for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, April 8, 2003
Final Win Prob. pScore
25
Raptors
48%91
83
27
Heat
52%92
89
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
91.29184.8
MIA logo Heat
96.79299.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
89
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)83
89
Q4 - 0:03.0TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
89
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
89
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 0:09.0TORWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)83
87
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)83
87
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound83
87
Q4 - 0:12.0TORButler BLOCK (2 BLK)83
87
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
87
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 0:21.0TORJefferies P.FOUL (P1.PN)83
85
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMcCoy P.FOUL (P3.T4)83
85
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
85
Q4 - 0:22.0TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot83
85
Q4 - 0:33.0TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)83
85
Q4 - 0:33.0TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)83
85
Q4 - 0:33.0MIACarter Driving Layup (7 PTS)83
85
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)83
83
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
83
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 1:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
83
Q4 - 1:06TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 1:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
83
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup83
83
Q4 - 1:29TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)83
83
Q4 - 1:29TORRaptors Rebound83
83
Q4 - 1:30TOREllis BLOCK (2 BLK)83
83
Q4 - 1:53MIAEllis L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)83
83
Q4 - 1:53TORRaptors Rebound83
83
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 1:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
83
Q4 - 1:56TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 2:05TORRaptors Rebound83
83
Q4 - 2:07TORMISS Jefferies Driving Finger Roll83
83
Q4 - 2:29TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
83
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 2:45MIASUB: Carter FOR James83
83
Q4 - 2:45MIASUB: Ellis FOR Best83
83
Q4 - 2:45MIASUB: Butler FOR Stepania83
83
Q4 - 2:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)83
83
Q4 - 2:54TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferies 3 AST)83
83
Q4 - 2:57TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
83
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS James Driving Layup80
83
Q4 - 3:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)80
83
Q4 - 3:12TORMISS McCoy Driving Layup80
83
Q4 - 3:31TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
83
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot80
83
Q4 - 3:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
83
Q4 - 3:56TORMISS McCoy 18' Jump Shot80
83
Q4 - 4:10MIABest P.FOUL (P2.T2)80
83
Q4 - 4:26MIAGrant Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (James 3 AST)80
83
Q4 - 4:43TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)80
81
Q4 - 4:56MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis78
81
Q4 - 4:56MIASUB: Butler FOR Lampley78
81
Q4 - 4:56TORSUB: Williams FOR N'diaye78
81
Q4 - 4:56TORSUB: McCoy FOR Alston78
81
Q4 - 4:56TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)78
81
Q4 - 5:09MIALampley Dunk (9 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)78
81
Q4 - 5:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)78
79
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot78
79
Q4 - 5:31TORJefferies Reverse Layup (15 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 5:38TORAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
79
Q4 - 5:40TORMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
79
Q4 - 6:02MIAStepania Tip Shot (6 PTS)76
79
Q4 - 6:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)76
77
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Lampley Layup76
77
Q4 - 6:05MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
77
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Lampley Driving Layup76
77
Q4 - 6:32TORWilliams Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)76
77
Q4 - 6:36MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)74
77
Q4 - 6:48MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
77
Q4 - 6:50TORMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot74
77
Q4 - 7:02TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
77
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot74
77
Q4 - 7:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
77
Q4 - 7:15TORStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)74
77
Q4 - 7:36TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
77
Q4 - 7:38TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot74
77
Q4 - 7:52MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)74
77
Q4 - 8:20TORWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
77
Q4 - 8:28TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
77
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Best 5' Running Jump Shot72
77
Q4 - 8:45TORStepania STEAL (1 STL)72
77
Q4 - 8:5972
77
Q4 - 8:59TORRaptors Rebound72
77
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Lampley 6' Jump Shot72
77
Q4 - 9:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
77
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Lampley 20' Jump Shot72
77
Q4 - 9:37TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)72
77
Q4 - 9:37TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P4)72
77
Q4 - 9:41MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
77
Q4 - 9:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
77
Q4 - 9:49TORMISS N'diaye 6' Hook Shot72
77
Q4 - 10:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
77
Q4 - 10:09MIAHEAT Rebound72
76
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
76
Q4 - 10:09TORAlston S.FOUL (P3.T3)72
76
Q4 - 10:13MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
76
Q4 - 10:15TORMISS Jefferies Dunk72
76
Q4 - 10:39MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
76
Q4 - 10:39MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
75
Q4 - 10:39TORSUB: Jefferies FOR Williams72
74
Q4 - 10:39TORN'diaye S.FOUL (P4.T2)72
74
Q4 - 10:59TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
74
Q4 - 10:59TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
74
Q4 - 10:59MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T1)70
74
Q4 - 11:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
74
Q4 - 11:15TORMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot70
74
Q4 - 11:43MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)70
74
Q4 - 11:57TORAlston P.FOUL (P2.T1)70
72
Q4 - 12:0070
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot70
72
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
72
Q3 - 0:04.0TORMISS N'diaye Layup70
72
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)70
72
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
70
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Best 3' Finger Roll70
70
Q3 - 0:24.0TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T4)70
70
Q3 - 0:41.0TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)70
70
Q3 - 1:02MIASUB: Best FOR Carter67
70
Q3 - 1:02MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler67
70
Q3 - 1:02TORSUB: N'diaye FOR McCoy67
70
Q3 - 1:02MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T3)67
70
Q3 - 1:02MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)67
70
Q3 - 1:08TORButler STEAL (1 STL)67
70
Q3 - 1:15MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)67
70
Q3 - 1:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
70
Q3 - 1:24TORMISS Jefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
70
Q3 - 1:49MIAEllis 4' Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Carter 10 AST)67
70
Q3 - 2:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
68
Q3 - 2:04TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
68
Q3 - 2:23MIACarter 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)67
68
Q3 - 2:43TORSUB: Williams FOR Bradley67
66
Q3 - 2:43MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant67
66
Q3 - 2:43TORMcCoy Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)67
66
Q3 - 2:56MIAButler Dunk (11 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)67
66
Q3 - 3:05TORBradley Layup (8 PTS)67
64
Q3 - 3:08TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
64
Q3 - 3:10TOREllis BLOCK (1 BLK)65
64
Q3 - 3:28MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)65
64
Q3 - 3:42MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
62
Q3 - 3:44TORMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot65
62
Q3 - 3:49MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)65
62
Q3 - 4:09TORJefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)65
62
Q3 - 4:23TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
62
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Butler Layup62
62
Q3 - 4:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
62
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Butler Layup62
62
Q3 - 4:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
62
Q3 - 4:45TORMISS Jefferies 21' Jump Shot62
62
Q3 - 4:58MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)62
62
Q3 - 4:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
62
Q3 - 5:00TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)62
62
Q3 - 5:12TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)62
62
Q3 - 5:13MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
62
Q3 - 5:25MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
60
Q3 - 5:27TORMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
60
Q3 - 5:32TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
60
Q3 - 5:34TORMISS Alston 4' Running Hook Shot62
60
Q3 - 5:51MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS)62
60
Q3 - 6:00TORSUB: Alston FOR Peterson62
58
Q3 - 6:00TORWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T3)62
58
Q3 - 6:05TORPeterson Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferies 2 AST)62
58
Q3 - 6:21MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)60
58
Q3 - 6:39TORBradley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
56
Q3 - 7:01MIAButler Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)58
56
Q3 - 7:06MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
54
Q3 - 7:07TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup58
54
Q3 - 7:12MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
54
Q3 - 7:18MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
54
Q3 - 7:20TORMISS Jefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
54
Q3 - 7:41TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
54
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 258
54
Q3 - 7:42MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
54
Q3 - 7:42TORPeterson S.FOUL (P3.T2)58
53
Q3 - 7:56TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
53
Q3 - 8:15MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen56
53
Q3 - 8:15MIAAllen L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)56
53
Q3 - 8:16TORRaptors Rebound56
53
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot56
53
Q3 - 8:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
53
Q3 - 8:39TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
53
Q3 - 8:53TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
53
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Butler 5' Finger Roll56
53
Q3 - 9:07TORMcCoy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
53
Q3 - 9:07TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
53
Q3 - 9:07MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
53
Q3 - 9:19TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
53
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot54
53
Q3 - 9:40TORWilliams 22' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
53
Q3 - 10:06TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)52
53
Q3 - 10:06MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)52
53
Q3 - 10:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
50
Q3 - 10:18TORMISS Jefferies 10' Running Hook Shot52
50
Q3 - 10:32MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
50
Q3 - 10:32MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
49
Q3 - 10:32TORWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
48
Q3 - 10:38TORGrant STEAL (1 STL)52
48
Q3 - 10:58MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)52
48
Q3 - 11:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
45
Q3 - 11:17TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
45
Q3 - 11:17TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot52
45
Q3 - 11:21TORMISS Bradley 5' Hook Shot52
45
Q3 - 11:29TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
45
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup52
45
Q3 - 11:37MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
45
Q3 - 11:39TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot52
45
Q3 - 12:0052
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
45
Q2 - 0:00.0TORCarter STEAL (2 STL)52
45
Q2 - 0:14.0TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)52
45
Q2 - 0:20.0TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
45
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot52
45
Q2 - 0:38.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
45
Q2 - 0:38.0TORRaptors Rebound52
45
Q2 - 0:39.0TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)52
45
Q2 - 1:08MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
45
Q2 - 1:21TORJefferies Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
43
Q2 - 1:21TORRaptors Rebound51
43
Q2 - 1:21TORMISS Jefferies Free Throw 1 of 251
43
Q2 - 1:21MIACarter S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
43
Q2 - 1:21TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
43
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot51
43
Q2 - 1:42TORBaston Driving Layup (2 PTS)51
43
Q2 - 2:02MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)49
43
Q2 - 2:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
41
Q2 - 2:16TORMISS Peterson 12' Jump Shot49
41
Q2 - 2:38MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
41
Q2 - 2:38MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
40
Q2 - 2:38TORBaston S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
39
Q2 - 2:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
39
Q2 - 2:52TORMISS Jefferies Free Throw 1 of 149
39
Q2 - 2:52MIASUB: Carter FOR Best49
39
Q2 - 2:52MIASUB: Butler FOR James49
39
Q2 - 2:52MIASUB: Allen FOR Johnson49
39
Q2 - 2:52TORSUB: Baston FOR Williams49
39
Q2 - 2:52TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)49
39
Q2 - 2:52MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
39
Q2 - 2:52TORJefferies Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
39
Q2 - 2:56TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
39
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot47
39
Q2 - 3:22TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Peterson 5 AST)47
39
Q2 - 3:28TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
39
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot45
39
Q2 - 3:54TORMcCoy 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)45
39
Q2 - 4:10MIASUB: Grant FOR Lampley43
39
Q2 - 4:10TORRaptors Rebound43
39
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot43
39
Q2 - 4:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
39
Q2 - 4:25TORMISS McCoy Free Throw 2 of 243
39
Q2 - 4:25TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
39
Q2 - 4:25MIA42
39
Q2 - 4:25MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T4)42
39
Q2 - 4:48MIABest 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 4:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
37
Q2 - 4:58TORMISS McCoy 10' Hook Shot42
37
Q2 - 5:17MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
37
Q2 - 5:17MIAHEAT Rebound42
36
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 242
36
Q2 - 5:17MIASUB: Butler FOR Ellis42
36
Q2 - 5:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
36
Q2 - 5:17TORPeterson S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
36
Q2 - 5:28TORMcCoy 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)42
36
Q2 - 5:51MIAJames 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
36
Q2 - 6:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
34
Q2 - 6:03TORMISS Peterson 9' Jump Shot40
34
Q2 - 6:16MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
34
Q2 - 6:16TORSUB: McCoy FOR N'diaye40
33
Q2 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound40
33
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 240
33
Q2 - 6:16TORN'diaye S.FOUL (P3.T4)40
33
Q2 - 6:33TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
33
Q2 - 6:33TORRaptors Rebound39
33
Q2 - 6:33TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
33
Q2 - 6:33MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T3)39
33
Q2 - 6:40TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
33
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
33
Q2 - 6:53TORWilliams 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 7:09MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 7:09TORSUB: Jefferies FOR Alston37
32
Q2 - 7:09MIABest Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)37
32
Q2 - 7:09TORAlston T.FOUL (P1.T3)37
31
Q2 - 7:09TORAlston S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
31
Q2 - 7:09MIABest 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
31
Q2 - 7:27TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
29
Q2 - 7:27TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
29
Q2 - 7:27MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
29
Q2 - 7:30MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
29
Q2 - 7:36TORN'diaye 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 4 AST)35
29
Q2 - 7:52MIALampley Driving Dunk (6 PTS)33
29
Q2 - 7:58MIASUB: Johnson FOR Stepania33
27
Q2 - 7:58MIAHEAT Rebound33
27
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Lampley Layup33
27
Q2 - 8:00MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
27
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot33
27
Q2 - 8:09TORWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
27
Q2 - 8:23MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T6)31
27
Q2 - 8:23MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P2)31
27
Q2 - 8:36TORSUB: Peterson FOR Jefferies31
27
Q2 - 8:3631
27
Q2 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound31
27
Q2 - 8:38TORMISS N'diaye 5' Hook Shot31
27
Q2 - 8:55MIALampley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
27
Q2 - 9:09TORJefferies Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)31
25
Q2 - 9:22MIALampley 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)31
25
Q2 - 9:34TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)31
23
Q2 - 9:46MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
23
Q2 - 9:46TORRaptors Rebound29
23
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Lampley 7' Jump Shot29
23
Q2 - 9:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
23
Q2 - 9:52TORMISS Alston 7' Running Hook Shot29
23
Q2 - 9:57TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
23
Q2 - 9:59TORMISS Jefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
23
Q2 - 10:19MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)29
23
Q2 - 10:28TORN'diaye P.FOUL (P2.T2)29
21
Q2 - 10:37TORN'diaye 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
21
Q2 - 10:54MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
21
Q2 - 10:54MIASUB: James FOR Butler27
20
Q2 - 10:54MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
20
Q2 - 10:54TORN'diaye S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
19
Q2 - 11:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19
Q2 - 11:02TORMISS Jefferies 18' Jump Shot27
19
Q2 - 11:08TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Stepania Layup27
19
Q2 - 11:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
19
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Stepania Layup27
19
Q2 - 11:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Best 11' Running Hook Shot27
19
Q2 - 11:25MIASUB: Best FOR Carter27
19
Q2 - 11:25MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen27
19
Q2 - 11:25MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant27
19
Q2 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound27
19
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Grant 3' Jump Shot27
19
Q2 - 11:44TORWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferies 1 AST)27
19
Q2 - 12:0025
19
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR25
19
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound25
19
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 40' 3PT Jump Shot25
19
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
19
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
18
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 225
18
Q1 - 0:03.0TORMcCoy P.FOUL (P2.PN)25
18
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
18
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup25
18
Q1 - 0:06.0TORSUB: Williams FOR Bradley25
18
Q1 - 0:06.0TORPeterson P.FOUL (P1.T4)25
18
Q1 - 0:21.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
18
Q1 - 0:23.0TORMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
18
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)25
18
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
16
Q1 - 0:56.0TORMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot25
16
Q1 - 1:12MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler25
16
Q1 - 1:12MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)25
16
Q1 - 1:12MIAHEAT Rebound25
16
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Butler 35' 3PT Jump Shot25
16
Q1 - 1:40TORPeterson 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
16
Q1 - 1:56MIAAllen 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
16
Q1 - 2:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
14
Q1 - 2:08TORMISS Bradley 6' Hook Shot23
14
Q1 - 2:20TORSUB: Alston FOR Williams23
14
Q1 - 2:20TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
14
Q1 - 2:20MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
14
Q1 - 2:32TORBradley 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)23
14
Q1 - 2:54MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)21
14
Q1 - 3:13TORWilliams Layup (4 PTS)21
12
Q1 - 3:17MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
12
Q1 - 3:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
12
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler 20' Fadeaway Jumper19
12
Q1 - 3:49TORJefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)19
12
Q1 - 4:01TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
12
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup16
12
Q1 - 4:24TORJefferies 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
12
Q1 - 4:43MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 4:52TORBradley Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 4:54TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
10
Q1 - 4:56TORMISS Jefferies 5' Running Hook Shot12
10
Q1 - 5:16MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 5:16MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 5:16TORMcCoy P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
8
Q1 - 5:22TORButler STEAL (2 STL)12
8
Q1 - 5:28MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
8
Q1 - 5:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
8
Q1 - 5:45TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)12
8
Q1 - 5:47TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Grant 7' Hook Shot12
8
Q1 - 6:00TORMcCoy Dunk (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)12
8
Q1 - 6:07TORBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 6:23TORPeterson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 6:25TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
8
Q1 - 6:27TORMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 6:41MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 6:59MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 7:14TORJefferies Driving Layup (2 PTS) (McCoy 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 7:30TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Butler 18' Fadeaway Jumper6
6
Q1 - 7:48TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 8:11MIAButler 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 8:29TORMcCoy 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 8:47MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)2
4
Q1 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound2
2
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup2
2
Q1 - 9:00TORJefferies Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)2
2
Q1 - 9:13MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 9:23TORBradley P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 9:34TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
0
Q1 - 9:52TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
0
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:06TORMISS Jefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:14TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:26TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:30TORCarter STEAL (1 STL)2
0
Q1 - 10:38MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:38MIAButler OFF.Foul (P1)2
0
Q1 - 10:43TORButler STEAL (1 STL)2
0
Q1 - 10:51TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Butler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:12TORMcCoy 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:32TORRaptors Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. McCoy: Tip to Butler0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 45.1%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
29
59%
MIA
15
34
44%
Midrange
TOR
14
34
41%
MIA
16
41
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
MIA
2
3.0
4
50%
75%
Free Throws
TOR
9
13
69%
MIA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Williams1662%8.0 / 13
C. Jefferies1538%7.5 / 20
J. McCoy1365%6.5 / 10
J. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
M. Peterson935%4.5 / 13
M. Bradley850%4.0 / 8
M. N'diaye440%2.0 / 5
R. Alston315%1.5 / 10
M. Baston2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1667%8.0 / 12
C. Butler1238%6.0 / 16
R. Butler1142%5.5 / 13
L. Ellis1071%5.0 / 7
S. Lampley941%4.5 / 11
M. Allen850%4.0 / 8
A. Carter758%3.5 / 6
T. Best650%3.0 / 6
V. Stepania643%3.0 / 7
M. James330%1.5 / 5
K. Johnson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+13
-13
91
MIA
79
+17
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 45.1%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
25
98.1
28
94.5
TOR 91.2
MIA 96.7 +5.5
Pace
21
92.1
28
90.0
TOR 84.8
MIA 99.3 +14.5
Avg. Poss. Time
8
16.0
3
16.2
TOR 17.0
MIA 14.5 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
26
45.8%
28
43.9%
TOR 45.1% +2.1%
MIA 43.0%
TO %
12
14.6%
14
14.8%
TOR 14.6%
MIA 14.2% −0.4%
ORB %
16
28.3%
23
26.8%
TOR 20.9%
MIA 31.4% +10.5%
FTrt
23
28.2
27
25.9
TOR 15.9
MIA 32.9 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
28
55.6%
27
55.8%
TOR 45.7%
MIA 60.6% +14.9%
STL %
20
8.0%
21
7.9%
TOR 9.9% +2.3%
MIA 7.6%
BLK %
21
7.0%
23
6.4%
TOR 10.7% +1.2%
MIA 9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
26
47.3%
28
46.0%
TOR 45.1%
MIA 45.9% +0.8%
Rim FG%
20
55.5%
28
53.7%
TOR 58.6% +14.5%
MIA 44.1%
Mid FG%
22
37.8%
25
37.6%
TOR 41.2% +2.2%
MIA 39.0%
3P %
19
34.3%
26
31.6%
TOR 21.1%
MIA 50.0% +28.9%
FT %
28
71.8%
14
76.5%
TOR 69.2%
MIA 80.8% +11.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
21
31.4%
26
28.9%
TOR 35.4%
MIA 43.0% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
21
50.7%
27
54.2%
TOR 41.5% −10.4%
MIA 51.9%
3P Att. %
14
17.9%
20
16.9%
TOR 23.2% +18.1%
MIA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points8389
Rebounds3345
Assists1620
Steals97
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)34 (2)
Field Goals35-8233-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2915-34
Midrange FG14-3416-41
2-Point FG31-6331-75
3-Point FG4-192-4
Free Throws9-1321-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

25 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
45.2
15
38%
4
3
2
1
4
1
0
4
1-3
33%
4-11
36%
2-7
29%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29
40.0
16
62%
3
3
3
0
3
3
0
3
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-2
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
38.6
9
35%
4
5
1
0
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
Jelani McCoy
C · 6'10" 245 · 25
34.2
13
65%
6
1
1
2
2
3
0
6
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
21.2
8
50%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30
24.0
13
72%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
20.3
3
15%
3
3
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-5
20%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
13.8
4
40%
1
0
0
2
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 27
2.9
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
 45%
33
16
9
8
13
0
9
24
9-13
69%
31-63
49%
4-19
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.