FinalWin Prob.pScore
2636%89
90
2764%94
100
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
100.09096.9
MIA logo MIA
108.79287.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHICurry 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Hoiberg 4 AST)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHIHouse STEAL (2 STL)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20CHIChandler Dunk (9 PTS)88
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:21CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22CHIMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22CHICrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (House 2 AST)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47CHIHoiberg 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIABest Driving Layup (18 PTS)83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 1:59CHIBest STEAL (2 STL)83
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:06CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot83
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 2:18CHIRose Foul Turnover (P4.T10)83
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 2:30MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 2:31CHIMISS Rose Layup83
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 2:49MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)83
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 3:11CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 3:11CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 282
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 3:17CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot82
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 3:41CHIRose Layup (31 PTS)82
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 3:47CHIHoiberg Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 3:47CHIHoiberg Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 3:58CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot78
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:15CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)78
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:15CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 4:46CHIRose 9' Jump Shot (27 PTS)76
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 4:59CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot74
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:31CHICrawford 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 5:39CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Marks 14' Jump Shot72
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:00CHICrawford 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:14MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:30CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)70
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 6:30CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)69
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 6:52MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)68
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:04CHIChandler 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 7:19MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)66
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot66
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 7:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)66
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 7:47CHIMISS Hoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)66
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 8:25CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 8:25CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)65
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 8:36CHIBulls Rebound64
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 8:56CHICrawford Finger Roll (4 PTS)64
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAButler Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)62
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)62
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)62
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 9:32CHIRose Driving Layup (23 PTS)62
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 9:59CHIBaxter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 9:59CHIBaxter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q4 - 10:21MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 10:27CHIHouse STEAL (1 STL)58
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q4 - 10:31CHICurry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Best Driving Layup58
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q4 - 10:54CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)58
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q4 - 10:54CHICurry Layup (21 PTS)57
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Best 5 AST)55
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q4 - 11:24MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q4 - 11:26CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot55
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMarks 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)55
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound55
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Best Layup55
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)55
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 255
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 255
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHIBulls Rebound55
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot55
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)55
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 1:07CHIMISS Baxter 6' Jump Shot55
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 1:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot55
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 1:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 1:56CHIButler BLOCK (1 BLK)55
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 2:01CHICurry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 2:21CHICurry Dunk (19 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)55
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 2:38MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)53
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 2:58CHIRose Driving Layup (21 PTS)53
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 3:15CHICurry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot51
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 3:20MIAHEAT Rebound51
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot51
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 3:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 3:43CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 251
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 3:43CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 251
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 3:43CHICurry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 3:44CHIMISS Curry Layup51
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIABest 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)51
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 4:36CHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q3 - 4:54CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q3 - 5:01MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 5:03CHIMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot51
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q3 - 5:09CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot51
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 5:24CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)51
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)51
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 5:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q3 - 5:50CHIMarshall Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 6:03MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 4 AST)49
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 6:20CHIMISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot49
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q3 - 6:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)49
26.0%
51
74.0%
Q3 - 6:59CHIMarshall Tip Shot (4 PTS)49
29.3%
50
70.7%
Q3 - 7:00CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q3 - 7:02CHIMISS Rose Layup47
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)47
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
23.0%
50
77.0%
Q3 - 7:43CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 3 AST)47
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q3 - 8:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)47
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot47
35.0%
47
65.0%
Q3 - 8:37CHIGrant STEAL (2 STL)47
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 8:41CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot47
35.0%
47
65.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 8:57CHIMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 247
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q3 - 8:57CHIMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 247
34.7%
47
65.3%
Q3 - 9:11MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 247
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q3 - 9:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 9:22CHIMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot47
36.3%
46
63.7%
Q3 - 9:43MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 2 AST)47
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q3 - 10:05CHIRose Foul Turnover (P2.T5)47
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q3 - 10:12CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
45.4%
44
54.6%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
44.2%
44
55.8%
Q3 - 10:21MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)47
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q3 - 10:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q3 - 10:39CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 247
45.5%
43
54.5%
Q3 - 10:39CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)47
47.4%
43
52.6%
Q3 - 10:58CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot46
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound46
41.0%
43
59.0%
Q3 - 11:27CHIAllen BLOCK (3 BLK)46
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q3 - 11:31CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Grant Layup46
43.5%
43
56.5%
Q3 - 11:46CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 146
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q3 - 11:46CHIRose Driving Layup (19 PTS)46
41.1%
43
58.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI44
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound44
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0CHIMISS Curry 9' Jump Shot44
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0CHIMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot44
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
37.6%
42
62.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
41.3%
41
58.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIRose Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)43
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIBulls Rebound42
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 242
37.1%
41
62.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T5)42
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
35.0%
41
65.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0CHIMISS Chandler Layup42
35.6%
41
64.4%
Q2 - 1:02CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot42
36.3%
41
63.7%
Q2 - 1:24CHIWilliams 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
35.3%
41
64.7%
Q2 - 1:56MIAAllen 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q2 - 2:11CHICurry 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hoiberg 3 AST)40
34.5%
39
65.5%
Q2 - 2:27CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot38
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 2:45CHICurry Dunk (15 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)38
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 2:54CHIBulls Rebound36
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
25.7%
39
74.3%
Q2 - 3:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
24.1%
39
75.9%
Q2 - 3:13CHIMISS Rose Finger Roll36
24.9%
39
75.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)36
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 3:46MIAHEAT Rebound36
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 3:46CHIMISS Hoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 3:56CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot36
30.7%
37
69.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 4:09CHIMISS Marshall Layup36
29.5%
37
70.5%
Q2 - 4:27CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
31.2%
37
68.8%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS James Layup36
30.4%
37
69.6%
Q2 - 4:36CHIGrant STEAL (1 STL)36
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 4:47MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
31.2%
37
68.8%
Q2 - 4:47MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)36
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
36.3%
34
63.7%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot36
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 5:08CHICrawford Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS)34
33.6%
34
66.4%
Q2 - 5:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot34
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 5:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 5:32CHIMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot34
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
38.9%
32
61.1%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
38.9%
32
61.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot34
43.1%
30
56.9%
Q2 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 6:23CHIMISS Curry 9' Jump Shot34
41.8%
30
58.2%
Q2 - 6:36MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
44.1%
30
55.9%
Q2 - 6:58CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)34
46.3%
28
53.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)32
43.4%
28
56.6%
Q2 - 7:39CHICurry 9' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Hoiberg 2 AST)32
48.4%
25
51.6%
Q2 - 7:53CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot30
45.2%
25
54.8%
Q2 - 8:10CHIBaxter Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)30
45.6%
25
54.4%
Q2 - 8:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
47.9%
23
52.1%
Q2 - 8:38CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 230
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q2 - 8:38CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q2 - 8:50CHIBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones Layup29
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q2 - 9:14CHICurry 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)29
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q2 - 9:20CHIBulls Rebound27
42.5%
23
57.5%
Q2 - 9:22CHIMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot27
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q2 - 9:27CHIBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
42.5%
23
57.5%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot27
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q2 - 9:50CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)27
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q2 - 10:14MIABest 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
37.6%
23
62.4%
Q2 - 10:28CHICurry 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)25
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q2 - 10:35CHIBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot23
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 10:43CHIMarks STEAL (1 STL)23
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q2 - 11:01CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.9%
21
63.1%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot23
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q2 - 11:20CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 11:20CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q2 - 11:29MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
32.5%
21
67.5%
Q2 - 11:29MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q2 - 11:42CHICurry Layup (4 PTS)21
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q2 - 11:44CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q2 - 11:46CHIMISS Curry 3' Hook Shot19
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot19
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0CHICurry Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIMISS Rose Free Throw Technical17
26.6%
19
73.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound17
26.6%
19
73.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHIMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot17
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Allen Layup17
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 1:07CHIRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 1:18CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot14
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 1:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 1:38CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 214
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 1:38CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 1:49MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIABest Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
22.8%
18
77.2%
Q1 - 2:01MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 2:03CHIMISS Baxter 7' Hook Shot13
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 2:22MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)13
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 2:39CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 2:39CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 2:39CHIBulls Rebound11
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 2:41CHIMISS Baxter 4' Jump Shot11
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 2:54MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 3:17CHIRose Driving Layup (9 PTS)11
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 3:28CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot9
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 3:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 3:43CHIMISS Williams Layup9
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 3:59CHIBulls Rebound9
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 4:00CHIAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)9
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 4:06CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)9
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot9
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 4:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot9
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 4:31CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)9
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 4:31CHIRose Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 4:35CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot6
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 5:04CHIMarshall Layup (2 PTS)6
17.7%
14
82.3%
Q1 - 5:06CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:08CHIGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)4
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 5:22CHIBulls Rebound4
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:23CHIAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)4
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 5:39MIAAllen 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 5:50CHIMISS Chandler Layup4
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:03CHIBulls Rebound4
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 6:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:10CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:10CHIMISS Chandler Tip Shot4
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 6:15CHIMISS Marshall 5' Hook Shot4
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 6:35MIABest Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound4
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot4
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 7:09CHIRose 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 7:25CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Allen 10' Hook Shot2
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot2
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 7:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)2
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 7:41CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 22
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:41CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 22
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 7:43CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:46CHIMISS Rose Layup2
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:58MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)2
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 8:07CHIBest STEAL (1 STL)2
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 8:24MIABest Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 8:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 8:32CHIMISS Marshall 6' Jump Shot2
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 8:34CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 8:36CHIMISS Hassell 13' Jump Shot2
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 8:55MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 9:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 9:22CHIRose 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:32CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 9:34CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 9:50MIAGrant Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHEAT Rebound0
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:04CHIMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot0
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:24MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)0
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Best Driving Layup0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:40CHIMISS Marshall 14' Hook Shot0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 10:50MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 11:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:12CHIMISS Rose 9' Jump Shot0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:31MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Chandler: Tip to Butler0
29.1%
0
70.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
18
35
51%
MIA
11
18
61%
Midrange
CHI
14
34
41%
MIA
20
52
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
CHI
23
39
59%
MIA
23
26
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose3157%15.5 / 27
E. Curry2665%13.0 / 20
T. Chandler938%4.5 / 12
J. Crawford975%4.5 / 6
D. Marshall638%3.0 / 8
F. Hoiberg467%2.0 / 3
J. Williams313%1.5 / 12
L. Baxter225%1.0 / 4
T. Hassell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2364%11.5 / 18
M. Allen2250%11.0 / 22
T. Best2144%10.5 / 24
B. Grant1260%6.0 / 10
R. Butler850%4.0 / 8
S. Marks650%3.0 / 6
E. House429%2.0 / 7
M. James467%2.0 / 3
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
78
+17
-12
95
MIA
86
+16
-6
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
97.6
94.5
CHI 100.0
MIA 108.7 +8.7
Pace
96.2
90.0
CHI 96.9 +9.9
MIA 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
CHI 14.9 +1.7
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
43.9%
CHI 44.7%
MIA 44.8% +0.1%
TO %
16.7%
14.8%
CHI 11.5%
MIA 5.8% +5.7%
ORB %
27.8%
26.8%
CHI 24.4%
MIA 27.3% +2.9%
FTrt
30.0
25.9
CHI 52.0 +21.8
MIA 30.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
55.8%
CHI 30.3%
MIA 47.2% +16.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
CHI 3.3%
MIA 8.7% +5.4%
BLK %
8.4%
6.4%
CHI 5.7%
MIA 7.2% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.7%
46.0%
CHI 47.4%
MIA 49.0% +1.6%
Rim FG%
56.6%
53.7%
CHI 51.4%
MIA 61.1% +9.7%
Mid FG%
38.4%
37.6%
CHI 41.2% +2.7%
MIA 38.5%
3P %
35.0%
31.6%
CHI 16.7%
MIA 31.3% +14.6%
FT %
72.2%
76.5%
CHI 59.0%
MIA 88.5% +29.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.5%
28.9%
CHI 46.7% +25.7%
MIA 20.9%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
54.2%
CHI 45.3% +15.1%
MIA 60.5%
3P Att. %
14.9%
16.9%
CHI 8.0%
MIA 18.6% +10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes22.325.4
Points90100
Rebounds4243
Assists1017
Steals38
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)31 (4)
Field Goals33-7536-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3511-18
Midrange FG14-3420-52
2-Point FG32-6931-70
3-Point FG1-65-16
Free Throws23-3923-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 215 · 30
46.1
31
57%
4
1
0
0
5
6
0
4
6-8
75%
11-21
52%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 240 · 20
36.9
9
38%
12
2
0
1
0
3
4
8
5-10
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 21
29.6
3
13%
3
3
1
0
2
0
0
3
1-4
25%
1-9
11%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
18.1
6
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 227 · 24
17.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 30
31.9
4
67%
5
4
2
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 295 · 20
30.3
26
65%
9
0
0
1
2
4
3
6
6-11
55%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
18.4
9
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 260 · 24
10.6
2
25%
3
0
0
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 27
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
42
10
3
4
12
0
10
32
23-39
59%
32-69
46%
1-6
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.