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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs52%100105
13Bucks48%99102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
44.3
35.1
25
81%
15
6
0
1
2
6
6
9
9-10
90%
8-11
7-14
73%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.7
40.8
25.8
7
39%
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.3
33.8
27.4
34
68%
9
0
1
1
0
2
7
2
8-9
89%
13-21
4-9
62%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
32.0
27.0
8
35%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-3
0%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.8
26.8
30.7
13
50%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
26.2
25.8
5
56%
5
2
1
2
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.8
14.2
8.4
4
40%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
8.4
11.1
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
7.1
14.1
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.4
6.5
8.9
1
35%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.9
10.6
0
1-2
44%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.3
1.6
0
0-0
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.6
41.7
36.9
20
61%
2
9
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
8-14
7-14
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 25.4
38.0
30.7
24
68%
10
1
2
1
2
2
4
6
3-6
50%
9-14
5-10
64%
45%
1-1
100%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.3
35.9
34.5
26
59%
5
7
2
1
1
2
1
4
7-9
78%
5-15
6-12
33%
48%
3-3
100%
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 36.2
26.0
25.1
2
100%
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.0
22.1
31.1
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 34.5
31.0
22.8
24
79%
2
4
2
1
1
2
0
2
4-5
80%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
6-7
86%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 35.2
22.7
14.7
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.5
18.6
23.6
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 29.7
4.2
9.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.2
4.9
0
1-1
45%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 19.8
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.