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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 23, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Magic62%9696
27Heat38%9274
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
32.5
33.3
37
66%
7
5
2
1
1
3
1
6
0-2
0%
8-16
7-14
50%
48%
7-11
64%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.1
31.6
16.6
13
56%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-6
50%
5-8
2-3
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 26.6
30.9
26.6
6
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
28.5
27.5
13
65%
6
2
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
46%
1-4
25%
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 33.3
20.9
18.1
4
29%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
43%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
19.9
16.2
4
27%
3
0
2
0
2
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-0
-
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
19.5
18.9
2
25%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
38%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.5
17.6
17.1
6
44%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-3
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.7
14.8
26.1
7
58%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
14.2
21.9
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
9.8
3.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
12.1
0
2-5
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
32.5
34.2
19
53%
3
0
2
2
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
8-13
5-12
62%
43%
0-3
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
30.3
23.3
8
51%
7
2
4
1
0
5
0
7
2-2
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
26.6
27.8
7
45%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
20.9
26.7
6
39%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
0-2
0%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
16.3
5.2
4
34%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.9
29.1
12.3
13
40%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
6-11
2-4
55%
43%
0-5
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
27.1
26.3
2
13%
9
0
1
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
46%
0-1
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.7
25.7
21.1
10
44%
6
3
2
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
16.5
23.6
4
34%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.6
7.4
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
7.4
9.0
1
27%
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.7
16.7
1
2-4
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.