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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1076ers33%9792
4Lakers67%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.8
46.6
40.1
30
47%
4
2
4
2
0
6
0
4
6-9
67%
12-25
8-19
48%
43%
0-3
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
37.2
26.4
19
55%
8
1
0
1
0
3
1
7
7-10
70%
6-12
4-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
34.0
37.4
13
71%
4
3
1
2
0
4
0
4
5-5
100%
4-7
4-10
57%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.7
33.7
34.7
12
52%
8
1
1
1
2
2
1
7
3-6
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
20.2
14.1
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.4
28.4
27.5
8
54%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
19.0
15.8
4
69%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.8
15.5
20.4
6
100%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.2
4.0
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
1.4
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.6
14.0
0
2-4
47%
Monty Williams
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.4
3.9
0
1-1
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
42.9
40.5
28
54%
8
9
0
2
2
5
1
7
12-13
92%
8-18
10-21
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.0
39.4
36.6
39
60%
10
3
0
1
2
4
2
8
11-19
58%
14-24
9-17
58%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.6
38.3
38.0
12
55%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
44%
2-4
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.1
21.8
22.2
0
0%
7
0
2
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.6
21.1
26.3
6
60%
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
26.9
23.6
14
119%
4
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
26.3
23.8
5
31%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
8.3
7.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 37.0
6.6
7.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
6.0
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.4
2.5
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
3.3
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.