FinalWin Prob.pScore
546%92
97
1554%93
88
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
106.69196.7
HOU logo HOU
96.79185.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 297
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Rice 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 295
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)95
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
98.5%
88
1.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 295
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0HOURice 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)94
98.5%
88
1.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 294
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)94
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 1:02SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 1:04HOUMISS Francis Layup93
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 1:07HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 1:09HOUMISS Rice 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 1:15HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot93
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 1:33HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)93
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 1:33HOUFrancis Driving Layup (20 PTS)93
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 1:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 1:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 1:46HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)91
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 1:57HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 1:59SASTaylor BLOCK (2 BLK)91
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 2:25HOUYao 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)91
98.9%
82
1.1%
Q4 - 2:39SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS)91
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 3:00HOUFrancis Layup (18 PTS)89
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 3:20HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 3:22SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot89
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 3:36HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot89
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 3:47HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
97.7%
78
2.3%
Q4 - 3:48SASMISS Parker 6' Turnaround Jump Shot89
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 4:06HOURice 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)89
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 4:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:18SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 4:21HOURice Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)87
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 4:31HOUROCKETS Rebound87
98.5%
75
1.5%
Q4 - 4:32SASHawkins BLOCK (1 BLK)87
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 4:52HOURice Layup (13 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)87
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 5:06HOUROCKETS Rebound87
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 5:08SASTaylor BLOCK (1 BLK)87
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 5:22SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)87
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 5:24SASMISS Parker 17' Running Jump Shot87
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 5:43HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)87
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 6:04SASRose 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)87
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 6:19HOUTaylor Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)85
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 6:35SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)85
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 6:49HOUTaylor Foul Turnover (P3.T13)82
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 7:02SASRose Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)82
95.3%
70
4.7%
Q4 - 7:24HOUFrancis Driving Layup (16 PTS)80
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 7:29SASHawkins STEAL (1 STL)80
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 7:41HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)80
96.6%
68
3.4%
Q4 - 7:49SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 7:49SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
95.2%
68
4.8%
Q4 - 7:54SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)78
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q4 - 7:55SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot78
93.0%
68
7.0%
Q4 - 8:15HOUTaylor 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)78
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q4 - 8:27HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 8:29SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
94.7%
66
5.3%
Q4 - 8:44HOUTaylor Foul Turnover (P2.T11)78
95.6%
66
4.4%
Q4 - 8:53HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 8:55SASMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot78
94.7%
66
5.3%
Q4 - 9:16HOURice Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)78
94.6%
66
5.4%
Q4 - 9:16SASSpurs Rebound78
95.7%
65
4.3%
Q4 - 9:16HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot78
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 9:30HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot78
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q4 - 9:50HOUTaylor 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hawkins 1 AST)78
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q4 - 10:06SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T10)78
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q4 - 10:21HOUFrancis Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q4 - 10:43SASRose Dunk (10 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)78
97.3%
61
2.7%
Q4 - 10:56HOUCato Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)76
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q4 - 10:58HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q4 - 11:00SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot76
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q4 - 11:20HOUTaylor 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)76
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q4 - 11:38SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
96.8%
59
3.2%
Q4 - 11:38SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
96.7%
59
3.3%
Q4 - 11:50SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
96.2%
59
3.8%
Q4 - 11:52HOUMISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU74
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound74
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 36' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASRose 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)74
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUMobley 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
94.5%
57
5.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
94.2%
57
5.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASSpurs Rebound70
93.3%
57
6.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot70
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOUROCKETS Rebound70
91.9%
57
8.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup70
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 1:16SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
90.8%
57
9.2%
Q3 - 1:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
89.1%
57
10.9%
Q3 - 1:38HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 268
88.9%
57
11.1%
Q3 - 1:38HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
87.7%
57
12.3%
Q3 - 1:59SASRose Layup (4 PTS)68
89.1%
56
10.9%
Q3 - 2:00SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Rose Layup66
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 2:07HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)66
85.7%
56
14.3%
Q3 - 2:26HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 2:28SASGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)66
83.9%
56
16.1%
Q3 - 2:52HOUYao Slam Dunk (12 PTS)66
85.8%
56
14.2%
Q3 - 3:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 3:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
86.5%
54
13.5%
Q3 - 3:24HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
84.9%
54
15.1%
Q3 - 3:24HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 264
85.5%
53
14.5%
Q3 - 3:25HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
84.7%
53
15.3%
Q3 - 3:27HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot64
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 3:47HOUROCKETS Rebound64
84.8%
53
15.2%
Q3 - 3:48SASMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)64
85.5%
53
14.5%
Q3 - 3:53HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
87.1%
53
12.9%
Q3 - 3:53HOUGriffin Tip Shot (10 PTS)64
87.1%
53
12.9%
Q3 - 3:55HOUMISS Francis Layup64
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q3 - 4:03HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
87.7%
51
12.3%
Q3 - 4:04HOUMISS Griffin 13' Jump Shot64
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 4:27HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
87.8%
51
12.2%
Q3 - 4:29SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot64
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 4:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
89.8%
51
10.2%
Q3 - 4:51HOUMISS Mobley 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 5:00SASGriffin STEAL (2 STL)64
87.9%
51
12.1%
Q3 - 5:06HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
88.9%
51
11.1%
Q3 - 5:06HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 5:10SASFrancis STEAL (2 STL)64
90.3%
49
9.7%
Q3 - 5:23HOUYao 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)64
91.8%
49
8.2%
Q3 - 5:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
92.9%
47
7.1%
Q3 - 5:36HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
93.7%
47
6.3%
Q3 - 5:41HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
92.9%
47
7.1%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
93.3%
47
6.7%
Q3 - 6:02HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
93.2%
47
6.8%
Q3 - 6:02HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
93.4%
46
6.6%
Q3 - 6:20HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
94.1%
45
5.9%
Q3 - 6:20SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 264
94.3%
45
5.7%
Q3 - 6:20SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
94.8%
45
5.2%
Q3 - 6:36HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)63
94.2%
45
5.8%
Q3 - 6:39HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
93.2%
45
6.8%
Q3 - 6:41SASMISS Jackson Tip Shot63
93.5%
45
6.5%
Q3 - 6:41SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
94.2%
45
5.8%
Q3 - 6:42SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
94.2%
45
5.8%
Q3 - 6:42SASMISS Parker Layup63
93.5%
45
6.5%
Q3 - 6:44SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot63
93.5%
45
6.5%
Q3 - 7:00HOUPosey 5' Finger Roll (2 PTS)63
94.2%
45
5.8%
Q3 - 7:23SASRobinson Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)63
94.3%
43
5.7%
Q3 - 7:42HOUGriffin Layup (8 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)61
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 8:03HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
94.0%
41
6.0%
Q3 - 8:05SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot61
94.3%
41
5.7%
Q3 - 8:25HOUFrancis Layup (10 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)61
94.9%
41
5.1%
Q3 - 8:45SASRobinson 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)61
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q3 - 8:57HOUROCKETS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#7)59
94.9%
39
5.1%
Q3 - 9:08SASParker Layup (14 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)59
93.4%
39
6.6%
Q3 - 9:13HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)57
92.5%
39
7.5%
Q3 - 9:21HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
91.4%
39
8.6%
Q3 - 9:22SASMISS Parker Layup57
91.7%
39
8.3%
Q3 - 9:27SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
92.5%
39
7.5%
Q3 - 9:28HOUMISS Mobley Layup57
92.2%
39
7.8%
Q3 - 10:06SASRobinson Dunk (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)57
90.7%
39
9.3%
Q3 - 10:27SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
89.6%
39
10.4%
Q3 - 10:29HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot55
89.1%
39
10.9%
Q3 - 10:47SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
88.0%
39
12.0%
Q3 - 10:47SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q3 - 10:49SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
86.6%
39
13.4%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot53
85.3%
39
14.7%
Q3 - 10:54SASSpurs Rebound53
86.6%
39
13.4%
Q3 - 10:55SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)53
85.3%
39
14.7%
Q3 - 11:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
85.9%
39
14.1%
Q3 - 11:19HOUMISS Posey Reverse Layup53
85.3%
39
14.7%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)53
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS51
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
80.8%
39
19.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
81.2%
38
18.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
83.4%
37
16.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot51
83.8%
37
16.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
84.7%
37
15.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot51
83.8%
37
16.2%
Q2 - 1:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
84.7%
37
15.3%
Q2 - 1:03HOUMISS Taylor 13' Jump Shot51
83.5%
37
16.5%
Q2 - 1:25SASJackson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)51
82.9%
37
17.1%
Q2 - 1:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
83.8%
37
16.2%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Rice 3PT Jump Shot51
83.5%
37
16.5%
Q2 - 2:00SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)51
82.9%
37
17.1%
Q2 - 2:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
79.5%
37
20.5%
Q2 - 2:22HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot49
79.0%
37
21.0%
Q2 - 2:36SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)49
77.6%
37
22.4%
Q2 - 2:36SASRobinson Layup (4 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)48
75.4%
37
24.6%
Q2 - 2:50HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)46
72.8%
37
27.2%
Q2 - 2:59HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
77.7%
34
22.3%
Q2 - 3:00SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
78.3%
34
21.7%
Q2 - 3:22HOUTaylor 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 3:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
80.3%
32
19.7%
Q2 - 3:39SASMISS Robinson Tip Shot46
81.0%
32
19.0%
Q2 - 3:39SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
82.4%
32
17.6%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Robinson Tip Shot46
81.0%
32
19.0%
Q2 - 3:41SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
82.4%
32
17.6%
Q2 - 3:42SASMISS Jackson Layup46
81.0%
32
19.0%
Q2 - 4:10HOUYao Layup (6 PTS)46
81.2%
32
18.8%
Q2 - 4:36SASParker Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)46
83.0%
30
17.0%
Q2 - 4:40HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
81.3%
30
18.7%
Q2 - 4:55SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
79.5%
30
20.5%
Q2 - 5:05HOURice 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
80.8%
30
19.2%
Q2 - 5:19SASFrancis STEAL (1 STL)44
82.4%
28
17.6%
Q2 - 5:20SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
84.1%
28
15.9%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Kerr 19' Jump Shot44
82.9%
28
17.1%
Q2 - 5:36HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
84.1%
28
15.9%
Q2 - 5:36HOUFrancis Tip Shot (6 PTS)44
84.1%
28
15.9%
Q2 - 5:37HOUMISS Taylor 9' Jump Shot44
86.4%
26
13.6%
Q2 - 5:58HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 5:59SASMISS Willis Free Throw 2 of 244
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 5:59SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
86.4%
26
13.6%
Q2 - 6:10HOURice Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
84.9%
26
15.1%
Q2 - 6:10HOURice Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 6:18HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
86.0%
24
14.0%
Q2 - 6:20HOUMISS Francis 7' Finger Roll43
87.1%
24
12.9%
Q2 - 6:42SASGinobili Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)43
86.1%
24
13.9%
Q2 - 6:56HOUCato Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
85.0%
24
15.0%
Q2 - 7:02HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
82.2%
24
17.8%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot41
82.7%
24
17.3%
Q2 - 7:19SASSpurs Rebound41
83.8%
24
16.2%
Q2 - 7:20HOUMISS Taylor 17' Jump Shot41
83.4%
24
16.6%
Q2 - 7:37SASRose 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)41
82.3%
24
17.7%
Q2 - 7:54HOUTaylor 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
80.8%
24
19.2%
Q2 - 8:16SASGinobili Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)39
81.7%
22
18.3%
Q2 - 8:20SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
80.3%
22
19.7%
Q2 - 8:21HOUMISS Norris Driving Layup37
79.7%
22
20.3%
Q2 - 8:26HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
78.4%
22
21.6%
Q2 - 8:28SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot37
79.0%
22
21.0%
Q2 - 8:55HOUTaylor Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
80.3%
22
19.7%
Q2 - 9:01SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)37
77.6%
22
22.4%
Q2 - 9:22HOUTaylor 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
79.5%
22
20.5%
Q2 - 9:44SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q2 - 10:03SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
79.1%
20
20.9%
Q2 - 10:04HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot35
78.5%
20
21.5%
Q2 - 10:28SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)35
77.2%
20
22.8%
Q2 - 10:44HOUMobley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)32
73.7%
20
26.3%
Q2 - 11:06SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)32
74.7%
18
25.3%
Q2 - 11:07SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
76.5%
18
23.5%
Q2 - 11:08SASMISS Rose Layup32
75.2%
18
24.8%
Q2 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
76.5%
18
23.5%
Q2 - 11:23HOUMISS Cato 4' Jump Shot32
76.0%
18
24.0%
Q2 - 11:43SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)32
74.8%
18
25.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU30
72.9%
18
27.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
70.5%
18
29.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
68.0%
18
32.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Griffin 8' Jump Shot28
67.5%
18
32.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)28
66.4%
18
33.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
63.7%
18
36.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)26
62.0%
18
38.0%
Q1 - 1:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
63.7%
18
36.3%
Q1 - 1:27HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot26
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 1:36HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.9%
18
38.1%
Q1 - 1:37SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot26
62.5%
18
37.5%
Q1 - 1:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
63.7%
18
36.3%
Q1 - 1:55HOUMISS Rice 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 2:03HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.7%
18
38.3%
Q1 - 2:05SASMISS Parker Layup26
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q1 - 2:15SASSpurs Rebound26
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q1 - 2:16HOUMISS Griffin Layup26
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 2:17HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
61.8%
18
38.2%
Q1 - 2:19HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot26
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 2:31HOUROCKETS Rebound26
61.8%
18
38.2%
Q1 - 2:33SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
64.1%
17
35.9%
Q1 - 3:02SASParker 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
64.9%
16
35.1%
Q1 - 3:15HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)24
63.2%
16
36.8%
Q1 - 3:42SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS)24
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 4:04HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 4:04HOUGriffin Tip Shot (6 PTS)22
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 4:05HOUMISS Yao Layup22
62.0%
14
38.0%
Q1 - 4:18HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 4:20SASMISS Parker Layup22
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q1 - 4:38SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 4:39HOUMISS Yao 10' Fadeaway Jumper22
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 4:57SASParker 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)22
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 5:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
57.6%
14
42.4%
Q1 - 5:10HOUMISS Griffin 9' Turnaround Jump Shot20
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 5:27SASParker Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 5:31HOUGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 5:50SASParker Reverse Layup (4 PTS)18
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 6:05HOUFrancis Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 6:11HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 6:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS Griffin 11' Jump Shot16
52.3%
12
47.7%
Q1 - 6:44SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)16
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:00HOUGriffin 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
48.9%
12
51.1%
Q1 - 7:22SASJackson Driving Dunk (8 PTS)14
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 7:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 7:37HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot12
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 7:53SASRobinson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
46.5%
10
53.5%
Q1 - 8:10HOUFrancis 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 8:18SASGriffin STEAL (1 STL)10
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 8:39HOUMobley Driving Dunk (2 PTS)10
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 9:05SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)10
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 9:19HOUYao 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)7
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 9:35HOUROCKETS Rebound7
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 9:38SASMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot7
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 9:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 9:54HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 10:08SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 10:21HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)5
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 10:36SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)5
48.2%
2
51.8%
Q1 - 10:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 10:55HOUMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot2
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 11:20SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:37HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 11:37HOUGriffin Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 11:39HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot0
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Robinson: Tip to Francis0
42.8%
0
57.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
HOU
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
29
55%
HOU
18
27
67%
Midrange
SAS
16
36
44%
HOU
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
HOU
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
SAS
21
27
78%
HOU
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili20100%10.0 / 10
T. Duncan1753%8.5 / 16
T. Parker1640%8.0 / 20
M. Rose1667%8.0 / 12
D. Robinson1450%7.0 / 14
S. Jackson836%4.0 / 11
B. Bowen563%2.5 / 4
K. Willis150%0.5 / 1
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2158%10.5 / 18
G. Rice1973%9.5 / 13
Yao1454%7.0 / 13
E. Griffin1240%6.0 / 15
M. Taylor1267%6.0 / 9
C. Mobley831%4.0 / 13
J. Posey250%1.0 / 2
K. Cato0-0.0 / 1
M. Norris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+12
-11
92
HOU
77
+12
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
HOU
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
101.1
SAS 106.6
HOU 96.7 +9.9
Pace
92.6
91.6
SAS 96.7 +10.8
HOU 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.1
SAS 14.9 +1.9
HOU 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
47.4%
SAS 50.0% +1.9%
HOU 48.1%
TO %
16.5%
15.8%
SAS 11.1% +4.9%
HOU 16.0%
ORB %
28.8%
30.4%
SAS 28.2% +1.2%
HOU 27.0%
FTrt
34.8
31.6
SAS 35.5 +14.7
HOU 20.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
53.0%
SAS 66.7% +26.7%
HOU 40.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
SAS 9.9% +4.4%
HOU 5.5%
BLK %
9.3%
8.9%
SAS 6.6%
HOU 9.2% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
49.5%
SAS 52.7% +3.3%
HOU 49.4%
Rim FG%
59.3%
58.1%
SAS 55.2%
HOU 66.7% +11.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
37.5%
SAS 44.4% +6.2%
HOU 38.2%
3P %
35.4%
34.6%
SAS 36.4% +11.4%
HOU 25.0%
FT %
72.5%
76.8%
SAS 77.8%
HOU 87.5% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
34.0%
SAS 38.2% +3.1%
HOU 35.1%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
46.4%
SAS 47.4%
HOU 44.2% +3.2%
3P Att. %
20.2%
19.6%
SAS 14.5%
HOU 20.8% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9788
Rebounds3838
Assists2414
Steals95
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)28 (5)
Field Goals36-7635-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2918-27
Midrange FG16-3613-34
2-Point FG32-6531-61
3-Point FG4-114-16
Free Throws21-2714-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
39.1
17
53%
9
3
0
4
3
3
0
9
3-4
75%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
36.9
8
36%
3
7
3
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
36.0
16
40%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
7-17
41%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
31.3
5
63%
5
3
1
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 38
30.2
14
50%
10
1
1
0
0
2
6
4
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
27.8
20
100%
2
4
3
0
2
0
0
2
6-6
100%
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
22.6
16
67%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
12.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
4.1
1
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
38
24
9
4
11
0
11
27
21-27
78%
32-65
49%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.