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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 3, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz44%9593
11Trail Blazers56%9788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.7
39.8
35.4
21
57%
4
9
2
2
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
7-15
7-15
47%
45%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
37.4
33.3
6
38%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.1
35.8
31.5
6
43%
7
0
0
0
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 41.0
31.5
27.9
15
77%
3
10
4
2
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
6-7
3-6
86%
50%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
30.1
31.4
17
85%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-8
5-10
88%
50%
1-2
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
28.5
25.1
9
45%
9
1
2
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 38.0
16.5
15.8
5
63%
1
6
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
12.2
10.2
12
67%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
6-9
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
8.2
11.4
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.0
6.3
0
1-2
42%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.7
3.8
0
1-1
42%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.4
3.7
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.5
42.6
30.7
23
55%
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
8-16
5-10
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 34.0
36.2
23.7
8
67%
11
1
0
1
1
3
6
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
32.6
27.7
13
39%
4
4
3
1
0
2
3
1
3-4
75%
5-12
5-9
42%
48%
0-3
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.7
31.2
35.5
2
20%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 29.6
27.0
24.7
13
47%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-8
2-6
13%
40%
3-5
60%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.4
21.0
21.5
10
85%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.0
20.1
6.7
11
62%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Arvydas Sabonis
C · 7'3" 292 · 38.3
15.3
14.3
8
51%
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 27.7
10.2
21.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 22.1
3.9
4.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 21.7
23.7
1
4-9
51%
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje
C · 7'0" 257 · 24.9
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.