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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks57%107116
17Warriors43%105114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.0
38.4
35.4
21
48%
5
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
7-14
5-11
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.1
37.0
31.8
17
48%
2
12
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.0
31.3
13.0
16
65%
11
0
1
0
4
1
6
5
2-3
67%
7-11
1-3
64%
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
29.8
22.0
13
77%
6
1
0
1
2
0
2
4
1-1
100%
6-8
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
18.9
39.2
18
68%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
3-6
8-15
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
31.9
16.8
11
70%
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.3
26.0
27.5
12
67%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
2-4
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.7
12.2
24.0
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
5.1
16.4
2
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 28.4
4.9
7.4
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.9
4.4
8.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.7
3.6
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
42.8
32.3
29
54%
4
8
1
2
0
5
0
4
4-6
67%
11-16
5-11
69%
48%
1-8
13%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
32.5
35.2
20
55%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.1
30.6
28.1
13
44%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
26.9
30.6
12
79%
12
1
0
1
0
2
6
6
6-6
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
45%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.7
18.6
19.9
2
33%
8
2
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
28.7
21.9
10
94%
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
2-3
67%
4-4
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
23.8
21.1
10
58%
3
10
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
20.4
18.7
13
73%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 26.8
15.6
15.7
5
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.1
0.2
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.1
9.4
0
1-3
42%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
4.7
0
1-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.