Final Win Prob. pScore
965%96
84
2735%91
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
91.39296.5
MIA logo Heat
118.19489.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MINTrent 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 5 AST)84
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MINWilks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MINJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)82
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MINTrent 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:02MIAStepania 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)80
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:24MINJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAHEAT Rebound80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MINMISS Woods 10' Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MINJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MINGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MINMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)80
106
Q4 - 2:27MIAJump Ball James vs. Trent: Tip to Wilks80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MINSUB: Jackson FOR Smith80
106
Q4 - 2:36MINSmith P.FOUL (P5.T3)80
106
Q4 - 2:52MINGill 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Trent 1 AST)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames Driving Layup (15 PTS)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MINTrent Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler76
104
Q4 - 3:22MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN)76
104
Q4 - 3:43MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIASUB: Johnson FOR Allen76
103
Q4 - 3:43MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant76
103
Q4 - 3:43MIASUB: James FOR Carter76
103
Q4 - 3:43MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MINTrent S.FOUL (P1.T2)76
102
Q4 - 3:52MINWilks Driving Layup (6 PTS)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MINWilks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MINMISS Wilks 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAButler Running Dunk (33 PTS) (House 3 AST)74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MINHouse STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MINSmith S.FOUL (P4.T1)74
98
Q4 - 4:50MINGill Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAButler S.FOUL (P5.PN)73
98
Q4 - 4:50MINGill Layup (10 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MINGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MINMISS Wilks Driving Layup71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHouse Layup (13 PTS) (Carter 11 AST)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MINButler STEAL (4 STL)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.T4)71
96
Q4 - 5:32MINGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MINWilks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MINWilks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAButler P.FOUL (P4.T3)69
96
Q4 - 6:17MIAHouse Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 7 AST)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24MINMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MINSUB: Wilks FOR Peeler69
94
Q4 - 6:35MINSUB: Gill FOR Hudson69
94
Q4 - 6:35MINSUB: Woods FOR Nesterovic69
94
Q4 - 6:35MINSUB: Trent FOR Garnett69
94
Q4 - 6:35MINSUB: Smith FOR Szczerbiak69
94
Q4 - 6:35MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)69
94
Q4 - 6:38MIAButler Reverse Layup (31 PTS) (Carter 10 AST)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46MINMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAButler Running Layup (29 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)69
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 7:23MINSUB: Nesterovic FOR Jackson69
90
Q4 - 7:23MINSUB: Garnett FOR Gill69
90
Q4 - 7:23MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)69
90
Q4 - 7:27MIAButler Running Layup (27 PTS)69
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 7:30MINButler STEAL (3 STL)69
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)69
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 7:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)69
85
Q4 - 8:06MINJackson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Gill 4 AST)69
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 8:23MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 2 AST)67
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 8:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 8:33MINMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 8:48MINSUB: Peeler FOR Garnett67
83
Q4 - 8:50MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
83
Q4 - 8:50MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)67
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS House Layup67
7.8%
80
92.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 9:08MINMISS Jackson Layup67
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 9:29MINGill Violation:Defensive Goaltending67
80
Q4 - 9:29MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)67
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 9:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q4 - 9:35MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q4 - 9:40MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania67
78
Q4 - 9:40MINSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Smith67
78
Q4 - 9:40MIASUB: House FOR James67
78
Q4 - 9:57MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot67
11.7%
78
88.3%
Q4 - 10:17MINGill 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)67
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q4 - 10:27MINSUB: Hudson FOR Wilks65
78
Q4 - 10:27MIAJames P.FOUL (P4.T2)65
78
Q4 - 10:48MIAStepania Driving Dunk (10 PTS)65
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAHEAT Rebound65
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS James Driving Layup65
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHEAT Rebound65
76
Q4 - 11:08MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Smith: Tip to James65
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q4 - 11:13MINMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot65
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q4 - 11:22MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)65
16.2%
76
83.8%
Q4 - 11:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 11:30MINMISS Wilks 18' Jump Shot65
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q4 - 11:37MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T1)65
76
Q4 - 11:45MINGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q4 - 12:0065
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN65
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINTimberwolves Rebound65
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMISS Wilks 50' 3PT Jump Shot65
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 6 AST)65
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MINGarnett 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)65
21.2%
74
78.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T4)63
74
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 2 AST)63
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0MINSzczerbiak 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wilks 3 AST)63
21.1%
72
78.9%
Q3 - 1:10MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)61
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 1:30MIAHEAT Rebound61
22.1%
70
77.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 261
24.9%
70
75.1%
Q3 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 1:32MINGill P.FOUL (P2.T4)61
69
Q3 - 1:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)61
69
Q3 - 1:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
25.7%
69
74.3%
Q3 - 1:54MINMISS Szczerbiak 12' Jump Shot61
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q3 - 2:10MIAAllen Dunk (8 PTS)61
31.2%
69
68.8%
Q3 - 2:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup61
38.4%
67
61.6%
Q3 - 2:18MINCarter STEAL (2 STL)61
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 2:38MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)61
39.6%
67
60.4%
Q3 - 2:50MINSUB: Gill FOR Peeler61
67
Q3 - 2:50MINSUB: Wilks FOR Hudson61
67
Q3 - 2:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
67
Q3 - 2:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
35.2%
67
64.8%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot61
38.2%
67
61.8%
Q3 - 3:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
37.3%
67
62.7%
Q3 - 3:05MINMISS Peeler 19' Jump Shot61
38.6%
67
61.4%
Q3 - 3:25MIAButler Running Dunk (19 PTS)61
41.7%
67
58.3%
Q3 - 3:29MINButler STEAL (2 STL)61
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q3 - 3:36MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
50.6%
65
49.4%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Butler 5' Hook Shot61
49.1%
65
50.9%
Q3 - 3:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
45.8%
65
54.2%
Q3 - 3:52MINMISS Peeler Free Throw 2 of 261
46.4%
65
53.6%
Q3 - 3:52MINTimberwolves Rebound61
65
Q3 - 3:52MINMISS Peeler Free Throw 1 of 261
49.6%
65
50.4%
Q3 - 3:52MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant61
65
Q3 - 3:52MIAGrant S.FOUL (P4.T3)61
65
Q3 - 4:07MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)61
51.3%
65
48.7%
Q3 - 4:31MINPeeler 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
54.9%
63
45.1%
Q3 - 4:48MIACarter 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
51.3%
63
48.7%
Q3 - 4:59MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
54.9%
61
45.1%
Q3 - 5:01MINMISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
56.8%
61
43.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T2)59
61
Q3 - 5:13MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)59
60.0%
61
40.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
55.3%
61
44.7%
Q3 - 5:31MINMISS Szczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot59
56.8%
61
43.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P2.T13)59
59.9%
61
40.1%
Q3 - 5:44MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P1)59
61
Q3 - 6:05MINPeeler Running Dunk (14 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)59
56.3%
61
43.7%
Q3 - 6:15MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
52.6%
61
47.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHEAT Rebound57
60
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 257
53.3%
60
46.7%
Q3 - 6:15MINSmith S.FOUL (P3.T3)57
60
Q3 - 6:34MINPeeler 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)57
52.3%
60
47.7%
Q3 - 6:43MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
48.5%
60
51.5%
Q3 - 6:45MINMISS Szczerbiak 14' Jump Shot55
45.5%
60
54.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
48.5%
60
51.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIAHEAT Rebound55
59
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 255
49.4%
59
50.6%
Q3 - 6:55MINPeeler S.FOUL (P2.T2)55
59
Q3 - 7:00MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
48.2%
59
51.8%
Q3 - 7:02MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot55
50.3%
59
49.7%
Q3 - 7:19MINSUB: Smith FOR Nesterovic55
59
Q3 - 7:19MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
59
Q3 - 7:25MIAButler Running Layup (16 PTS)55
53.0%
59
47.0%
Q3 - 7:28MINJames STEAL (2 STL)55
56.7%
57
43.3%
Q3 - 7:33MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)55
57
Q3 - 7:45MINTimberwolves Rebound55
60.6%
57
39.4%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot55
59.4%
57
40.6%
Q3 - 8:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
56.8%
57
43.2%
Q3 - 8:07MINButler BLOCK (2 BLK)55
58.0%
57
42.0%
Q3 - 8:14MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
60.8%
57
39.2%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot55
59.6%
57
40.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
56.8%
57
43.2%
Q3 - 8:23MINMISS Garnett 13' Fadeaway Jumper55
58.0%
57
42.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T12)55
60.7%
57
39.3%
Q3 - 8:43MIAJames OFF.Foul (P3)55
57
Q3 - 8:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
56.8%
57
43.2%
Q3 - 8:57MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
58.0%
57
42.0%
Q3 - 9:08MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)55
61.1%
57
38.9%
Q3 - 9:35MINGarnett Dunk (15 PTS)55
64.4%
55
35.6%
Q3 - 10:01MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 1 AST)53
61.5%
55
38.5%
Q3 - 10:25MINSzczerbiak 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
67.9%
52
32.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAJames Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)51
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q3 - 10:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q3 - 10:49MINMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q3 - 11:01MIAStepania Reverse Layup (6 PTS)51
71.4%
50
28.6%
Q3 - 11:15MINPeeler P.FOUL (P1.T1)51
48
Q3 - 11:35MINNesterovic 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)51
74.0%
48
26.0%
Q3 - 11:41MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
71.4%
48
28.6%
Q3 - 11:44MINMISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot49
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q3 - 12:0049
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN49
71.4%
48
28.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINTimberwolves Rebound49
71.4%
48
28.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot49
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MINGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 249
70.8%
48
29.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MINTimberwolves Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)49
48
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
68.9%
48
31.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0MINWilks S.FOUL (P2.T4)49
47
Q2 - 0:13.0MINJames STEAL (1 STL)49
71.8%
47
28.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJames Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
73.8%
47
26.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MINPeeler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)49
76.9%
45
23.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)49
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q2 - 1:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
81.3%
43
18.7%
Q2 - 1:06MINMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot49
81.7%
43
18.3%
Q2 - 1:16MINTimberwolves Rebound49
82.7%
43
17.3%
Q2 - 1:17MINEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)49
81.7%
43
18.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)49
82.7%
43
17.3%
Q2 - 1:33MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
81.3%
43
18.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant48
43
Q2 - 1:33MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
80.8%
43
19.2%
Q2 - 1:33MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.PN)47
43
Q2 - 1:54MIAStepania Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)47
78.6%
43
21.4%
Q2 - 2:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
80.8%
41
19.2%
Q2 - 2:13MINMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 247
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen47
41
Q2 - 2:13MINTimberwolves Rebound47
41
Q2 - 2:13MINMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 247
82.1%
41
17.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.T4)47
41
Q2 - 2:13MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 2:14MINMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot47
81.4%
41
18.6%
Q2 - 2:15MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 2:17MINMISS Garnett 12' Jump Shot47
81.4%
41
18.6%
Q2 - 2:36MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot47
82.2%
41
17.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAHEAT Rebound47
80.9%
41
19.1%
Q2 - 2:51MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot47
81.5%
41
18.5%
Q2 - 3:03MINGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot47
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q2 - 3:26MINGarnett 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 3:46MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)45
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 3:54MINAllen STEAL (1 STL)45
80.7%
39
19.3%
Q2 - 4:11MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)45
82.6%
39
17.4%
Q2 - 4:21MIAHEAT Rebound45
84.2%
37
15.8%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup45
85.4%
37
14.6%
Q2 - 4:25MINButler STEAL (1 STL)45
84.2%
37
15.8%
Q2 - 4:38MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)45
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 4:38MINSUB: Gill FOR Szczerbiak45
36
Q2 - 4:38MINSzczerbiak S.FOUL (P3.T3)45
36
Q2 - 4:38MIAButler Layup (10 PTS)45
87.3%
36
12.7%
Q2 - 4:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
88.5%
34
11.5%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot45
89.4%
34
10.6%
Q2 - 4:55MINGarnett Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)45
88.5%
34
11.5%
Q2 - 5:07MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)45
89.5%
34
10.5%
Q2 - 5:25MINWilks 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
90.6%
32
9.4%
Q2 - 5:39MINSUB: Wilks FOR Hudson43
32
Q2 - 5:39MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)43
32
Q2 - 5:45MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)43
89.5%
32
10.5%
Q2 - 6:02MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
87.8%
32
12.2%
Q2 - 6:04MINMISS Peeler 19' Jump Shot43
88.2%
32
11.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIAGrant Layup (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)43
89.2%
32
10.8%
Q2 - 6:28MINSUB: Garnett FOR Trent43
30
Q2 - 6:28MINSUB: Nesterovic FOR Jackson43
30
Q2 - 6:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
30
Q2 - 6:32MINJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
90.1%
30
9.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIASUB: Butler FOR House42
30
Q2 - 6:32MINJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
89.9%
30
10.1%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T3)41
30
Q2 - 6:45MIASUB: Carter FOR Best41
30
Q2 - 6:45MINSUB: Peeler FOR Gill41
30
Q2 - 6:45MINTimberwolves Rebound41
89.2%
30
10.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 7:04MINSzczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
87.9%
30
12.1%
Q2 - 7:07MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
86.6%
30
13.4%
Q2 - 7:09MINMISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
85.7%
30
14.3%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
86.6%
30
13.4%
Q2 - 7:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
87.8%
28
12.2%
Q2 - 7:49MINMISS Szczerbiak 14' Jump Shot39
88.2%
28
11.8%
Q2 - 8:05MIAGrant 3' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)39
88.6%
28
11.4%
Q2 - 8:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
89.7%
26
10.3%
Q2 - 8:27MINMISS Trent 12' Jump Shot39
90.0%
26
10.0%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)39
26
Q2 - 8:44MINSUB: Hudson FOR Wilks39
26
Q2 - 8:4439
26
Q2 - 8:44MIAAllen P.FOUL (P2.T1)39
26
Q2 - 8:57MIAAllen 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)39
90.7%
26
9.3%
Q2 - 9:19MINGill Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)39
91.3%
24
8.7%
Q2 - 9:30MINJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
92.1%
24
7.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot39
91.8%
24
8.2%
Q2 - 9:44MINJackson 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)39
91.3%
24
8.7%
Q2 - 10:04MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
90.0%
24
10.0%
Q2 - 10:04MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
90.2%
23
9.8%
Q2 - 10:04MINWilks S.FOUL (P1.T2)37
22
Q2 - 10:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
90.9%
22
9.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot37
91.5%
22
8.5%
Q2 - 10:21MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
90.9%
22
9.1%
Q2 - 10:26MINMISS Trent 15' Jump Shot37
91.2%
22
8.8%
Q2 - 10:46MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)37
22
Q2 - 10:46MIAJump Ball Best vs. Wilks: Tip to Szczerbiak37
91.8%
22
8.2%
Q2 - 10:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
91.0%
22
9.0%
Q2 - 10:58MINMISS Trent 13' Jump Shot37
91.2%
22
8.8%
Q2 - 11:18MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
91.4%
22
8.6%
Q2 - 11:18MINSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Peeler37
21
Q2 - 11:18MINSUB: Trent FOR Garnett37
21
Q2 - 11:18MINJackson S.FOUL (P1.T1)37
21
Q2 - 11:18MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
92.2%
21
7.8%
Q2 - 11:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
92.8%
19
7.2%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot37
93.3%
19
6.7%
Q2 - 11:47MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)37
92.9%
19
7.1%
Q2 - 12:0035
19
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA35
92.2%
19
7.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound35
91.4%
19
8.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Running Jump Shot35
91.9%
19
8.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0MINGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
91.0%
19
9.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0MINGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
90.8%
19
9.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.PN)33
19
Q1 - 0:07.0MINGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
89.9%
19
10.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Best Driving Layup33
89.7%
19
10.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIA33
19
Q1 - 0:24.0MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
89.3%
19
10.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIABest S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
19
Q1 - 0:24.0MINGarnett Layup (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)32
88.3%
19
11.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
87.0%
19
13.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
86.7%
19
13.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0MINGill 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
86.1%
19
13.9%
Q1 - 1:02MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
84.2%
19
15.8%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot28
84.0%
19
16.0%
Q1 - 1:22MINGill 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)28
83.4%
19
16.6%
Q1 - 1:32MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)26
81.6%
19
18.4%
Q1 - 1:48MINSUB: Jackson FOR Smith26
19
Q1 - 1:48MINSmith L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)26
19
Q1 - 1:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
80.6%
19
19.4%
Q1 - 1:49MINMISS Wilks 3PT Jump Shot26
80.9%
19
19.1%
Q1 - 1:55MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)26
19
Q1 - 1:55MINTimberwolves Rebound26
81.6%
19
18.4%
Q1 - 1:55MINAllen BLOCK (3 BLK)26
80.9%
19
19.1%
Q1 - 2:13MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)26
81.4%
19
18.6%
Q1 - 2:24MINPeeler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wilks 2 AST)26
80.2%
19
19.8%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 1 AST)24
78.5%
19
21.5%
Q1 - 3:10MINPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)24
81.7%
16
18.3%
Q1 - 3:25MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
78.8%
16
21.2%
Q1 - 3:25MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
79.4%
15
20.6%
Q1 - 3:25MINSmith P.FOUL (P1.T3)21
14
Q1 - 3:35MINSUB: Wilks FOR Hudson21
14
Q1 - 3:35MIASUB: House FOR Butler21
14
Q1 - 3:35MIASUB: Best FOR Carter21
14
Q1 - 3:49MINHudson 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)21
80.3%
14
19.7%
Q1 - 3:50MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
78.8%
14
21.2%
Q1 - 3:52MINStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)19
77.7%
14
22.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)19
77.6%
14
22.4%
Q1 - 4:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
76.1%
14
23.9%
Q1 - 4:14MINAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)19
76.5%
14
23.5%
Q1 - 4:21MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
77.5%
14
22.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAHEAT Rebound19
14
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Butler Free Throw Technical19
76.0%
14
24.0%
Q1 - 4:30MINTimberwolves T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Smith )19
14
Q1 - 4:39MIAHEAT Rebound19
75.9%
14
24.1%
Q1 - 4:40MINAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)19
76.4%
14
23.6%
Q1 - 4:45MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
77.4%
14
22.6%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot19
76.9%
14
23.1%
Q1 - 5:01MINSUB: Gill FOR Nesterovic19
14
Q1 - 5:01MINSUB: Smith FOR Szczerbiak19
14
Q1 - 5:01MINSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P2.T2)19
14
Q1 - 5:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.2%
14
24.8%
Q1 - 5:09MINMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot19
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 5:12MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
76.8%
14
23.2%
Q1 - 5:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.2%
14
24.8%
Q1 - 5:17MINMISS Hudson 8' Running Jump Shot19
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 5:37MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot19
76.1%
14
23.9%
Q1 - 5:56MINNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)19
74.9%
14
25.1%
Q1 - 6:10MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
14
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 117
73.5%
14
26.5%
Q1 - 6:11MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant17
14
Q1 - 6:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
14
Q1 - 6:11MINSzczerbiak S.FOUL (P1.T1)17
14
Q1 - 6:11MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
73.7%
14
26.3%
Q1 - 6:18MINPeeler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)17
74.9%
12
25.1%
Q1 - 6:31MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
73.5%
12
26.5%
Q1 - 6:44MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
73.2%
10
26.8%
Q1 - 6:56MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P2)13
10
Q1 - 7:13MINPeeler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)13
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 7:27MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
69.1%
10
30.9%
Q1 - 7:28MINMISS Hudson 11' Running Jump Shot10
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 7:38MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
10
Q1 - 7:40MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 8:02MINGarnett 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 8:25MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)8
66.2%
10
33.8%
Q1 - 8:45MINHudson Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 8:56MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
66.0%
8
34.0%
Q1 - 9:14MINHudson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
67.5%
6
32.5%
Q1 - 9:37MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)4
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 9:42MINCarter STEAL (1 STL)4
67.2%
4
32.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 10:02MINStepania STEAL (1 STL)4
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 10:08MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot4
68.7%
2
31.3%
Q1 - 10:34MINSzczerbiak 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)4
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 10:35MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
67.1%
2
32.9%
Q1 - 10:38MINButler BLOCK (1 BLK)2
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)2
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 11:05MINSzczerbiak Layup (2 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)2
66.7%
0
33.3%
Q1 - 11:09MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 11:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:26MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot0
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:41MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.3%
0
34.7%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
65.3%
0
34.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Garnett: Tip to Stepania0
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
0.89 44.7%
MIA
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
12
24
50%
MIA
23
30
77%
Midrange
MIN
21
45
47%
MIA
18
34
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIN
12
16
75%
MIA
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett1747%8.5 / 18
A. Peeler1673%8.0 / 11
K. Gill1359%6.5 / 11
W. Szczerbiak1042%5.0 / 12
T. Hudson625%3.0 / 12
M. Wilks638%3.0 / 8
M. Jackson650%3.0 / 6
G. Trent650%3.0 / 6
R. Nesterovic433%2.0 / 6
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
L. Woods0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler3567%17.5 / 26
E. House1882%9.0 / 11
M. James1563%7.5 / 12
V. Stepania1286%6.0 / 7
B. Grant1169%5.5 / 8
A. Carter1071%5.0 / 7
M. Allen1050%5.0 / 10
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
T. Best0-0.0 / 1
K. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
77
+16
-15
93
MIA
76
+11
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
0.89 44.7%
MIA
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
94.5
MIN 91.3
MIA 118.1 +26.8
Pace
94.0
90.0
MIN 96.5 +6.7
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
MIN 14.9 −1.1
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
43.9%
MIN 43.4%
MIA 65.5% +22.1%
TO %
14.1%
14.8%
MIN 14.3% −3.6%
MIA 17.9%
ORB %
28.3%
26.8%
MIN 28.6% +0.6%
MIA 28.0%
FTrt
26.8
25.9
MIN 19.3
MIA 27.0 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
55.8%
MIN 62.9%
MIA 65.2% +2.3%
STL %
7.1%
7.9%
MIN 13.0% +1.3%
MIA 11.7%
BLK %
7.9%
6.4%
MIN 9.4%
MIA 13.0% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
46.0%
MIN 44.7%
MIA 63.8% +19.1%
Rim FG%
60.2%
53.7%
MIN 50.0%
MIA 76.7% +26.7%
Mid FG%
42.2%
37.6%
MIN 46.7%
MIA 52.9% +6.2%
3P %
36.8%
31.6%
MIN 14.3%
MIA 50.0% +35.7%
FT %
77.0%
76.5%
MIN 75.0% +5.0%
MIA 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.0%
28.9%
MIN 28.9%
MIA 40.5% +11.6%
Mid Att. %
60.2%
54.2%
MIN 54.2%
MIA 45.9% −8.3%
3P Att. %
11.8%
16.9%
MIN 16.9% +3.4%
MIA 13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points84111
Rebounds3037
Assists2230
Steals1211
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals35-8346-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2423-30
Midrange FG21-4518-34
2-Point FG33-6941-64
3-Point FG2-145-10
Free Throws12-1614-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 27
35.2
17
47%
9
5
1
2
1
0
3
6
3-3
100%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 33
30.8
16
73%
1
1
1
1
5
2
0
1
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 240 · 26
28.7
10
42%
3
2
3
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 178 · 27
24.5
6
25%
2
3
2
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-5
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 27
18.9
4
33%
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
1
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 35
28.9
13
59%
7
5
2
2
1
2
1
6
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 180 · 24
23.5
6
38%
2
3
2
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28
16.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 28
14.6
6
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 29
11.4
6
50%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
45%
30
22
12
6
15
0
12
18
12-16
75%
33-69
48%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.