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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 13, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pacers46%10098
11Bucks54%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
42.2
32.9
25
56%
5
4
0
1
2
4
2
3
9-12
75%
8-16
7-15
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.4
31.4
31.7
23
59%
6
1
2
2
1
3
2
4
12-15
80%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.1
24.9
32.3
6
50%
5
3
1
2
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 37.6
13.0
26.1
3
61%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.0
10.0
24.7
2
17%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
51%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.2
40.4
24.1
20
60%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
7-14
4-8
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 22.2
32.3
24.4
4
29%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 36.6
23.1
7.9
7
38%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-3
33%
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
2-6
33%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.2
21.1
5.4
6
75%
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
43%
0-0
-
Jamison Brewer
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.4
1.4
6.9
2
26%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 29.4
17.0
1
1-3
45%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.0
11.9
0
1-3
45%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
6.3
0
1-2
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.4
38.5
33.8
33
72%
6
3
1
1
1
3
1
5
11-11
100%
11-17
6-12
65%
48%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.7
35.6
35.8
12
41%
4
8
3
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
6-14
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 25.5
33.3
34.0
10
50%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
6-7
86%
2-7
6-12
29%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.3
17.3
13.7
9
61%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
1-3
33%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
9.2
17.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 36.3
30.0
7.3
4
42%
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-4
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 34.6
27.4
28.4
17
78%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
21.9
25.0
13
66%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
2-5
40%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.1
18.3
26.4
9
59%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
5-6
83%
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 35.3
7.7
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.2
0.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 29.8
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.