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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 6, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nets39%9178
3Spurs61%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.0
36.8
37.0
11
28%
8
13
1
2
2
1
2
6
1-1
100%
2-14
4-10
14%
44%
2-5
40%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
35.1
26.6
14
54%
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
33.5
35.3
19
46%
8
1
0
1
1
2
2
6
5-8
63%
7-16
7-14
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 22.7
31.4
32.7
8
31%
7
1
1
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-13
5-10
31%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.3
25.0
21.6
4
100%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
23.0
25.9
11
60%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
4-7
3-8
57%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 31.7
22.5
18.2
5
36%
3
3
2
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
20.6
23.4
6
48%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-5
40%
2-4
3-7
50%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
7.8
9.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
4.2
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Tamar Slay
G · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
2.1
0
0-1
41%
Chris Childs
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
2.0
0
0-0
34%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
43.2
37.4
21
54%
21
5
0
1
2
4
3
18
6-10
60%
6-14
8-15
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.8
36.2
34.1
21
44%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
10-19
5-10
53%
48%
0-4
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
30.8
31.5
10
56%
4
1
2
2
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.7
30.8
27.0
11
61%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
1-2
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.6
24.4
27.1
8
65%
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
4-5
80%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
33.2
27.8
18
68%
6
7
5
2
0
1
1
5
5-5
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.3
22.3
23.3
2
25%
4
3
0
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.8
6.7
7.3
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
6.4
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
6.1
5.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.9
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.4
4.1
0
0-0
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.