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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Kings36%101126
1Mavericks64%105124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 25.7
46.0
31.7
36
60%
10
2
0
1
0
1
3
7
14-14
100%
8-17
4-9
47%
49%
2-7
29%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
42.5
32.5
17
50%
3
6
2
1
0
5
1
2
0-2
0%
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
3-7
43%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 32.8
38.9
31.8
10
50%
10
6
2
2
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
0-3
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
33.3
29.5
16
43%
10
6
1
1
1
2
2
8
4-8
50%
6-15
7-16
40%
47%
0-0
-
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 35.1
32.5
32.3
12
55%
5
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.0
29.8
20.9
17
65%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
5-8
63%
Keon Clark
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 27.9
23.8
27.0
12
75%
11
1
0
1
1
2
7
4
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.4
18.2
21.9
6
41%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 23.9
8.6
0
1-2
43%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 20.6
3.5
0
1-1
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
3.1
0
0-0
41%
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
2.2
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.0
48.9
38.3
31
65%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
6-11
5-12
55%
46%
5-11
45%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
46.7
39.6
36
63%
13
3
4
1
2
4
0
13
8-8
100%
11-19
7-14
58%
49%
2-6
33%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
42.1
13.7
14
51%
8
2
0
0
1
2
2
6
2-4
50%
6-10
2-3
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.1
39.8
32.7
14
55%
3
10
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
17.8
18.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.3
36.6
27.9
15
40%
4
9
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
6-16
3-7
38%
43%
0-1
0%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.9
22.3
23.7
12
86%
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
4-6
67%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.9
10.9
17.5
2
114%
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
13.3
1
2-3
52%
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
5.6
0
0-1
45%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.9
3.2
0
1-1
45%
Antoine Rigaudeau
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.2
2.7
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.