for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 30, 2003
Final Win Prob. pScore
27
Heat
27%91
87
15
Bucks
73%99
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
101.28695.3
MIL logo Bucks
122.58981.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL87
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIALampley Dunk (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)87
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)85
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound84
109
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 284
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILHaislip P.FOUL (P1.PN)84
109
Q4 - 0:50.0MILHaislip 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MILMason Foul Turnover (P2.T13)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MILMason OFF.Foul (P2)82
107
Q4 - 1:41MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MILHaislip Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAButler 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIASUB: Johnson FOR Stepania80
105
Q4 - 2:33MILSUB: Haislip FOR Payton80
105
Q4 - 2:33MILSUB: Thomas FOR Cassell80
105
Q4 - 2:33MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)80
105
Q4 - 2:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MILMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Stepania 4' Hook Shot80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MILPrzybilla Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 9 AST)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHouse Layup (12 PTS)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MILPayton 10' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MILSUB: Przybilla FOR Johnson78
101
Q4 - 4:12MIALampley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MILPayton Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAHeat Rebound78
99
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MILJohnson S.FOUL (P5.PN)78
99
Q4 - 5:23MILPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MILSUB: Mason FOR Kukoc77
96
Q4 - 5:43MILSUB: Payton FOR Thomas77
96
Q4 - 5:4377
96
Q4 - 5:43MILRedd S.FOUL (P1.T4)77
96
Q4 - 5:43MIAHouse Layup (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)75
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:05MIAJames S.FOUL (P5.T2)75
95
Q4 - 7:05MILCassell Layup (22 PTS) (Kukoc 7 AST)75
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:19MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (House 2 AST)75
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:49MILCassell 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:09MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:11MILMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:30MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler72
91
Q4 - 8:30MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)72
91
Q4 - 8:30MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:30MIAHeat Rebound72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Stepania Layup72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:00MILThomas Layup (10 PTS) (Kukoc 6 AST)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)72
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 9:18MILKukoc P.FOUL (P3.T3)72
89
Q4 - 9:32MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)72
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 9:32MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T1)72
88
Q4 - 9:32MILKukoc Layup (17 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)72
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 9:35MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 9:54MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)72
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 10:15MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 10:33MILSUB: Cassell FOR Payton69
86
Q4 - 10:33MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)69
86
Q4 - 10:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 10:46MILThomas P.FOUL (P3.T2)69
86
Q4 - 10:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 10:51MILMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot69
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 11:05MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)69
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 11:08MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 11:20MILKukoc P.FOUL (P2.T1)67
86
Q4 - 11:29MIAHeat Rebound67
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS Stepania 2' Hook Shot67
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 11:45MILPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)67
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 12:0067
86
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)67
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAKukoc STEAL (1 STL)67
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0MILPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)67
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot67
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q3 - 1:24MILRedd 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)67
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 1:30MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot67
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 1:55MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T10)67
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 1:55MILMason OFF.Foul (P1)67
78
Q3 - 2:06MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Stepania 13' Jump Shot67
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 2:23MILPayton Layup (14 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)67
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 2:40MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot67
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)67
76
Q3 - 2:54MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (24 PTS)67
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHeat Rebound66
76
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Butler Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 266
8.8%
76
91.2%
Q3 - 2:54MILJohnson FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P4.PN)66
76
Q3 - 2:54MILJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)66
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 2:56MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 2:58MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot66
7.2%
76
92.8%
Q3 - 3:12MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant66
76
Q3 - 3:12MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.T3)66
76
Q3 - 3:23MIASUB: House FOR James66
76
Q3 - 3:23MILSUB: Redd FOR Cassell66
76
Q3 - 3:23MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T7)66
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAJames OFF.Foul (P4)66
76
Q3 - 3:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q3 - 3:29MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 3:55MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)66
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 3:59MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 4:12MILKukoc P.FOUL (P1.T4)64
76
Q3 - 4:12MILJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 4:29MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Grant Layup64
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 4:39MILPayton 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)64
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 4:55MIACarter Layup (6 PTS)64
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 5:15MILCassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)62
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 5:28MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)62
71
Q3 - 5:28MILBUCKS Rebound62
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot62
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 5:46MILMISS Mason 22' Jump Shot62
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 6:09MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 6:09MILSUB: Johnson FOR Przybilla60
71
Q3 - 6:09MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P5.T3)60
71
Q3 - 6:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 6:19MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot60
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 6:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)60
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 6:52MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Thomas60
71
Q3 - 6:52MILCassell P.FOUL (P3.T2)60
71
Q3 - 7:11MILCassell 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)60
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJames Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)60
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 7:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot58
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 7:55MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 4 AST)58
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 8:10MILPayton 6' Layup (10 PTS)55
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)55
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 8:39MILThomas 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)53
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)53
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 9:01MILPrzybilla L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)53
65
Q3 - 9:01MIAHeat Rebound53
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 9:02MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot53
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:12MILBUCKS Rebound53
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 9:13MILMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot53
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:16MILBUCKS Rebound53
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 9:16MILMISS Mason Layup53
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:22MIAJames P.FOUL (P3.T2)53
65
Q3 - 9:29MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)53
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 9:43MILThomas 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)53
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 9:48MIAAllen L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)53
63
Q3 - 9:48MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 9:48MILMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot53
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)53
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 10:20MILPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAJames Layup (7 PTS)50
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 10:50MILCassell Layup (13 PTS)48
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 10:54MILCassell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)48
5.6%
61
94.4%
Q3 - 10:56MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)48
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 11:17MILThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)48
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 11:36MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Allen 11' Hook Shot48
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 12:0048
61
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL48
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAHeat Rebound46
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIARedd BLOCK (1 BLK)46
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)46
61
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0MILMISS Redd 4' Jump Shot46
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)46
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q2 - 1:05MILMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot43
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAButler Layup (13 PTS) (House 1 AST)43
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q2 - 1:27MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)41
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q2 - 1:57MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant38
60
Q2 - 1:57MILSUB: Redd FOR Cassell38
60
Q2 - 1:57MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)38
59
Q2 - 1:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 1:57MILMISS Cassell Layup38
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q2 - 1:59MILCassell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)38
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 2:01MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.6%
59
97.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q2 - 2:14MIAButler Dunk (11 PTS)38
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot36
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q2 - 2:33MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q2 - 2:33MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.PN)36
57
Q2 - 2:33MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q2 - 2:34MILMISS Haislip Layup36
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 2:35MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q2 - 2:36MILMISS Haislip Layup36
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 2:45MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q2 - 2:45MILSUB: Haislip FOR Przybilla35
57
Q2 - 2:45MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q2 - 2:45MILPrzybilla L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)34
57
Q2 - 2:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot34
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 2:52MILPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 3:05MILSUB: Przybilla FOR Johnson33
57
Q2 - 3:05MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 3:05MILJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN)32
57
Q2 - 3:12MIASUB: House FOR Allen32
57
Q2 - 3:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
57
Q2 - 3:15MILJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 3:15MIASUB: Lampley FOR Carter32
56
Q2 - 3:15MILBUCKS Rebound32
56
Q2 - 3:15MILMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 232
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 3:15MIACarter S.FOUL (P3.PN)32
56
Q2 - 3:25MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot32
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 3:51MILKukoc 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)32
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 4:04MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 3 of 332
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 4:04MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)32
2.6%
54
97.4%
Q2 - 4:04MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)31
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIASUB: James FOR Butler30
54
Q2 - 4:04MILCassell S.FOUL (P2.PN)30
54
Q2 - 4:18MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)30
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 4:18MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T4)30
53
Q2 - 4:18MILKukoc Layup (12 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)30
2.3%
53
97.7%
Q2 - 4:41MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
2.6%
51
97.4%
Q2 - 4:55MILCassell 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)28
2.3%
51
97.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIACarter Violation:Kicked Ball28
48
Q2 - 5:05MILSUB: Payton FOR Redd28
48
Q2 - 5:22MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot28
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 5:35MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)28
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 5:40MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)28
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 5:54MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania28
45
Q2 - 5:54MILSUB: Mason FOR Thomas28
45
Q2 - 5:54MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
45
Q2 - 5:54MILJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T4)28
45
Q2 - 6:06MILThomas P.FOUL (P2.T3)28
45
Q2 - 6:07MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 6:09MILMISS Johnson Layup28
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:11MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 6:12MILMISS Thomas Layup28
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:19MILCassell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 6:21MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:41MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 6:44MILMISS Thomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:53MIAAllen 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)28
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 7:01MILKukoc Violation:Kicked Ball26
45
Q2 - 7:20MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 7:20MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
4.3%
44
95.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T3)26
43
Q2 - 7:38MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)26
4.7%
43
95.3%
Q2 - 7:38MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
4.6%
43
95.4%
Q2 - 7:38MILJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
43
Q2 - 7:52MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 7:54MILCassell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 7:55MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 8:15MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot24
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 8:41MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 8:44MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIASUB: Carter FOR House24
41
Q2 - 8:46MIASUB: Butler FOR Best24
41
Q2 - 8:4624
41
Q2 - 8:46MIABest P.FOUL (P2.T2)24
41
Q2 - 8:55MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
4.9%
41
95.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Best 10' Jump Shot24
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 9:00MILJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 9:20MILKukoc 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)22
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 9:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 9:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Butler Layup20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant20
39
Q2 - 9:52MILSUB: Johnson FOR Mason20
39
Q2 - 9:52MILThomas P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
39
Q2 - 9:56MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 10:00MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot20
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q2 - 10:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 10:19MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot20
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 10:50MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)18
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 10:55MILSUB: Cassell FOR Payton18
36
Q2 - 10:55MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T1)18
36
Q2 - 11:04MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS House 9' Running Jump Shot18
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q2 - 11:20MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot18
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q2 - 11:33MIAHeat Rebound18
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 11:34MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot18
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 11:49MIAMason STEAL (3 STL)18
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q2 - 12:0018
36
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot18
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot18
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
6.9%
34
93.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler18
33
Q1 - 0:44.0MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
7.1%
33
92.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)18
32
Q1 - 0:44.0MILBUCKS Rebound18
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot18
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q1 - 1:00MILPayton Layup (8 PTS)18
8.3%
32
91.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIABest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)18
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIASUB: Best FOR James16
30
Q1 - 1:21MILSUB: Thomas FOR Mason16
30
Q1 - 1:37MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)16
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMason STEAL (2 STL)16
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 1:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.0%
27
89.0%
Q1 - 2:00MILMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot16
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 2:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot16
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 2:27MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)16
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 2:41MILBUCKS Rebound16
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot16
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 2:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 2:52MILMISS Payton Layup16
14.2%
24
85.8%
Q1 - 3:03MILPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 3:07MILMISS Mason Layup16
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 3:24MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot16
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 3:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
24
Q1 - 3:42MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen16
23
Q1 - 3:42MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)16
23
Q1 - 3:42MILKukoc Layup (2 PTS)16
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q1 - 3:52MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot16
17.3%
21
82.7%
Q1 - 4:02MILSUB: Redd FOR Cassell16
21
Q1 - 4:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 4:18MILMason Tip Shot (7 PTS)16
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 4:19MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot16
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 4:29MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot16
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 4:41MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 4:41MILBUCKS Rebound16
18
Q1 - 4:41MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 216
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIASUB: House FOR Carter16
18
Q1 - 4:41MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.PN)16
18
Q1 - 4:52MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Przybilla16
18
Q1 - 4:52MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
18
Q1 - 4:52MIACarter P.FOUL (P2.T4)16
18
Q1 - 4:56MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot16
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 5:14MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 5:14MILPrzybilla Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 5:15MILMISS Payton Layup16
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 5:25MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot16
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 5:49MILCassell 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 5:51MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 5:53MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot16
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)16
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 6:10MILPayton Layup (6 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)16
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 6:28MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 216
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 6:29MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 6:29MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P2.T3)15
12
Q1 - 6:46MILCassell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)15
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 6:59MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)15
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 7:08MIAButler Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)13
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 7:08MILBUCKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Przybilla )12
12
Q1 - 7:17MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
24.2%
12
75.8%
Q1 - 7:45MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot10
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 8:03MILPrzybilla L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)10
12
Q1 - 8:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 8:03MILMISS Cassell 7' Jump Shot10
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 8:09MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 8:11MILMISS Cassell 10' Jump Shot10
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 8:22MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
12
Q1 - 8:26MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 8:47MIAHeat Rebound8
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 8:49MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot8
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 9:01MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 9:01MILCassell S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
12
Q1 - 9:20MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)6
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 9:34MIAAllen Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 9:52MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 9:52MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
21.9%
9
78.1%
Q1 - 9:52MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
8
Q1 - 10:11MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 10:23MILPayton 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 10:32MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot2
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 10:48MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
24.5%
6
75.5%
Q1 - 10:48MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:56MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 11:17MILPayton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 11:29MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Butler Layup0
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 11:45MILCassell 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Przybilla vs. Grant: Tip to Przybilla0
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.3%
MIL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
26
50%
MIL
17
29
59%
Midrange
MIA
13
38
34%
MIL
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
MIL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
17
23
74%
MIL
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler24100%12.0 / 12
M. James1575%7.5 / 10
E. House1240%6.0 / 15
M. Allen1150%5.5 / 11
B. Grant630%3.0 / 10
A. Carter650%3.0 / 6
V. Stepania422%2.0 / 9
R. Butler325%1.5 / 6
S. Lampley250%1.0 / 2
T. Best233%1.0 / 3
K. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Payton2480%12.0 / 15
S. Cassell2361%11.5 / 19
T. Kukoc1869%9.0 / 13
M. Redd1464%7.0 / 11
D. Mason1146%5.5 / 12
T. Thomas1042%5.0 / 12
J. Przybilla4100%2.0 / 2
M. Haislip450%2.0 / 4
E. Johnson125%0.5 / 2
A. Mason0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+14
-10
90
MIL
75
+19
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.3%
MIL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
106.1
MIA 101.2
MIL 122.5 +21.3
Pace
90.0
92.7
MIA 95.3 +14.3
MIL 81.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
MIA 15.1 −2.7
MIL 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
50.0%
MIA 45.5%
MIL 56.9% +11.4%
TO %
14.8%
13.0%
MIA 12.1% −1.5%
MIL 13.6%
ORB %
26.8%
25.7%
MIA 26.2%
MIL 50.0% +23.8%
FTrt
25.9
28.7
MIA 29.9 +4.9
MIL 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
59.9%
MIA 62.5%
MIL 65.9% +3.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIA 10.5% +1.5%
MIL 9.0%
BLK %
6.4%
6.4%
MIA 3.2%
MIL 7.8% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
51.8%
MIA 48.3%
MIL 57.4% +9.1%
Rim FG%
53.7%
57.7%
MIA 50.0%
MIL 58.6% +8.6%
Mid FG%
37.6%
41.4%
MIA 34.2%
MIL 44.1% +9.9%
3P %
31.6%
38.3%
MIA 46.2%
MIL 52.9% +6.7%
FT %
76.5%
77.6%
MIA 73.9%
MIL 90.0% +16.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.4%
MIA 33.8%
MIL 36.3% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
46.7%
MIA 49.4%
MIL 42.5% −6.9%
3P Att. %
16.9%
22.9%
MIA 16.9%
MIL 21.3% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points87109
Rebounds2848
Assists2027
Steals98
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)31 (3)
Field Goals32-7741-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2617-29
Midrange FG13-3815-34
2-Point FG26-6432-63
3-Point FG6-139-17
Free Throws17-2318-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

27 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
35.5
24
100%
4
1
3
1
1
2
2
2
6-8
75%
6-8
75%
2-2
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
35.3
15
75%
1
7
0
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
28.9
11
50%
5
2
0
0
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
26.9
6
30%
2
0
0
0
1
4
1
1
4-4
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
24.8
6
50%
2
4
2
0
2
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
26.5
12
40%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
1-5
20%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
22.4
4
22%
10
1
2
0
1
1
5
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
20.7
3
25%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
11.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
4.6
2
33%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
2.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
48%
28
20
9
2
10
0
11
17
17-23
74%
26-64
41%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.