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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 28, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat34%92116
20Grizzlies66%97126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.4
48.3
31.1
24
74%
6
7
3
1
4
1
0
6
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
5-7
71%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.6
42.0
29.7
18
57%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
1-3
33%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
37.4
31.4
19
55%
13
4
0
1
0
1
8
5
5-5
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
49%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
34.7
12.2
24
61%
7
4
2
1
0
4
0
7
3-4
75%
9-16
2-4
56%
43%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
26.1
25.7
11
44%
5
2
0
1
2
2
2
3
1-1
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
24.5
19.8
2
17%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
13.9
11.4
4
52%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.7
11.0
13.7
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
11.0
28.6
5
63%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-8
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.8
10.1
20.2
2
25%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
6.1
6.5
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.5
17.3
0
2-5
44%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
45.9
35.1
19
75%
14
4
0
1
0
0
2
12
6-6
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.5
40.0
31.9
16
74%
1
1
4
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
37.6
35.2
25
63%
10
2
0
1
1
4
2
8
7-9
78%
9-15
7-14
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.3
35.4
29.7
18
61%
3
15
1
1
0
6
0
3
5-6
83%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.3
32.4
30.2
14
55%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.3
21.4
19.5
11
74%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.7
20.6
18.0
7
88%
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.3
17.6
11.8
4
41%
0
8
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.3
14.2
13.0
12
61%
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.0
16.6
0
2-5
46%
Michael Dickerson
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.7
5.9
0
0-1
41%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.4
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.