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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs52%9494
13Celtics48%9378
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.3
33.3
22.8
8
37%
8
4
3
1
0
6
0
8
2-2
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
45%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
32.5
38.8
18
68%
8
6
1
1
0
3
2
6
2-5
40%
8-11
8-16
73%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.8
27.6
34.3
10
64%
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
5-11
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
24.1
30.6
15
54%
7
4
1
2
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.7
23.7
28.1
7
58%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
22.9
29.4
5
43%
1
4
5
2
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
21.5
7.7
7
90%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
17.1
5.8
15
86%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
6-7
1-2
86%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.9
15.6
4.9
3
40%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.4
13.1
3.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
37%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.8
8.7
7.4
4
67%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
39.6
28.5
15
57%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
6-7
86%
0-5
2-4
0%
41%
3-5
60%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
34.1
40.9
18
43%
7
4
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-2
0%
6-13
6-15
46%
43%
2-7
29%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
26.2
20.2
10
37%
4
3
3
1
1
7
1
3
0-1
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
18.4
27.5
6
60%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
4.0
33.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.3
27.6
15.8
13
64%
11
0
1
0
2
3
8
3
3-5
60%
5-8
2-4
63%
41%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
26.0
21.8
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.1
21.1
25.5
7
50%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.0
17.3
16.9
7
51%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.0
15.9
6.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 34.9
9.8
4.4
2
50%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
36%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.1
2.0
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.