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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 15, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat24%8482
20Wizards76%9389
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
41.3
38.7
14
38%
4
5
3
2
1
3
1
3
5-8
63%
3-10
6-14
30%
41%
1-5
20%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
38.8
30.2
16
74%
11
1
0
1
1
4
6
5
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.7
32.2
28.6
16
62%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
2-3
67%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
29.9
29.4
14
71%
3
1
1
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
28.0
26.6
10
42%
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.7
30.2
24.7
8
38%
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
2-6
33%
40%
1-4
25%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
21.8
25.6
0
0%
10
0
0
1
1
1
5
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.5
11.6
13.3
2
23%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
6.3
10.1
2
33%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
37%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
8.2
0
1-2
41%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
6.3
0
1-1
44%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
1.7
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.4
41.8
37.3
37
65%
5
5
1
1
1
0
1
4
14-15
93%
10-18
5-12
56%
44%
1-4
25%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 40.1
39.5
36.5
19
52%
8
1
2
1
2
3
2
6
1-1
100%
9-17
8-18
53%
44%
0-1
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.6
33.1
29.3
8
37%
12
5
3
1
1
0
1
11
0-2
0%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.3
29.3
22.0
4
52%
4
0
2
0
3
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.1
20.3
28.4
5
36%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
27.7
28.0
5
36%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.2
21.0
19.1
5
44%
7
0
2
1
1
0
2
5
3-6
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.0
12.0
18.4
2
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.2
8.2
10.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.1
6.7
10.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.8
0.5
2.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.4
9.1
0
1-2
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.