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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 13, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs56%9785
14Suns44%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
37.7
36.1
15
68%
7
6
1
1
3
4
2
5
5-7
71%
5-8
8-15
63%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.8
36.6
24.4
4
25%
2
3
3
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
31.8
20.5
8
33%
4
6
3
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-5
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.9
26.3
32.4
7
60%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
5-10
100%
49%
1-4
25%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.7
25.7
18.5
9
57%
7
1
1
1
2
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.4
32.6
31.2
18
53%
5
3
0
1
0
4
3
2
4-7
57%
7-14
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
27.6
25.8
16
67%
3
1
2
2
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
4-6
67%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.9
21.7
20.1
8
52%
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.0
16.7
0
1-3
43%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
6.3
0
1-2
45%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
4.8
0
0-1
46%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.5
3.5
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 24.9
48.0
38.4
24
61%
4
2
3
2
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
8-15
6-12
53%
47%
1-2
50%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.1
46.7
37.2
23
54%
5
10
0
1
0
5
0
5
5-5
100%
9-17
6-14
53%
47%
0-2
0%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.7
36.0
33.1
10
83%
3
4
1
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-10
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 20.4
23.1
27.1
10
51%
7
1
1
1
3
2
2
5
4-4
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35.1
13.3
4.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21.8
37.3
29.7
20
68%
5
4
4
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
7-12
3-8
58%
42%
1-1
100%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.4
19.7
20.2
3
80%
1
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.0
10.8
17.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
5.2
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 23.8
13.2
0
2-3
46%
Dan Langhi
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
4.4
0
1-1
43%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.