FinalWin Prob.pScore
2622%84
69
978%93
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
79.38782.5
SAS logo SAS
92.39196.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS69
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T24)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Kerr 22' Jump Shot68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMarks 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42SASMISS Kerr 20' Jump Shot66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAEllis 3' Layup (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01SASKerr Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Claxton 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 257
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57SASWillis 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)57
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00SASMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIALampley 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAHeat Rebound55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Lampley 16' Jump Shot55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAHeat Rebound55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02SASMISS Ferry 20' Jump Shot55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIALampley 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32SASMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot53
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIAStepania 2' Layup (6 PTS)53
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot51
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17SASClaxton Free Throw Clear Path (5 PTS)51
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)51
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)51
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAGinobili STEAL (3 STL)51
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55SASClaxton 4' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)51
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)51
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26SASWillis 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)51
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIALampley 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)51
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Willis 2' Reverse Layup49
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 8:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS Marks 15' Jump Shot49
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)49
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAEllis 2' Layup (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)47
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q4 - 9:15SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 9:17SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 9:32MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 9:38SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 9:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:00SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 247
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q4 - 10:19MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot46
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)46
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Lampley 7' Jump Shot46
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:57MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:59SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 246
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 10:59SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 246
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 11:16MIAButler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q4 - 11:33SASRose 6' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)44
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 11:41SASSPURS Rebound44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q4 - 11:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Rose 2' Layup44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Rose 3' Layup44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Rose 65' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0SASBowen 2' Dunk (11 PTS)44
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIABowen STEAL (1 STL)44
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot44
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIALampley 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)44
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot42
0.3%
64
99.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASMISS Claxton 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q3 - 1:22MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T18)42
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q3 - 1:44MIAHeat Rebound42
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q3 - 1:46SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot42
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIALampley Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T17)42
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 2:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q3 - 2:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)42
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q3 - 2:32MIARose STEAL (3 STL)42
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 2:37SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 2:42MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)42
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 2:45SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)42
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 2:53SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Stepania 5' Jump Shot42
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 2:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot42
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 3:04MIAHeat Rebound42
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 3:05MIADuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)42
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 3:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 3:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 242
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)42
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 3:51SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)42
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 3:55SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 3:57MIADuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)42
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 4:11SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)42
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q3 - 4:14MIADuncan STEAL (2 STL)42
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 4:35SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST)42
2.0%
57
98.0%
Q3 - 5:15SASDuncan 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)40
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)40
2.1%
55
97.9%
Q3 - 5:58SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)38
1.8%
55
98.2%
Q3 - 6:00SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
1.5%
55
98.5%
Q3 - 6:02MIADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)38
1.8%
55
98.2%
Q3 - 6:24SASRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)38
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
1.7%
55
98.3%
Q3 - 6:43MIAStepania 3' Layup (2 PTS)38
1.7%
55
98.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)36
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q3 - 7:10SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
1.6%
55
98.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)36
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q3 - 7:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)36
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q3 - 7:33SASDuncan 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)36
2.5%
52
97.5%
Q3 - 7:54MIAJackson STEAL (4 STL)36
2.8%
50
97.2%
Q3 - 8:03SASRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)36
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q3 - 8:12MIAJackson STEAL (3 STL)36
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q3 - 8:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Marks 17' Jump Shot36
3.1%
50
96.9%
Q3 - 8:33SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q3 - 8:45MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 4 AST)36
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q3 - 8:56MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q3 - 9:05SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)34
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q3 - 9:14SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Marks 6' Jump Shot34
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q3 - 9:30SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q3 - 9:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)34
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q3 - 9:52MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
4.1%
46
95.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 232
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 232
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q3 - 10:31MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)32
3.2%
46
96.8%
Q3 - 10:43SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)32
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q3 - 10:43SASJackson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)32
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q3 - 10:58MIAButler 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)32
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q3 - 11:01MIAHeat Rebound30
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q3 - 11:01MIARobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)30
3.9%
43
96.1%
Q3 - 11:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)30
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot30
3.9%
43
96.1%
Q3 - 11:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q3 - 11:26SASMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot30
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q3 - 11:39SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot30
3.9%
43
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS30
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)30
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASRose 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)30
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)30
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
5.9%
40
94.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASMISS Rose 3' Layup30
7.1%
39
92.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Lampley 3PT Jump Shot30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 1:27SASBowen 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 1:50MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 2:01SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)27
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 2:06SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 2:09MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)27
6.5%
37
93.5%
Q2 - 2:24SASBowen 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMarks 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)27
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 3:04SASJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 3:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)25
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 3:20SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot25
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 3:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot25
6.6%
35
93.4%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
7.4%
34
92.6%
Q2 - 4:06MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)25
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 4:23SASClaxton 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)23
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 4:42MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound21
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Lampley 11' Fadeaway Jumper21
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 5:05MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot21
7.1%
31
92.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIALampley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 5:48SASBowen 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 6:00SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot19
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q2 - 6:17SASRose 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)19
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIARose STEAL (2 STL)19
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q2 - 6:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Hook Shot19
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q2 - 6:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q2 - 6:51SASMISS Claxton 2' Layup19
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIARose STEAL (1 STL)19
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIAHeat Rebound19
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q2 - 7:13SASMISS Kerr 19' Jump Shot19
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q2 - 7:20SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot19
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q2 - 7:42SASRose 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)19
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q2 - 7:56SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
10.3%
25
89.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot19
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q2 - 8:16SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q2 - 8:46MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
10.3%
25
89.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot17
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q2 - 9:14SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T4)17
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q2 - 9:27SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
8.6%
25
91.4%
Q2 - 9:27SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 217
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q2 - 9:27SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q2 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q2 - 9:32SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot17
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 9:42SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Best 2' Layup17
9.7%
24
90.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.4%
24
89.6%
Q2 - 10:01SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot17
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q2 - 10:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot17
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q2 - 10:44SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q2 - 10:46SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q2 - 10:48SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot17
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q2 - 11:10MIAJones 4' Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q2 - 11:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q2 - 11:24SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot15
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q2 - 11:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS15
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASJackson 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)15
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:02SASGinobili 7' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 1:17SASSPURS Rebound15
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 1:17MIAJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)15
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
12.3%
20
87.7%
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 215
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 1:47MIAAllen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)15
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 2:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot15
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 2:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot15
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 2:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 2:34SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot15
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 2:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot15
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 3:10SASRose 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 3:26MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 3:26MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 3:39SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 3:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 213
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 3:52MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 3:55SASMISS Bowen 4' Reverse Layup12
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 3:55SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.4%
17
88.6%
Q1 - 3:59SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot12
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 4:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot12
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 4:26MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)12
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 4:42SASJackson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)10
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIAGrant 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)10
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 5:00SASRose 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:08SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot8
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)8
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 5:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 5:45SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 6:01SASSPURS Rebound8
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 6:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 6:14SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 6:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot8
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 6:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 6:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 6:59SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 28
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 7:08MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)8
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 7:34SASRobinson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)6
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAJones Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T2)6
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 7:59SASMISS Jackson 3' Layup6
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 8:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot6
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 8:30SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot6
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 8:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot6
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 9:07SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 9:22MIAAllen 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 14
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 9:39SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 9:49SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot4
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:06SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:21MIABest 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 10:35SASJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 10:47MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:04SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 11:25SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Grant: Tip to Parker0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.2%
SAS
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
SAS
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
15
38
39%
SAS
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
SAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
6
9
67%
SAS
16
26
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1343%6.5 / 15
S. Lampley1150%5.5 / 11
L. Ellis880%4.0 / 5
R. Butler735%3.5 / 10
M. Allen650%3.0 / 6
S. Marks650%3.0 / 6
V. Stepania650%3.0 / 6
M. James429%2.0 / 7
E. House467%2.0 / 3
B. Grant220%1.0 / 5
T. Best225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1747%8.5 / 18
M. Rose1447%7.0 / 15
B. Bowen1150%5.5 / 11
M. Ginobili1083%5.0 / 6
T. Parker950%4.5 / 9
S. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
S. Claxton542%2.5 / 6
K. Willis467%2.0 / 3
S. Smith375%1.5 / 2
D. Robinson2100%1.0 / 1
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 4
D. Ferry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
63
+15
-24
78
SAS
73
+15
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.2%
SAS
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
102.7
MIA 79.3
SAS 92.3 +13.0
Pace
90.0
92.6
MIA 82.5
SAS 96.3 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 17.5
SAS 15.0 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
49.7%
MIA 42.6%
SAS 47.9% +5.3%
TO %
14.8%
16.5%
MIA 23.5%
SAS 17.9% +5.6%
ORB %
26.8%
28.8%
MIA 27.5%
SAS 33.3% +5.8%
FTrt
25.9
34.8
MIA 12.2
SAS 36.6 +24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.3%
MIA 53.3%
SAS 59.4% +6.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 8.0%
SAS 17.6% +9.6%
BLK %
6.4%
9.3%
MIA 12.7% +0.4%
SAS 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
51.4%
MIA 44.2%
SAS 47.2% +3.0%
Rim FG%
53.7%
59.3%
MIA 63.2% +4.1%
SAS 59.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.8%
MIA 39.5%
SAS 45.5% +6.0%
3P %
31.6%
35.4%
MIA 17.6%
SAS 25.0% +7.4%
FT %
76.5%
72.5%
MIA 66.7% +5.2%
SAS 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
39.3%
MIA 25.7%
SAS 31.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
40.6%
MIA 51.4%
SAS 46.5% +4.9%
3P Att. %
16.9%
20.2%
MIA 23.0% +0.4%
SAS 22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8791
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points6984
Rebounds3742
Assists1619
Steals716
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)24 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals30-7432-71
At-the-Rim FG12-1913-22
Midrange FG15-3815-33
2-Point FG27-5728-55
3-Point FG3-174-16
Free Throws6-916-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
37.1
7
35%
6
3
0
1
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
25.8
13
43%
3
0
0
0
4
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-6
17%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
24.2
2
20%
8
1
1
2
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
21.6
6
50%
2
0
0
2
4
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
17.7
2
25%
1
4
1
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
24.4
4
29%
1
4
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
23.6
11
50%
2
3
0
0
2
2
1
1
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 28
22.8
6
50%
2
0
1
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
15.6
6
50%
7
0
2
0
3
0
4
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
15.4
4
67%
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
11.8
8
80%
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
69
44%
37
16
7
7
24
0
11
26
6-9
67%
27-57
47%
3-17
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.