FinalWin Prob.pScore
2012%97
87
188%112
114
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
88.898104.1
DAL logo DAL
116.39892.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL87
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MEMTrybanski Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)87
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMISS Eschmeyer 20' Jump Shot87
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MEMWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)87
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)86
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALJohnson Running Layup (3 PTS)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MEMMISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:12DALGriffin 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:33MEMEschmeyer STEAL (2 STL)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DALBradley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MEMGasol Slam Dunk (25 PTS)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54DALGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MEMMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19DALNajera 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MEMMISS Person 19' Jump Shot81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51DALWilliams 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MEMPerson 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27DALGriffin Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MEMBradley STEAL (1 STL)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42DALMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56DALNajera REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 279
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14DALGriffin 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35DALNajera REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37DALMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MEMMISS Person 19' Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15MEMMISS Swift 15' Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:31DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 278
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:31DALJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53MEMSwift 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)78
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09DALGriffin Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)76
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:25MEMGasol Layup (22 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:39DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:50DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:52MEMMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot74
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 8:10MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 8:11DALMISS LaFrentz Layup74
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 8:28DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 8:30MEMMISS Person 19' Jump Shot74
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 8:52DALWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)74
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 8:57DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 9:01MEMMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:09DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)74
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 9:26MEMGasol 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)74
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 9:39DALLaFrentz 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)72
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 9:56MEMBatiste Layup (10 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)72
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 10:12DALVan Exel 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 10:29MEMKnight Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)70
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 10:42MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 10:44DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot68
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 10:58DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 11:01MEMMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot68
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 11:22DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 11:22DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 11:42MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 11:42MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL66
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMISS Van Exel 11' Jump Shot66
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MEMBatiste Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T16)66
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALGriffin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)66
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALVan Exel 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 1:09MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 1:09MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 1:09MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:11DALMISS Finley Layup64
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:18DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 1:20MEMMISS Batiste 21' Jump Shot64
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 1:35MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:37DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:44DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 1:46MEMMISS Knight 18' Jump Shot64
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 2:05DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)64
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 2:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:15MEMMISS Swift 17' Jump Shot64
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 2:37DALGriffin Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)64
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 2:42MEMBatiste Inbound Turnover (P3.T15)64
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 2:46DALLaFrentz Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)64
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 2:57DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 2:58MEMMISS Swift Layup64
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 3:06DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)64
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 3:27MEMBatiste 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 3:38DALVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)62
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 3:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 3:46MEMMISS Person 17' Jump Shot62
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 3:58DALNajera Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)62
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 4:18MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 4:18MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 261
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 4:22MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 4:23DALNajera REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 4:23DALMISS Najera Layup61
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 4:25DALMISS Nash 5' Running Jump Shot61
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 4:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 4:38MEMMISS Williams Layup61
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 5:01DALNash Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)61
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 5:11DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 5:14MEMMISS Batiste 20' Jump Shot61
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 5:29DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)61
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 5:44MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 5:44MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 6:10DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)59
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 6:13MEMNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)59
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 6:15MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 6:19DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 6:23DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)59
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 6:25DALMISS Nash Layup59
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 6:31DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 6:33MEMMISS Swift 16' Jump Shot59
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 6:55DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)59
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 7:00DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q3 - 7:02MEMMISS Person 20' Jump Shot59
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q3 - 7:13DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)59
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 7:13DALNajera Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)59
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q3 - 7:25MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)59
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 7:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
21.4%
57
78.6%
Q3 - 7:36DALMISS Finley Layup59
20.5%
57
79.5%
Q3 - 7:45DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 7:47MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot59
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)59
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 8:26DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 8:28DALMISS Nowitzki Layup59
25.4%
55
74.6%
Q3 - 8:33MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)59
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 8:33MEMGrizzlies Rebound59
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q3 - 8:34MEMMISS Battier 11' Jump Shot59
24.2%
55
75.8%
Q3 - 9:01DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)59
24.8%
55
75.2%
Q3 - 9:12DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 9:14DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 9:14DALMISS Najera Layup59
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 9:16DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot59
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 9:20DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 9:23DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 9:33MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Person 1 AST)59
30.7%
52
69.3%
Q3 - 9:40MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q3 - 9:42DALMISS LaFrentz 12' Jump Shot57
26.9%
52
73.1%
Q3 - 10:02MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
23.4%
52
76.6%
Q3 - 10:02MEMWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q3 - 10:06MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 10:09DALMISS Bell 4' Jump Shot55
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q3 - 10:16MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 10:16MEMSwift Slam Dunk (11 PTS)55
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 10:18MEMMISS Person 8' Jump Shot53
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q3 - 10:22MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q3 - 10:24DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot53
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q3 - 10:45MEMBattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)53
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 10:45MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)52
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q3 - 10:45MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 351
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q3 - 10:54DALFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)51
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q3 - 10:56DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 10:59MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 11:04MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 11:06DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot51
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q3 - 11:29MEMPerson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)51
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q3 - 11:41MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q3 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot49
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM49
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Batiste Layup49
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Batiste Layup49
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALMISS Nash 6' Jump Shot49
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)47
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MEMNash STEAL (2 STL)47
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 1:00MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 1:02DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot47
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q2 - 1:16MEMBatiste Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
9.2%
50
90.8%
Q2 - 1:16MEMBatiste Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 1:27MEMGrizzlies Rebound45
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:27DALMISS Nash Layup45
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 1:31MEMFinley STEAL (1 STL)45
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 1:37DALWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:48MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)45
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 1:48MEMGrizzlies Rebound45
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:48MEMMISS Batiste 13' Jump Shot45
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 2:11MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot45
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 2:23MEMGriffin STEAL (1 STL)45
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q2 - 2:42DALWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)45
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:49DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 2:51MEMMISS Batiste 12' Jump Shot45
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 3:09DALGriffin Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)45
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 3:13MEMNash STEAL (1 STL)45
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 3:14MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 3:18DALMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 3:41MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 3:41MEMWilliams Layup (4 PTS)45
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 3:45MEMGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)43
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 3:52MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot43
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 4:09MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)43
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 4:47MEMGasol 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)43
10.8%
44
89.2%
Q2 - 4:58MEMGrizzlies Rebound41
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 5:00DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot41
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 5:07DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
8.6%
44
91.4%
Q2 - 5:09MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 5:17DALNowitzki Layup (11 PTS)41
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 5:38MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 5:38MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 240
10.3%
42
89.7%
Q2 - 5:38DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)40
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 5:57MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 140
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 5:57MEMGasol Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)40
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 6:12DALBradley 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)38
8.7%
42
91.3%
Q2 - 6:25MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 6:27MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 6:29MEMMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 6:54DALNajera 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)36
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 7:12DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:14DALMISS Finley Layup36
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 7:15DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:16DALMISS Finley Layup36
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 7:23MEMWilliams STEAL (1 STL)36
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:28DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)36
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 7:44MEMPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)36
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:57DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 7:57DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
8.0%
37
92.0%
Q2 - 8:14MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 8:14MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 8:19MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 8:21DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 231
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 8:21DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 8:28DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 8:29MEMMISS Trybanski Free Throw 2 of 231
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 8:29MEMMISS Trybanski Free Throw 1 of 231
8.3%
35
91.7%
Q2 - 8:47DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
8.7%
35
91.3%
Q2 - 8:47DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 8:58DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 9:01MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot31
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 9:24MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 9:26DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 9:34DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 9:37MEMMISS Watson 9' Jump Shot31
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 9:43MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 9:45DALMISS Finley Layup31
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 9:59DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 10:00MEMMISS Swift Layup31
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 10:10MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 10:12DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 10:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 10:17DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Jump Shot31
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 10:31DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 10:34DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 10:39DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)31
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 10:58MEMWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q2 - 11:18DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q2 - 11:25DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 11:27MEMMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot28
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 11:43MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 11:45DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Hook Shot28
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM28
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALVan Exel 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0MEMNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)28
9.3%
30
90.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MEMMISS Batiste 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0MEMMISS Battier Layup28
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q1 - 1:00MEMMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot28
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 1:05MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q1 - 1:07DALMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q1 - 1:20MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 1:20MEMGasol Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)27
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q1 - 1:38DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)25
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 1:46MEMBatiste 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)25
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 2:13DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 2:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound23
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 2:27DALMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot23
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 2:58MEMEschmeyer STEAL (1 STL)23
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 3:18DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 3:22MEMBatiste Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 3:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 3:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 3:43MEMBatiste Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)23
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 3:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 4:08MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 4:08MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 4:22DALNash Reverse Layup (5 PTS)19
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:40MEMPerson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)19
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 4:52DALBradley 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)19
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 5:13MEMBattier 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)19
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 5:34MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
11.8%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 5:36DALMISS Bradley 15' Jump Shot17
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 5:57DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 5:57MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 217
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 5:57MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 6:12DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 116
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 6:12DALBradley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)16
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 6:25MEMGasol Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 6:31MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 6:33DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 6:38DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.9%
14
90.1%
Q1 - 6:41MEMMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 7:16DALBell 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 7:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
11.1%
12
88.9%
Q1 - 7:28MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot14
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 7:45DALBell Driving Layup (5 PTS)14
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 7:57MEMSwift 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)14
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 8:02MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 8:03DALMISS Williams Layup12
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 8:21MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 8:21MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
10.7%
10
89.3%
Q1 - 8:41DALBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)10
10.2%
10
89.8%
Q1 - 8:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.6%
7
88.4%
Q1 - 8:51MEMMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 8:56MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 8:59DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot10
12.2%
7
87.8%
Q1 - 9:05DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 9:06MEMMISS Battier Layup10
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 9:23DALWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)10
12.4%
7
87.6%
Q1 - 9:37MEMWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
13.1%
5
86.9%
Q1 - 9:41MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 9:43DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot8
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 10:02MEMPerson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
11.4%
5
88.6%
Q1 - 10:21MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:24MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.2%
5
89.8%
Q1 - 10:27MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:31DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot6
10.5%
5
89.5%
Q1 - 10:47MEMBattier 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 11:03DALFinley Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
9.3%
5
90.7%
Q1 - 11:10MEMBattier 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.0%
3
90.0%
Q1 - 11:31DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)2
9.3%
3
90.7%
Q1 - 11:41MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
10.6%
0
89.4%
Q1 - 11:41MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
10.5%
0
89.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Gasol: Tip to Williams0
9.9%
0
90.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.93 46.3%
DAL
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
10
17
59%
DAL
17
32
53%
Midrange
MEM
15
39
38%
DAL
20
41
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
DAL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
MEM
31
39
79%
DAL
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2574%12.5 / 17
S. Swift1657%8.0 / 14
S. Battier1255%6.0 / 11
W. Person1142%5.5 / 13
M. Batiste1042%5.0 / 12
J. Williams627%3.0 / 11
E. Watson542%2.5 / 6
B. Knight220%1.0 / 5
C. Trybanski0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2858%14.0 / 24
A. Griffin17106%8.5 / 8
M. Finley1137%5.5 / 15
E. Najera1063%5.0 / 8
W. Williams956%4.5 / 8
R. LaFrentz867%4.0 / 6
S. Bradley880%4.0 / 5
S. Nash732%3.5 / 11
R. Bell770%3.5 / 5
N. Van Exel650%3.0 / 6
A. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
E. Eschmeyer0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
81
+11
-17
92
DAL
88
+14
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.93 46.3%
DAL
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
108.0
MEM 88.8 +27.6
DAL 116.3
Pace
95.0
94.9
MEM 104.1 +11.6
DAL 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.3
MEM 13.8 +1.7
DAL 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
49.8%
MEM 40.0%
DAL 53.8% +13.8%
TO %
15.4%
11.6%
MEM 17.9%
DAL 9.1% +8.8%
ORB %
27.0%
25.5%
MEM 20.0%
DAL 28.3% +8.3%
FTrt
28.7
25.7
MEM 55.7 +34.8
DAL 20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
58.1%
MEM 70.4% +1.5%
DAL 68.9%
STL %
8.3%
8.5%
MEM 7.1%
DAL 10.2% +3.1%
BLK %
8.6%
8.5%
MEM 8.2% +4.6%
DAL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
52.1%
MEM 46.3%
DAL 55.3% +9.0%
Rim FG%
58.7%
58.2%
MEM 58.8% +5.7%
DAL 53.1%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.7%
MEM 38.5%
DAL 48.8% +10.3%
3P %
36.5%
38.1%
MEM 14.3%
DAL 44.4% +30.1%
FT %
73.9%
82.9%
MEM 79.5%
DAL 84.2% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
29.6%
MEM 24.3%
DAL 35.2% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
46.5%
MEM 55.7%
DAL 45.1% +10.7%
3P Att. %
19.0%
23.9%
MEM 20.0% +0.2%
DAL 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsMEMDAL
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points87114
Rebounds4249
Assists1931
Steals710
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)36 (0)
Field Goals27-7045-91
At-the-Rim FG10-1717-32
Midrange FG15-3920-41
2-Point FG25-5637-73
3-Point FG2-148-18
Free Throws31-3916-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
39.5
12
55%
5
2
1
1
2
2
1
4
6-7
86%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
38.4
11
42%
8
1
0
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 250 · 23
37.0
25
74%
8
2
1
0
3
2
1
7
9-12
75%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 27
31.6
6
27%
5
8
0
1
4
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-6
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 23
31.0
16
57%
9
0
1
3
1
3
3
6
10-12
83%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 225 · 25
22.2
10
42%
5
0
3
1
4
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 199 · 24
18.1
5
42%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 5'10" 166 · 27
16.4
2
20%
1
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 240 · 23
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23
G · 6'5" 190 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
42
19
7
6
17
0
9
33
31-39
79%
25-56
45%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.