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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks48%9892
10Jazz52%9995
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.8
43.1
35.0
34
64%
8
2
2
1
1
1
0
8
10-10
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
49%
4-6
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.2
39.1
31.7
19
68%
2
10
0
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
3-6
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
34.0
19.1
5
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
31.7
24.4
21
75%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
3-6
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.8
22.6
16.3
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.4
29.5
28.3
8
44%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
43%
2-3
67%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
18.2
23.1
2
33%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 28.4
8.9
17.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.1
7.3
12.5
0
0%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.0
5.7
11.4
1
13%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
10.1
0
1-2
44%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.8
7.8
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.7
37.1
30.7
23
64%
9
7
0
1
0
3
1
8
7-9
78%
8-14
6-13
57%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.1
34.6
26.8
6
39%
13
1
1
0
1
1
4
9
0-4
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 41.0
31.6
22.5
17
82%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
6-8
3-5
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
29.4
28.6
15
54%
4
2
0
1
1
4
1
3
6-11
55%
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
24.6
28.6
11
62%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
29.7
27.2
19
63%
6
0
1
1
1
2
4
2
3-5
60%
8-13
4-7
62%
51%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
20.2
16.4
1
7%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 38.0
16.4
17.0
2
33%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.0
12.4
10.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
4.1
11.0
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.4
8.9
0
1-2
38%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.7
8.8
0
1-3
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.