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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Suns41%10298
19Warriors59%105113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 24.8
42.8
40.6
17
53%
13
6
3
2
1
1
3
10
0-0
-
7-12
6-12
58%
47%
1-4
25%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.1
38.9
42.0
14
40%
2
9
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
4-13
7-15
31%
48%
1-3
33%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 20.3
33.8
32.0
24
72%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-4
50%
11-15
5-11
73%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21.7
28.9
35.3
4
13%
3
5
0
1
1
0
3
0
0-2
0%
2-12
3-8
17%
43%
0-2
0%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35.0
18.8
19.5
4
33%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.6
24.6
23.9
9
33%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-13
3-6
31%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.4
14.5
10.2
9
85%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-3
33%
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Dan Langhi
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.3
13.9
12.6
4
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.9
10.6
8.8
6
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
6.4
5.3
5
58%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Randy Brown
G · 6'2" 190 · 34.8
4.1
2.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
2.7
12.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
39.7
33.7
23
60%
11
2
1
1
1
3
1
10
3-5
60%
10-15
6-12
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.1
31.5
26.6
13
42%
1
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
44%
2-5
40%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
30.8
31.3
13
49%
12
4
1
1
0
1
3
9
9-12
75%
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
28.5
35.4
22
79%
1
5
1
2
0
6
1
0
0-0
-
5-7
6-12
71%
48%
4-7
57%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.7
15.6
22.6
7
90%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
1-2
50%
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
32.5
15.8
16
63%
20
3
2
0
4
0
10
10
4-4
100%
6-11
2-3
55%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
19.8
18.3
2
20%
3
3
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
19.6
22.3
7
70%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 26.8
19.4
13.5
10
56%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
2-2
100%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.1
2.6
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.1
13.5
0
2-4
43%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
4.7
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.