for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, February 26, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
27
Heat
22%84
82
15
Hornets
78%93
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.28893.2
NOH
101.19085.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH82
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWesley STEAL (1 STL)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAGrant Layup (24 PTS) (Best 6 AST)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0NOHBrown 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mashburn 13 AST)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHHORNETS Rebound80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Brown Layup80
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:10NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot80
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)80
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 280
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 280
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#10)80
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:45NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)80
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 1:56MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)80
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)78
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot78
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 2:24NOHWesley Layup (12 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)78
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 2:32NOHHORNETS Rebound78
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Best Layup78
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 3:05NOHLynch 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)78
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 3:20NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)78
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 3:22NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot78
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 3:35MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 3:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)76
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 3:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q4 - 3:45NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot76
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 5 AST)76
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 4:26NOHMashburn Foul Turnover (P3.T12)73
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Grant Layup71
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot71
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 5:02NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 5:02NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 5:06MIABrown STEAL (2 STL)71
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 5:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 5:21NOHMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot71
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 5:39MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 5:48NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)69
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 5:48NOHAlexander 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)69
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 6:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 6:02MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 6:22NOHAlexander 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mashburn 12 AST)67
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 6:27NOHHORNETS Rebound67
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 6:27NOHMISS Wesley 23' Jump Shot67
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 6:38MIAStepania Layup (10 PTS) (House 3 AST)67
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 6:59NOHBrown Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 11 AST)65
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 7:18NOHHORNETS Rebound65
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot65
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q4 - 7:38NOHMISS Traylor 15' Jump Shot65
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 7:53NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)65
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot65
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q4 - 8:14NOHMashburn 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)65
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 8:30MIAHouse 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)65
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHeat Rebound63
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q4 - 8:54NOHMISS Moiso 17' Jump Shot63
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q4 - 9:11MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q4 - 9:19NOHAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q4 - 9:19NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q4 - 9:38NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Lampley 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q4 - 10:04NOHMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot61
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGrant Tip Shot (18 PTS)61
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Jones Layup59
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q4 - 10:52NOHMoiso 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)59
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 11:09NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)59
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q4 - 11:11NOHMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot59
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q4 - 11:35NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot59
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q4 - 11:43NOHMISS Alexander Layup59
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH59
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABest Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)59
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)59
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot59
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOHAnderson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mashburn 10 AST)59
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)59
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMoiso BLOCK (1 BLK)59
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)59
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 1:09NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot59
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 1:26NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)59
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
11.0%
63
89.0%
Q3 - 2:05NOHBrown Layup (10 PTS)57
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 2:07NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 2:09NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot57
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 2:17NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot57
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 2:33NOHAnderson Layup (6 PTS) (Mashburn 9 AST)57
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 2:37MIAAnderson STEAL (3 STL)57
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 2:48NOHAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)57
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q3 - 3:01MIABest Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 3:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 3:11NOHMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot55
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 3:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q3 - 3:19NOHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot55
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)55
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q3 - 3:31NOHBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 3:44NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot55
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q3 - 3:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 4:00NOHMISS Magloire 10' Jump Shot55
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 4:26MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)55
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 4:53NOHAnderson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Magloire 3 AST)53
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAJones 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 4 AST)53
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 5:22NOHMagloire Dunk (14 PTS) (Mashburn 8 AST)51
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 5:38NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
11.9%
55
88.1%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q3 - 5:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
13.9%
55
86.1%
Q3 - 5:48NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Jump Shot51
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 6:01NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q3 - 6:23NOHMashburn 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)51
13.9%
55
86.1%
Q3 - 6:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)51
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Best Layup51
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q3 - 7:07NOHWesley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q3 - 7:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)51
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Best Layup51
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
23.3%
51
76.7%
Q3 - 7:31NOHMISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot51
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q3 - 7:45MIAButler 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)51
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 7:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot49
16.4%
51
83.6%
Q3 - 8:12NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
18.1%
51
81.9%
Q3 - 8:12NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q3 - 8:23NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)49
20.1%
49
79.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Best Layup49
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q3 - 8:43NOHLynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)49
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q3 - 8:50NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
29.5%
46
70.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q3 - 9:05NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot49
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q3 - 9:22NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q3 - 9:47NOHBrown Layup (8 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)49
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q3 - 9:54NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Jones Layup49
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q3 - 10:11NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q3 - 10:11NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q3 - 10:28MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q3 - 10:48NOHMashburn 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIABest 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q3 - 11:25NOHMISS Wesley 13' Jump Shot44
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q3 - 11:45MIAGrant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 3 AST)44
28.5%
40
71.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
26.0%
40
74.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound42
26.0%
40
74.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot42
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0NOHMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot42
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIALampley Tip Shot (5 PTS)42
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot40
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)40
20.5%
40
79.5%
Q2 - 1:07MIABest Layup (9 PTS) (House 2 AST)40
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 1:10NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 1:22MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 1:22MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 1:29NOHMashburn Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 1:39MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS)36
19.2%
36
80.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 1:52NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot34
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 2:07MIAStepania Layup (8 PTS)34
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 2:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot32
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 2:26NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)32
13.5%
36
86.5%
Q2 - 2:51MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 231
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 3:00NOHMashburn 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 3:20NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 231
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 231
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 3:40NOHMagloire Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)31
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)31
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 4:12NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 4:14NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)29
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 4:17NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Fadeaway Jumper29
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 4:33NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 4:36NOHMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 4:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 4:44NOHMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot29
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 5:04MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)29
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q2 - 5:17NOHAlexander Foul Turnover (P1.T5)27
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 5:22NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q2 - 5:24MIAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)27
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q2 - 5:43NOHMoiso 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)27
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 6:02MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 6:10NOHMISS Moiso 9' Jump Shot25
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 6:24MIAAnderson STEAL (2 STL)25
13.2%
28
86.8%
Q2 - 6:39NOHAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)25
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q2 - 7:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Stepania 3' Hook Shot23
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q2 - 7:24NOHAlexander Reverse Layup (6 PTS)23
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 7:37NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Grant Layup23
16.5%
24
83.5%
Q2 - 7:52MIAHeat Rebound23
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q2 - 7:54NOHMISS Alexander 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q2 - 8:10MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q2 - 8:16NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot23
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q2 - 8:22MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)23
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot23
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q2 - 8:39NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
15.9%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot23
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q2 - 9:02NOHAlexander 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)23
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAStepania Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)23
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q2 - 9:30NOHAlexander 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)21
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q2 - 9:42MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 220
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q2 - 10:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q2 - 10:01NOHMISS Traylor Layup20
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q2 - 10:03NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q2 - 10:05NOHMISS Moiso 15' Jump Shot20
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q2 - 10:20NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Allen 5' Hook Shot20
17.8%
20
82.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q2 - 10:37NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot20
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q2 - 10:56MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)20
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q2 - 11:03NOHMISS Brown 6' Turnaround Jump Shot18
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q2 - 11:12NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
14.4%
20
85.6%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot18
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q2 - 11:35NOHAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q2 - 11:48MIABest 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
14.4%
20
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH16
13.3%
20
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot16
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
12.3%
20
87.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot16
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Lampley Layup16
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot16
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 1:13MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 1:15NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 1:33MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 1:48NOHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIALampley 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 2:11NOHMagloire Layup (8 PTS)14
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 2:12NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 2:14NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot14
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 2:19NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)14
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 2:56NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)14
14.2%
16
85.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot12
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 3:35NOHBrown 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)12
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 3:42NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
14.2%
14
85.8%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Butler 4' Layup12
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 4:18NOHWesley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)12
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 4:33MIAAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)12
16.2%
12
83.8%
Q1 - 4:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 4:41NOHMISS Lynch 11' Hook Shot10
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 5:06MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 5:08NOHMISS Lynch 3PT Jump Shot10
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 5:26NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 5:27NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIABest Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 5:53MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 5:55NOHMISS Mashburn Layup8
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 6:00NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Best 13' Jump Shot8
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 6:18NOHMashburn 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)8
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 6:30NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
13.7%
10
86.3%
Q1 - 6:33MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)8
14.1%
10
85.9%
Q1 - 6:56NOHMISS Lynch Layup8
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:02NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 7:03NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 18
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:03NOHMagloire 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)8
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)8
15.5%
8
84.5%
Q1 - 7:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot6
14.3%
8
85.7%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
13.5%
8
86.5%
Q1 - 8:16NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)4
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 8:30NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 8:32NOHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot4
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 8:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot4
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 8:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 8:58NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot4
14.2%
6
85.8%
Q1 - 9:11NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot4
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:31NOHMagloire 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)4
14.4%
6
85.6%
Q1 - 9:44NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 9:54NOHMashburn Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)4
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:04NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIALynch BLOCK (1 BLK)4
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 10:28NOHMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot4
15.9%
4
84.1%
Q1 - 10:31NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 10:32NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot4
15.9%
4
84.1%
Q1 - 10:47MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 11:09NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)2
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 11:30MIAJones 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:48NOHMagloire 5' Layup (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Grant: Tip to Mashburn0
15.1%
0
84.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.6%
NOH
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
38
53%
NOH
12
17
71%
Midrange
MIA
9
28
32%
NOH
24
56
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
NOH
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
NOH
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant2480%12.0 / 15
T. Best1747%8.5 / 18
E. Jones1435%7.0 / 20
V. Stepania1267%6.0 / 9
S. Lampley536%2.5 / 7
M. Allen433%2.0 / 6
E. House440%2.0 / 5
R. Butler210%1.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn1850%9.0 / 18
P. Brown1647%8.0 / 17
J. Magloire1464%7.0 / 11
C. Alexander1372%6.5 / 9
D. Wesley1233%6.0 / 18
K. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
G. Lynch660%3.0 / 5
J. Moiso440%2.0 / 5
R. Traylor0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+14
-10
92
NOH
78
+16
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.6%
NOH
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.4
MIA 93.2 +7.9
NOH 101.1
Pace
90.0
91.7
MIA 93.2 +7.8
NOH 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
MIA 15.5 +1.4
NOH 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.5%
MIA 40.5%
NOH 47.0% +6.5%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
MIA 11.0% +0.8%
NOH 11.8%
ORB %
26.8%
31.8%
MIA 28.3%
NOH 32.6% +4.3%
FTrt
25.9
28.5
MIA 27.8 +8.5
NOH 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.0%
MIA 51.6%
NOH 76.3% +24.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
NOH 6.7% +1.0%
BLK %
6.4%
7.1%
MIA 8.2% +0.6%
NOH 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.7%
MIA 44.6%
NOH 47.9% +3.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
53.8%
MIA 52.6%
NOH 70.6% +18.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.0%
MIA 32.1%
NOH 42.9% +10.8%
3P %
31.6%
37.6%
MIA 15.4%
NOH 20.0% +4.6%
FT %
76.5%
76.8%
MIA 81.8% +0.5%
NOH 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
32.2%
MIA 48.1% +27.6%
NOH 20.5%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
51.7%
MIA 35.4% +32.0%
NOH 67.5%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.1%
MIA 16.5% +4.4%
NOH 12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points8291
Rebounds4247
Assists1629
Steals56
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals31-7938-83
At-the-Rim FG20-3812-17
Midrange FG9-2824-56
2-Point FG29-6636-73
3-Point FG2-132-10
Free Throws18-2213-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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27 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
41.4
17
47%
4
6
0
0
3
1
0
4
7-8
88%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
40.3
24
80%
15
2
0
0
1
4
6
9
4-4
100%
10-13
77%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
38.5
14
35%
3
5
0
2
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
2-10
20%
2-7
29%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
27.4
2
10%
5
0
2
1
3
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-4
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
27.0
4
33%
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
27.2
12
67%
8
0
1
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
20.5
4
40%
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
17.7
5
36%
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 28
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
45%
42
16
5
6
10
0
13
29
18-22
82%
29-66
44%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.