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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers18%9388
1Kings82%105107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.1
47.3
31.8
27
44%
11
4
1
1
0
4
4
7
7-11
64%
10-26
5-11
38%
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.0
41.9
19.1
8
34%
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
0-3
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 37.5
31.4
31.7
11
53%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.4
29.9
37.6
20
59%
9
1
1
1
1
4
3
6
4-7
57%
8-14
8-18
57%
45%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.4
9.9
2.4
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
33.5
23.1
6
23%
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-12
3-9
25%
39%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.1
25.1
11.9
12
68%
11
0
0
0
1
0
6
5
4-4
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 24.0
10.7
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
37%
0-1
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 29.3
10.3
18.9
2
25%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 26.9
26.1
1
4-8
49%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.3
25.5
2
3-7
43%
Jamison Brewer
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.3
11.9
0
1-2
39%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.9
4.3
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
35.0
38.5
16
34%
12
6
2
1
2
2
1
11
2-4
50%
7-22
10-20
32%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
29.3
31.9
17
67%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 25.7
27.3
33.4
14
67%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
5-9
83%
51%
1-4
25%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 32.8
24.1
30.5
8
100%
6
3
0
2
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 35.1
22.1
31.6
8
50%
9
4
0
1
1
4
5
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Keon Clark
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 27.9
26.6
18.5
8
106%
5
1
0
0
5
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.0
25.1
24.2
17
68%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
2-3
67%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.0
22.0
8.3
9
61%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.4
15.7
16.8
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28.1
5.0
3.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 20.6
3.9
3.3
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
3.9
2.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.