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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets42%9398
16Wizards58%95100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.0
50.0
34.8
8
26%
8
7
0
1
1
1
1
7
6-6
100%
1-10
4-10
10%
44%
0-3
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.5
44.0
40.3
24
55%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
7-12
5-10
58%
46%
3-9
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.5
39.2
32.3
16
48%
11
1
0
0
0
0
3
8
4-4
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.7
23.8
27.5
8
44%
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
41%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.1
22.6
25.0
4
23%
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
43%
0-2
0%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.7
30.2
1.7
10
64%
2
0
3
0
0
2
0
2
0-4
0%
2-2
0-0
100%
39%
2-4
50%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.3
26.0
16.6
23
86%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
10-12
3-6
83%
43%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.8
13.6
21.8
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-3
33%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.6
12.0
15.4
2
100%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.5
3.1
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Tito Maddox
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.7
0.5
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.1
6.0
0
1-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 40.0
49.9
39.2
35
60%
11
6
0
2
0
3
0
11
5-7
71%
15-26
9-21
58%
43%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.5
48.2
30.4
10
56%
8
8
2
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.3
45.5
37.7
28
71%
3
3
0
1
1
4
0
3
5-6
83%
10-15
5-12
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.3
33.8
23.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
5
2
2
1
0-2
0%
0-4
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
32.6
36.9
12
86%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.4
31.2
16.4
9
64%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
1-3
33%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.2
23.7
18.7
6
77%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.0
18.6
0
2-4
49%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.0
10.9
0
1-3
45%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.1
9.9
0
1-3
46%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.2
8.1
0
0-1
38%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
5.0
0
1-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.