for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Grizzlies28%9671
6SuperSonics72%10395
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.4
30.8
29.2
5
29%
15
0
2
1
3
3
2
13
3-4
75%
1-7
5-10
14%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
28.4
32.6
10
56%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
25.8
35.3
13
48%
4
0
0
0
1
4
0
4
3-6
50%
5-11
7-14
45%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.4
22.8
34.2
3
14%
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
44%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.1
20.4
23.4
11
62%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.5
27.6
28.4
7
38%
2
1
1
1
3
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-5
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.8
25.3
16.1
8
51%
4
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.3
22.2
12.2
6
35%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
4-6
67%
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.4
19.6
9.5
4
40%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.3
17.2
12.8
4
29%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
4.7
0
0-1
39%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.0
2.0
0
0-0
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.2
40.7
32.0
14
49%
9
10
3
1
0
2
3
6
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
55%
2-6
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.7
39.0
39.7
25
69%
9
5
3
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
8-10
6-12
80%
49%
3-8
38%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
38.3
29.9
21
53%
10
2
2
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
3-13
3-5
23%
48%
5-7
71%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 22.9
26.6
25.1
0
0%
9
0
1
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.4
25.3
15.6
12
34%
5
1
0
0
0
2
4
1
0-1
0%
6-15
3-6
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.2
26.4
28.7
6
34%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.9
22.7
4.0
8
40%
5
1
0
0
2
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-10
0-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 27.4
21.1
15.2
9
51%
7
0
0
0
4
2
5
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 34.7
7.7
0
1-3
45%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.0
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.