FinalWin Prob.pScore
2633%91
116
2067%97
126
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.410997.6
MEM logo MEM
111.5113103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA116
0%
126
100%
OT1 - 0:04.0MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)116
0.1%
126
99.9%
OT1 - 0:04.0MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)116
0.1%
125
99.9%
OT1 - 0:05.0MIABest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)116
0.1%
124
99.9%
OT1 - 0:10.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)113
0.1%
124
99.9%
OT1 - 0:10.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)113
0.1%
123
99.9%
OT1 - 0:12.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)113
0.1%
122
99.9%
OT1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2113
0.1%
122
99.9%
OT1 - 0:13.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)113
0.1%
122
99.9%
OT1 - 0:24.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)112
0.1%
122
99.9%
OT1 - 0:24.0MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2112
0.1%
121
99.9%
OT1 - 0:25.0MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)112
0.1%
121
99.9%
OT1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot112
0.1%
121
99.9%
OT1 - 0:37.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)112
0.1%
121
99.9%
OT1 - 0:37.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)112
0.1%
120
99.9%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAHouse Reverse Layup (2 PTS)112
0.3%
119
99.7%
OT1 - 0:41.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)110
0.2%
119
99.8%
OT1 - 0:41.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)110
0.2%
118
99.8%
OT1 - 0:43.0MIAGrant Layup (19 PTS)110
0.4%
117
99.6%
OT1 - 0:45.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)108
0.2%
117
99.8%
OT1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.1%
117
99.9%
OT1 - 0:54.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)108
0.3%
117
99.7%
OT1 - 0:54.0MEMWright Dunk (14 PTS)108
0.3%
117
99.7%
OT1 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot108
0.9%
115
99.1%
OT1 - 1:14MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)108
0.8%
115
99.2%
OT1 - 1:17MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)108
1.1%
115
98.9%
OT1 - 1:31MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)108
2.2%
115
97.8%
OT1 - 1:31MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)108
2.6%
114
97.4%
OT1 - 1:44MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound108
3.9%
113
96.1%
OT1 - 1:45MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot108
4.6%
113
95.4%
OT1 - 2:04MEMWright 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 15 AST)108
7.6%
113
92.4%
OT1 - 2:15MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)108
9.7%
111
90.3%
OT1 - 2:17MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot108
11.7%
111
88.3%
OT1 - 2:38MEMGasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)108
17.8%
111
82.2%
OT1 - 2:59MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)108
22.8%
109
77.2%
OT1 - 3:01MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
26.1%
109
73.9%
OT1 - 3:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)108
35.1%
109
64.9%
OT1 - 3:14MEMMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot108
30.9%
109
69.1%
OT1 - 3:39MIAButler Layup (23 PTS)108
25.5%
109
74.5%
OT1 - 3:57MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)106
19.2%
109
80.8%
OT1 - 4:16MIABest 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (House 2 AST)106
33.0%
106
67.0%
OT1 - 4:34MEMWilliams 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)104
25.6%
106
74.4%
OT1 - 4:41MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)104
33.0%
104
67.0%
OT1 - 4:43MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot104
35.7%
104
64.3%
OT1 - 4:50MEMWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)104
42.5%
104
57.5%
OT1 - 5:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Grant: Tip to Wright104
32.9%
104
67.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)104
35.6%
104
64.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)101
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
6.4%
104
93.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)101
7.6%
103
92.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAButler Slam Dunk (18 PTS)101
13.6%
102
86.4%
Q4 - 0:16.0MEMWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)99
6.6%
102
93.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)99
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MEMWilliams Foul Turnover (P4.T17)99
8.7%
102
91.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)99
6.0%
102
94.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Butler Layup99
7.5%
102
92.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)99
12.6%
102
87.4%
Q4 - 1:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)99
7.9%
102
92.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 299
8.6%
102
91.4%
Q4 - 1:19MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)99
12.4%
102
87.6%
Q4 - 1:39MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
10.0%
102
90.0%
Q4 - 1:39MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
11.0%
101
89.0%
Q4 - 1:53MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
15.5%
100
84.5%
Q4 - 1:53MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
14.8%
100
85.2%
Q4 - 2:06MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
11.6%
100
88.4%
Q4 - 2:06MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)96
12.5%
99
87.5%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
14.6%
98
85.4%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)95
13.9%
98
86.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
11.8%
98
88.2%
Q4 - 2:27MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot94
9.8%
98
90.2%
Q4 - 2:48MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)94
6.2%
98
93.8%
Q4 - 3:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)94
12.9%
98
87.1%
Q4 - 3:04MEMMISS Williams Running Layup94
10.9%
98
89.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (House 1 AST)94
7.4%
98
92.6%
Q4 - 3:34MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
5.4%
98
94.6%
Q4 - 3:35MEMMISS Person 3PT Jump Shot91
4.8%
98
95.2%
Q4 - 3:46MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)91
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 4:07MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)91
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 6 AST)91
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 4:35MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P2.T14)89
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 4:59MIAGrant Layup (17 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)89
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 5:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)87
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 5:17MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot87
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 5:37MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 5:39MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)85
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 5:45MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot85
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 5:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 5:57MEMMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 6:14MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)85
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 6:36MEMWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Person 4 AST)82
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 7:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 7:19MEMMISS Swift Layup80
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 7:34MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot80
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 8:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:04MEMMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 280
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:04MEMMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 280
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAKnight STEAL (2 STL)80
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 8:16MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:16MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMarks Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)80
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAHeat Rebound78
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot78
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 9:00MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)78
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 9:00MEMSwift Driving Dunk (9 PTS)78
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 9:12MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)78
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 9:36MEMBatiste 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)75
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 10:08MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 1 AST)75
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 10:24MEMMISS Swift 14' Jump Shot73
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 10:39MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot73
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 10:54MEMKnight Layup (4 PTS)73
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMarks Tip Shot (2 PTS)73
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 11:27MIASwift BLOCK (1 BLK)71
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 11:45MEMBatiste Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)71
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM71
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot71
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot71
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MEMSwift Dunk (7 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)71
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 1:14MEMWatson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)69
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 1:30MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)67
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 1:31MIABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)67
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 1:49MEMBatiste 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)67
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMarks Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)67
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 2:11MEMMISS Swift Driving Layup67
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAGrant Layup (13 PTS)67
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 2:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)65
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 3:00MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)65
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 3:00MEMGasol Layup (20 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)65
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 3:03MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot65
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 3:20MEMWilliams 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)65
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWatson STEAL (3 STL)65
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 3:48MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q3 - 4:06MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound65
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 4:08MEMMISS Gasol 11' Running Jump Shot65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIABest Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 4:39MEMWright Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)63
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 4:56MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 263
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 263
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 5:03MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)63
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 5:26MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 5:38MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)61
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 5:57MIAButler Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 6:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 6:03MEMMISS Gasol 10' Hook Shot59
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 6:26MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 6:26MIAAllen Layup (8 PTS)58
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 6:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Grant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot56
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 6:49MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 14 AST)56
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 6:56MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot56
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 7:11MEMBattier 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 13 AST)56
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 7:25MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Allen Driving Layup56
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot56
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 7:56MEMBattier 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)56
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 8:10MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot56
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 8:25MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 8:28MEMMISS Wright Layup56
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 8:36MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot56
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 8:54MEMPerson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)56
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 9:00MIABattier STEAL (4 STL)56
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 9:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup56
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 9:14MEMMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 9:38MIAAllen Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 9:55MEMBattier Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)54
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 10:03MIAGrant Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Best 5 AST)54
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 10:16MEMGasol 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)52
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 10:35MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot52
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 10:59MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)52
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 11:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot52
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 11:24MEMGasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)52
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS)51
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM49
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound49
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Marks 22' Jump Shot49
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Fadeaway Jumper49
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0MEMGasol Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)49
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIABest 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 1:18MEMBattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)47
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q2 - 1:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Stepania Layup47
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAHeat Rebound47
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Stepania Layup47
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q2 - 2:06MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)47
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIABest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q2 - 2:40MEMBattier 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)45
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q2 - 3:06MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 3:06MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot43
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q2 - 3:23MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 3:44MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)43
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 3:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 3:57MEMMISS Battier Layup40
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 4:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 4:07MEMMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot40
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 4:16MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot40
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 4:35MIAHeat Rebound40
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q2 - 4:36MEMMISS Wright Layup40
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 4:44MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot40
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q2 - 5:06MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 5:06MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q2 - 5:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 5:07MEMMISS Wright 9' Hook Shot40
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T11)40
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 5:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Grant Alley Oop Layup40
11.9%
50
88.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 5:33MEMMISS Batiste 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 5:52MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 6:08MEMMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot37
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 6:13MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot37
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 6:29MEMWatson Slam Dunk (7 PTS)37
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWatson STEAL (2 STL)37
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q2 - 6:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 6:41MEMMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q2 - 6:52MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot37
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q2 - 7:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 7:24MEMMISS Person 18' Jump Shot37
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)37
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q2 - 7:59MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 7:59MEMSwift Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Person 3 AST)37
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 8:18MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot37
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 8:39MEMSwift 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)37
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 8:55MIASwift STEAL (1 STL)37
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 9:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
19.5%
43
80.5%
Q2 - 9:17MEMMISS Swift Alley Oop Layup37
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 9:43MIAEllis 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)37
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 10:09MEMBatiste Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)35
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 10:15MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot35
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 10:33MEMWatson 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)35
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 10:39MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21.0%
39
79.0%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Butler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot35
21.6%
39
78.4%
Q2 - 10:56MEMBatiste Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)35
22.9%
39
77.1%
Q2 - 11:09MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)35
21.0%
39
79.0%
Q2 - 11:24MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 11:24MEMBatiste Layup (5 PTS)33
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 11:26MEMMISS Batiste Layup33
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 11:41MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Best 11' Running Jump Shot31
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMKnight Foul Turnover (P1.T3)31
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 3 AST)31
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0MEMMISS Watson 11' Running Jump Shot28
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T7)28
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q1 - 1:03MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot28
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q1 - 1:26MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)28
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q1 - 1:29MEMWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q1 - 1:34MIABattier STEAL (3 STL)26
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q1 - 1:50MEMKnight Layup (2 PTS)26
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q1 - 1:54MIABattier STEAL (2 STL)26
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q1 - 2:03MEMBatiste Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q1 - 2:03MEMBatiste Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)26
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q1 - 2:04MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound26
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q1 - 2:04MEMMISS Battier Layup26
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q1 - 2:09MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)26
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q1 - 2:17MIABatiste BLOCK (1 BLK)26
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q1 - 2:37MEMWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)26
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q1 - 3:01MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 3:17MEMPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)26
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 3:35MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27.8%
26
72.2%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot26
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q1 - 3:50MEMBattier 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)26
29.8%
26
70.2%
Q1 - 4:07MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 2 AST)26
31.1%
24
68.9%
Q1 - 4:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 4:17MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 223
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 4:17MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 223
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 4:32MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 4:44MEMMISS Battier 16' Jump Shot23
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 5:04MIABest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)23
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 5:12MEMMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot21
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 5:25MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot21
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 5:40MEMWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 5:44MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Allen 11' Turnaround Jump Shot21
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 6:05MEMWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)21
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 6:21MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)20
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 6:34MEMWright Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)18
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)18
28.7%
17
71.3%
Q1 - 7:03MEMBattier 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)16
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 7:17MIAAllen Dunk (4 PTS)16
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 7:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Butler Layup14
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 7:28MEMMISS Person 9' Jump Shot14
26.5%
15
73.5%
Q1 - 7:30MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 7:32MEMMISS Person Layup14
26.5%
15
73.5%
Q1 - 7:35MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)14
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 7:48MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot14
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)14
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 8:20MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)12
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 8:20MEMGasol Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Person 2 AST)12
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 8:38MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)12
26.8%
12
73.2%
Q1 - 8:57MEMPerson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)10
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 9:00MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 9:02MEMMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot10
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)10
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 9:17MEMWright Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 9:30MIABest 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)10
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 9:48MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)8
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 10:01MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)8
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.7%
7
73.3%
Q1 - 10:11MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot6
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 10:32MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 10:46MEMWright 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
23.9%
7
76.1%
Q1 - 11:09MIAAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 11:21MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 11:21MEMGasol Layup (2 PTS) (Person 1 AST)2
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 11:33MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:48MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Grant: Tip to Battier0
26.6%
0
73.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.7%
MEM
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
30
67%
MEM
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
17
50
34%
MEM
19
39
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
15
60%
90%
MEM
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
15
19
79%
MEM
29
34
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2471%12.0 / 17
C. Butler2460%12.0 / 20
B. Grant1953%9.5 / 18
T. Best1856%9.0 / 16
M. Allen1142%5.5 / 13
R. Butler563%2.5 / 4
S. Marks450%2.0 / 4
L. Ellis4100%2.0 / 2
M. James375%1.5 / 2
E. House217%1.0 / 6
V. Stepania225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2557%12.5 / 22
W. Person1973%9.5 / 13
J. Williams1860%9.0 / 15
S. Battier1673%8.0 / 11
L. Wright1454%7.0 / 13
S. Swift1255%6.0 / 11
M. Batiste1169%5.5 / 8
E. Watson788%3.5 / 4
B. Knight440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
93
+15
-16
108
MEM
94
+11
-19
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.7%
MEM
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.3
MIA 106.4
MEM 111.5 +5.1
Pace
90.0
95.0
MIA 97.6
MEM 103.6 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.0
MIA 14.8
MEM 13.9 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
48.7%
MIA 53.2%
MEM 59.1% +5.9%
TO %
14.8%
15.4%
MIA 13.4% +3.0%
MEM 16.4%
ORB %
26.8%
27.0%
MIA 26.5% +8.9%
MEM 17.6%
FTrt
25.9
28.7
MIA 20.0
MEM 41.5 +21.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.1%
MIA 58.7%
MEM 75.0% +16.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 9.2%
MEM 9.7% +0.5%
BLK %
6.4%
8.6%
MIA 10.8% +4.5%
MEM 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.1%
MIA 53.7%
MEM 60.0% +6.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
58.7%
MIA 66.7% +5.2%
MEM 61.5%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.7%
MIA 34.0%
MEM 48.7% +14.7%
3P %
31.6%
36.5%
MIA 60.0% +7.1%
MEM 52.9%
FT %
76.5%
73.9%
MIA 78.9%
MEM 85.3% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
32.4%
MIA 31.6%
MEM 31.7% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
48.6%
MIA 52.6%
MEM 47.6% +5.1%
3P Att. %
16.9%
19.0%
MIA 15.8%
MEM 20.7% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions109113
Possession Minutes26.826.2
Points116126
Rebounds4142
Assists2733
Steals1011
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals46-9544-82
At-the-Rim FG20-3016-26
Midrange FG17-5019-39
2-Point FG37-8035-65
3-Point FG9-159-17
Free Throws15-1929-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
48.3
24
71%
6
7
3
4
1
3
0
6
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
5-7
71%
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
42.0
18
56%
1
6
2
0
3
0
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
37.4
19
53%
13
4
0
0
1
6
8
5
5-5
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
34.7
24
60%
7
4
2
0
4
5
0
7
3-4
75%
9-16
56%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
26.1
11
42%
5
2
0
2
2
6
2
3
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
24.5
2
17%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 28
13.9
4
50%
2
0
2
0
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
11.0
3
75%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
11.0
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
10.1
2
25%
3
0
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
6.1
4
100%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
#25 · G · 6'1" 190 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
116
54%
41
27
10
7
16
0
13
28
15-19
79%
37-80
46%
9-15
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.