Final Win Prob. pScore
2722%84
82
1578%93
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
93.28893.2
Hornets
101.19085.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH82
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWesley STEAL (1 STL)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAGrant Layup (24 PTS) (Best 6 AST)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0NOHBrown 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mashburn 13 AST)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHHORNETS Rebound80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Brown Layup80
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:10NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot80
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 1:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)80
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 280
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:25NOHSUB: Anderson FOR Magloire80
89
Q4 - 1:25MIASUB: House FOR Stepania80
89
Q4 - 1:25NOHHORNETS Rebound80
89
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 280
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:25MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.PN)80
89
Q4 - 1:44MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#10)80
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)80
89
Q4 - 1:45NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)80
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 1:56MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)80
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 1:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)78
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot78
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 2:24NOHWesley Layup (12 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)78
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 2:32NOHHORNETS Rebound78
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Best Layup78
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 3:05NOHLynch 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)78
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 3:20NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)78
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 3:22NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot78
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 3:35MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 3:35MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 3:35NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Alexander76
82
Q4 - 3:35NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)76
82
Q4 - 3:35NOHMashburn P.FOUL (P5.PN)76
82
Q4 - 3:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)76
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 3:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q4 - 3:45NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot76
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 5 AST)76
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 4:26NOHMashburn Foul Turnover (P3.T12)73
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 4:26NOHMashburn OFF.Foul (P4)73
82
Q4 - 4:38MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 4:38MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 4:38NOH71
82
Q4 - 4:38NOHBrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)71
82
Q4 - 4:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)71
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Grant Layup71
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)71
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 5:02NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 5:02NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 5:02MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.PN)71
80
Q4 - 5:06MIABrown STEAL (2 STL)71
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 5:20NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Traylor71
80
Q4 - 5:20NOHTraylor L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)71
80
Q4 - 5:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 5:21NOHMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot71
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 5:39MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 5:39NOHMashburn S.FOUL (P3.T3)69
80
Q4 - 5:48NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)69
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 5:48MIASUB: Butler FOR House69
79
Q4 - 5:48MIABest S.FOUL (P1.PN)69
79
Q4 - 5:48NOHAlexander 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)69
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 6:02MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 6:02NOHMashburn S.FOUL (P2.T2)67
77
Q4 - 6:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
77
Q4 - 6:22NOHAlexander 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mashburn 12 AST)67
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)67
75
Q4 - 6:27NOHHORNETS Rebound67
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q4 - 6:27NOHMISS Wesley 23' Jump Shot67
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 6:38MIAStepania Layup (10 PTS) (House 3 AST)67
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 6:59NOHBrown Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 11 AST)65
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 7:10MIASUB: Jones FOR Lampley65
73
Q4 - 7:10MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T3)65
73
Q4 - 7:18MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)65
73
Q4 - 7:18NOHHORNETS Rebound65
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot65
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q4 - 7:38NOHMISS Traylor 15' Jump Shot65
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q4 - 7:53NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)65
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot65
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 8:14NOHMashburn 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)65
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q4 - 8:30MIAHouse 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)65
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q4 - 8:49NOHSUB: Brown FOR Anderson63
71
Q4 - 8:49NOHSUB: Mashburn FOR Moiso63
71
Q4 - 8:4963
71
Q4 - 8:51MIAHeat Rebound63
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 8:54NOHMISS Moiso 17' Jump Shot63
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q4 - 9:11MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q4 - 9:11MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 9:11NOHTraylor S.FOUL (P3.T1)61
71
Q4 - 9:19NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Lynch61
71
Q4 - 9:19NOHAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q4 - 9:19NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIASUB: Best FOR Jones61
69
Q4 - 9:19NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Magloire61
69
Q4 - 9:19MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T1)61
69
Q4 - 9:38NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Lampley 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q4 - 10:04NOHMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot61
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGrant Tip Shot (18 PTS)61
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Jones Layup59
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q4 - 10:52NOHMoiso 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)59
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q4 - 11:09NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)59
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q4 - 11:11NOHMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot59
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q4 - 11:35NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot59
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q4 - 11:43NOHMISS Alexander Layup59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q4 - 12:0059
67
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH59
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABest Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)59
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Moiso59
66
Q3 - 0:07.0MIASUB: House FOR Allen59
66
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIALampley S.FOUL (P3.T4)59
65
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)59
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot59
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOHAnderson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mashburn 10 AST)59
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)59
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMoiso BLOCK (1 BLK)59
15.6%
63
84.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)59
17.3%
63
82.7%
Q3 - 1:09NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot59
15.7%
63
84.3%
Q3 - 1:26NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)59
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler58
63
Q3 - 1:40MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 1:40NOHSUB: Moiso FOR Brown57
63
Q3 - 1:40MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant57
63
Q3 - 1:40NOHLynch P.FOUL (P2.T1)57
63
Q3 - 2:05NOHBrown Layup (10 PTS)57
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 2:07NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 2:09NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot57
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 2:17NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot57
15.6%
61
84.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJones Violation:Defensive Goaltending57
61
Q3 - 2:33NOHAnderson Layup (6 PTS) (Mashburn 9 AST)57
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 2:37MIAAnderson STEAL (3 STL)57
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 2:48NOHAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)57
23.5%
59
76.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIABest Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 3:11NOHMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot55
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 3:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
14.6%
59
85.4%
Q3 - 3:19NOHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot55
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 3:29MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)55
14.6%
59
85.4%
Q3 - 3:31NOHBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 3:44NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot55
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q3 - 3:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 4:00NOHMISS Magloire 10' Jump Shot55
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 4:26MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)55
14.6%
59
85.4%
Q3 - 4:53NOHAnderson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Magloire 3 AST)53
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAJones 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 4 AST)53
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 5:22NOHMagloire Dunk (14 PTS) (Mashburn 8 AST)51
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q3 - 5:38NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q3 - 5:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 5:48NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Jump Shot51
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q3 - 6:01NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 6:17NOHSUB: Anderson FOR Wesley51
55
Q3 - 6:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)51
55
Q3 - 6:23NOHMashburn 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)51
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q3 - 6:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)51
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Best Layup51
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q3 - 7:07NOHWesley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
21.6%
53
78.4%
Q3 - 7:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)51
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Best Layup51
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
27.3%
51
72.7%
Q3 - 7:31NOHMISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot51
26.3%
51
73.7%
Q3 - 7:45MIAButler 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)51
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q3 - 7:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot49
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q3 - 8:12NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q3 - 8:12NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q3 - 8:12MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T3)49
49
Q3 - 8:23NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)49
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Best Layup49
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q3 - 8:43NOHLynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)49
27.0%
49
73.0%
Q3 - 8:50NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
34.1%
46
65.9%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
35.9%
46
64.1%
Q3 - 9:05NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot49
34.9%
46
65.1%
Q3 - 9:22NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q3 - 9:47NOHBrown Layup (8 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)49
36.0%
46
64.0%
Q3 - 9:54NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
39.4%
44
60.6%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Jones Layup49
40.5%
44
59.5%
Q3 - 10:11NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
41.7%
44
58.3%
Q3 - 10:11NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q3 - 10:11MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)49
42
Q3 - 10:15MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T1)49
42
Q3 - 10:28MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
45.2%
42
54.8%
Q3 - 10:48NOHMashburn 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
38.3%
42
61.7%
Q3 - 11:05NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)46
40
Q3 - 11:09MIABest 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
37.4%
40
62.6%
Q3 - 11:25NOHMISS Wesley 13' Jump Shot44
36.3%
40
63.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAGrant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 3 AST)44
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q3 - 12:0042
40
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound42
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot42
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0NOHMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot42
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0NOHHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)42
40
Q2 - 0:29.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
28.1%
40
71.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIALampley Tip Shot (5 PTS)42
28.1%
40
71.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot40
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)40
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIABest Layup (9 PTS) (House 2 AST)40
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 1:10NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 1:22MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 1:22MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant37
38
Q2 - 1:22MIASUB: Lampley FOR Jones37
38
Q2 - 1:22MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 1:22NOHSUB: Anderson FOR Pack36
38
Q2 - 1:22NOHPack P.FOUL (P2.PN)36
38
Q2 - 1:29NOHMashburn Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS)36
22.8%
36
77.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 1:52NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot34
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 2:02MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)34
36
Q2 - 2:07MIAStepania Layup (8 PTS)34
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot32
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 2:26NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)32
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 2:51MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 2:51MIAHeat Rebound31
34
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 231
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 2:51NOHPack P.FOUL (P1.PN)31
34
Q2 - 3:00NOHMashburn 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 3:20NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 231
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHeat Rebound31
32
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 231
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 3:21NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
32
Q2 - 3:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)31
32
Q2 - 3:25NOHMashburn P.FOUL (P1.T4)31
32
Q2 - 3:40NOHMagloire Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)31
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 3:51MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)31
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q2 - 3:57NOHJump Ball Pack vs. Stepania: Tip to Grant29
30
Q2 - 4:12NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 4:14NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)29
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 4:17NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Fadeaway Jumper29
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q2 - 4:33NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 4:36NOHMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q2 - 4:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 4:44NOHMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot29
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q2 - 5:04MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)29
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 5:17NOHSUB: Pack FOR Moiso27
30
Q2 - 5:17NOHSUB: Brown FOR Traylor27
30
Q2 - 5:17NOHSUB: Mashburn FOR Alexander27
30
Q2 - 5:17NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Anderson27
30
Q2 - 5:17NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)27
30
Q2 - 5:17NOHAlexander Foul Turnover (P1.T5)27
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 5:17NOHAlexander OFF.Foul (P1)27
30
Q2 - 5:22NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 5:24MIAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)27
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 5:43NOHMoiso 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)27
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 6:02MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q2 - 6:10NOHMISS Moiso 9' Jump Shot25
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 6:21MIASUB: Best FOR Lampley25
28
Q2 - 6:21MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
28
Q2 - 6:24MIAAnderson STEAL (2 STL)25
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 6:39NOHAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)25
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q2 - 7:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Stepania 3' Hook Shot23
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 7:24NOHAlexander Reverse Layup (6 PTS)23
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 7:37NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Grant Layup23
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q2 - 7:52MIAHeat Rebound23
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q2 - 7:54NOHMISS Alexander 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q2 - 8:1023
24
Q2 - 8:10MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q2 - 8:16NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot23
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 8:22MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)23
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot23
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 8:39NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot23
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q2 - 9:02NOHAlexander 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)23
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAStepania Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)23
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q2 - 9:30NOHAlexander 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)21
20.3%
22
79.7%
Q2 - 9:42MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q2 - 9:42MIAHeat Rebound20
20
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 220
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q2 - 9:42NOHTraylor S.FOUL (P2.T3)20
20
Q2 - 9:56NOHMoiso P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
20
Q2 - 10:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q2 - 10:01NOHMISS Traylor Layup20
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q2 - 10:03NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q2 - 10:05NOHMISS Moiso 15' Jump Shot20
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Jones FOR Best20
20
Q2 - 10:15NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Brown20
20
Q2 - 10:15NOHSUB: Moiso FOR Mashburn20
20
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen20
20
Q2 - 10:15MIALampley P.FOUL (P2.T1)20
20
Q2 - 10:20NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Allen 5' Hook Shot20
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q2 - 10:37NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot20
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q2 - 10:56MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)20
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q2 - 11:03NOHMISS Brown 6' Turnaround Jump Shot18
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q2 - 11:12NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
17.2%
20
82.8%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot18
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q2 - 11:22NOHTraylor P.FOUL (P1.T1)18
20
Q2 - 11:35NOHAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q2 - 11:35NOHAnderson OFF.Foul (P2)18
20
Q2 - 11:48MIABest 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
17.2%
20
82.8%
Q2 - 12:0016
20
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH16
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot16
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot16
14.9%
20
85.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Lampley Layup16
14.9%
20
85.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
20
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHSUB: Alexander FOR Wesley16
19
Q1 - 0:43.0MIASUB: House FOR Butler16
19
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)16
18
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot16
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 1:13MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 1:15NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 1:33MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 1:48NOHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIALampley 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 2:11NOHMagloire Layup (8 PTS)14
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 2:12NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 2:14NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot14
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 2:19NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)14
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 2:34NOHMashburn Violation:Jump Ball14
16
Q1 - 2:34NOHJump Ball Anderson vs. Butler: Tip to14
16
Q1 - 2:56MIASUB: Lampley FOR Jones14
16
Q1 - 2:56MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant14
16
Q1 - 2:56NOHSUB: Anderson FOR Lynch14
16
Q1 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)14
16
Q1 - 2:56NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 2:56NOHMagloire OFF.Foul (P1)14
16
Q1 - 3:11MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)14
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 3:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot12
14.8%
16
85.2%
Q1 - 3:35NOHBrown 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)12
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 3:42NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 3:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Butler 4' Layup12
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 4:18NOHWesley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)12
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 4:33MIAAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)12
19.4%
12
80.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 4:41NOHMISS Lynch 11' Hook Shot10
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 5:08NOHMISS Lynch 3PT Jump Shot10
18.1%
12
81.9%
Q1 - 5:26NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
12
Q1 - 5:26MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)10
12
Q1 - 5:26NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 5:27NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIABest Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 5:53MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 5:55NOHMISS Mashburn Layup8
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 6:00NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Best 13' Jump Shot8
15.5%
12
84.5%
Q1 - 6:18NOHMashburn 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)8
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T3)8
10
Q1 - 6:30NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 6:33MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)8
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 6:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 6:56NOHMISS Lynch Layup8
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 7:02NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 7:03NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 18
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
10
Q1 - 7:03NOHMagloire 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)8
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 7:21MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)8
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 7:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot6
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 7:58NOHLynch S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 8:16NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)4
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 8:30NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 8:32NOHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot4
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 8:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot4
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 8:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 8:58NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot4
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIASUB: Jones FOR Lampley4
6
Q1 - 9:09MIALampley P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:11NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot4
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 9:31NOHMagloire 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)4
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 9:44NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:54NOHMashburn Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)4
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:04NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 10:07MIALynch BLOCK (1 BLK)4
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIASUB: Lampley FOR Jones4
4
Q1 - 10:25MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)4
4
Q1 - 10:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 10:28NOHMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot4
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:31NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 10:32NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot4
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:47MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 11:09NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 11:30MIAJones 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:48NOHMagloire 5' Layup (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Grant: Tip to Mashburn0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.6%
NOH
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
38
53%
NOH
12
17
71%
Midrange
MIA
9
28
32%
NOH
24
56
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
NOH
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
NOH
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant2480%12.0 / 15
T. Best1747%8.5 / 18
E. Jones1435%7.0 / 20
V. Stepania1267%6.0 / 9
S. Lampley536%2.5 / 7
M. Allen433%2.0 / 6
E. House440%2.0 / 5
R. Butler210%1.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn1850%9.0 / 18
P. Brown1647%8.0 / 17
J. Magloire1464%7.0 / 11
C. Alexander1372%6.5 / 9
D. Wesley1233%6.0 / 18
K. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
G. Lynch660%3.0 / 5
J. Moiso440%2.0 / 5
R. Traylor0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+14
-10
92
NOH
78
+16
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.6%
NOH
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.4
MIA 93.2
NOH 101.1 +7.9
Pace
90.0
91.7
MIA 93.2 +7.8
NOH 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
MIA 15.5 −1.4
NOH 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.5%
MIA 40.5%
NOH 47.0% +6.5%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
MIA 11.0% −0.8%
NOH 11.8%
ORB %
26.8%
31.8%
MIA 28.3%
NOH 32.6% +4.3%
FTrt
25.9
28.5
MIA 27.8 +8.5
NOH 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.0%
MIA 51.6%
NOH 76.3% +24.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
NOH 6.7% +1.0%
BLK %
6.4%
7.1%
MIA 8.2% +0.6%
NOH 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.7%
MIA 44.6%
NOH 47.9% +3.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
53.8%
MIA 52.6%
NOH 70.6% +18.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.0%
MIA 32.1%
NOH 42.9% +10.8%
3P %
31.6%
37.6%
MIA 15.4%
NOH 20.0% +4.6%
FT %
76.5%
76.8%
MIA 81.8% +0.5%
NOH 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
32.2%
MIA 48.1% +27.6%
NOH 20.5%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
51.7%
MIA 35.4% −32.0%
NOH 67.5%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.1%
MIA 16.5% +4.4%
NOH 12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points8291
Rebounds4247
Assists1629
Steals56
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals31-7938-83
At-the-Rim FG20-3812-17
Midrange FG9-2824-56
2-Point FG29-6636-73
3-Point FG2-132-10
Free Throws18-2213-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
41.4
17
47%
4
6
0
0
3
1
0
4
7-8
88%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
40.3
24
80%
15
2
0
0
1
4
6
9
4-4
100%
10-13
77%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
38.5
14
35%
3
5
0
2
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
2-10
20%
2-7
29%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
27.4
2
10%
5
0
2
1
3
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-4
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
27.0
4
33%
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
27.2
12
67%
8
0
1
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
20.5
4
40%
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
17.7
5
36%
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 28
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
45%
42
16
5
6
10
0
13
29
18-22
82%
29-66
44%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.