for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 4, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Bucks
49%96
100
26
Heat
51%97
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
104.29699.0
MIA logo MIA
91.010097.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)100
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot100
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 299
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)99
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILPayton Layup (16 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)97
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS House 15' Running Jump Shot97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)95
98.9%
89
1.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot95
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)95
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 1:16MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
95.8%
87
4.2%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
94.8%
87
5.2%
Q4 - 1:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
90.8%
87
9.2%
Q4 - 1:34MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot92
92.1%
87
7.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIABest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)92
94.0%
87
6.0%
Q4 - 1:53MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)92
95.9%
85
4.1%
Q4 - 1:53MILBucks Rebound92
97.5%
85
2.5%
Q4 - 1:53MILMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot92
96.5%
85
3.5%
Q4 - 2:15MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
97.5%
85
2.5%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot92
97.0%
85
3.0%
Q4 - 2:20MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
95.2%
85
4.8%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.0%
85
3.0%
Q4 - 2:36MIAButler Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)92
95.1%
85
4.9%
Q4 - 2:40MILMason Tip Shot (15 PTS)92
96.9%
84
3.1%
Q4 - 2:42MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
96.1%
84
3.9%
Q4 - 2:43MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot90
93.8%
84
6.2%
Q4 - 3:00MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)90
94.6%
84
5.4%
Q4 - 3:00MIAButler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
96.4%
83
3.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
97.3%
81
2.7%
Q4 - 3:05MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 3:28MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)90
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 3:28MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)90
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 3:35MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 3:35MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 3:53MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot88
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 4:09MILPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
97.2%
78
2.8%
Q4 - 4:09MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
97.0%
78
3.0%
Q4 - 4:29MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)86
96.2%
78
3.8%
Q4 - 4:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)86
97.3%
76
2.7%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 4:58MILBucks Rebound86
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 4:58MILButler BLOCK (2 BLK)86
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 5:18MIAButler 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Grant Layup86
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 5:38MIAHEAT Rebound86
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot86
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 5:44MILMISS Kukoc 12' Jump Shot86
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot86
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 6:18MILMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 286
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 6:18MILJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 6:21MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot85
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 6:38MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)85
95.9%
74
4.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
93.1%
74
6.9%
Q4 - 6:57MIAGrant Tip Shot (17 PTS)82
93.1%
74
6.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot82
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 7:23MILJohnson 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)82
93.2%
72
6.8%
Q4 - 7:35MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
91.6%
72
8.4%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Grant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot80
90.8%
72
9.2%
Q4 - 7:49MILPayton Driving Layup (12 PTS)80
88.8%
72
11.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
84.1%
72
15.9%
Q4 - 8:21MIAHEAT Rebound78
87.2%
70
12.8%
Q4 - 8:22MILMISS Payton Reverse Layup78
88.1%
70
11.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)78
89.9%
70
10.1%
Q4 - 8:37MIAHEAT Rebound78
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q4 - 8:43MIAHEAT Rebound78
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Butler Layup78
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q4 - 8:58MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 9:02MILButler BLOCK (1 BLK)78
86.8%
70
13.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)78
88.7%
70
11.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
85.9%
70
14.1%
Q4 - 9:11MILMISS Payton 9' Jump Shot78
86.8%
70
13.2%
Q4 - 9:27MILBucks Rebound78
88.7%
70
11.3%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
87.9%
70
12.1%
Q4 - 10:00MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)78
86.0%
70
14.0%
Q4 - 10:12MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
77.9%
70
22.1%
Q4 - 10:14MILMISS Payton Layup75
74.9%
70
25.1%
Q4 - 10:19MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
77.9%
70
22.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot75
76.6%
70
23.4%
Q4 - 10:39MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
73.5%
70
26.5%
Q4 - 10:56MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
69.3%
70
30.8%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot73
67.6%
70
32.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
62.9%
70
37.1%
Q4 - 11:24MILMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot73
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q4 - 11:33MILBucks Rebound73
68.1%
70
31.9%
Q4 - 11:38MILButler BLOCK (1 BLK)73
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
68.1%
70
31.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
63.0%
70
37.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)73
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
67.3%
70
32.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot73
65.9%
70
34.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
61.7%
70
38.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
57.7%
70
42.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot71
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 1:03MILMason 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)71
52.4%
70
47.6%
Q3 - 1:20MIACarter Layup (6 PTS) (House 4 AST)71
57.4%
70
42.6%
Q3 - 1:25MILHouse STEAL (3 STL)71
62.0%
68
38.0%
Q3 - 1:35MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)71
66.6%
68
33.4%
Q3 - 1:35MIAAllen Layup (11 PTS) (House 3 AST)71
70.8%
67
29.2%
Q3 - 1:55MILMason Layup (11 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)71
74.6%
65
25.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)69
70.9%
65
29.1%
Q3 - 2:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
65.2%
65
34.8%
Q3 - 2:12MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 269
65.8%
65
34.2%
Q3 - 2:12MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
68.5%
65
31.5%
Q3 - 2:12MILBucks Rebound68
65.6%
65
34.4%
Q3 - 2:16MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
62.3%
65
37.7%
Q3 - 2:39MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)68
65.6%
65
34.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
69.4%
63
30.6%
Q3 - 2:46MILMISS Kukoc 12' Jump Shot68
70.7%
63
29.3%
Q3 - 3:02MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
72.8%
63
27.2%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Butler Layup68
71.6%
63
28.4%
Q3 - 3:11MILHouse STEAL (2 STL)68
68.9%
63
31.1%
Q3 - 3:29MIACarter Layup (4 PTS) (House 2 AST)68
72.8%
63
27.2%
Q3 - 3:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
76.0%
61
24.0%
Q3 - 3:36MILMISS Mason 7' Hook Shot68
77.1%
61
22.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
79.3%
61
20.7%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
79.8%
60
20.2%
Q3 - 4:09MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
80.8%
59
19.2%
Q3 - 4:09MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
80.3%
59
19.7%
Q3 - 4:12MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)66
78.5%
59
21.5%
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)66
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)65
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q3 - 4:43MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
72.1%
59
27.9%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot64
70.9%
59
29.1%
Q3 - 5:04MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)64
67.5%
59
32.5%
Q3 - 5:04MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 263
67.1%
59
32.9%
Q3 - 5:18MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)63
67.8%
59
32.2%
Q3 - 5:18MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)63
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 5:34MILCassell 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
74.4%
56
25.6%
Q3 - 5:43MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T6)61
71.3%
56
28.7%
Q3 - 6:00MILCassell Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)61
67.5%
56
32.5%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)61
70.5%
56
29.5%
Q3 - 6:30MILJames STEAL (2 STL)61
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAAllen 12' Hook Shot (9 PTS)61
70.5%
56
29.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
72.4%
54
27.6%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 261
72.9%
54
27.1%
Q3 - 7:12MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
74.8%
54
25.2%
Q3 - 7:18MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
72.9%
54
27.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Butler Layup60
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q3 - 7:36MILMason Layup (6 PTS)60
69.2%
54
30.8%
Q3 - 7:50MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
66.4%
54
33.6%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot58
65.1%
54
34.9%
Q3 - 8:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q3 - 8:12MILMISS Mason Layup58
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q3 - 8:21MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Allen 11' Hook Shot58
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Butler Layup58
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q3 - 8:39MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q3 - 8:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Best 12' Running Jump Shot58
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 9:02MILThomas 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
61.8%
54
38.2%
Q3 - 9:12MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot56
57.3%
54
42.7%
Q3 - 9:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
54.7%
54
45.3%
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot56
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q3 - 9:41MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Butler Layup56
57.3%
54
42.7%
Q3 - 9:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
54.7%
54
45.3%
Q3 - 9:50MILMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q3 - 10:05MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)56
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q3 - 10:20MILMason Layup (4 PTS)56
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 10:41MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)54
58.4%
52
41.6%
Q3 - 10:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 10:54MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot54
62.5%
50
37.5%
Q3 - 11:05MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
64.7%
50
35.3%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot54
63.7%
50
36.3%
Q3 - 11:24MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)54
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
58.2%
50
41.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
61.3%
48
38.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILMason 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)52
61.6%
48
38.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
58.3%
47
41.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
61.5%
46
38.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot50
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q2 - 1:03MIAButler Layup (9 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)50
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 1:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup50
68.4%
44
31.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:18MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
67.9%
44
32.1%
Q2 - 1:34MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot50
68.5%
44
31.5%
Q2 - 1:52MILPayton Driving Layup (10 PTS)50
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:57MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot48
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q2 - 2:21MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)48
60.5%
44
39.5%
Q2 - 2:21MILCassell 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)47
57.5%
44
42.5%
Q2 - 2:37MILBucks Rebound45
54.2%
44
45.8%
Q2 - 2:39MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot45
52.2%
44
47.8%
Q2 - 2:53MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)45
54.1%
44
45.9%
Q2 - 3:00MILCarter STEAL (2 STL)45
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q2 - 3:16MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
62.6%
40
37.4%
Q2 - 3:31MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot45
63.6%
40
36.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIAAllen 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 1 AST)45
65.7%
40
34.3%
Q2 - 4:04MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
67.6%
38
32.4%
Q2 - 4:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot43
64.2%
38
35.8%
Q2 - 4:29MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)43
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 4:44MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
59.6%
38
40.4%
Q2 - 4:58MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
62.3%
36
37.7%
Q2 - 5:00MILMISS Payton 13' Jump Shot41
63.2%
36
36.8%
Q2 - 5:07MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
64.9%
36
35.1%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot41
64.0%
36
36.0%
Q2 - 5:29MILThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)41
62.0%
36
38.0%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHouse Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)38
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 5:51MILCarter STEAL (1 STL)38
59.3%
34
40.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)38
62.2%
34
37.8%
Q2 - 6:14MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 6:14MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
63.5%
32
36.5%
Q2 - 6:34MILBucks Rebound36
62.2%
32
37.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot36
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 7:02MILCassell 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
58.9%
32
41.1%
Q2 - 7:26MIAButler Dunk (7 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)34
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 7:32MILHouse STEAL (1 STL)34
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 7:38MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup34
60.8%
30
39.2%
Q2 - 7:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot34
59.7%
30
40.3%
Q2 - 8:06MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 8:06MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot34
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q2 - 8:36MILCassell 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q2 - 8:53MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)32
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 9:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
63.0%
26
37.0%
Q2 - 9:09MILMISS Cassell 8' Jump Shot32
63.8%
26
36.2%
Q2 - 9:19MIAButler 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
65.6%
26
34.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot32
69.3%
24
30.7%
Q2 - 9:51MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q2 - 9:51MILMason 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
63.0%
24
37.0%
Q2 - 10:18MILJohnson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q2 - 10:20MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q2 - 10:21MILMISS Payton Layup27
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)27
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q2 - 10:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
60.4%
22
39.6%
Q2 - 10:47MILGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)27
61.2%
22
38.8%
Q2 - 10:55MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
63.0%
22
37.0%
Q2 - 11:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot27
61.7%
22
38.3%
Q2 - 11:32MILKukoc Layup (4 PTS)27
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q2 - 11:46MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
57.8%
22
42.2%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot25
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL25
55.4%
22
44.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)25
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
60.0%
20
40.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot25
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)25
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILMISS Kukoc 15' Jump Shot25
65.0%
18
35.0%
Q1 - 1:00MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
66.2%
18
33.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 225
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 1:24MILMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 125
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 1:24MILPayton 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 1:31MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
63.9%
17
36.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot23
63.4%
17
36.6%
Q1 - 1:38MILThomas 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 1:52MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 221
59.2%
17
40.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
57.5%
17
42.5%
Q1 - 2:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 2:16MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot21
60.5%
16
39.5%
Q1 - 2:32MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
62.0%
16
38.0%
Q1 - 2:32MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
62.5%
15
37.5%
Q1 - 2:52MILKukoc 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)21
64.3%
14
35.7%
Q1 - 3:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
61.6%
14
38.4%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot19
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 3:27MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
59.2%
14
40.8%
Q1 - 3:27MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 3:34MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
57.3%
14
42.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot17
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 3:55MILPayton 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 4:07MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
52.8%
14
47.2%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Best Layup15
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 4:10MILJames STEAL (1 STL)15
50.2%
14
49.8%
Q1 - 4:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
52.8%
14
47.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Butler Layup15
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 5:12MIABest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
52.5%
14
47.5%
Q1 - 5:28MILPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)15
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 5:44MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:01MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)13
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 6:22MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot10
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 6:35MILMason 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)10
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 6:42MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
46.1%
10
53.9%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot8
45.4%
10
54.6%
Q1 - 7:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
44.2%
10
55.8%
Q1 - 7:03MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 7:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
46.3%
10
53.7%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS James Layup8
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 7:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.2%
10
55.8%
Q1 - 7:24MILMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot8
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 7:39MIAGrant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
46.3%
10
53.7%
Q1 - 7:54MILPayton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 8:07MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot6
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 8:16MILMISS Payton 9' Running Jump Shot6
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIABest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 8:42MILThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)6
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 8:54MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot4
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 9:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
6
55.8%
Q1 - 9:11MILMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot4
44.9%
6
55.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 9:45MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 9:45MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 10:00MIAGrant 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 10:10MILPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:14MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.2%
2
49.8%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Butler Layup2
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 10:36MILCassell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:59MILBucks Rebound0
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Best Layup0
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 11:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 11:07MILMISS Cassell 7' Jump Shot0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 11:25MIAAllen 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:48MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Thomas: Tip to Payton0
50.0%
0
50.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 53.2%
MIA
0.84 42.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
18
56%
MIA
12
25
48%
Midrange
MIL
20
45
44%
MIA
24
60
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIA
7
0%
Free Throws
MIL
25
31
81%
MIA
19
21
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Cassell2569%12.5 / 18
D. Mason1745%8.5 / 19
G. Payton1743%8.5 / 20
T. Thomas1255%6.0 / 11
T. Kukoc956%4.5 / 8
M. Redd956%4.5 / 8
A. Mason6100%3.0 / 3
E. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant2059%10.0 / 17
C. Butler1533%7.5 / 23
M. Allen1458%7.0 / 12
E. House1444%7.0 / 16
M. James1050%5.0 / 10
T. Best627%3.0 / 11
A. Carter675%3.0 / 4
R. Butler422%2.0 / 9
L. Ellis250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
85
+8
-11
93
MIA
91
+17
-9
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 53.2%
MIA
0.84 42.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
94.5
MIL 104.2
MIA 91.0 +13.2
Pace
92.7
90.0
MIL 99.0 +1.9
MIA 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
MIL 14.6 +0.3
MIA 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
43.9%
MIL 50.0% +10.9%
MIA 39.1%
TO %
13.0%
14.8%
MIL 11.9%
MIA 9.0% +2.9%
ORB %
25.7%
26.8%
MIL 8.1%
MIA 26.0% +17.9%
FTrt
28.7
25.9
MIL 41.3 +18.5
MIA 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
55.8%
MIL 42.9%
MIA 52.8% +9.9%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
MIL 5.2%
MIA 7.0% +1.8%
BLK %
6.4%
6.4%
MIL 4.7%
MIA 7.9% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
46.0%
MIL 53.2% +11.1%
MIA 42.1%
Rim FG%
57.7%
53.7%
MIL 55.6% +7.6%
MIA 48.0%
Mid FG%
41.4%
37.6%
MIL 44.4% +4.4%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
38.3%
31.6%
MIL 41.7% +41.7%
MIA 0.0%
FT %
77.6%
76.5%
MIL 80.6%
MIA 90.5% +9.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
28.9%
MIL 24.0%
MIA 27.2% +3.2%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
54.2%
MIL 60.0% +5.2%
MIA 65.2%
3P Att. %
22.9%
16.9%
MIL 16.0% +8.4%
MIA 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions96100
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points10091
Rebounds4047
Assists1519
Steals57
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (5)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals35-7536-92
At-the-Rim FG10-1812-25
Midrange FG20-4524-60
2-Point FG30-6336-85
3-Point FG5-120-7
Free Throws25-3119-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Desmond Mason
F · 6'5" 222 · 25
40.2
17
45%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
9-11
82%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35
38.8
17
43%
7
4
1
2
3
1
0
7
3-5
60%
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 33
37.1
25
69%
6
4
0
0
4
2
0
6
6-7
86%
8-12
67%
1-2
50%
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 36
34.6
6
100%
8
3
0
0
2
5
0
8
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
C · 6'10" 240 · 26
33.9
12
55%
6
1
0
0
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 34
23.3
9
56%
4
2
2
0
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
18.8
9
56%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 35
13.3
5
63%
4
0
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 30
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
40
15
5
4
11
0
3
37
25-31
81%
30-63
48%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.