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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 30, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards67%9272
29Nuggets33%8688
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 40.1
37.6
38.0
19
40%
5
2
1
2
0
5
1
4
1-2
50%
9-22
8-18
41%
44%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.4
36.4
34.4
15
34%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
5-7
71%
5-15
6-13
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
33.6
37.5
9
38%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
46%
1-3
33%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.6
28.9
28.3
2
50%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.1
23.8
18.8
3
52%
9
0
0
0
0
2
5
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.1
21.0
21.0
8
59%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.3
19.9
18.2
8
86%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
4-6
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.8
17.8
14.0
2
25%
4
1
3
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.5
15.1
5.9
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.2
5.9
8.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.2
15.9
1
2-5
47%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.3
3.1
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.1
36.3
20.5
6
28%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.5
34.4
33.0
13
82%
6
4
1
2
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
6-7
5-9
86%
52%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
30.0
22.6
10
56%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
39%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.0
27.5
19.0
3
21%
7
1
0
0
3
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-5
1-4
0%
39%
1-2
50%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
26.8
33.4
11
42%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.6
22.9
23.6
11
59%
3
2
3
1
0
1
3
0
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.0
21.6
26.9
15
95%
5
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
4-5
80%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
18.6
26.6
10
45%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
42%
0-0
-
Jeff Trepagnier
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
8.9
4.6
9
92%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
38%
1-1
100%
Adam Harrington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
8.4
6.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Predrag Savovic
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
2.5
11.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
2.1
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.