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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 18, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1076ers65%92103
27Heat35%8883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.8
43.3
41.9
32
58%
4
6
2
3
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
11-21
8-19
52%
43%
2-4
50%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
35.1
35.3
5
31%
3
4
1
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
46%
1-1
100%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
31.5
28.5
17
72%
7
1
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
3-4
75%
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
26.7
15.8
2
53%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.7
18.2
36.2
4
50%
7
2
0
1
3
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.6
29.3
17.2
16
57%
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
4
4-7
57%
6-11
2-4
55%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.5
24.5
26.9
14
78%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
17.2
13.6
6
100%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Monty Williams
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.4
6.0
5.5
2
69%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.8
4.5
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.3
2.4
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
1.4
1.8
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
34.1
38.7
26
64%
6
1
1
2
0
2
0
6
5-5
100%
9-15
6-13
60%
42%
1-3
33%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
32.5
7.3
6
22%
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-11
1-2
27%
42%
0-2
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
30.7
32.5
8
51%
11
0
1
1
1
2
0
11
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
28.5
9.0
4
23%
1
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-7
1-2
14%
38%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
27.9
29.0
8
51%
2
0
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
27.2
23.8
14
88%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-8
3-7
88%
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.7
22.4
26.1
9
48%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
3-5
2-6
60%
41%
0-3
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.7
19.5
29.2
2
33%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
11.3
26.7
6
47%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
1-2
3-8
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.5
3.6
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
2.3
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
4.8
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.