Final Win Prob. pScore
2825%85
62
1775%94
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
70.58888.6
BOS logo Celtics
102.38888.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS62
90
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
90
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
90
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot59
90
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
90
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot59
90
Q4 - 0:46.0BOSLong 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)59
90
Q4 - 0:59.0BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
88
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot59
88
Q4 - 1:08BOSLong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)59
88
Q4 - 1:19MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)59
88
Q4 - 1:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
88
Q4 - 1:35BOSMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot56
88
Q4 - 1:38BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
88
Q4 - 1:46BOSMISS Coles 3PT Jump Shot56
88
Q4 - 2:04BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
88
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot56
88
Q4 - 2:22MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
88
Q4 - 2:26BOSMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot56
88
Q4 - 2:48BOSBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
88
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 256
88
Q4 - 2:49MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
88
Q4 - 2:49BOSBryant S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
88
Q4 - 3:02BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)55
88
Q4 - 3:02BOSCELTICS Rebound55
88
Q4 - 3:03BOSMISS Delk 8' Jump Shot55
88
Q4 - 3:26BOSLong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
88
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot55
88
Q4 - 3:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
88
Q4 - 3:41BOSMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot55
88
Q4 - 4:03MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)55
88
Q4 - 4:13MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
88
Q4 - 4:15BOSMISS Delk 12' Jump Shot52
88
Q4 - 4:35BOSLong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
88
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot52
88
Q4 - 4:54BOSSUB: Bryant FOR Blount52
88
Q4 - 4:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)52
88
Q4 - 5:04BOSBrown 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delk 2 AST)52
88
Q4 - 5:20MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P3.T22)52
86
Q4 - 5:20MIAEllis OFF.Foul (P1)52
86
Q4 - 5:29BOSJump Ball Coles vs. Ellis: Tip to Johnson52
86
Q4 - 5:50BOSColes 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
86
Q4 - 6:01BOSColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
84
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
84
Q4 - 6:20BOSDelk 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
84
Q4 - 6:29BOSColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
81
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
81
Q4 - 6:54BOSDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
81
Q4 - 6:54BOSDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
80
Q4 - 6:54MIAHouse S.FOUL (P2.T2)52
79
Q4 - 7:11MIALampley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
79
Q4 - 7:24MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)50
79
Q4 - 7:32BOSColes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
79
Q4 - 7:56MIABlount STEAL (2 STL)50
77
Q4 - 8:05BOSColes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)50
77
Q4 - 8:21MIADelk STEAL (2 STL)50
77
Q4 - 8:24MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
77
Q4 - 8:27BOSMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
77
Q4 - 8:41MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)50
77
Q4 - 8:41BOSBlount S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
77
Q4 - 8:41MIAEllis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (House 4 AST)49
77
Q4 - 8:47MIAHeat Rebound47
77
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
77
Q4 - 8:56MIASUB: Johnson FOR Butler47
77
Q4 - 8:56BOSSUB: Blount FOR McCarty47
77
Q4 - 8:56BOSSUB: Coles FOR Battie47
77
Q4 - 8:56BOSSUB: Brown FOR Bremer47
77
Q4 - 8:5647
77
Q4 - 9:16BOSBattie 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)47
77
Q4 - 9:20MIALong STEAL (1 STL)47
75
Q4 - 9:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
75
Q4 - 9:26BOSMISS Long 16' Jump Shot47
75
Q4 - 9:42MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)47
75
Q4 - 9:49BOSBattie 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Bremer 4 AST)47
75
Q4 - 10:03MIALampley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)47
73
Q4 - 10:13MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
73
Q4 - 10:15BOSMISS Long 6' Jump Shot47
73
Q4 - 10:27BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
73
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot47
73
Q4 - 10:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
73
Q4 - 10:45BOSMISS Bremer 2' Layup47
73
Q4 - 11:02BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
73
Q4 - 11:05BOSMISS Delk 22' Jump Shot47
73
Q4 - 11:12MIALampley P.FOUL (P2.T1)47
73
Q4 - 11:27MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)47
73
Q4 - 11:27BOSDelk S.FOUL (P1.T2)46
73
Q4 - 11:27MIAButler Layup (17 PTS) (House 3 AST)46
73
Q4 - 11:32MIASUB: House FOR Stepania44
73
Q4 - 11:32BOSLong L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)44
73
Q4 - 11:32MIAHeat Rebound44
73
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
73
Q4 - 11:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
73
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot44
73
Q4 - 12:0044
73
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS44
73
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound44
73
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Bremer 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
73
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAEllis 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)44
73
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSSUB: Bremer FOR Pierce42
73
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSMcCarty P.FOUL (P1.T4)42
73
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
73
Q3 - 0:38.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
73
Q3 - 0:49.0MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler42
73
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)42
73
Q3 - 1:11BOSPierce 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS)42
73
Q3 - 1:35BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
71
Q3 - 1:37BOSMISS McCarty 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
71
Q3 - 2:01MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)42
71
Q3 - 2:13BOSBattie 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McCarty 3 AST)42
71
Q3 - 2:26MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T14)42
69
Q3 - 2:26MIAJames OFF.Foul (P2)42
69
Q3 - 2:46BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Battie 4 AST)42
69
Q3 - 2:59BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
67
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot42
67
Q3 - 3:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)42
67
Q3 - 3:14BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)42
67
Q3 - 3:14MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
66
Q3 - 3:14BOSPierce 2' Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Battie 3 AST)42
66
Q3 - 3:15MIAPierce STEAL (4 STL)42
64
Q3 - 3:25BOSBattie 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)42
64
Q3 - 3:37MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant42
62
Q3 - 3:37BOSCELTICS Rebound42
62
Q3 - 3:37BOSSUB: McCarty FOR Williams42
62
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Butler 43' 3PT Jump Shot42
62
Q3 - 4:03BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
62
Q3 - 4:03BOSSUB: Long FOR Walker42
61
Q3 - 4:03BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
61
Q3 - 4:03MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T4)42
60
Q3 - 4:06BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
60
Q3 - 4:08MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)42
60
Q3 - 4:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)42
60
Q3 - 4:21BOSMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
60
Q3 - 4:32MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)42
60
Q3 - 4:44MIASUB: James FOR Carter42
60
Q3 - 4:44BOSWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)42
60
Q3 - 4:59MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)42
60
Q3 - 5:18BOSPierce 1' Layup (21 PTS)40
60
Q3 - 5:25BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
58
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot40
58
Q3 - 5:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)40
58
Q3 - 5:35BOSMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot40
58
Q3 - 5:56BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
58
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
58
Q3 - 6:10BOSSUB: Delk FOR Bremer40
58
Q3 - 6:10BOSSUB: Battie FOR Blount40
58
Q3 - 6:10BOSWalker P.FOUL (P3.T3)40
58
Q3 - 6:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)40
58
Q3 - 6:26BOSMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
58
Q3 - 6:48MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T3)40
58
Q3 - 6:49BOSCELTICS Rebound40
58
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Stepania 5' Jump Shot40
58
Q3 - 7:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)40
58
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Stepania 2' Layup40
58
Q3 - 7:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)40
58
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot40
58
Q3 - 7:26BOSBremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)40
58
Q3 - 7:45BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)40
55
Q3 - 7:48MIAButler Layup (15 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)40
55
Q3 - 7:52BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
55
Q3 - 8:08MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)38
55
Q3 - 8:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)35
55
Q3 - 8:21BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
55
Q3 - 8:42MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)35
55
Q3 - 8:42BOSWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
55
Q3 - 8:42MIAButler 4' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)34
55
Q3 - 8:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
55
Q3 - 8:57BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 232
55
Q3 - 8:57BOSCELTICS Rebound32
55
Q3 - 8:57BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 232
55
Q3 - 8:57MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
55
Q3 - 9:08MIACarter Foul Turnover (P3.T11)32
55
Q3 - 9:08MIACarter OFF.Foul (P3)32
55
Q3 - 9:19BOSPierce P.FOUL (P3.T1)32
55
Q3 - 9:35BOSBlount 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)32
55
Q3 - 9:54MIAButler 2' Layup (10 PTS)32
53
Q3 - 9:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
53
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot30
53
Q3 - 10:22BOSWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)30
53
Q3 - 10:29BOSCELTICS Rebound30
50
Q3 - 10:32BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 230
50
Q3 - 10:32BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)30
50
Q3 - 10:32MIACarter S.FOUL (P2.T1)30
49
Q3 - 10:35MIAPierce STEAL (3 STL)30
49
Q3 - 11:02BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)30
49
Q3 - 11:18MIAStepania Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)30
46
Q3 - 11:35MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
46
Q3 - 11:38BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot28
46
Q3 - 11:40BOSCELTICS Rebound28
46
Q3 - 11:42BOSMISS Bremer 3PT Jump Shot28
46
Q3 - 12:0028
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA28
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound28
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot28
46
Q2 - 0:21.0BOSDelk Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)28
46
Q2 - 0:23.0MIADelk STEAL (1 STL)28
46
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)28
46
Q2 - 0:26.0BOSMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
46
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
46
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSMISS Bremer 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
46
Q2 - 0:45.0BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
46
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot28
46
Q2 - 0:58.0BOSSUB: Delk FOR Pierce28
46
Q2 - 0:58.0BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T3)28
46
Q2 - 1:07BOSSUB: Long FOR Walker28
46
Q2 - 1:07MIASUB: House FOR Lampley28
46
Q2 - 1:07MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)28
46
Q2 - 1:14BOSWalker 3' Layup (8 PTS) (McCarty 2 AST)28
46
Q2 - 1:25MIABremer STEAL (1 STL)28
44
Q2 - 1:35BOSPierce 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)28
44
Q2 - 1:47MIACarter Foul Turnover (P2.T7)28
42
Q2 - 1:47MIACarter OFF.Foul (P1)28
42
Q2 - 2:12BOSBlount 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)28
42
Q2 - 2:17MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)28
40
Q2 - 2:26MIASUB: Stepania FOR Butler28
40
Q2 - 2:26BOSWalker P.FOUL (P2.T2)28
40
Q2 - 2:50BOSBremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
40
Q2 - 2:56BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
37
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
37
Q2 - 3:10MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen28
37
Q2 - 3:10BOSSUB: Blount FOR Williams28
37
Q2 - 3:10MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
37
Q2 - 3:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
37
Q2 - 3:17BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot28
37
Q2 - 3:22BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
37
Q2 - 3:25MIAPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)28
37
Q2 - 3:48BOSWilliams 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)28
37
Q2 - 4:07MIAGrant 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)28
35
Q2 - 4:10BOSWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)26
35
Q2 - 4:14MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)26
35
Q2 - 4:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
35
Q2 - 4:30BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 226
35
Q2 - 4:30BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)26
35
Q2 - 4:30MIASUB: Butler FOR House26
34
Q2 - 4:30MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
34
Q2 - 4:43MIAHouse 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)26
34
Q2 - 4:46BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
34
Q2 - 4:56BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
34
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
34
Q2 - 5:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
34
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot24
34
Q2 - 5:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
34
Q2 - 5:30BOSMISS Pierce 11' Jump Shot24
34
Q2 - 5:36BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Brown24
34
Q2 - 5:36MIALampley P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
34
Q2 - 5:46MIAAllen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)24
34
Q2 - 5:56BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)24
34
Q2 - 5:56BOSWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
34
Q2 - 6:13MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler24
34
Q2 - 6:13MIASUB: Carter FOR Best24
34
Q2 - 6:13BOSWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
34
Q2 - 6:13BOSWalker OFF.Foul (P1)24
34
Q2 - 6:28BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
34
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot24
34
Q2 - 6:53BOSMcCarty 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bremer 3 AST)24
34
Q2 - 7:03BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
32
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 7:17MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
32
Q2 - 7:22BOSMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 7:39BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 7:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
32
Q2 - 7:46BOSMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 7:48BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)24
32
Q2 - 7:48BOSMISS Bremer 9' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 7:56BOSSUB: Williams FOR Pierce24
32
Q2 - 7:56BOSSUB: Bremer FOR Delk24
32
Q2 - 7:56BOSSUB: Walker FOR Long24
32
Q2 - 8:10MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)24
32
Q2 - 8:23MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania22
32
Q2 - 8:23BOSSUB: McCarty FOR Battie22
32
Q2 - 8:23MIAHeat Rebound22
32
Q2 - 8:2322
32
Q2 - 8:24BOSMISS Pierce 9' Jump Shot22
32
Q2 - 8:28BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
32
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot22
32
Q2 - 8:40BOSDelk 2' Finger Roll (5 PTS)22
32
Q2 - 9:02MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)22
30
Q2 - 9:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)20
30
Q2 - 9:14BOSMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot20
30
Q2 - 9:27BOSLong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
30
Q2 - 9:29BOSMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
30
Q2 - 9:53MIAStepania Layup (8 PTS)20
30
Q2 - 9:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)18
30
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
30
Q2 - 10:19BOSDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battie 2 AST)18
30
Q2 - 10:23BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
27
Q2 - 10:25BOSMISS Pierce 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 10:34BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 10:57MIAHeat Rebound18
27
Q2 - 10:58BOSMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 11:08BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
27
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 11:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
27
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 11:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)18
27
Q2 - 11:39BOSMISS Delk 13' Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 12:0018
27
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS18
27
Q1 - 0:05.0BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
27
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot18
27
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
27
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
27
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot18
27
Q1 - 0:52.0BOSWalker 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)18
27
Q1 - 1:05BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
25
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
25
Q1 - 1:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
25
Q1 - 1:29BOSMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot18
25
Q1 - 1:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot18
25
Q1 - 1:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25
Q1 - 1:57BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
25
Q1 - 2:15MIAButler 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)18
25
Q1 - 2:25MIASUB: Best FOR Carter16
25
Q1 - 2:25BOSPierce P.FOUL (P1.T1)16
25
Q1 - 2:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
25
Q1 - 2:34BOSMISS Battie 4' Jump Shot16
25
Q1 - 2:50MIAStepania 2' Layup (6 PTS)16
25
Q1 - 2:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
25
Q1 - 2:54MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)14
25
Q1 - 3:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
25
Q1 - 3:13BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)14
25
Q1 - 3:25BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 3:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22
Q1 - 3:43BOSMISS Battie 12' Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 3:48MIASUB: House FOR Butler14
22
Q1 - 3:48BOSSUB: Delk FOR Williams14
22
Q1 - 3:48BOSSUB: Brown FOR Bremer14
22
Q1 - 3:48BOSSUB: Battie FOR Blount14
22
Q1 - 3:55BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
22
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 4:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
22
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Butler 1' Layup14
22
Q1 - 4:17BOSWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)14
22
Q1 - 4:29BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
19
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot14
19
Q1 - 4:53BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bremer 2 AST)14
19
Q1 - 5:02BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
16
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot14
16
Q1 - 5:11MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16
Q1 - 5:13BOSMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot14
16
Q1 - 5:30MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)14
16
Q1 - 5:40BOSBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
16
Q1 - 5:40BOSCELTICS Rebound12
15
Q1 - 5:40BOSMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 212
15
Q1 - 5:40BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
15
Q1 - 5:40MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T3)12
15
Q1 - 5:58MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
15
Q1 - 6:20BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)10
15
Q1 - 6:41MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)10
13
Q1 - 6:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13
Q1 - 6:58BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 18
13
Q1 - 6:58MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
13
Q1 - 6:58BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 7:07BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 7:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 7:21BOSMISS Williams 2' Layup8
11
Q1 - 7:25MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
11
Q1 - 7:46MIAButler 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
11
Q1 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11
Q1 - 7:59BOSMISS Bremer 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
11
Q1 - 8:05BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot6
11
Q1 - 8:22BOSWalker 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
11
Q1 - 8:26BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
9
Q1 - 8:28BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 8:48MIAGrant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
9
Q1 - 9:10BOSBremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)4
9
Q1 - 9:17BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
6
Q1 - 9:20BOSMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:37MIAStepania 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:51BOSWilliams 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bremer 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:01MIABlount STEAL (1 STL)2
4
Q1 - 10:23BOSPierce Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:26MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:33MIAHeat Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:35BOSMISS Bremer 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:38BOSBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:51BOSCELTICS Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)2
2
Q1 - 10:53BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:56BOSMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:09MIAStepania 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:12MIABlount BLOCK (1 BLK)0
2
Q1 - 11:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:31BOSWalker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:41MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Blount vs. Grant: Tip to Carter0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.77 38.3%
BOS
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
21
57%
BOS
13
17
76%
Midrange
MIA
11
38
29%
BOS
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
BOS
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
4
5
80%
BOS
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1850%9.0 / 18
V. Stepania1045%5.0 / 11
L. Ellis844%4.0 / 9
E. House732%3.5 / 11
B. Grant638%3.0 / 8
R. Butler315%1.5 / 10
S. Lampley375%1.5 / 2
M. James375%1.5 / 2
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
M. Allen233%1.0 / 3
K. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
T. Best0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2861%14.0 / 23
A. Walker1146%5.5 / 12
T. Delk1042%5.0 / 12
J. Bremer945%4.5 / 10
E. Williams956%4.5 / 8
T. Battie867%4.0 / 6
M. Blount583%2.5 / 3
B. Coles467%2.0 / 3
G. Long233%1.0 / 3
K. Brown214%1.0 / 7
W. McCarty233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
66
+14
-22
80
BOS
80
+14
-8
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.77 38.3%
BOS
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
98.4
MIA 70.5
BOS 102.3 +31.8
Pace
90.0
93.6
MIA 88.6
BOS 88.7 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.2
MIA 16.3
BOS 16.2 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.0%
MIA 38.2%
BOS 50.0% +11.8%
TO %
14.8%
14.3%
MIA 22.0%
BOS 10.2% −11.8%
ORB %
26.8%
23.6%
MIA 24.4% +1.1%
BOS 23.3%
FTrt
25.9
30.6
MIA 6.6
BOS 17.1 +10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.3%
MIA 74.1% +1.9%
BOS 72.2%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 5.7%
BOS 13.6% +7.9%
BLK %
6.4%
6.0%
MIA 3.8%
BOS 6.8% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.9%
MIA 38.3%
BOS 47.4% +9.1%
Rim FG%
53.7%
56.2%
MIA 57.1%
BOS 76.5% +19.4%
Mid FG%
37.6%
35.8%
MIA 28.9%
BOS 37.1% +8.2%
3P %
31.6%
33.4%
MIA 23.5%
BOS 33.3% +9.8%
FT %
76.5%
74.2%
MIA 80.0% +22.9%
BOS 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.9%
MIA 27.6% +6.9%
BOS 20.7%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
35.0%
MIA 50.0%
BOS 42.7% −7.3%
3P Att. %
16.9%
33.1%
MIA 22.4%
BOS 36.6% +14.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.15 and 3.15.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes23.923.8
Points6290
Rebounds4444
Assists2026
Steals512
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)34 (2)
Field Goals27-7636-82
At-the-Rim FG12-2113-17
Midrange FG11-3813-35
2-Point FG23-5926-52
3-Point FG4-1710-30
Free Throws4-58-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
36.0
18
50%
2
1
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
8-14
57%
0-2
0%
F · 7'1" 255 · 27
30.5
10
45%
11
0
0
0
1
1
6
5
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
28.8
6
38%
12
2
1
0
2
1
1
11
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
23.1
2
33%
2
8
1
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
21.4
3
15%
2
1
0
1
4
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
23.9
7
32%
2
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
17.9
3
75%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
16.7
3
75%
2
2
0
0
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
15.6
8
44%
7
0
0
0
3
1
0
7
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
8.8
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
8.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
62
38%
44
20
5
2
22
0
11
33
4-5
80%
23-59
39%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.