Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies29%9880
8Timberwolves71%10596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.3
34.9
27.5
16
53%
5
1
0
1
2
3
2
3
4-5
80%
6-13
5-9
46%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.5
32.6
31.3
18
82%
5
3
3
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
32.6
30.4
7
35%
7
1
1
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.3
32.6
28.8
9
41%
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
32.3
30.5
9
32%
1
3
3
0
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-13
7-13
31%
51%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.4
20.3
18.3
9
36%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
3-6
50%
3-10
3-7
30%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.4
15.4
19.8
2
17%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.3
15.4
17.6
6
77%
2
1
3
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.8
15.4
12.7
4
29%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
8.5
13.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.1
12.6
0
2-3
45%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.0
4.3
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.0
42.3
38.3
16
47%
5
3
2
1
2
3
0
5
1-2
50%
6-11
6-11
55%
51%
1-5
20%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.3
39.7
26.8
7
44%
6
6
2
1
1
5
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 27.0
39.4
33.6
12
52%
4
4
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
37.8
38.2
29
52%
19
6
1
1
1
1
5
14
1-4
25%
14-26
9-18
54%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
14.2
16.3
10
73%
6
0
1
0
0
0
5
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.2
33.8
16.6
10
51%
12
2
1
0
0
1
2
10
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.8
13.7
20.7
8
51%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.5
9.2
10.9
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.7
4.5
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 23.9
4.2
12.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.7
1.4
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
20.8
0
4-7
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.