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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat18%9093
11Magic82%101109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
37.1
35.9
20
70%
4
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
5-5
100%
3-9
5-13
33%
42%
3-3
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
34.2
17.1
10
41%
5
8
2
1
1
4
3
2
2-3
67%
4-10
2-5
40%
37%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
33.2
20.1
8
36%
5
2
0
0
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-6
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
31.2
31.2
17
62%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
5-6
83%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
23.8
25.0
12
67%
7
0
1
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
26.3
28.2
12
56%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
14.3
18.3
2
17%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
41%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.7
13.8
24.7
3
22%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
0-4
3-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.7
12.4
24.2
3
26%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.5
7.6
9.2
6
63%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
6.1
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
4.0
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
38.3
37.8
36
80%
6
9
3
2
1
7
1
5
10-10
100%
7-12
8-17
58%
49%
4-6
67%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
29.8
35.4
18
54%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
2-6
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.1
19.2
16.6
3
104%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 33.3
11.9
19.1
6
104%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
11.6
26.6
7
51%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 26.6
30.2
26.4
18
64%
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
4-10
40%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.7
25.1
26.9
10
83%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
24.0
17.4
8
75%
5
2
0
1
2
0
1
4
2-3
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.5
17.3
8.4
2
11%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
0-6
0%
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
16.1
13.2
0
0%
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
14.6
6.4
1
28%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
1.8
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.