Final Win Prob. pScore
1563%91
87
2737%87
83
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
102.48579.5
MIA logo Heat
95.48793.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Carter86
83
Q4 - 0:04.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P5.PN)85
83
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Magloire85
83
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)85
83
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Butler85
82
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
96.8%
82
3.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHMagloire S.FOUL (P5.PN)85
81
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)85
81
Q4 - 0:10.0NOHMashburn P.FOUL (P3.T4)85
81
Q4 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Stepania85
81
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)85
81
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)85
97.8%
81
2.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHHornets Rebound85
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot85
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAStepania Driving Layup (17 PTS)85
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0NOHBrown Driving Layup (20 PTS)85
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 1:13MIAButler Dunk (25 PTS)83
95.7%
79
4.3%
Q4 - 1:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)83
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 1:21NOHBest STEAL (1 STL)83
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAButler P.FOUL (P4.T2)83
77
Q4 - 1:40NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot83
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q4 - 2:04NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)83
95.4%
77
4.6%
Q4 - 2:13NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)81
77
Q4 - 2:20NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
93.8%
77
6.2%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 2:40NOHMashburn 17' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)81
88.3%
77
11.7%
Q4 - 3:01NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)79
83.7%
77
16.3%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
81.1%
77
18.9%
Q4 - 3:15NOHButler STEAL (2 STL)79
73.7%
77
26.3%
Q4 - 3:20NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
84.0%
77
16.0%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot79
81.3%
77
18.7%
Q4 - 3:29MIAHEAT Rebound79
73.6%
77
26.4%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS James Driving Layup79
81.4%
77
18.6%
Q4 - 3:47NOHMashburn 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
73.1%
77
26.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
65.7%
77
34.3%
Q4 - 4:05MIASUB: Best FOR Lampley77
76
Q4 - 4:05MIAHEAT Rebound77
76
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 277
67.3%
76
32.7%
Q4 - 4:05NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Augmon77
76
Q4 - 4:05NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Traylor77
76
Q4 - 4:0577
76
Q4 - 4:05NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.T3)77
76
Q4 - 4:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
65.1%
76
34.9%
Q4 - 4:16NOHMISS Anderson Driving Layup77
67.9%
76
32.1%
Q4 - 4:42MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)77
74.0%
76
26.0%
Q4 - 4:49MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
80.4%
74
19.6%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Lampley 9' Jump Shot77
84.6%
74
15.4%
Q4 - 5:12NOHAnderson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)77
78.0%
74
22.0%
Q4 - 5:38MIAStepania 7' Hook Shot (15 PTS)75
72.1%
74
27.9%
Q4 - 5:55NOHAnderson Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
78.2%
72
21.8%
Q4 - 6:03NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
71.8%
72
28.2%
Q4 - 6:07NOHMISS Augmon 12' Jump Shot73
67.1%
72
32.9%
Q4 - 6:19NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
71.8%
72
28.2%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot73
69.8%
72
30.2%
Q4 - 6:35NOHBrown 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)73
64.9%
72
35.1%
Q4 - 6:59MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)71
57.9%
72
42.1%
Q4 - 7:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
65.3%
70
34.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS James Reverse Layup71
69.8%
70
30.2%
Q4 - 7:23NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)71
65.3%
70
34.7%
Q4 - 7:31NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)69
59.2%
70
40.8%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup69
56.9%
70
43.1%
Q4 - 7:44NOHAnderson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)69
51.7%
70
48.3%
Q4 - 8:06NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Lynch69
70
Q4 - 8:06MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)69
59.8%
70
40.2%
Q4 - 8:06NOHSUB: Brown FOR Moiso69
69
Q4 - 8:06MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)69
60.8%
69
39.2%
Q4 - 8:06NOHTraylor P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
68
Q4 - 8:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
66.1%
68
33.9%
Q4 - 8:30NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot69
67.7%
68
32.3%
Q4 - 8:36NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
71.4%
68
28.6%
Q4 - 8:38NOHMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot69
67.7%
68
32.3%
Q4 - 8:41MIAGrant 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)69
71.4%
68
28.6%
Q4 - 8:43MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)69
66
Q4 - 8:56MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen69
66
Q4 - 8:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)69
66
Q4 - 9:04NOHTraylor Dunk (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)69
76.0%
66
24.0%
Q4 - 9:13NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
71.1%
66
28.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot67
69.6%
66
30.4%
Q4 - 9:37NOHTraylor Layup (5 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)67
66.2%
66
33.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAButler 6' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)65
60.3%
66
39.7%
Q4 - 10:16NOHSUB: Moiso FOR Brown65
64
Q4 - 10:16MIAHEAT Rebound65
66.1%
64
33.9%
Q4 - 10:17NOHMISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
67.6%
64
32.4%
Q4 - 10:33NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
70.9%
64
29.1%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot65
69.5%
64
30.5%
Q4 - 10:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
66.1%
64
33.9%
Q4 - 10:53NOHMISS Mashburn 9' Hook Shot65
67.6%
64
32.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
70.5%
64
29.5%
Q4 - 11:08NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Magloire65
63
Q4 - 11:08MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
71.6%
63
28.4%
Q4 - 11:08NOHMagloire S.FOUL (P4.T1)65
62
Q4 - 11:26NOHMashburn 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
75.0%
62
25.0%
Q4 - 11:40MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T1)63
62
Q4 - 12:0063
62
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH63
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)63
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0NOHMashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)63
74.6%
60
25.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAButler Running Dunk (19 PTS)60
65.6%
60
34.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)60
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0NOHBrown Tip Shot (14 PTS)60
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0NOHMISS Magloire Reverse Layup58
62.7%
58
37.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)58
65.6%
58
34.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James Driving Layup58
64.3%
58
35.7%
Q3 - 1:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
61.1%
58
38.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot58
64.1%
58
35.9%
Q3 - 1:24NOHMagloire 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS)58
61.2%
58
38.8%
Q3 - 1:35NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 1:37NOHMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot56
52.9%
58
47.1%
Q3 - 1:52NOHSUB: Anderson FOR Wesley56
58
Q3 - 1:52MIASUB: James FOR Butler56
58
Q3 - 1:52MIASUB: Stepania FOR Best56
58
Q3 - 1:52MIASUB: Lampley FOR Grant56
58
Q3 - 1:52NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)56
58
Q3 - 1:52MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T2)56
58
Q3 - 1:54NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot56
54.6%
58
45.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot56
55.3%
58
44.7%
Q3 - 2:38NOHBrown Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)56
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q3 - 2:52NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)54
47.3%
58
52.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Butler Running Layup54
45.9%
58
54.1%
Q3 - 3:00NOHGrant STEAL (2 STL)54
42.7%
58
57.3%
Q3 - 3:08NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot54
47.6%
58
52.4%
Q3 - 3:28MIAButler Violation:Defensive Goaltending54
58
Q3 - 3:28NOHWesley Layup (11 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)54
44.3%
58
55.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
40.1%
58
59.9%
Q3 - 3:52NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
35.6%
58
64.4%
Q3 - 3:52NOHHornets Rebound52
40.1%
58
59.9%
Q3 - 3:53NOHMISS Lynch 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
36.9%
58
63.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)52
41.0%
58
59.0%
Q3 - 4:31MIAHEAT Rebound52
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q3 - 4:32NOHMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot52
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 4:35NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
41.0%
58
59.0%
Q3 - 4:37NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot52
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 4:51MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Best 5 AST)52
41.0%
58
59.0%
Q3 - 5:13NOHWesley 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)52
45.4%
56
54.6%
Q3 - 5:28NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
41.8%
56
58.2%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot50
40.4%
56
59.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
37.2%
56
62.8%
Q3 - 5:39NOHMISS Mashburn 3PT Jump Shot50
38.6%
56
61.4%
Q3 - 5:50NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
41.7%
56
58.3%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot50
40.3%
56
59.7%
Q3 - 6:01NOHButler STEAL (1 STL)50
38.8%
56
61.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
42.9%
56
57.1%
Q3 - 6:34NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P3.T3)50
54
Q3 - 6:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot50
49.5%
54
50.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
54
Q3 - 6:57NOHMagloire Dunk (9 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)50
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q3 - 6:59NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot48
41.5%
54
58.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIAHEAT Rebound48
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Best Driving Layup48
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 7:26NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)48
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q3 - 7:29NOHHornets Rebound48
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q3 - 7:30NOHBest BLOCK (1 BLK)48
40.9%
54
59.1%
Q3 - 7:47NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot48
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 8:07MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
40.1%
54
59.9%
Q3 - 8:09NOHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot48
41.3%
54
58.7%
Q3 - 8:25MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)48
44.1%
54
55.9%
Q3 - 8:49NOHBrown 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)48
47.5%
52
52.5%
Q3 - 8:56NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
44.1%
52
55.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot46
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 9:13NOHBrown Tip Shot (8 PTS)46
41.0%
52
59.0%
Q3 - 9:16NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q3 - 9:17NOHMISS Lynch Driving Layup44
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q3 - 9:35NOHGrant STEAL (1 STL)44
34.1%
52
65.9%
Q3 - 9:46NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup44
36.5%
52
63.5%
Q3 - 10:06NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
35.3%
52
64.7%
Q3 - 10:06NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T1)42
52
Q3 - 10:06NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q3 - 10:06NOHMISS Lynch 8' Hook Shot42
30.0%
52
70.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q3 - 10:19MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q3 - 10:19NOHMashburn S.FOUL (P2.T2)42
50
Q3 - 10:41NOHBrown Driving Layup (4 PTS)42
35.2%
50
64.8%
Q3 - 10:50NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Allen 9' Hook Shot40
31.1%
50
68.9%
Q3 - 11:18NOHMagloire L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)40
50
Q3 - 11:18MIAHEAT Rebound40
30.3%
50
69.7%
Q3 - 11:18NOHMISS Lynch 13' Jump Shot40
31.3%
50
68.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q3 - 12:0040
48
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH40
36.4%
48
63.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)40
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAStepania Dunk (9 PTS) (Best 3 AST)37
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
41.2%
44
58.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Magloire Layup37
42.0%
44
58.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
43.8%
44
56.2%
Q2 - 1:14NOHAugmon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)37
48.7%
42
51.3%
Q2 - 1:14NOHAugmon OFF.Foul (P1)37
42
Q2 - 1:20NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
51.1%
42
48.9%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Best 8' Running Jump Shot37
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q2 - 1:39MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
48.7%
42
51.3%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 237
50.7%
42
49.3%
Q2 - 1:41MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
49.1%
42
50.9%
Q2 - 1:41NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)37
41
Q2 - 1:41NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P1.T4)37
41
Q2 - 1:58NOHMagloire 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)37
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 2:13MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)35
49.0%
41
51.0%
Q2 - 2:33NOHMagloire 9' Hook Shot (5 PTS)35
52.1%
39
47.9%
Q2 - 2:46MIAButler Reverse Layup (15 PTS)33
48.9%
39
51.1%
Q2 - 3:01NOHAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 3:01NOHAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIASUB: Best FOR James31
37
Q2 - 3:01MIASUB: Butler FOR Carter31
37
Q2 - 3:01MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
37
Q2 - 3:04NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Butler Layup31
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot31
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 3:15NOHMISS Mashburn Driving Layup31
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 3:34NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 3:57NOHSUB: Mashburn FOR Alexander31
37
Q2 - 3:57NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Traylor31
37
Q2 - 3:57NOHTraylor Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)31
46.2%
37
53.8%
Q2 - 4:05NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
50.4%
37
49.6%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot31
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 4:16NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Moiso 1 AST)31
47.1%
37
52.9%
Q2 - 4:19NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 4:21NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot29
42.1%
37
57.9%
Q2 - 4:43MIACarter Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)29
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 4:51NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot29
48.1%
35
51.9%
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Ellis FOR Lampley29
35
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen29
35
Q2 - 5:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
35
Q2 - 5:00MIALampley P.FOUL (P1.T2)29
35
Q2 - 5:14NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 5:35NOHTraylor 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
48.2%
35
51.8%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJames Running Layup (2 PTS)27
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 6:01MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
48.2%
33
51.8%
Q2 - 6:03NOHMISS Alexander 16' Jump Shot27
49.3%
33
50.7%
Q2 - 6:11NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot27
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
48.2%
33
51.8%
Q2 - 6:26NOHMISS Alexander 17' Jump Shot27
49.3%
33
50.7%
Q2 - 6:47MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)27
51.6%
33
48.4%
Q2 - 7:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
54.9%
31
45.1%
Q2 - 7:03NOHMISS Wesley Driving Layup27
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 7:24MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T7)27
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)27
31
Q2 - 7:44NOHAugmon Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
54.8%
31
45.2%
Q2 - 7:59MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
52.1%
31
47.9%
Q2 - 7:59MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIASUB: Carter FOR Butler25
29
Q2 - 7:5925
29
Q2 - 7:59NOHTraylor L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)25
29
Q2 - 7:59MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot25
56.8%
29
43.2%
Q2 - 8:11NOHAlexander 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)25
55.4%
29
44.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)23
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q2 - 8:51NOHMISS Traylor 17' Jump Shot23
58.9%
26
41.1%
Q2 - 9:07MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant23
26
Q2 - 9:09MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
60.7%
26
39.3%
Q2 - 9:09MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P3)23
26
Q2 - 9:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q2 - 9:24NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 223
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 9:24NOHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
59.9%
26
40.1%
Q2 - 9:24NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Anderson22
26
Q2 - 9:24MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.T1)22
26
Q2 - 9:34NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q2 - 9:36NOHMISS Anderson 6' Running Jump Shot22
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 9:49NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 122
57.7%
26
42.3%
Q2 - 9:50NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Mashburn22
26
Q2 - 9:50NOHMashburn S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
26
Q2 - 9:50MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q2 - 9:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 9:54NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
61.5%
24
38.5%
Q2 - 10:01NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
63.4%
24
36.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot22
62.6%
24
37.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen22
24
Q2 - 10:12NOHSUB: Moiso FOR Brown22
24
Q2 - 10:12NOHAlexander P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
24
Q2 - 10:27NOHAlexander 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q2 - 10:29NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q2 - 10:31NOHMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot20
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 10:35NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q2 - 10:37NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot20
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 10:56MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHEAT Rebound20
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot20
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q2 - 11:12NOHStepania STEAL (1 STL)20
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIASUB: James FOR Best20
22
Q2 - 11:26NOHMashburn Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)20
63.3%
22
36.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Butler )19
22
Q2 - 11:37MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
60.9%
22
39.1%
Q2 - 12:0019
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 38' 3PT Jump Shot19
60.2%
22
39.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
59.0%
22
41.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOHHornets Rebound18
22
Q1 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 218
58.7%
22
41.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.PN)18
22
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAButler Layup (8 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)18
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot18
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIALampley Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)18
63.0%
20
37.0%
Q1 - 1:02NOHMashburn 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)18
66.2%
18
33.8%
Q1 - 1:22MIAButler Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
63.3%
18
36.7%
Q1 - 1:36NOHLynch 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)16
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIABest Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 2:11NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
66.1%
14
33.9%
Q1 - 2:11NOHHornets Rebound13
14
Q1 - 2:11NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 213
65.6%
14
34.4%
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler13
14
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant13
14
Q1 - 2:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 2:11MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T4)13
14
Q1 - 2:14NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
65.8%
14
34.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot13
65.2%
14
34.8%
Q1 - 2:24NOHAnderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)13
64.0%
14
36.0%
Q1 - 2:33NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
61.5%
14
38.5%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot11
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
59.7%
14
40.3%
Q1 - 2:51NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot11
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 3:07MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T3)11
14
Q1 - 3:07NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 3:09NOHMISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot11
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 3:14NOHHornets Rebound11
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 3:15NOHAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)11
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAButler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)11
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
59.9%
14
40.1%
Q1 - 3:48NOHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot11
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 3:57NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)11
14
Q1 - 3:59MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 4:12NOHLynch Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 4:12NOHHornets Rebound10
14
Q1 - 4:12NOHMISS Lynch Free Throw 1 of 210
59.7%
14
40.3%
Q1 - 4:12NOHSUB: Anderson FOR Wesley10
14
Q1 - 4:12MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
14
Q1 - 4:29MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)10
60.4%
14
39.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
62.3%
12
37.7%
Q1 - 4:40NOHMISS Magloire 9' Jump Shot10
62.9%
12
37.1%
Q1 - 5:01MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)10
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 5:12NOHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
65.6%
10
34.4%
Q1 - 5:12NOHWesley OFF.Foul (P1)10
10
Q1 - 5:24NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)10
10
Q1 - 5:30NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
67.5%
10
32.5%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Best Running Layup10
66.9%
10
33.1%
Q1 - 5:36MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 5:37NOHMISS Magloire 21' Jump Shot10
66.1%
10
33.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 5:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 5:56NOHMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot10
69.3%
8
30.7%
Q1 - 6:08NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
70.5%
8
29.5%
Q1 - 6:10NOHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot10
69.4%
8
30.6%
Q1 - 6:32MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
70.3%
8
29.7%
Q1 - 6:32MIAButler OFF.Foul (P1)10
8
Q1 - 6:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
68.7%
8
31.3%
Q1 - 6:39NOHMISS Lynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
69.2%
8
30.8%
Q1 - 7:01MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
71.4%
6
28.6%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot10
72.4%
6
27.6%
Q1 - 7:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
71.2%
6
28.8%
Q1 - 7:20NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot10
71.7%
6
28.3%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
72.3%
6
27.7%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup10
71.9%
6
28.1%
Q1 - 8:01NOHWesley 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
70.9%
6
29.1%
Q1 - 8:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
69.4%
6
30.6%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup8
69.0%
6
31.0%
Q1 - 8:31MIAHEAT Rebound8
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 8:33NOHMISS Brown 5' Hook Shot8
68.3%
6
31.7%
Q1 - 8:48NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
68.9%
6
31.1%
Q1 - 8:50NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot8
68.1%
6
31.9%
Q1 - 9:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
68.8%
6
31.2%
Q1 - 9:02MIAGrant Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
68.8%
6
31.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot8
70.4%
4
29.6%
Q1 - 9:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 9:20NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot8
69.6%
4
30.4%
Q1 - 9:36MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 9:46NOHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot8
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 10:05MIAButler 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 10:25NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 10:25NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 10:25MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 10:34MIABest Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 10:46NOHMagloire 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)6
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 10:56NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.5%
0
33.5%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot4
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:07NOHBrown Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 11:08NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:09NOHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot2
64.9%
0
35.1%
Q1 - 11:21NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 11:44NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Magloire: Tip to Lynch0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.92 45.8%
MIA
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
13
22
59%
MIA
17
28
61%
Midrange
NOH
21
53
40%
MIA
17
46
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
MIA
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
NOH
13
17
76%
MIA
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2150%10.5 / 21
P. Brown2063%10.0 / 16
J. Magloire1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wesley1142%5.5 / 13
R. Traylor770%3.5 / 5
K. Anderson638%3.0 / 8
S. Augmon467%2.0 / 3
C. Alexander450%2.0 / 4
G. Lynch319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2548%12.5 / 26
V. Stepania1771%8.5 / 12
B. Grant945%4.5 / 10
R. Butler844%4.0 / 9
M. Allen633%3.0 / 9
T. Best638%3.0 / 8
S. Lampley675%3.0 / 4
M. James422%2.0 / 9
A. Carter250%1.0 / 2
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
75
+19
-10
94
MIA
77
+15
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.92 45.8%
MIA
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
94.5
NOH 102.4 +7.0
MIA 95.4
Pace
91.7
90.0
NOH 79.5
MIA 93.4 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.2
NOH 18.1
MIA 15.4 −2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
43.9%
NOH 45.1% +1.8%
MIA 43.3%
TO %
15.2%
14.8%
NOH 12.7%
MIA 10.1% −2.6%
ORB %
31.8%
26.8%
NOH 38.5% +14.1%
MIA 24.4%
FTrt
28.5
25.9
NOH 20.7 +2.4
MIA 18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
55.8%
NOH 55.6% +9.9%
MIA 45.7%
STL %
8.6%
7.9%
NOH 5.9%
MIA 6.9% +1.0%
BLK %
7.1%
6.4%
NOH 9.5% +6.8%
MIA 2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.7%
46.0%
NOH 45.8% +0.7%
MIA 45.1%
Rim FG%
53.8%
53.7%
NOH 59.1%
MIA 60.7% +1.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
37.6%
NOH 39.6% +2.6%
MIA 37.0%
3P %
37.6%
31.6%
NOH 28.6% +16.1%
MIA 12.5%
FT %
76.8%
76.5%
NOH 76.5%
MIA 80.0% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
28.9%
NOH 26.8%
MIA 34.1% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
51.7%
54.2%
NOH 64.6%
MIA 56.1% −8.5%
3P Att. %
16.1%
16.9%
NOH 8.5%
MIA 9.8% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points8783
Rebounds4935
Assists2016
Steals56
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)24 (4)
Field Goals36-8235-82
At-the-Rim FG13-2217-28
Midrange FG21-5317-46
2-Point FG34-7534-74
3-Point FG2-71-8
Free Throws13-1712-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 247 · 30
42.1
21
50%
5
7
2
0
1
3
0
5
6-7
86%
6-15
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 239 · 33
35.6
20
63%
14
3
1
2
0
1
5
9
2-2
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
32.8
11
46%
11
1
0
4
3
5
1
10
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 32
31.4
11
42%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'8" 235 · 33
27.9
3
19%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 168 · 32
20.7
6
38%
3
3
0
0
2
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26
15.1
7
70%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35
14.0
4
67%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 260 · 25
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
8.1
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 212 · 24
G · 6'2" 190 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
49
20
5
7
10
0
15
34
13-17
76%
34-75
45%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.