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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 20, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs31%96112
1Mavericks69%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
49.2
38.3
25
63%
18
4
1
1
4
2
5
13
3-4
75%
11-18
7-15
61%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.8
46.6
35.2
8
43%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.3
43.0
33.6
22
70%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
10-14
5-12
71%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.8
40.0
32.7
22
52%
6
6
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
8-15
5-10
53%
48%
2-6
33%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
34.7
28.4
9
46%
2
1
1
2
0
3
0
2
1-4
25%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
24.5
23.1
17
74%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-1
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
3-6
50%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
7.8
14.6
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
7.0
8.4
7
90%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.9
6.0
8.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.0
3.2
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.4
2.8
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.3
2.2
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.8
51.1
33.9
34
56%
12
2
0
1
1
5
1
11
13-14
93%
9-18
6-12
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.1
43.6
31.6
18
52%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
2-4
50%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.0
27.9
12.4
7
44%
9
0
1
0
2
1
2
7
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
51%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.7
22.7
19.0
2
50%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
16.9
14.4
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.3
42.7
26.2
35
63%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
7-9
78%
8-17
3-6
47%
44%
4-7
57%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
32.3
22.4
7
60%
6
2
0
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
15.4
22.2
5
42%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
1-2
50%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.9
12.4
10.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.0
31.3
1
5-10
46%
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 28.4
8.4
0
1-3
42%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.8
7.2
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.