10:35NOHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot17
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 10:48DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)17
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q2 - 10:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
7.8%
29
92.2%
Q2 - 10:55NOHMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot17
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q2 - 11:03NOHHornets Rebound17
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q2 - 11:04NOHWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)17
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 11:05NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q2 - 11:07NOHMISS Magloire 9' Jump Shot17
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 11:25DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q2 - 11:25DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
8.8%
28
91.2%
Q2 - 11:43NOHMoiso 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)17
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET15
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETOkur 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)13
7.2%
27
92.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot13
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETWilliamson 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)13
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot13
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 1:13DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
11.2%
22
88.8%
Q1 - 1:13DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q1 - 1:37DETPISTONS Rebound13
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 1:38NOHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot13
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 2:00DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 2:00DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 213
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 2:06NOHWallace STEAL (1 STL)13
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 2:26DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)13
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 2:45NOHWesley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)13
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 2:57DETBillups Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 3:13DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 3:16NOHMISS Brown 10' Hook Shot10
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 3:33NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
15.8%
15
84.2%
Q1 - 3:35DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot10
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 3:54NOHWesley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)10
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 4:10DETHamilton Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)8
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 4:33NOHLynch 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 4:35NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 4:37NOHWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)6
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 4:57DETCurry 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 5:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 5:14NOHMISS Lynch 19' Jump Shot6
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 5:36DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)6
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 5:52NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 5:59NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.0%
9
82.0%
Q1 - 6:01DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot6
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 6:17NOHMashburn Layup (2 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)6
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 6:31NOHHornets Rebound4
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 6:32DETMISS Curry 20' Jump Shot4
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 6:46NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P3.T4)4
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 7:02DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)4
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 7:13DETCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 7:15DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot4
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 7:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 7:29DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot4
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 7:35DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 7:36NOHMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 7:57DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
17.9%
7
82.1%
Q1 - 7:57DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 24
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 8:12NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 8:24NOHHornets Rebound4
18.9%
6
81.1%
Q1 - 8:26DETMISS Billups Layup4
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 8:43NOHWesley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)4
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:00DETCurry Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)2
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 9:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 9:07NOHMISS Mashburn 8' Jump Shot2
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 9:21NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 9:24DETMISS Robinson 9' Hook Shot2
18.4%
4
81.6%
Q1 - 9:44NOHBrown Dunk (2 PTS)2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 9:48DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 10:05NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T2)0
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:25DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)0
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:30DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 10:32NOHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 10:49NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 10:51DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:57DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 10:58NOHMISS Brown Layup0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:00NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 11:02NOHMISS Mashburn Layup0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:07NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:09DETMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 11:27NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:47DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Magloire: Tip to Billups0
19.7%
0
80.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.5%
DET
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
9
18
50%
DET
12
21
57%
Midrange
NOH
25
59
42%
DET
19
39
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
DET
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
NOH
13
13
100%
DET
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2945%14.5 / 32
D. Wesley2768%13.5 / 20
G. Lynch1267%6.0 / 9
P. Brown850%4.0 / 8
J. Magloire643%3.0 / 7
S. Augmon550%2.5 / 5
R. Traylor233%1.0 / 3
J. Moiso250%1.0 / 2
R. Pack250%1.0 / 2
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 3
K. Haston0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2361%11.5 / 19
C. Billups2255%11.0 / 20
C. Williamson1856%9.0 / 16
C. Atkins867%4.0 / 6
M. Curry788%3.5 / 4
M. Okur7117%3.5 / 3
B. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
C. Robinson213%1.0 / 8
J. Barry2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
76
+16
-11
92
DET
77
+8
-9
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.5%
DET
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
100.9
NOH 106.9 +1.1
DET 105.8
Pace
91.7
89.6
NOH 83.9
DET 89.4 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
NOH 17.2
DET 16.1 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
47.3%
NOH 47.6%
DET 51.4% +3.8%
TO %
15.2%
14.0%
NOH 10.9% +0.3%
DET 11.2%
ORB %
31.8%
26.0%
NOH 30.8% +7.5%
DET 23.3%
FTrt
28.5
32.2
NOH 15.5
DET 33.3 +17.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
60.0%
NOH 50.0%
DET 58.8% +8.8%
STL %
8.6%
7.5%
NOH 4.6%
DET 4.7% +0.1%
BLK %
7.1%
8.6%
NOH 1.7%
DET 9.1% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.7%
49.6%
NOH 50.5%
DET 52.9% +2.4%
Rim FG%
53.8%
55.0%
NOH 50.0%
DET 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.8%
NOH 42.4%
DET 48.7% +6.3%
3P %
37.6%
35.8%
NOH 57.1% +23.8%
DET 33.3%
FT %
76.8%
77.1%
NOH 100.0% +13.0%
DET 87.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.4%
NOH 21.4%
DET 30.4% +9.0%
Mid Att. %
51.7%
45.9%
NOH 70.2%
DET 56.5% +13.7%
3P Att. %
16.1%
23.7%
NOH 8.3%
DET 13.0% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHDET
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points9391
Rebounds3534
Assists1920
Steals44
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (5)27 (3)
Field Goals38-8434-69
At-the-Rim FG9-1812-21
Midrange FG25-5919-39
2-Point FG34-7731-60
3-Point FG4-73-9
Free Throws13-1320-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 203 · 32
42.9
27
68%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
7-7
100%
4-11
36%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 247 · 30
41.4
29
45%
5
10
0
0
3
3
1
4
1-1
100%
14-30
47%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 239 · 33
40.0
8
50%
10
4
1
0
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 235 · 32
32.0
12
67%
9
0
1
0
1
5
5
4
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
27.7
6
43%
6
0
0
1
4
4
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26
17.9
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 168 · 32
14.4
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35
8.6
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 260 · 25
7.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 242 · 24
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 34
2.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
35
19
4
1
11
0
12
23
13-13
100%
34-77
44%
4-7
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.