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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers41%101106
8Timberwolves59%10499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.6
40.3
34.7
21
62%
1
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
8-14
3-8
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.0
38.1
35.2
26
53%
15
6
1
1
5
0
7
8
6-13
46%
10-19
9-16
53%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
37.2
39.8
30
55%
6
3
3
2
1
0
1
5
7-7
100%
10-22
10-20
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.6
25.3
27.4
5
50%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.1
18.3
20.7
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.6
29.9
26.1
11
81%
7
2
3
1
3
2
2
5
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
22.9
18.2
5
32%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
9.5
9.9
0
0%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 37.0
8.6
5.3
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
42%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
7.0
11.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.4
2.9
4.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
3.2
0
1-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 27.0
42.0
35.6
21
58%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
41.7
39.6
23
46%
17
5
1
1
1
5
5
12
7-9
78%
8-20
9-18
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.0
39.0
39.6
15
54%
8
4
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-13
6-11
46%
50%
1-1
100%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.3
30.8
27.1
9
75%
3
5
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
25.6
34.1
12
55%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-11
6-11
55%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
24.3
6.3
6
33%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.8
21.6
19.5
10
63%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
2-3
67%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.2
6.6
10.6
2
20%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 23.9
6.0
9.5
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.5
2.5
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.0
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.7
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.