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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets37%9488
1276ers63%9879
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.6
45.0
33.0
12
51%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.1
43.6
38.5
18
49%
5
5
6
2
0
4
3
2
1-1
100%
7-16
5-11
44%
45%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.2
38.8
34.9
19
60%
12
0
1
1
1
5
4
8
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.6
33.0
27.1
20
54%
13
3
0
0
2
3
6
7
8-10
80%
6-14
5-10
43%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.4
26.1
17.6
7
30%
11
2
0
0
0
1
4
7
1-4
25%
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.8
20.4
21.2
9
57%
9
1
0
0
0
1
3
6
2-2
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.6
15.2
15.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.9
9.0
20.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.7
8.9
13.9
1
17%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.8
7.4
0
1-1
41%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.2
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Tito Maddox
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.8
2.0
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.8
42.5
41.3
8
17%
3
6
3
3
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
4-21
8-19
19%
45%
0-2
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.7
38.5
35.5
17
63%
10
0
2
1
3
1
3
7
7-8
88%
5-10
5-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
38.0
33.6
17
51%
6
6
2
1
0
3
1
5
5-6
83%
6-14
4-8
43%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.8
32.0
19.7
10
51%
8
2
2
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
10.6
27.0
2
25%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
20.1
14.8
7
58%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.5
18.2
23.6
5
36%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
1-1
100%
Monty Williams
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.5
18.0
10.9
6
100%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
14.2
17.7
4
29%
6
1
2
1
0
0
5
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.9
6.1
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.3
1.6
3.5
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.