for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2003
Final Win Prob. pScore
27
Heat
18%90
93
11
Magic
82%101
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
100.09387.6
ORL logo Magic
116.094100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
109
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)93
109
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLGiricek 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
109
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAButler 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)93
107
Q4 - 1:03ORLMAGIC Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#16)91
107
Q4 - 1:12ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
107
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 291
107
Q4 - 1:12MIAHeat Rebound91
107
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 291
107
Q4 - 1:12ORLOyedeji S.FOUL (P1.PN)91
107
Q4 - 1:13MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
107
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot91
107
Q4 - 1:34MIACarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
107
Q4 - 1:36ORLMISS Oyedeji Layup91
107
Q4 - 1:47ORLSUB: Giricek FOR Garrity91
107
Q4 - 1:47ORLSUB: Oyedeji FOR DeClercq91
107
Q4 - 1:47MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)91
107
Q4 - 1:59MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
107
Q4 - 1:59MIALampley Tip Shot (6 PTS)91
107
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot89
107
Q4 - 2:15MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
107
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Sasser Layup89
107
Q4 - 2:20ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
107
Q4 - 2:22ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
107
Q4 - 2:34ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
107
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Lampley 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
107
Q4 - 2:40MIAHeat Rebound89
107
Q4 - 2:42MIASasser BLOCK (1 BLK)89
107
Q4 - 2:5189
107
Q4 - 2:51ORLSasser P.FOUL (P1.T4)89
107
Q4 - 2:52MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
107
Q4 - 2:54MIADeClercq BLOCK (2 BLK)89
107
Q4 - 3:01ORLWhitney 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garrity 4 AST)89
107
Q4 - 3:21ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
105
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Johnson Layup89
105
Q4 - 3:33MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
105
Q4 - 3:35ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 3:38ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
105
Q4 - 3:40ORLMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 3:44MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler89
105
Q4 - 3:44MIALampley P.FOUL (P1.T3)89
105
Q4 - 3:55ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
105
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 4:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
105
Q4 - 4:11ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
105
Q4 - 4:37MIAHouse 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
105
Q4 - 4:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
105
Q4 - 4:43ORLMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot87
105
Q4 - 5:02MIALampley 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
105
Q4 - 5:12ORLSUB: Sasser FOR McGrady85
105
Q4 - 5:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)85
105
Q4 - 5:26ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)85
105
Q4 - 5:42MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)85
102
Q4 - 6:01ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (DeClercq 2 AST)82
102
Q4 - 6:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Allen82
99
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
99
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
99
Q4 - 6:15ORLArmstrong S.FOUL (P4.T3)80
99
Q4 - 6:30MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99
Q4 - 6:32ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot80
99
Q4 - 6:42ORLMAGIC Rebound80
99
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot80
99
Q4 - 7:00ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)80
99
Q4 - 7:13MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
96
Q4 - 7:13ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Hunter79
96
Q4 - 7:13MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
96
Q4 - 7:13ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P4.T2)78
96
Q4 - 7:19ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)78
96
Q4 - 7:27ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
96
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot78
96
Q4 - 7:36MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
96
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 278
96
Q4 - 7:36MIASUB: Carter FOR Best78
96
Q4 - 7:36ORLMAGIC Rebound78
96
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 278
96
Q4 - 7:36MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler78
96
Q4 - 7:36MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.T2)78
96
Q4 - 7:47ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
96
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
96
Q4 - 8:03ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)78
96
Q4 - 8:08ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
93
Q4 - 8:11MIAMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)78
93
Q4 - 8:18MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
93
Q4 - 8:19ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot78
93
Q4 - 8:30ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
93
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
93
Q4 - 8:43MIASUB: Butler FOR Stepania78
93
Q4 - 8:43ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Sasser78
93
Q4 - 8:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
93
Q4 - 8:51ORLMcGrady 20' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)78
93
Q4 - 9:06MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 3 AST)78
91
Q4 - 9:22ORLDeClercq 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)76
91
Q4 - 9:43ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
89
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Best 23' Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 10:03MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
89
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 10:18MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant76
89
Q4 - 10:18ORLMAGIC Rebound76
89
Q4 - 10:19ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 10:24MIAWhitney STEAL (1 STL)76
89
Q4 - 10:34MIAHeat Rebound76
89
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 10:45MIAHeat Rebound76
89
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 10:54ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P3.T1)76
89
Q4 - 10:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
89
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 11:14ORLHunter Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)76
89
Q4 - 11:26ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
89
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Best 10' Running Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 11:32MIAHeat Rebound76
89
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot76
89
Q4 - 11:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
89
Q4 - 11:50ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 276
89
Q4 - 11:50ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
89
Q4 - 11:50MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T1)76
88
Q4 - 11:50ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
88
Q4 - 11:50ORLMISS DeClercq Layup76
88
Q4 - 12:0076
88
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL76
88
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound76
88
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Whitney 29' 3PT Jump Shot76
88
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
88
Q3 - 0:04.0MIADeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)76
88
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)76
88
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Armstrong76
87
Q3 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler76
87
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)76
87
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.PN)76
86
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
86
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLMISS McGrady 17' Running Jump Shot76
86
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)76
86
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Butler: Tip to DeClercq76
86
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
86
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)76
85
Q3 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen76
84
Q3 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Best FOR Carter76
84
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLSUB: Whitney FOR Giricek76
84
Q3 - 0:47.0MIACarter P.FOUL (P4.PN)76
84
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
84
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot76
84
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
84
Q3 - 1:01ORLMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot76
84
Q3 - 1:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
84
Q3 - 1:17MIAAllen Tip Shot (10 PTS)76
84
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Butler 3' Hook Shot74
84
Q3 - 1:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
84
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Butler 12' Running Jump Shot74
84
Q3 - 1:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
84
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot74
84
Q3 - 2:07ORLMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)74
84
Q3 - 2:21MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
82
Q3 - 2:21MIASUB: House FOR James73
82
Q3 - 2:21ORLSUB: Hunter FOR Garrity73
82
Q3 - 2:21MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
82
Q3 - 2:21ORLGarrity P.FOUL (P4.PN)72
82
Q3 - 2:42ORLGiricek 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Garrity 3 AST)72
82
Q3 - 2:57MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T13)72
79
Q3 - 2:57MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P2)72
79
Q3 - 3:20ORLGiricek 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)72
79
Q3 - 3:33ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Kemp72
77
Q3 - 3:33ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)72
77
Q3 - 3:33ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
77
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 172
77
Q3 - 3:34ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
77
Q3 - 3:34MIAGrant Driving Layup (17 PTS)72
77
Q3 - 3:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
77
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot70
77
Q3 - 4:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
77
Q3 - 4:09ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
77
Q3 - 4:24MIAGrant Layup (15 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)70
77
Q3 - 4:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
77
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
77
Q3 - 4:51MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T4)68
77
Q3 - 4:56ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
77
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 168
77
Q3 - 4:57ORLArmstrong S.FOUL (P3.PN)68
77
Q3 - 4:57MIACarter Layup (10 PTS)68
77
Q3 - 5:01ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)66
77
Q3 - 5:07MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
77
Q3 - 5:07ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Vaughn65
77
Q3 - 5:07MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
77
Q3 - 5:07ORLVaughn S.FOUL (P4.PN)64
77
Q3 - 5:30ORLGiricek 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)64
77
Q3 - 5:43MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)64
75
Q3 - 5:58ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)62
75
Q3 - 5:58MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T3)62
74
Q3 - 5:58ORLMcGrady 8' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)62
74
Q3 - 6:13ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
72
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 262
72
Q3 - 6:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
72
Q3 - 6:13ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P2.PN)61
72
Q3 - 6:16ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)61
72
Q3 - 6:37ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
72
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot61
72
Q3 - 6:55ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
72
Q3 - 6:55ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
71
Q3 - 6:55MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T2)61
70
Q3 - 6:55ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
70
Q3 - 6:57ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
70
Q3 - 7:07MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)61
70
Q3 - 7:07ORLVaughn S.FOUL (P3.PN)60
70
Q3 - 7:07MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)60
70
Q3 - 7:16MIASUB: James FOR Butler58
70
Q3 - 7:16MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)58
70
Q3 - 7:16ORLMcGrady P.FOUL (P3.T4)58
70
Q3 - 7:17MIACarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
70
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Carter 4' Running Jump Shot58
70
Q3 - 7:25ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)58
70
Q3 - 7:36MIAAllen 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
68
Q3 - 7:52ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)56
68
Q3 - 8:02MIACarter L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)56
65
Q3 - 8:02ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
65
Q3 - 8:03ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 8:18ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
65
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Butler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 8:28ORLMcGrady P.FOUL (P2.T3)56
65
Q3 - 8:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
65
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 8:51MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania56
65
Q3 - 8:51ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P1.T11)56
65
Q3 - 8:51ORLKemp OFF.Foul (P3)56
65
Q3 - 8:57ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
65
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 9:22MIACarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
65
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 9:37ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)56
65
Q3 - 9:44ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
63
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot56
63
Q3 - 9:57ORLVaughn P.FOUL (P2.T2)56
63
Q3 - 10:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
63
Q3 - 10:05ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot56
63
Q3 - 10:21MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)56
63
Q3 - 10:33ORLGiricek P.FOUL (P2.T1)54
63
Q3 - 10:50ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)54
63
Q3 - 11:07MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)54
61
Q3 - 11:30ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)52
61
Q3 - 11:45MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)52
59
Q3 - 12:0050
59
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
59
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
59
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 73' 3PT Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)50
59
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)50
59
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLGiricek Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
59
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
59
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)50
59
Q2 - 1:08MIACarter Foul Turnover (P4.T11)50
57
Q2 - 1:08MIACarter OFF.Foul (P2)50
57
Q2 - 1:12ORLGiricek 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)50
57
Q2 - 1:26MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)50
54
Q2 - 1:45ORLSUB: Kemp FOR Gooden47
54
Q2 - 1:45ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)47
54
Q2 - 1:45MIAHeat Rebound47
54
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
54
Q2 - 1:50MIAVaughn STEAL (2 STL)47
54
Q2 - 2:03ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)47
54
Q2 - 2:21MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
52
Q2 - 2:42ORLGooden Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)45
52
Q2 - 2:57MIAAllen 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS)45
50
Q2 - 3:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)43
50
Q2 - 3:18ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)43
50
Q2 - 3:24ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
47
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Carter Layup43
47
Q2 - 3:38MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania43
47
Q2 - 3:38ORLGarrity P.FOUL (P1.T2)43
47
Q2 - 3:53ORLMcGrady Slam Dunk (10 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 3:56MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)43
45
Q2 - 3:59ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)43
45
Q2 - 4:12ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
45
Q2 - 4:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
45
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot43
45
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup43
45
Q2 - 4:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
45
Q2 - 4:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
44
Q2 - 4:31ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR Hunter43
43
Q2 - 4:31ORLSUB: Gooden FOR Armstrong43
43
Q2 - 4:31ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
43
Q2 - 4:31MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T3)43
43
Q2 - 4:42MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
43
Q2 - 5:00ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
43
Q2 - 5:06MIAGarrity STEAL (2 STL)41
40
Q2 - 5:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
40
Q2 - 5:14ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
40
Q2 - 5:33MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)41
40
Q2 - 5:48ORLArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 6:05MIAStepania Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)39
37
Q2 - 6:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
37
Q2 - 6:15ORLMISS Giricek Layup37
37
Q2 - 6:30ORLSUB: Giricek FOR Sasser37
37
Q2 - 6:30MIASUB: Carter FOR James37
37
Q2 - 6:30MIASUB: Grant FOR Best37
37
Q2 - 6:30MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen37
37
Q2 - 6:30MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
37
Q2 - 6:34MIASasser STEAL (1 STL)37
37
Q2 - 6:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
37
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
37
Q2 - 6:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
37
Q2 - 6:57MIAStepania Tip Shot (10 PTS)37
37
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Stepania Layup35
37
Q2 - 7:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
37
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 7:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
37
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Garrity Layup35
37
Q2 - 7:26ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
37
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS James Layup35
37
Q2 - 7:32ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
37
Q2 - 7:48MIAStepania Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)35
37
Q2 - 7:53ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)33
37
Q2 - 7:58MIAGarrity STEAL (1 STL)33
37
Q2 - 8:21ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
37
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Stepania Layup33
34
Q2 - 8:31ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
34
Q2 - 8:51ORLArmstrong P.FOUL (P2.T1)33
34
Q2 - 8:52ORLSUB: McGrady FOR Whitney33
34
Q2 - 8:5233
34
Q2 - 8:52MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)33
34
Q2 - 9:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
34
Q2 - 9:05ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot33
34
Q2 - 9:21MIAStepania 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)33
34
Q2 - 9:34MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
34
Q2 - 9:35ORLMISS Whitney 17' Jump Shot31
34
Q2 - 9:49MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
34
Q2 - 9:59MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler31
34
Q2 - 9:59MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)31
34
Q2 - 10:22ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)31
34
Q2 - 10:35MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 1 AST)31
32
Q2 - 10:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
32
Q2 - 10:51ORLMISS Whitney 20' Jump Shot29
32
Q2 - 11:08ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Butler Layup29
32
Q2 - 11:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
32
Q2 - 11:16ORLMISS Sasser 12' Turnaround Jump Shot29
32
Q2 - 11:32ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
32
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
32
Q2 - 12:0029
32
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
32
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLSUB: Hunter FOR DeClercq28
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound28
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 228
32
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
32
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot28
32
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
32
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot28
32
Q1 - 0:18.0ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
32
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAStepania Driving Dunk (4 PTS)28
30
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLArmstrong 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
30
Q1 - 0:58.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
28
Q1 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant25
28
Q1 - 0:58.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
28
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLArmstrong S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
28
Q1 - 1:21ORLSUB: Whitney FOR McGrady24
28
Q1 - 1:21ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
28
Q1 - 1:21ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
28
Q1 - 1:22ORLMISS Armstrong 7' Running Jump Shot24
28
Q1 - 1:45MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
28
Q1 - 1:45ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Giricek23
28
Q1 - 1:45MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
28
Q1 - 1:45ORLGiricek P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
28
Q1 - 1:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
28
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Allen 13' Turnaround Jump Shot22
28
Q1 - 2:00ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
28
Q1 - 2:00ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 2:00MIASUB: James FOR Butler22
26
Q1 - 2:00ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
26
Q1 - 2:00MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)22
26
Q1 - 2:21MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)22
26
Q1 - 2:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot20
26
Q1 - 2:44ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
26
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Grant 6' Turnaround Jump Shot20
26
Q1 - 2:59ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)20
26
Q1 - 3:08MIASUB: Best FOR Carter20
23
Q1 - 3:08ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Gooden20
23
Q1 - 3:08ORLMAGIC Rebound20
23
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot20
23
Q1 - 3:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23
Q1 - 3:18ORLMISS Giricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
23
Q1 - 3:31ORLGooden Violation:Defensive Goaltending20
23
Q1 - 3:31MIAButler Driving Layup (12 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 3:4018
23
Q1 - 3:48ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)18
23
Q1 - 3:48ORLMAGIC Rebound18
23
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot18
23
Q1 - 4:12MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
23
Q1 - 4:12ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Vaughn17
23
Q1 - 4:12MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
23
Q1 - 4:12ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P1.PN)16
23
Q1 - 4:21ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
23
Q1 - 4:21ORLGooden Tip Shot (5 PTS)16
23
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Gooden Layup16
21
Q1 - 4:28MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)16
21
Q1 - 4:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)16
21
Q1 - 4:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:49MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania16
19
Q1 - 4:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)16
19
Q1 - 4:49MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.PN)16
18
Q1 - 4:53ORLVaughn Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 4:53MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Butler )16
17
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)14
17
Q1 - 5:11ORLMcGrady S.FOUL (P1.PN)13
17
Q1 - 5:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
17
Q1 - 5:21ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 5:37MIACarter 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 5:56ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)11
17
Q1 - 5:56MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T4)11
16
Q1 - 5:56ORLDeClercq Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)11
16
Q1 - 6:08ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
14
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Grant Layup11
14
Q1 - 6:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
14
Q1 - 6:19ORLGooden P.FOUL (P1.T4)11
14
Q1 - 6:31ORLVaughn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 6:36ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 7:00ORLDeClercq 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)11
12
Q1 - 7:09ORLMAGIC Rebound11
10
Q1 - 7:10ORLMISS McGrady Layup11
10
Q1 - 7:14MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
10
Q1 - 7:18ORLGooden Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)11
10
Q1 - 7:34MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)11
8
Q1 - 7:40ORLGiricek Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)9
8
Q1 - 7:44ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
8
Q1 - 7:49ORLMISS Gooden Slam Dunk9
8
Q1 - 7:51ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
8
Q1 - 7:52ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 29
8
Q1 - 7:52ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
8
Q1 - 7:52MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T3)9
7
Q1 - 8:06ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot9
7
Q1 - 8:24MIAHeat Rebound9
7
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Giricek Layup9
7
Q1 - 8:39MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)9
7
Q1 - 8:48ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)7
7
Q1 - 8:53MIAVaughn STEAL (1 STL)7
7
Q1 - 9:10ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 9:10ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 9:10MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
5
Q1 - 9:20MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)7
5
Q1 - 9:37ORLVaughn P.FOUL (P1.T3)7
5
Q1 - 9:42ORLGiricek Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)7
5
Q1 - 9:54MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)7
3
Q1 - 10:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS DeClercq Free Throw 2 of 24
3
Q1 - 10:04ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 10:04MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:05ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
2
Q1 - 10:05ORLMISS Giricek 16' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:15MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:15MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:15ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Kemp2
2
Q1 - 10:15ORLKemp S.FOUL (P2.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:21ORLKemp 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:32MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 10:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Carter 7' Running Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:05ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:11ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:21ORLKemp P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36ORLMISS Gooden 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Gooden vs. Grant: Tip to Vaughn0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
ORL
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
30
57%
ORL
8
17
47%
Midrange
MIA
14
47
30%
ORL
18
31
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
ORL
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
22
28
79%
ORL
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2071%10.0 / 14
B. Grant1757%8.5 / 15
V. Stepania1267%6.0 / 9
M. Allen1255%6.0 / 11
A. Carter1038%5.0 / 13
R. Butler836%4.0 / 11
S. Lampley675%3.0 / 4
T. Best321%1.5 / 7
M. James325%1.5 / 6
E. House217%1.0 / 6
K. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3678%18.0 / 23
G. Giricek1853%9.0 / 17
P. Garrity1864%9.0 / 14
D. Armstrong1083%5.0 / 6
A. DeClercq867%4.0 / 6
D. Gooden750%3.5 / 7
S. Kemp6100%3.0 / 3
J. Vaughn3150%1.5 / 1
C. Whitney211%1.0 / 9
S. Hunter125%0.5 / 2
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 2
O. Oyedeji0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+23
-15
101
ORL
81
+16
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
ORL
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
102.6
MIA 100.0
ORL 116.0 +16.0
Pace
90.0
95.5
MIA 87.6
ORL 100.7 +13.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
MIA 16.4
ORL 14.3 −2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.8%
MIA 41.3%
ORL 56.4% +15.1%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
MIA 14.0% −1.2%
ORL 15.2%
ORB %
26.8%
27.1%
MIA 37.5% +6.7%
ORL 30.8%
FTrt
25.9
30.7
MIA 32.6
ORL 33.3 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.9%
MIA 50.0%
ORL 65.8% +15.8%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
MIA 9.7%
ORL 10.6% +0.9%
BLK %
6.4%
5.6%
MIA 16.7% +11.5%
ORL 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.2%
MIA 45.1%
ORL 56.2% +11.1%
Rim FG%
53.7%
54.6%
MIA 56.7% +9.6%
ORL 47.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.9%
MIA 29.8%
ORL 58.1% +28.3%
3P %
31.6%
35.7%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
76.5%
77.7%
MIA 78.6%
ORL 80.8% +2.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.8%
MIA 34.9% +13.1%
ORL 21.8%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
44.7%
MIA 54.7%
ORL 39.7% −14.9%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.5%
MIA 10.5%
ORL 38.5% +28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.522.4
Points93109
Rebounds4542
Assists1725
Steals910
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (5)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals34-8638-78
At-the-Rim FG17-308-17
Midrange FG14-4718-31
2-Point FG31-7726-48
3-Point FG3-912-30
Free Throws22-2821-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

27 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
37.1
20
71%
4
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
5-5
100%
3-9
33%
3-3
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
34.2
10
38%
5
8
2
1
4
4
3
2
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
33.2
8
36%
5
2
0
3
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
31.2
17
57%
4
0
1
0
1
3
3
1
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
F · 7'1" 255 · 27
23.8
12
67%
7
0
1
0
3
2
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
26.3
12
55%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
14.3
2
17%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
13.8
3
21%
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
12.4
3
25%
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
7.6
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
45%
45
17
9
8
15
0
18
27
22-28
79%
31-77
40%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.