for complete access.
All Games Saturday, February 22, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Pacers
42%93
96
9
Spurs
58%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
103.29387.1
SAS logo SAS
111.794100.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS96
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDKerr STEAL (2 STL)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31SASKerr Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42INDCroshere 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASSPURS Rebound88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53INDMISS Strickland 5' Jump Shot88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:26INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44SASKerr REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44SASMISS Kerr 19' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53SASMISS Willis Free Throw Clear Path85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08SASClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33INDStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14SASWillis 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35INDTinsley 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brezec 1 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18INDMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38SASWillis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57INDFoster 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12SASRose 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39INDCroshere 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06INDStrickland 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)73
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15INDPacers Rebound71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:17SASMISS Willis 14' Jump Shot71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:33INDBrezec 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Kerr 3 AST)69
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:11INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:11INDBrezec 2' Layup (2 PTS)69
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:13INDMISS Strickland 8' Jump Shot67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:28INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:46INDHarrington 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:04SASRose 2' Layup (13 PTS)65
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:16SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot65
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:39INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:39INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 10:03SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (21 PTS)63
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 10:22INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 10:22INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 10:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)61
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 10:41INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot61
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)61
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 11:08INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 11:08INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 11:23INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 11:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 11:33INDDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 11:42INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Ferry 19' Jump Shot59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound59
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrington 45' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASGinobili 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Kerr 2 AST)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDFerry STEAL (1 STL)59
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T13)59
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDHarrington 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)58
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 256
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 1:02INDO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 1:18SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)54
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 1:31INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 1:31INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 1:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 1:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 1:52INDStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:52INDStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:56INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 1:58SASMISS Ferry 18' Jump Shot50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:10SASSPURS Rebound50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10INDDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:12INDMISS Foster 7' Jump Shot50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 2:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 250
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 2:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 250
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:34SASSPURS Rebound50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot50
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 2:55INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)50
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 3:14SASRose 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 3:29INDGinobili STEAL (2 STL)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:39SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)48
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 3:55INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:55INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 4:01SASJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)46
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 4:13INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)46
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 4:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 4:13INDFoster Layup (3 PTS)45
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 4:14INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot43
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q3 - 4:17INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 4:20INDDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)43
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q3 - 4:34SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)43
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 4:35SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q3 - 4:37INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot43
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q3 - 4:54SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 4:54SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 243
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q3 - 4:54SASSPURS Rebound43
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q3 - 4:55INDMISS Harrington 1' Dunk43
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q3 - 4:56INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q3 - 4:59INDMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q3 - 5:12INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Duncan 14' Fadeaway Jumper43
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q3 - 5:28INDMiller Foul Turnover (P4.T14)43
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 243
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q3 - 5:36SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q3 - 5:48SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 143
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 5:49SASRose 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)43
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 5:53INDJackson STEAL (4 STL)43
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 5:57INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 6:00INDDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)43
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 6:19SASParker 3' Layup (13 PTS)43
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 6:41INDMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T12)43
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 6:47INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 6:49INDMISS Miller 2' Layup43
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 6:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot43
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 7:12INDJackson STEAL (3 STL)43
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)43
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 7:33SASDuncan 1' Follow Up Dunk (19 PTS)43
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Jackson 1' Driving Layup43
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 7:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 7:42INDMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot43
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 7:57SASRobinson 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)43
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 8:00INDRobinson STEAL (2 STL)43
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 8:10SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)43
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 8:25SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 8:27INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 8:41SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)43
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 8:51INDRobinson STEAL (1 STL)43
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 8:58SASRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)43
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 9:11INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 9:11INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 9:28SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)41
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 9:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)41
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 9:35INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot41
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q3 - 9:56SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)41
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q3 - 10:16SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q3 - 10:17INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot41
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q3 - 10:39SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)41
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q3 - 11:01INDHarrington 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)41
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q3 - 11:32SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)39
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q3 - 11:44SASSPURS Rebound39
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q3 - 11:44INDMISS Harrington 12' Turnaround Jump Shot39
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND39
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound39
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS World Peace 38' 3PT Running Jump Shot39
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASJackson 2' Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)39
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)39
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot36
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASSPURS Rebound36
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASMISS Parker 3' Layup36
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDRose STEAL (1 STL)36
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 1:12SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)36
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 1:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
15.4%
46
84.6%
Q2 - 1:27INDO'Neal 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)36
15.4%
46
84.6%
Q2 - 1:30INDMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup34
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 1:36SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)34
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q2 - 1:47INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)34
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 2:11SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 2:27INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 2:27INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 2:40INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 2:42SASMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot29
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)29
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 3:00INDMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot29
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 3:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
10.8%
44
89.2%
Q2 - 3:05INDMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot29
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 3:20SASParker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)29
10.8%
44
89.2%
Q2 - 3:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 3:31INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot29
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 3:50SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)29
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 3:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 4:01INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)29
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)29
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 4:45SASSPURS Rebound29
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 4:48INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot29
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 5:15SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
18.8%
39
81.2%
Q2 - 5:42INDMiller 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)29
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 6:01SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)27
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 6:11INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)27
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 6:30SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)27
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 6:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 6:47INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 7:07INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 7:09SASMISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 7:19SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 7:22SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot27
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 7:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 7:47INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup27
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 8:06SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)27
23.6%
35
76.4%
Q2 - 8:26INDCroshere 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)27
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 8:48SASKerr 23' Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 9:06SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 9:08INDMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot25
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 9:28INDPacers Rebound25
23.9%
33
76.1%
Q2 - 9:28SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 9:28SASMISS Robinson 1' Tip Shot25
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 9:40INDKerr STEAL (1 STL)25
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 10:01SASRobinson 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q2 - 10:21INDMercer 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)25
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q2 - 10:45SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)23
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 11:05INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q2 - 11:30SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 11:45INDGinobili STEAL (1 STL)21
27.8%
26
72.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
29.8%
26
70.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASKerr REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Kerr Free Throw 2 of 221
29.4%
26
70.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASKerr Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
27.8%
26
72.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30.0%
25
70.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot21
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASRose 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)21
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)19
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 1:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 1:06INDMISS Mercer 7' Running Jump Shot19
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 1:18SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
35.9%
21
64.1%
Q1 - 1:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 1:28INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot19
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 1:49SASDuncan 10' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
35.9%
21
64.1%
Q1 - 2:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 2:04INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 219
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 2:04INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 2:04INDPacers Rebound18
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 2:04INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot18
37.0%
19
63.0%
Q1 - 2:30SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 2:44SASJump Ball Parker vs. Tinsley: Tip to Ginobili18
40.8%
17
59.2%
Q1 - 2:52SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 3:01SASSPURS Rebound18
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 3:02INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot18
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q1 - 3:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
42.8%
17
57.2%
Q1 - 3:15SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 218
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 3:26INDWorld Peace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)18
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 3:43SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 218
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 3:58INDTinsley 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)18
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 3:59INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup16
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:06SASMISS Rose 2' Layup16
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:10SASRose Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:22INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
42.2%
14
57.8%
Q1 - 4:22INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 4:31INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot14
39.7%
14
60.3%
Q1 - 4:56INDTinsley 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 5:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 5:04SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 212
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 5:04SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 5:04SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
36.0%
13
64.0%
Q1 - 5:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 5:06INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup12
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 5:09INDDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)12
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 5:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 5:13INDMISS Miller 3' Layup12
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 5:32SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 5:48INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
36.0%
13
64.0%
Q1 - 5:48INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 5:57INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 6:27INDTinsley 2' Layup (4 PTS)10
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 6:34INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 6:56INDHarrington 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
28.9%
13
71.1%
Q1 - 7:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
27.9%
13
72.1%
Q1 - 7:09SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot6
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 7:32INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 7:32INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 7:36INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot4
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 7:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 7:49INDRobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)4
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 7:54INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 7:57INDRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)4
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 8:05INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 8:07SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot4
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q1 - 8:30INDMiller 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)4
23.5%
13
76.5%
Q1 - 8:43SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)2
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 22
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 8:56SASSPURS Rebound2
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 8:57INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot2
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 9:19SASRobinson 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)2
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 9:37INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)2
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 9:49SASBowen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 9:53INDJackson STEAL (2 STL)0
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 10:09SASJackson 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 10:13INDJackson STEAL (1 STL)0
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 10:26SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 10:38INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot0
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:59SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 10:59SASJackson Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Jackson 1' Layup0
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 11:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 11:07INDMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:24SASRobinson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 11:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:33INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup0
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:43SASJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. O'Neal: Tip to Parker0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
9
26
35%
SAS
18
25
72%
Midrange
IND
16
37
43%
SAS
17
32
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
SAS
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
25
26
96%
SAS
20
33
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Strickland2279%11.0 / 14
A. Harrington1950%9.5 / 19
A. Croshere1372%6.5 / 9
J. O'Neal1235%6.0 / 17
J. Tinsley1083%5.0 / 6
J. Foster844%4.0 / 9
R. Miller433%2.0 / 6
P. Brezec4100%2.0 / 2
B. Miller225%1.0 / 4
R. Mercer233%1.0 / 3
M. World Peace0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2162%10.5 / 17
T. Parker1875%9.0 / 12
M. Rose1558%7.5 / 13
D. Robinson975%4.5 / 6
S. Jackson844%4.0 / 9
M. Ginobili857%4.0 / 7
B. Bowen788%3.5 / 4
S. Smith770%3.5 / 5
S. Kerr643%3.0 / 7
D. Ferry338%1.5 / 4
K. Willis250%1.0 / 2
S. Claxton150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+17
-17
93
SAS
77
+11
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
102.7
IND 103.2
SAS 111.7 +8.5
Pace
94.7
92.6
IND 87.1
SAS 100.8 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.6
IND 16.5
SAS 14.3 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
49.7%
IND 44.9%
SAS 60.7% +15.8%
TO %
14.7%
16.5%
IND 15.8% +0.9%
SAS 16.7%
ORB %
28.9%
28.8%
IND 36.8% +8.7%
SAS 28.1%
FTrt
34.4
34.8
IND 32.9
SAS 47.1 +14.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
56.3%
IND 56.3%
SAS 60.0% +3.7%
STL %
9.0%
8.3%
IND 8.6%
SAS 13.8% +5.2%
BLK %
8.1%
9.3%
IND 8.8%
SAS 11.1% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
51.4%
IND 50.5%
SAS 59.0% +8.5%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.3%
IND 34.6%
SAS 72.0% +37.4%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.8%
IND 43.2%
SAS 53.1% +9.9%
3P %
33.9%
35.4%
IND 43.8% +5.3%
SAS 38.5%
FT %
76.6%
72.5%
IND 96.2% +35.6%
SAS 60.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
39.3%
IND 32.9%
SAS 35.7% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
49.2%
40.6%
IND 46.8%
SAS 45.7% +1.1%
3P Att. %
16.9%
20.2%
IND 20.3% +1.7%
SAS 18.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points96105
Rebounds3733
Assists1824
Steals813
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)24 (7)
Field Goals32-7940-70
At-the-Rim FG9-2618-25
Midrange FG16-3717-32
2-Point FG25-6335-57
3-Point FG7-165-13
Free Throws25-2620-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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8 Indiana Pacers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
F · 6'11" 255 · 24
32.0
12
35%
8
0
2
2
1
4
3
5
4-4
100%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
23.8
10
83%
3
6
2
0
3
5
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 37
22.8
4
33%
3
3
0
0
4
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C · 7'0" 261 · 27
18.9
2
25%
4
2
1
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 23
13.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 29
32.1
22
79%
4
2
2
0
1
5
1
3
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
6-7
86%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
31.4
19
50%
7
0
0
1
1
4
3
4
9-9
100%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26
25.2
8
44%
7
0
1
0
0
4
5
2
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
23.9
13
72%
0
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 23
9.5
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27
7.2
2
33%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
51%
37
18
8
5
17
0
14
23
25-26
96%
25-63
40%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.