Final Win Prob. pScore
1563%96
96
2737%92
74
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
99.09797.0
MIA logo Heat
74.79999.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL96
74
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 3 AST)96
74
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
72
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)96
72
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)96
72
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
72
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot96
72
Q4 - 1:05ORLOyedeji P.FOUL (P3.T2)96
72
Q4 - 1:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
72
Q4 - 1:15ORLMISS Hunter 5' Hook Shot96
72
Q4 - 1:17ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
72
Q4 - 1:22ORLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)96
72
Q4 - 1:38ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
72
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Best Driving Layup96
72
Q4 - 1:56ORLVaughn Driving Layup (13 PTS)96
72
Q4 - 2:10ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
72
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot94
72
Q4 - 2:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
72
Q4 - 2:29ORLMISS Hunter 6' Jump Shot94
72
Q4 - 2:41ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
72
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 7' Hook Shot94
72
Q4 - 2:56ORLWhitney Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
72
Q4 - 2:56ORLWhitney Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
72
Q4 - 2:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)92
72
Q4 - 2:56MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)92
72
Q4 - 3:05MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)92
72
Q4 - 3:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
70
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
70
Q4 - 3:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
70
Q4 - 3:24ORLMISS Vaughn 10' Jump Shot92
70
Q4 - 3:43ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
70
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot92
70
Q4 - 3:59ORLSasser 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
70
Q4 - 4:23MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)90
70
Q4 - 4:23MIAHEAT Rebound90
69
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 290
69
Q4 - 4:23ORLHunter S.FOUL (P1.T1)90
69
Q4 - 4:36MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T2)90
69
Q4 - 4:36ORLSUB: Oyedeji FOR DeClercq90
69
Q4 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound90
69
Q4 - 4:36MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen90
69
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 190
69
Q4 - 4:36ORLHunter Layup (4 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)90
69
Q4 - 4:51ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
69
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 5:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
69
Q4 - 5:09ORLMISS Hunter 17' Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 5:12ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
69
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Best Driving Layup88
69
Q4 - 5:30MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
69
Q4 - 5:32ORLMISS Whitney 19' Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 5:50ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR Armstrong88
69
Q4 - 5:50ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)88
69
Q4 - 5:52MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)88
69
Q4 - 5:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
69
Q4 - 6:00ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)88
69
Q4 - 6:23ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
69
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 6:31MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
69
Q4 - 6:33ORLMISS DeClercq 18' Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 6:55ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
69
Q4 - 6:57ORLMISS Sasser 13' Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 7:14ORLMagic Rebound88
69
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
69
Q4 - 7:25MIASUB: Johnson FOR Stepania88
69
Q4 - 7:25MIASUB: Lampley FOR Carter88
69
Q4 - 7:25ORLWhitney Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)88
69
Q4 - 7:31MIAHouse 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)88
69
Q4 - 7:5188
67
Q4 - 7:51MIAHEAT Rebound88
67
Q4 - 7:52ORLMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
67
Q4 - 8:02ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
67
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
67
Q4 - 8:15ORLWhitney 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)88
67
Q4 - 8:28MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)86
67
Q4 - 8:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
67
Q4 - 8:37ORLMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
67
Q4 - 8:56MIABest 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
67
Q4 - 9:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
65
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Allen 7' Hook Shot86
65
Q4 - 9:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)86
65
Q4 - 9:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
65
Q4 - 9:32ORLMISS Hunter 9' Hook Shot86
65
Q4 - 9:52MIAAllen 15' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)86
65
Q4 - 9:59MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
63
Q4 - 10:02ORLMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot86
63
Q4 - 10:22ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
63
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot86
63
Q4 - 10:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
63
Q4 - 10:30ORLMISS Sasser 13' Jump Shot86
63
Q4 - 10:49MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)86
63
Q4 - 10:49MIASUB: Carter FOR Butler86
63
Q4 - 10:49ORLMagic Rebound86
63
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Stepania Layup86
63
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
63
Q4 - 11:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
63
Q4 - 11:26ORLHunter 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)86
63
Q4 - 11:36ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
63
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Butler Layup84
63
Q4 - 11:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
63
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot84
63
Q4 - 12:0084
63
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
63
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLBest STEAL (2 STL)84
63
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
63
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLVaughn 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
61
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)82
61
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
61
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Vaughn 3PT Jump Shot82
61
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
61
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
60
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P4.PN)82
59
Q3 - 0:55.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
59
Q3 - 1:00ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
59
Q3 - 1:15ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
59
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Stepania 8' Jump Shot82
59
Q3 - 1:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
59
Q3 - 1:33ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
59
Q3 - 1:50MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
59
Q3 - 1:50MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
58
Q3 - 1:50ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P3.PN)82
57
Q3 - 1:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
57
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot82
57
Q3 - 1:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
57
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot82
57
Q3 - 2:10MIASUB: Best FOR Carter82
57
Q3 - 2:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)82
57
Q3 - 2:11ORLGiricek 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
57
Q3 - 2:16ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
57
Q3 - 2:19ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot80
57
Q3 - 2:38MIAHouse Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
57
Q3 - 2:44ORLGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)80
55
Q3 - 2:49ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
55
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Stepania Layup77
55
Q3 - 2:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
55
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
55
Q3 - 3:16ORLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)77
55
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant75
55
Q3 - 3:30MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)75
55
Q3 - 3:41ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)75
55
Q3 - 3:50ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
55
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
55
Q3 - 4:12ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)72
55
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
55
Q3 - 4:25ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Kemp69
54
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
54
Q3 - 4:25ORLKemp P.FOUL (P4.PN)69
53
Q3 - 4:39ORLMcGrady Layup (34 PTS) (Kemp 2 AST)69
53
Q3 - 4:59MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
53
Q3 - 4:59MIAHEAT Rebound67
52
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 267
52
Q3 - 4:59MIASUB: Allen FOR Butler67
52
Q3 - 4:59MIASUB: House FOR Ellis67
52
Q3 - 4:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)67
52
Q3 - 4:59ORLMcGrady S.FOUL (P1.T4)67
52
Q3 - 5:02ORLCarter STEAL (4 STL)67
52
Q3 - 5:08ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
52
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot67
52
Q3 - 5:24ORLCarter STEAL (3 STL)67
52
Q3 - 5:28MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)67
52
Q3 - 5:44ORLGiricek Running Dunk (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)67
52
Q3 - 5:50MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)65
52
Q3 - 6:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
52
Q3 - 6:06ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 265
52
Q3 - 6:06ORLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
52
Q3 - 6:06MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T3)64
52
Q3 - 6:11ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
52
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot64
52
Q3 - 6:21ORLGarrity L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)64
52
Q3 - 6:21ORLCarter STEAL (2 STL)64
52
Q3 - 6:35MIAButler Layup (16 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)64
52
Q3 - 6:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
50
Q3 - 6:43ORLMISS Kemp 19' Jump Shot64
50
Q3 - 6:51ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
50
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot64
50
Q3 - 7:22ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)64
50
Q3 - 7:33ORLMagic Rebound61
50
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot61
50
Q3 - 7:42ORLButler STEAL (2 STL)61
50
Q3 - 7:55ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
50
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot61
50
Q3 - 8:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
50
Q3 - 8:10ORLMISS Giricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
50
Q3 - 8:22MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T2)61
50
Q3 - 8:39MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
50
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
48
Q3 - 9:00ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
48
Q3 - 9:18MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
48
Q3 - 9:18MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
47
Q3 - 9:18ORLKemp S.FOUL (P3.T2)61
46
Q3 - 9:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
46
Q3 - 9:27ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
46
Q3 - 9:39MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
46
Q3 - 9:49ORLGiricek P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
44
Q3 - 10:06ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
44
Q3 - 10:06ORLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
44
Q3 - 10:06MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T1)59
44
Q3 - 10:26MIAEllis Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)59
44
Q3 - 10:33ORLButler STEAL (1 STL)59
42
Q3 - 10:43MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)59
42
Q3 - 10:58ORLGiricek Reverse Layup (6 PTS)59
42
Q3 - 11:14ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
42
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Ellis 9' Jump Shot57
42
Q3 - 11:46ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)57
42
Q3 - 12:0055
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound55
42
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 55' 3PT Jump Shot55
42
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMcGrady Tip Shot (32 PTS)55
42
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
42
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLMISS McGrady Finger Roll53
42
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Kemp53
42
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)53
42
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
42
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
42
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)53
42
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
42
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 1:18MIAHEAT Rebound51
42
Q2 - 1:19ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 1:27ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
42
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 1:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
42
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 1:56MIASUB: Butler FOR Grant51
42
Q2 - 1:56MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)51
42
Q2 - 2:02ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)51
42
Q2 - 2:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)51
42
Q2 - 2:09ORLVaughn Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
42
Q2 - 2:32ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
42
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 2:42MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
42
Q2 - 2:44ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup49
42
Q2 - 2:51ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
42
Q2 - 2:53MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 3:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
42
Q2 - 3:05ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 3:19MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
42
Q2 - 3:35ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)49
40
Q2 - 3:44ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
40
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot46
40
Q2 - 3:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
40
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 246
40
Q2 - 4:00ORLMagic Rebound46
40
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 246
40
Q2 - 4:00MIASUB: Butler FOR Best46
40
Q2 - 4:00MIABest P.FOUL (P4.PN)46
40
Q2 - 4:08MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 4:08ORLGiricek S.FOUL (P1.T2)46
39
Q2 - 4:08MIABest Driving Layup (5 PTS)46
39
Q2 - 4:14MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
37
Q2 - 4:16ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot46
37
Q2 - 4:29ORLMagic Rebound46
37
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot46
37
Q2 - 4:45MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
37
Q2 - 4:47ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 146
37
Q2 - 4:47MIABest S.FOUL (P3.PN)46
37
Q2 - 4:47ORLMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS)46
37
Q2 - 5:05MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)44
37
Q2 - 5:21ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P2.T7)44
37
Q2 - 5:21ORLKemp OFF.Foul (P2)44
37
Q2 - 5:26ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
37
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot44
37
Q2 - 5:43ORLMcGrady 9' Jump Shot (25 PTS)44
37
Q2 - 5:52ORLSUB: Giricek FOR Whitney42
37
Q2 - 5:52ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR Sasser42
37
Q2 - 5:5242
37
Q2 - 5:52MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)42
37
Q2 - 5:54ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)42
37
Q2 - 6:04MIAHouse Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)42
37
Q2 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 6:23MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Kemp 11' Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 6:41ORLSUB: Kemp FOR Hunter42
35
Q2 - 6:43MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)42
35
Q2 - 6:43MIAJump Ball Allen vs. Hunter: Tip to42
35
Q2 - 6:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Sasser Tip Shot42
35
Q2 - 6:45ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
35
Q2 - 6:46ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 7:03MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)42
35
Q2 - 7:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
32
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Whitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
32
Q2 - 7:33ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
32
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot42
32
Q2 - 7:49ORLSUB: McGrady FOR Armstrong42
32
Q2 - 7:49MIAGrant Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
32
Q2 - 7:49MIAHEAT Rebound42
31
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Grant Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 242
31
Q2 - 7:49ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Oyedeji42
31
Q2 - 7:49ORLOyedeji FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T1)42
31
Q2 - 7:59ORLOyedeji 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
31
Q2 - 8:22MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)40
31
Q2 - 8:38MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)40
29
Q2 - 8:38MIASUB: Carter FOR Butler40
28
Q2 - 8:38ORLWhitney T.FOUL (P0.T0)40
28
Q2 - 8:38ORLSasser Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
28
Q2 - 8:38ORLSasser OFF.Foul (P1)40
28
Q2 - 8:38ORLHunter Violation:Defensive Goaltending40
28
Q2 - 8:48MIAButler 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
28
Q2 - 8:55MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
26
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Armstrong 21' Jump Shot40
26
Q2 - 9:09MIABest P.FOUL (P2.T4)40
26
Q2 - 9:17MIAAllen P.FOUL (P2.T3)40
26
Q2 - 9:31MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)40
26
Q2 - 9:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
26
Q2 - 9:53ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
26
Q2 - 9:57MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
26
Q2 - 10:12ORLWhitney 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)38
26
Q2 - 10:26MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T2)36
26
Q2 - 10:45MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)36
26
Q2 - 10:54ORLArmstrong 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
24
Q2 - 10:59MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
24
Q2 - 11:05ORLAllen STEAL (1 STL)34
24
Q2 - 11:18ORLSUB: Whitney FOR McGrady34
24
Q2 - 11:18MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
24
Q2 - 11:22ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
24
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot34
24
Q2 - 11:36ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)34
24
Q2 - 12:00MIAButler Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)32
24
Q2 - 12:00ORLMcGrady T.FOUL (P0.T0)32
23
Q2 - 12:0032
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
23
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound32
23
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS McGrady 30' 3PT Jump Shot32
23
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)32
23
Q1 - 0:09.0MIASUB: House FOR Stepania32
22
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Oyedeji32
22
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLSUB: Whitney FOR Hunter32
22
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLOyedeji S.FOUL (P1.PN)32
22
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAButler 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)32
22
Q1 - 0:29.0ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)32
20
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Butler Running Dunk29
20
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)29
20
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot26
20
Q1 - 1:07ORLSUB: Oyedeji FOR Garrity26
20
Q1 - 1:20ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Giricek26
20
Q1 - 1:20ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
20
Q1 - 1:28ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot26
20
Q1 - 1:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
20
Q1 - 1:44ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
20
Q1 - 1:50ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
20
Q1 - 1:57ORLBest STEAL (1 STL)26
20
Q1 - 2:02MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
20
Q1 - 2:25ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)26
20
Q1 - 2:27ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
20
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Giricek 15' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 2:41MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 2:41MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 2:41MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis23
18
Q1 - 2:41ORLSUB: Hunter FOR DeClercq23
18
Q1 - 2:41ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
18
Q1 - 2:41ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P2.PN)23
18
Q1 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup23
18
Q1 - 2:59MIAButler 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
18
Q1 - 3:17ORLDeClercq 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)23
16
Q1 - 3:33MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 3:33MIASUB: Best FOR Carter21
15
Q1 - 3:33MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 3:33ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
14
Q1 - 3:52ORLGiricek 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
14
Q1 - 4:00MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant19
14
Q1 - 4:00MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T3)19
14
Q1 - 4:06MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
14
Q1 - 4:06ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Vaughn19
13
Q1 - 4:06MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
13
Q1 - 4:06ORLVaughn S.FOUL (P2.T3)19
12
Q1 - 4:19ORLVaughn 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
12
Q1 - 4:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
12
Q1 - 4:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
12
Q1 - 4:56ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 117
12
Q1 - 4:56MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
12
Q1 - 4:56ORLMcGrady 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)17
12
Q1 - 5:01ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Kemp15
12
Q1 - 5:01MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
12
Q1 - 5:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
12
Q1 - 5:04ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
12
Q1 - 5:04ORLMISS Kemp Tip Shot15
12
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Kemp Layup15
12
Q1 - 5:26MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)15
12
Q1 - 5:38MIAHEAT Rebound15
10
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup15
10
Q1 - 5:42MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
10
Q1 - 5:44ORLMISS Vaughn Driving Layup15
10
Q1 - 6:06MIAButler Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)15
10
Q1 - 6:11ORLGrant STEAL (1 STL)15
8
Q1 - 6:13ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
8
Q1 - 6:14ORLMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 6:24ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 6:33MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
8
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Garrity 23' Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 6:58ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
8
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 7:03MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
8
Q1 - 7:08ORLMISS McGrady 5' Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 7:14ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Grant 8' Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 7:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
8
Q1 - 7:39ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)15
8
Q1 - 8:01MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)12
8
Q1 - 8:20ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)12
6
Q1 - 8:25MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
6
Q1 - 8:27MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
6
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS Kemp 19' Jump Shot9
6
Q1 - 8:40MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 8:56ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
4
Q1 - 8:56ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 8:56MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
4
Q1 - 9:17MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
4
Q1 - 9:40ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)7
2
Q1 - 9:58MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 10:21ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
0
Q1 - 10:28ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:37ORLKemp L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 10:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:47ORLVaughn P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:56ORLMcGrady Running Dunk (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:14ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Ellis 11' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:26MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:41MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Kemp: Tip to Butler0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.78 38.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
24
50%
MIA
9
17
53%
Midrange
ORL
16
37
43%
MIA
16
47
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
MIA
1
1.5
16
6%
9%
Free Throws
ORL
7
13
54%
MIA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3764%18.5 / 29
J. Vaughn1354%6.5 / 12
G. Giricek1365%6.5 / 10
D. Armstrong758%3.5 / 6
P. Garrity650%3.0 / 6
C. Whitney643%3.0 / 7
S. Kemp429%2.0 / 7
S. Hunter425%2.0 / 8
J. Sasser225%1.0 / 4
A. DeClercq250%1.0 / 2
O. Oyedeji250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1953%9.5 / 18
E. House1341%6.5 / 16
T. Best1042%5.0 / 12
A. Carter850%4.0 / 8
B. Grant750%3.5 / 7
R. Butler638%3.0 / 8
L. Ellis433%2.0 / 6
V. Stepania433%2.0 / 6
M. Allen213%1.0 / 8
K. Johnson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+9
-14
92
MIA
81
+13
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.78 38.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
94.5
ORL 99.0 +24.2
MIA 74.7
Pace
95.5
90.0
ORL 97.0
MIA 99.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.2
ORL 14.8
MIA 14.5 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
43.9%
ORL 52.4% +19.3%
MIA 33.1%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
ORL 13.4% −3.9%
MIA 17.3%
ORB %
27.1%
26.8%
ORL 17.0%
MIA 21.3% +4.3%
FTrt
30.7
25.9
ORL 15.3
MIA 30.0 +14.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
55.8%
ORL 48.7%
MIA 53.8% +5.1%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
ORL 12.4% +2.3%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
5.6%
6.4%
ORL 6.3% +1.4%
MIA 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
46.0%
ORL 51.1% +12.2%
MIA 38.9%
Rim FG%
54.6%
53.7%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 52.9% +2.9%
Mid FG%
39.9%
37.6%
ORL 43.2% +9.2%
MIA 34.0%
3P %
35.7%
31.6%
ORL 45.8% +39.5%
MIA 6.3%
FT %
77.7%
76.5%
ORL 53.8%
MIA 87.5% +33.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
28.9%
ORL 28.2% +7.0%
MIA 21.3%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
54.2%
ORL 43.5% −15.2%
MIA 58.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.9%
ORL 28.2% +8.2%
MIA 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9674
Rebounds4549
Assists1914
Steals1210
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)39 (3)
Field Goals39-8526-80
At-the-Rim FG12-249-17
Midrange FG16-3716-47
2-Point FG28-6125-64
3-Point FG11-241-16
Free Throws7-1321-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 24
32.5
37
64%
7
5
2
1
3
1
1
6
0-2
0%
8-16
50%
7-11
64%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
31.6
13
54%
6
3
1
0
0
2
0
6
3-6
50%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 238 · 27
30.9
6
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 220 · 26
28.5
13
65%
6
2
1
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 280 · 33
20.9
4
29%
6
2
2
0
2
4
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 21
19.9
4
25%
3
0
2
2
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
19.5
2
25%
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
17.6
6
43%
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
14.8
7
58%
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
14.2
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
9.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
51%
45
19
12
4
14
0
8
37
7-13
54%
28-61
46%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.