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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs69%98124
25Raptors31%9298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
33.4
24.8
22
93%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
4-5
80%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.4
32.5
23.8
23
74%
9
1
1
1
3
0
1
8
3-6
50%
10-13
4-8
77%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.9
25.9
29.3
13
62%
1
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.8
20.3
29.3
8
80%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
19.1
34.2
13
67%
8
1
2
1
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
5-8
8-15
63%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
26.2
23.3
10
85%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.9
22.1
17.3
6
33%
4
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
21.7
11.7
8
44%
8
0
1
0
0
1
5
3
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.5
16.7
4.9
10
85%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
2-3
67%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.0
14.3
11.9
6
69%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
7.8
6.1
5
63%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.7
19.9
1
2-5
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
38.1
29.6
11
43%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.2
36.6
34.2
17
51%
3
3
0
1
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
5-13
7-15
38%
46%
1-2
50%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.7
29.2
28.8
14
48%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
45%
1-2
50%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.0
28.1
33.9
4
29%
8
2
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 29.9
25.3
26.1
7
41%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
21.4
17.9
11
54%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-5
20%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
18.9
20.5
12
102%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
18.7
4.1
11
94%
0
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.8
14.9
5.7
6
55%
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
3
0-1
0%
3-5
1-1
60%
43%
0-0
-
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
8.8
5.2
5
56%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.9
26.5
1
4-9
42%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
12.2
0
2-4
41%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.3
6.0
0
1-2
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.