FinalWin Prob.pScore
1844%88
83
2656%90
93
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
97.68588.3
MIA logo MIA
106.98783.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASGoldwire 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0WASGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0WASStackhouse Driving Layup (24 PTS)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0WASJames BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0WASGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAButler Tip Shot (20 PTS)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Butler Layup77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS James Layup77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:53WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24WASDixon Foul Turnover (P5.T11)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 5 AST)75
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 3:04WASGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)75
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 3:15WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot75
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 3:47WASRussell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST)75
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 3:55WASDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Best 6' Running Jump Shot72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 4:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)72
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:04WASMISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:21MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 5 AST)72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 4:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 4:30WASMISS Jordan 12' Jump Shot72
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 4:52WASWizards Rebound72
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 5:16WASMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 5:34MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 5:46WASJames STEAL (2 STL)72
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q4 - 6:27WASJordan Layup (21 PTS) (Laettner 4 AST)72
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 6:43MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)70
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 7:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 7:02WASMISS Laettner Layup70
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q4 - 7:20WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
12.2%
77
87.8%
Q4 - 7:22WASMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIAGrant Layup (13 PTS)70
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q4 - 8:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
16.7%
75
83.3%
Q4 - 8:04WASMISS Russell Free Throw 2 of 270
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q4 - 8:04WASRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q4 - 8:28MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)69
16.7%
75
83.3%
Q4 - 8:45WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q4 - 8:45WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
19.7%
73
80.3%
Q4 - 8:46WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q4 - 8:47WASMISS Jordan 8' Jump Shot67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q4 - 8:58WASWizards Rebound67
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q4 - 8:59WASMISS Oakley 19' Jump Shot67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q4 - 9:24MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q4 - 9:24MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q4 - 9:45WASRussell 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)67
21.5%
71
78.5%
Q4 - 10:07MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)65
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q4 - 10:25WASStackhouse 4' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
26.5%
68
73.5%
Q4 - 10:46MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)63
22.6%
68
77.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)63
27.2%
66
72.8%
Q4 - 11:06WASGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)63
28.6%
66
71.4%
Q4 - 11:35MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)63
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
36.5%
64
63.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound63
42.0%
64
58.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
38.2%
64
61.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)63
42.0%
64
58.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAButler Layup (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)63
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0WASJames STEAL (1 STL)63
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)63
57.4%
61
42.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0WASOakley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0WASOakley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q3 - 1:06WASGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 1:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
51.7%
59
48.3%
Q3 - 1:23WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot61
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 1:26WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Butler Layup61
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 1:51WASJordan Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
51.7%
59
48.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIAStepania 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
46.4%
59
53.6%
Q3 - 2:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)59
50.7%
57
49.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Butler 5' Running Jump Shot59
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q3 - 2:32WASOakley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
50.7%
57
49.3%
Q3 - 2:32WASOakley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 2:32WASOakley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 2:34WASMISS Jordan 17' Jump Shot57
43.0%
57
57.0%
Q3 - 2:56MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 3:11WASGoldwire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Oakley 1 AST)57
41.8%
57
58.2%
Q3 - 3:23WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
33.6%
57
66.4%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot54
32.3%
57
67.7%
Q3 - 3:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
29.5%
57
70.5%
Q3 - 3:43WASMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot54
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 4:05WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
33.9%
57
66.1%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot54
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 4:31WASGoldwire Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)54
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q3 - 4:31WASGoldwire Driving Layup (4 PTS)53
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 4:34MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)51
23.3%
57
76.7%
Q3 - 4:48WASJordan 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)51
20.0%
57
80.0%
Q3 - 5:08MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T7)49
18.4%
57
81.6%
Q3 - 5:23WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 5:23WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q3 - 5:32WASOakley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot47
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 5:48WASLaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 5:48WASLaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q3 - 5:49WASWizards Rebound45
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 5:50WASMISS Laettner Layup45
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q3 - 5:51WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 5:52WASMISS Laettner Layup45
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q3 - 5:56WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot45
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 6:07WASAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)45
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 6:25MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 6:33WASOakley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)45
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)45
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q3 - 7:07WASMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)45
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot45
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q3 - 7:48WASAllen STEAL (2 STL)45
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)45
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q3 - 8:35WASStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)45
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 8:46MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)43
19.9%
51
80.1%
Q3 - 8:46MIAButler Layup (11 PTS)43
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q3 - 9:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q3 - 9:03WASMISS Jordan 11' Jump Shot43
26.0%
48
74.0%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJones Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)43
28.1%
48
71.9%
Q3 - 9:19WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
31.2%
47
68.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot43
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q3 - 9:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q3 - 9:45WASMISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot43
28.9%
47
71.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIAButler Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Best 4 AST)43
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q3 - 10:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q3 - 10:18WASMISS Jordan 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q3 - 10:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q3 - 10:33WASMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot43
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q3 - 10:36WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q3 - 10:37WASMISS Jordan Layup43
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q3 - 10:43WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot43
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q3 - 10:57WASDixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q3 - 10:57WASDixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
33.7%
45
66.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)41
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
28.7%
45
71.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot41
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q3 - 11:46WASStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)41
28.7%
45
71.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS38
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASOakley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot38
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 238
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot38
25.7%
44
74.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0WASStackhouse Reverse Dunk (9 PTS)38
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 1:08WASJordan 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Goldwire 1 AST)36
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 1:17WASWizards Rebound34
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot34
21.4%
42
78.6%
Q2 - 1:31WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)34
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 1:31WASJordan Dunk (10 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)33
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 1:32MIABest 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)31
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 1:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 1:41WASMISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot31
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 2:15MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS) (Best 3 AST)31
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 2:31WASJordan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)31
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIABest Driving Layup (6 PTS)29
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 3:04WASLaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)29
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 3:20MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)27
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 3:36WASDixon Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)27
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 3:51MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)27
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 227
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 3:55MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (14 PTS)27
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 227
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAHEAT Rebound27
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot27
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 4:18WASMISS Jordan Layup27
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 4:27WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
30.7%
32
69.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot27
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 4:45WASDixon Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)27
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 4:51WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot25
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 5:08WASMISS Jordan 17' Jump Shot25
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
26.4%
32
73.6%
Q2 - 5:23MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot25
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 5:47WASJordan 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)25
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 6:04WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot23
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 6:19WASMISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 6:40WASWizards Rebound23
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 7:03WASJordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)23
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 7:40WASJones STEAL (1 STL)21
27.2%
27
72.8%
Q2 - 7:54MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q2 - 7:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS James Driving Layup21
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q2 - 8:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot21
33.4%
25
66.6%
Q2 - 8:18MIAHEAT Rebound21
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
33.4%
25
66.6%
Q2 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound21
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q2 - 8:38WASMISS Russell 18' Jump Shot21
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
34.2%
25
65.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 221
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q2 - 9:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q2 - 9:05WASMISS Oakley 18' Jump Shot21
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q2 - 9:12WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.5%
24
63.5%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot21
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q2 - 9:27WASStepania STEAL (1 STL)21
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q2 - 9:33WASOakley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
36.5%
24
63.5%
Q2 - 9:35WASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot21
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q2 - 9:43WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
36.5%
24
63.5%
Q2 - 9:45WASStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)21
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q2 - 10:04MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q2 - 10:04MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)21
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q2 - 10:17WASMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot21
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q2 - 11:03WASRussell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q2 - 11:03WASRussell Layup (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)20
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q2 - 11:06MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)18
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q2 - 11:11MIAHEAT Rebound18
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Allen 8' Hook Shot18
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q2 - 11:35WASGoldwire 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound16
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Best 67' 3PT Jump Shot16
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0WASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)16
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0WASOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot16
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Rebound16
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0WASMISS Jordan 18' Jump Shot16
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)16
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0WASMISS Goldwire 15' Jump Shot16
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 1:15MIABest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 1:30WASRussell Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 1:51MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)14
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 2:07WASHaywood Dunk (5 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)14
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 2:27WASOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot12
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 2:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 2:45WASMISS Haywood Layup12
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 2:47WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)12
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 2:49WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot12
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 3:02WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot12
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 3:18WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 212
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:18WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 3:18WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 3:19WASMISS Jordan Layup11
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)11
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJones 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)11
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 3:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 3:45WASMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 3:52WASWizards Rebound11
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 3:53WASMISS Haywood Layup11
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 3:54WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 3:55WASMISS Stackhouse Reverse Layup11
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 4:10MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)11
34.8%
15
65.2%
Q1 - 4:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 4:23WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot11
37.1%
13
62.9%
Q1 - 4:42MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 2 AST)11
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 4:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Jones Layup11
44.5%
10
55.5%
Q1 - 5:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 5:03WASMISS Jordan 13' Jump Shot11
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 5:18WASWizards Rebound11
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 5:19WASMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 5:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 5:39MIAButler Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Butler Layup11
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 5:48WASAllen STEAL (1 STL)11
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIAHEAT Rebound11
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot11
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 6:14WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)11
46.4%
8
53.6%
Q1 - 6:41MIABest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 6:55WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 6:55WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 7:20WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot9
47.4%
6
52.6%
Q1 - 7:32WASStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:05WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot6
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 8:20WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot6
45.6%
4
54.4%
Q1 - 8:40WASHaywood 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:05MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 9:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 9:21WASMISS Dixon 12' Running Jump Shot4
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 9:32WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup4
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 9:39WASBest STEAL (1 STL)4
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 9:44WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup4
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 10:05WASJordan Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:25MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)2
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:37WASStackhouse 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 10:53WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Grant 8' Hook Shot0
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 11:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:08WASMISS Jordan Driving Layup0
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:30WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Haywood: Tip to Butler0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.90 45.1%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
12
26
46%
MIA
12
22
55%
Midrange
WAS
12
37
32%
MIA
16
43
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
WAS
23
25
92%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2457%12.0 / 21
M. Jordan2138%10.5 / 28
B. Russell1161%5.5 / 9
A. Goldwire1071%5.0 / 7
B. Haywood550%2.5 / 5
C. Laettner433%2.0 / 6
J. Dixon425%2.0 / 8
C. Oakley450%2.0 / 4
K. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2040%10.0 / 25
E. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
B. Grant1365%6.5 / 10
T. Best1372%6.5 / 9
R. Butler1146%5.5 / 12
M. James1045%5.0 / 11
V. Stepania880%4.0 / 5
M. Allen214%1.0 / 7
S. Marks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
75
+17
-10
92
MIA
78
+18
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.90 45.1%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
94.5
WAS 97.6 +9.2
MIA 106.9
Pace
90.7
90.0
WAS 88.3 +4.5
MIA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
WAS 16.3 +0.9
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
43.9%
WAS 39.5%
MIA 44.4% +4.9%
TO %
13.8%
14.8%
WAS 11.2%
MIA 9.0% +2.2%
ORB %
27.3%
26.8%
WAS 27.9%
MIA 32.5% +4.6%
FTrt
32.5
25.9
WAS 32.9 +0.4
MIA 32.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
55.8%
WAS 53.6%
MIA 63.6% +10.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
WAS 7.1%
MIA 8.0% +0.9%
BLK %
7.4%
6.4%
WAS 4.6%
MIA 9.5% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
46.0%
WAS 45.1%
MIA 48.4% +3.3%
Rim FG%
56.7%
53.7%
WAS 46.2%
MIA 54.5% +8.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.6%
WAS 32.4%
MIA 37.2% +4.8%
3P %
31.2%
31.6%
WAS 30.8%
MIA 33.3% +2.5%
FT %
77.9%
76.5%
WAS 92.0% +7.4%
MIA 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.7%
28.9%
WAS 34.2% +6.7%
MIA 27.5%
Mid Att. %
59.6%
54.2%
WAS 48.7% +5.1%
MIA 53.8%
3P Att. %
12.7%
16.9%
WAS 17.1%
MIA 18.8% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8393
Rebounds3944
Assists1521
Steals67
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals28-7633-80
At-the-Rim FG12-2612-22
Midrange FG12-3716-43
2-Point FG24-6328-65
3-Point FG4-135-15
Free Throws23-2522-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 218 · 28
42.7
24
57%
2
5
0
0
3
2
1
1
8-8
100%
5-10
50%
2-7
29%
G · 6'6" 216 · 40
38.8
21
38%
8
2
1
3
0
2
1
7
3-3
100%
9-26
35%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 245 · 34
36.5
4
33%
10
4
1
0
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 24
29.4
4
25%
1
2
1
0
5
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 23
19.8
5
50%
7
0
0
0
0
4
4
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32
22.1
11
61%
1
0
2
0
0
6
0
1
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 39
21.4
4
50%
6
1
1
0
1
3
3
3
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 31
20.4
10
71%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 290 · 21
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
45%
39
15
6
3
10
0
12
27
23-25
92%
24-63
38%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.