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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat49%9277
29Cavaliers51%9375
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
40
34
13
5
3
0
2
1
5
1
4
2-4
50%
4-10
5-12
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.7
39
25
16
4
5
1
1
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
1-4
25%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
32
32
7
8
1
1
1
1
0
0
8
5-6
83%
1-6
5-9
17%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
28
28
4
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
25
33
10
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.8
36
20
13
11
0
1
1
0
0
1
10
5-8
63%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.7
28
27
10
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
4-7
57%
3-6
3-6
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.5
14
5
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
8
0
1-2
46%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
2
0
0-0
45%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.5
44
33
19
7
7
1
1
1
2
2
5
7-9
78%
6-21
5-12
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 21.3
39
26
15
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
5-6
83%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 27.8
33
25
12
8
0
2
1
1
0
4
4
2-2
100%
5-15
5-11
33%
44%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.1
32
24
2
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
19
27
13
5
0
2
1
3
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.1
28
29
0
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-5
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.8
18
13
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
13
17
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
41%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.1
8
13
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 27.9
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
2
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.