Final Win Prob. pScore
2058%91
91
2742%88
87
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
98.99292.3
MIA logo Heat
96.79089.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS91
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASSUB: Russell FOR Laettner91
87
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)91
87
Q4 - 0:05.0WASLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P4.PN)89
87
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 8 AST)89
96.4%
87
3.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASSUB: Simmons FOR Brown88
84
Q4 - 0:13.0WASLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHouse P.FOUL (P3.PN)87
84
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJohnson 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 7 AST)87
97.0%
84
3.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
97.5%
82
2.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot87
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 1:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 1:05WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot87
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJohnson 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Lampley 4 AST)87
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 1:38WASLaettner 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)87
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST)85
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 1:57MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot85
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 2:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 2:12WASMISS Jordan 8' Jump Shot85
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 2:33WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 285
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHEAT Rebound85
76
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 285
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)85
76
Q4 - 2:35WASBrown S.FOUL (P4.T4)85
76
Q4 - 2:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Lampley 18' Jump Shot85
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 2:48MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 2:49WASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)85
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAButler 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 3:19WASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 285
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 3:19WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
74
Q4 - 3:37WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Lampley 9' Jump Shot84
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 3:59WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 3:59WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 3:59MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T4)82
74
Q4 - 4:17WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot82
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 4:35WASBrown Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)82
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 4:36WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 4:37WASMISS Lue Driving Layup82
96.7%
74
3.3%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)82
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 5:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q4 - 5:14WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot82
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 5:31WASSUB: Brown FOR Haywood82
74
Q4 - 5:31WASSUB: Hughes FOR Russell82
74
Q4 - 5:3182
74
Q4 - 5:31WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)82
74
Q4 - 5:35MIAEllis Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Butler 6 AST)82
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 5:40WASLampley STEAL (1 STL)82
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 5:59WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
98.0%
72
2.0%
Q4 - 6:02WASMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q4 - 6:27MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)82
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 6:50WASLue 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 7:10WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
96.5%
70
3.5%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q4 - 7:28WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)80
95.3%
70
4.7%
Q4 - 7:48WASSUB: Lue FOR Hughes80
70
Q4 - 7:48MIALampley Foul Turnover (P2.T16)80
96.5%
70
3.5%
Q4 - 7:48MIALampley OFF.Foul (P4)80
70
Q4 - 8:03WASHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)80
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q4 - 8:15MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T15)80
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q4 - 8:15MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P2)80
70
Q4 - 8:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q4 - 8:34WASMISS Russell 20' Jump Shot80
95.0%
70
5.0%
Q4 - 8:51MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHEAT Rebound80
69
Q4 - 8:51MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 280
96.0%
69
4.0%
Q4 - 8:51WASRussell S.FOUL (P3.T3)80
69
Q4 - 9:07WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)80
94.9%
69
5.1%
Q4 - 9:07MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)79
69
Q4 - 9:07WASHaywood Dunk (8 PTS)79
93.6%
69
6.4%
Q4 - 9:07WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q4 - 9:08WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot77
90.7%
69
9.3%
Q4 - 9:22MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)77
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q4 - 9:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q4 - 9:45WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot77
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 10:04WASSUB: Laettner FOR Brown77
69
Q4 - 10:04WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)77
69
Q4 - 10:09MIALampley Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)77
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q4 - 10:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
92.8%
67
7.2%
Q4 - 10:18WASMISS Brown Layup77
93.2%
67
6.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q4 - 10:34WASJordan S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
65
Q4 - 10:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q4 - 10:42WASMISS Jordan Reverse Layup77
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q4 - 10:56MIALampley P.FOUL (P3.T2)77
65
Q4 - 11:00MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
96.2%
65
3.8%
Q4 - 11:00MIAHEAT Rebound77
64
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 277
96.4%
64
3.6%
Q4 - 11:00WASBrown S.FOUL (P3.T1)77
64
Q4 - 11:11WASBrown 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
95.6%
64
4.4%
Q4 - 11:23MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.T1)75
64
Q4 - 11:35WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
94.6%
64
5.4%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot75
94.3%
64
5.7%
Q4 - 12:0075
64
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
93.5%
64
6.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASEllis STEAL (1 STL)75
92.7%
64
7.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)75
93.9%
64
6.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
95.6%
62
4.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0WASWizards Rebound74
62
Q3 - 0:54.0WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 274
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen74
62
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T4)74
62
Q3 - 1:00WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Butler Layup74
94.1%
62
5.9%
Q3 - 1:17WASHughes 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Laettner 6 AST)74
93.4%
62
6.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJohnson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
92.0%
62
8.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
93.5%
60
6.5%
Q3 - 1:53WASMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot72
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T3)72
60
Q3 - 2:03MIAHouse 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q3 - 2:08WASBrown 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)72
94.8%
58
5.2%
Q3 - 2:20WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
93.9%
58
6.1%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Lampley Tip Shot70
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot70
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 2:43WASHouse STEAL (1 STL)70
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
93.9%
58
6.1%
Q3 - 3:14WASSUB: Simmons FOR Jordan70
58
Q3 - 3:14MIASUB: House FOR Carter70
58
Q3 - 3:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)70
58
Q3 - 3:22WASHughes 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
92.2%
58
7.8%
Q3 - 3:27WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
90.9%
58
9.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup68
90.4%
58
9.6%
Q3 - 3:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
89.2%
58
10.8%
Q3 - 3:46WASMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 3:50MIALampley L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)68
58
Q3 - 4:11WASWizards Rebound68
90.5%
58
9.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot68
89.9%
58
10.1%
Q3 - 4:14WASLaettner 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)68
88.6%
58
11.4%
Q3 - 4:16WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
87.0%
58
13.0%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot66
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 4:27WASLaettner Layup (9 PTS) (Jordan 4 AST)66
84.6%
58
15.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIASUB: Johnson FOR Grant64
58
Q3 - 4:33MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler64
58
Q3 - 4:33MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)64
58
Q3 - 4:49MIAButler Layup (15 PTS)64
82.6%
58
17.4%
Q3 - 4:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
84.6%
56
15.4%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup64
86.4%
56
13.6%
Q3 - 5:02WASBrown 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)64
83.7%
56
16.3%
Q3 - 5:18MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)62
81.7%
56
18.3%
Q3 - 5:28WASLue 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
78.7%
56
21.3%
Q3 - 5:34WASWizards Rebound60
76.2%
56
23.8%
Q3 - 5:35WASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)60
73.7%
56
26.3%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation60
56
Q3 - 5:50MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
76.2%
56
23.8%
Q3 - 5:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
72.6%
56
27.4%
Q3 - 5:55WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
73.7%
56
26.3%
Q3 - 6:09WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot60
74.8%
56
25.2%
Q3 - 6:27WASBrown 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)60
72.5%
56
27.5%
Q3 - 6:43MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
69.4%
56
30.6%
Q3 - 6:56WASBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)58
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)58
68.8%
56
31.2%
Q3 - 7:30WASLaettner Layup (7 PTS) (Jordan 3 AST)58
65.2%
56
34.8%
Q3 - 7:41WASSUB: Hughes FOR Simmons56
56
Q3 - 7:41WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)56
56
Q3 - 7:50MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
61.8%
56
38.2%
Q3 - 8:10WASJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)56
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 8:21WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
68.6%
54
31.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup56
67.5%
54
32.5%
Q3 - 8:37WASButler STEAL (1 STL)56
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
68.5%
54
31.5%
Q3 - 9:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
74.4%
51
25.6%
Q3 - 9:30WASAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)56
75.3%
51
24.7%
Q3 - 9:42WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
77.2%
51
22.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 9:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
74.4%
51
25.6%
Q3 - 9:53WASMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot56
75.3%
51
24.7%
Q3 - 10:04WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot56
76.0%
51
24.0%
Q3 - 10:27WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)56
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 10:27WASWizards Rebound56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 10:27WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot56
74.9%
51
25.1%
Q3 - 10:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 11:00WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot56
75.0%
51
25.0%
Q3 - 11:21MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)56
76.7%
51
23.3%
Q3 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q3 - 11:45WASMISS Brown 11' Hook Shot56
79.7%
49
20.3%
Q3 - 12:0056
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
81.3%
49
18.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASHughes 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)56
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIASUB: Best FOR Allen54
49
Q2 - 0:14.0WASSUB: Dixon FOR Haywood54
49
Q2 - 0:14.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)54
49
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
76.1%
49
23.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0WASJordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)54
79.0%
47
21.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot52
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
74.2%
47
25.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASWizards Rebound51
47
Q2 - 0:58.0WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 251
73.6%
47
26.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
47
Q2 - 0:58.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
73.6%
47
26.4%
Q2 - 1:02WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot51
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
73.4%
47
26.6%
Q2 - 1:14WASSUB: Haywood FOR Brown51
46
Q2 - 1:14WASSUB: Hughes FOR Simmons51
46
Q2 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
73.9%
46
26.1%
Q2 - 1:14WASSimmons L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)51
45
Q2 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound51
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q2 - 1:15WASButler BLOCK (2 BLK)51
77.1%
45
22.9%
Q2 - 1:34MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
78.2%
45
21.8%
Q2 - 1:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
81.9%
43
18.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
81.0%
43
19.0%
Q2 - 2:03WASMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot51
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q2 - 2:18MIASUB: Butler FOR James51
43
Q2 - 2:18WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)51
43
Q2 - 2:28MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)51
82.3%
43
17.7%
Q2 - 2:51WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)51
85.7%
40
14.3%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
84.0%
40
16.0%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
84.4%
39
15.6%
Q2 - 3:06MIASUB: Carter FOR Best49
38
Q2 - 3:06WASJordan P.FOUL (P1.PN)49
38
Q2 - 3:12WASJordan 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)49
85.3%
38
14.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
84.0%
38
16.0%
Q2 - 3:52WASSimmons 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Laettner 5 AST)47
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q2 - 4:12MIABest 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)45
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q2 - 4:15MIASUB: Butler FOR Lampley45
34
Q2 - 4:36WASLue 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Laettner 4 AST)45
85.1%
34
14.9%
Q2 - 4:51MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
83.6%
34
16.4%
Q2 - 4:51MIAHEAT Rebound43
33
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 243
83.9%
33
16.1%
Q2 - 4:51WASSUB: Laettner FOR Haywood43
33
Q2 - 4:51WASHaywood S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
33
Q2 - 5:14WASHaywood 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)43
83.3%
33
16.7%
Q2 - 5:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
33
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T4)41
33
Q2 - 5:46MIAJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
81.5%
33
18.5%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
83.3%
31
16.7%
Q2 - 5:56WASMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot41
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 6:16WASSUB: Lue FOR Dixon41
30
Q2 - 6:16WASSUB: Simmons FOR Russell41
30
Q2 - 6:16MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
84.8%
30
15.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis41
29
Q2 - 6:16WASRussell P.FOUL (P2.PN)41
29
Q2 - 6:32MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania41
29
Q2 - 6:32WASDixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)41
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 6:35MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
87.3%
29
12.7%
Q2 - 6:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 6:40WASMISS Jordan Layup41
86.2%
29
13.8%
Q2 - 6:48WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
87.3%
29
12.7%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot41
86.8%
29
13.2%
Q2 - 6:59WASJordan 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)41
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 7:19WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
29
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
83.7%
29
16.3%
Q2 - 7:33WASSUB: Jordan FOR Hughes39
29
Q2 - 7:33WASRussell P.FOUL (P1.T4)39
29
Q2 - 7:42WASWizards Rebound39
84.2%
29
15.8%
Q2 - 7:42WASRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
82.5%
29
17.5%
Q2 - 7:42WASMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 238
82.2%
29
17.8%
Q2 - 7:42MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T3)38
29
Q2 - 8:00MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)38
82.6%
29
17.4%
Q2 - 8:11WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 8:11WASWizards Rebound37
27
Q2 - 8:11WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 237
83.2%
27
16.8%
Q2 - 8:11MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
27
Q2 - 8:26MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 8:26MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
84.0%
26
16.0%
Q2 - 8:2637
25
Q2 - 8:26WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
25
Q2 - 8:43WASHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)37
85.1%
25
14.9%
Q2 - 8:47WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot34
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 8:51MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Lampley 6' Jump Shot34
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
80.0%
25
20.0%
Q2 - 9:02WASMISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot34
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 9:14MIASUB: James FOR Butler34
25
Q2 - 9:14MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)34
25
Q2 - 9:14WASWizards Rebound34
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 9:14WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot34
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIALampley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 9:40WASHughes Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
80.0%
25
20.0%
Q2 - 9:54MIALampley Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
78.2%
25
21.8%
Q2 - 10:13WASBrown Layup (2 PTS)32
79.6%
23
20.4%
Q2 - 10:14WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
77.9%
23
22.1%
Q2 - 10:16WASMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot30
76.6%
23
23.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
77.9%
23
22.1%
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
78.2%
22
21.8%
Q2 - 10:26WASBrown P.FOUL (P2.T2)30
21
Q2 - 10:32WASBrown P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
21
Q2 - 10:38MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
79.6%
21
20.4%
Q2 - 10:40WASMISS Russell 14' Fadeaway Jumper30
80.1%
21
19.9%
Q2 - 11:02WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
80.7%
21
19.3%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot30
80.3%
21
19.7%
Q2 - 11:17WASHaywood Layup (4 PTS)30
79.1%
21
20.9%
Q2 - 11:29WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
77.4%
21
22.6%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Stepania Reverse Layup28
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q2 - 11:48WASButler STEAL (1 STL)28
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q2 - 12:0028
21
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
77.4%
21
22.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot28
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0WASHaywood Dunk (2 PTS)28
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0WASMISS Hughes Alley Oop Layup26
71.9%
21
28.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)26
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0WASLaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
75.3%
19
24.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0WASSUB: Hughes FOR Jordan25
19
Q1 - 0:35.0WASSUB: Russell FOR Simmons25
19
Q1 - 0:35.0MIALampley S.FOUL (P1.PN)25
19
Q1 - 0:35.0WASLaettner 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
73.4%
19
26.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
70.9%
19
29.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0WASMISS Jordan Finger Roll23
69.8%
19
30.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Butler Dunk23
70.5%
19
29.5%
Q1 - 1:08WASJordan Layup (15 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)23
69.3%
19
30.7%
Q1 - 1:16MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen21
19
Q1 - 1:16MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T3)21
19
Q1 - 1:29MIAButler 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)21
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant21
17
Q1 - 1:52MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler21
17
Q1 - 1:52WASSimmons L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)21
17
Q1 - 1:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
69.3%
17
30.7%
Q1 - 1:55WASMISS Jordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper21
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q1 - 2:19MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q1 - 2:44WASJordan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)21
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 2:50WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
15
Q1 - 2:50MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T2)19
15
Q1 - 2:59WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 119
70.8%
15
29.2%
Q1 - 3:01WASSUB: Haywood FOR Brown19
15
Q1 - 3:01WASLue S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
15
Q1 - 3:01MIACarter Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)19
71.0%
15
29.0%
Q1 - 3:10WASLaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)19
72.8%
13
27.2%
Q1 - 3:25MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
71.0%
13
29.0%
Q1 - 3:36WASLue 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)17
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 3:55MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)15
71.0%
11
29.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
71.4%
9
28.6%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Allen 9' Hook Shot15
72.6%
9
27.4%
Q1 - 4:26WASJordan 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)15
71.3%
9
28.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 4:49MIAAllen Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Allen Layup13
72.3%
7
27.7%
Q1 - 5:01WASSimmons Layup (4 PTS)13
70.5%
7
29.5%
Q1 - 5:02WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)11
69.1%
7
30.9%
Q1 - 5:04WASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)11
67.8%
7
32.2%
Q1 - 5:06WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
69.1%
7
30.9%
Q1 - 5:08WASMISS Brown 8' Hook Shot11
67.8%
7
32.2%
Q1 - 5:17WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
69.0%
7
31.0%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot11
68.4%
7
31.6%
Q1 - 5:34WASJordan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)11
67.1%
7
32.9%
Q1 - 5:55MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
65.5%
7
34.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHEAT Rebound9
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 6:16WASMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot9
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 6:42MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)9
69.6%
4
30.4%
Q1 - 7:04MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
2
Q1 - 7:04MIAHEAT Rebound9
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 7:06WASMISS Lue 14' Jump Shot9
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)9
71.9%
2
28.1%
Q1 - 7:28WASJordan 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)9
70.2%
2
29.8%
Q1 - 7:40MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)7
68.8%
2
31.2%
Q1 - 7:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
67.1%
2
32.9%
Q1 - 7:58WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot7
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 8:16MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 8:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot7
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 8:36WASJordan Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 8:45MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)5
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 9:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 9:01WASMISS Laettner Layup5
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 9:06WASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
66.7%
0
33.3%
Q1 - 9:08WASMISS Jordan 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 9:31MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)5
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 9:35WASGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)5
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 9:42WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler Running Layup5
65.3%
0
34.7%
Q1 - 9:47MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
64.6%
0
35.4%
Q1 - 9:49WASMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot5
64.8%
0
35.2%
Q1 - 10:04WASWizards Rebound5
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot5
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 10:24WASSimmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)5
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 10:34WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot3
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:52WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:52MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:52WASJordan Layup (2 PTS)2
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 10:53WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 10:54WASMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot0
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 11:17MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 11:24WASMISS Jordan Driving Layup0
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 11:40WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot0
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Brown: Tip to Carter0
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
12
23
52%
MIA
9
19
47%
Midrange
WAS
25
54
46%
MIA
21
42
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
WAS
14
19
74%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Jordan2545%12.5 / 28
C. Laettner1354%6.5 / 12
L. Hughes1350%6.5 / 13
K. Brown1255%6.0 / 11
T. Lue1255%6.0 / 11
B. Haywood990%4.5 / 5
B. Simmons638%3.0 / 8
B. Russell113%0.5 / 4
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1959%9.5 / 16
R. Butler1071%5.0 / 7
E. House1071%5.0 / 7
A. Carter850%4.0 / 8
L. Ellis844%4.0 / 9
M. James880%4.0 / 5
S. Lampley744%3.5 / 8
M. Allen633%3.0 / 9
K. Johnson643%3.0 / 7
B. Grant350%1.5 / 3
T. Best250%1.0 / 2
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
81
+14
-11
95
MIA
73
+11
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
21
100.1
28
94.5
WAS 98.9 +2.2
MIA 96.7
Pace
26
90.7
28
90.0
WAS 92.3 +2.5
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
4
16.2
3
16.2
WAS 15.6 −0.4
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
25
46.0%
28
43.9%
WAS 47.0%
MIA 50.7% +3.7%
TO %
4
13.8%
14
14.8%
WAS 11.7% −5.8%
MIA 17.5%
ORB %
20
27.3%
23
26.8%
WAS 28.2% +0.4%
MIA 27.8%
FTrt
8
32.5
27
25.9
WAS 23.2
MIA 29.6 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
21
57.2%
27
55.8%
WAS 50.0%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
15
8.3%
21
7.9%
WAS 8.7% +3.1%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
18
7.4%
23
6.4%
WAS 3.3%
MIA 7.8% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
22
48.8%
28
46.0%
WAS 47.9%
MIA 51.2% +3.3%
Rim FG%
14
56.7%
28
53.7%
WAS 52.2% +4.8%
MIA 47.4%
Mid FG%
5
40.9%
25
37.6%
WAS 46.3%
MIA 50.0% +3.7%
3P %
27
31.2%
26
31.6%
WAS 20.0%
MIA 40.0% +20.0%
FT %
4
77.9%
14
76.5%
WAS 73.7% +2.3%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28
27.7%
26
28.9%
WAS 28.0% +1.3%
MIA 26.8%
Mid Att. %
28
59.6%
27
54.2%
WAS 65.9%
MIA 59.2% −6.7%
3P Att. %
25
12.7%
20
16.9%
WAS 6.1%
MIA 14.1% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9187
Rebounds3738
Assists1917
Steals85
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)28 (3)
Field Goals38-8234-71
At-the-Rim FG12-239-19
Midrange FG25-5421-42
2-Point FG37-7730-61
3-Point FG1-54-10
Free Throws14-1915-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 216 · 40
39.7
25
45%
2
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
11-25
44%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 290 · 21
39.0
12
55%
10
1
2
0
2
4
2
8
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
38.8
13
54%
8
6
2
1
2
0
3
5
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
38.1
12
55%
4
7
0
0
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
24.2
6
38%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
23.7
13
50%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 263 · 23
17.6
9
90%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32
12.9
1
13%
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 165 · 25
6.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 28
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27
F · 6'9" 245 · 39
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
37
19
8
2
11
0
11
26
14-19
74%
37-77
48%
1-5
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.