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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Timberwolves65%9684
27Heat35%91111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
35.2
37.2
17
49%
9
5
1
1
2
1
3
6
3-3
100%
7-16
8-17
44%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.3
30.8
32.4
16
74%
1
1
1
1
1
5
0
1
0-2
0%
5-8
2-5
63%
42%
2-2
100%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.1
28.7
34.2
10
42%
3
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-4
0%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 27.0
24.5
35.2
6
25%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
0-5
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
18.9
9.8
4
34%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-2
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.8
28.9
19.9
13
63%
7
5
2
1
2
1
1
6
3-3
100%
5-9
2-6
56%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 23.9
23.5
11.1
6
38%
2
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
37%
0-3
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
16.9
23.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.2
14.6
21.1
6
51%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.5
11.4
13.6
6
51%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.8
6.6
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.7
5.0
0
1-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.0
39.2
34.1
35
70%
3
7
4
2
2
4
1
2
4-7
57%
14-20
5-12
70%
44%
1-2
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
35.5
26.2
10
71%
6
11
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
39%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
32.3
19.1
12
87%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.1
30.4
28.1
11
74%
8
3
0
1
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
11.8
23.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.8
30.1
9.8
15
64%
5
2
2
0
0
3
0
5
3-6
50%
6-7
1-2
86%
42%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.8
28.1
25.4
10
51%
8
1
1
0
3
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.9
18.7
20.4
18
83%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
4-5
80%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.7
8.8
19.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
3.7
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
1.6
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.6
13.2
0
2-4
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.