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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 28, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz47%9683
1376ers53%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.6
30.4
37.2
19
52%
3
3
1
2
0
7
0
3
5-5
100%
7-16
7-15
44%
45%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.9
22.2
28.2
5
47%
0
9
3
2
1
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.6
21.1
19.7
10
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.0
19.6
27.8
6
104%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
15.7
34.8
2
14%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
6-12
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
25.1
29.4
4
26%
8
0
1
1
1
3
3
5
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.9
23.0
13.4
9
57%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
20.3
10.4
7
46%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
0-0
-
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.9
20.1
17.1
10
69%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-5
60%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
16.8
11.6
2
17%
3
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.6
13.7
1.5
9
65%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
43%
1-1
100%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.3
12.0
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
35.4
36.1
12
68%
1
11
4
2
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
4-7
4-10
57%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.7
33.7
29.5
16
85%
6
1
4
1
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
2-2
100%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.7
33.0
40.8
24
48%
2
6
1
2
0
4
1
1
5-5
100%
8-20
8-19
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.6
31.3
26.0
15
70%
7
3
1
1
0
6
1
6
5-6
83%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
28.0
33.8
10
50%
12
1
0
1
0
1
4
8
0-0
-
5-9
5-11
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.4
25.8
22.4
11
80%
4
2
3
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.8
21.7
17.1
4
50%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
12.0
16.6
6
75%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
6.7
3.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.2
6.7
2.9
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 21.9
5.7
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Monty Williams
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.4
6.4
0
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.