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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 13, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics58%9194
27Heat42%8886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
41.1
38.2
24
63%
12
4
1
1
0
1
1
11
4-5
80%
4-7
5-11
57%
43%
4-10
40%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.5
39.5
38.4
32
59%
9
5
1
2
0
3
1
8
10-12
83%
8-18
6-14
44%
45%
2-4
50%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
34.3
29.8
4
17%
4
2
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
45%
0-3
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.2
21.7
24.8
10
63%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
2-3
67%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.2
19.9
15.4
12
72%
8
0
0
0
1
0
4
4
2-3
67%
5-7
2-3
71%
52%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
27.5
25.9
3
17%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
1-5
20%
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
26.3
22.0
9
56%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
39%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
11.9
19.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.1
10.9
12.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
6.9
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.0
5.5
0
0-1
38%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
2.4
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.1
31.9
35.4
20
67%
4
4
3
2
0
4
0
4
9-9
100%
4-6
5-12
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
24.0
22.9
10
35%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-9
2-6
44%
42%
0-4
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.1
20.2
26.3
7
79%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.8
19.6
22.4
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
16.6
24.3
2
20%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
1-4
2-6
25%
39%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
28.4
19.0
10
50%
9
0
1
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
46%
0-3
0%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25.2
27.8
11.2
8
57%
7
0
0
0
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.6
24.6
19.4
7
53%
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
3-6
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.9
19.9
14.8
9
46%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.8
18.1
14.3
7
51%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.8
8.9
13.5
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
14.2
0
2-4
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.