for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, April 15, 2003
Final Win Prob. pScore
27
Heat
38%87
103
25
Raptors
62%91
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
115.78993.1
TOR logo Raptors
110.09086.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR103
99
Q4 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound103
99
Q4 - 0:00.0TORMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot103
99
Q4 - 0:04.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)103
99
Q4 - 0:06.0TORMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99
Q4 - 0:10.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)103
99
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)103
99
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)102
99
Q4 - 0:10.0TORPeterson P.FOUL (P4.PN)101
99
Q4 - 0:11.0TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)101
99
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAEllis S.FOUL (P3.PN)101
98
Q4 - 0:11.0TORPeterson 9' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS)101
98
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAEllis Running Layup (13 PTS) (James 7 AST)101
96
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
96
Q4 - 0:33.0TORMISS Jefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
96
Q4 - 0:41.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)99
96
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)99
96
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)99
96
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 299
96
Q4 - 0:44.0MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)99
96
Q4 - 0:44.0TORWilliams P.FOUL (P3.PN)98
96
Q4 - 0:55.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
96
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
96
Q4 - 1:10TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)98
96
Q4 - 1:21MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T9)98
96
Q4 - 1:21MIAButler OFF.Foul (P3)98
96
Q4 - 1:32TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)98
96
Q4 - 1:32TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P3)98
96
Q4 - 1:53MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
96
Q4 - 2:11TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)96
96
Q4 - 2:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
93
Q4 - 2:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
93
Q4 - 2:27TORBradley S.FOUL (P2.PN)94
93
Q4 - 2:39TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)94
93
Q4 - 2:39MIAHeat Timeout: Official TV (Reg.1 Short 0)94
92
Q4 - 2:39MIALampley S.FOUL (P2.PN)94
92
Q4 - 2:39TORWilliams Layup (9 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)94
92
Q4 - 3:01MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)94
90
Q4 - 3:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
90
Q4 - 3:17TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 294
90
Q4 - 3:17TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)94
90
Q4 - 3:17MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P5.T4)94
89
Q4 - 3:30TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)94
89
Q4 - 3:33MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)94
89
Q4 - 3:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
89
Q4 - 3:43TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot91
89
Q4 - 3:56MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)91
89
Q4 - 3:56TORSUB: Jefferies FOR N'diaye90
89
Q4 - 3:56MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 3:56TORWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)89
89
Q4 - 3:56MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
89
Q4 - 3:58TORMISS Bradley 10' Turnaround Hook Shot89
89
Q4 - 4:16MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
89
Q4 - 4:16MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
89
Q4 - 4:16TORBradley P.FOUL (P1.PN)87
89
Q4 - 4:30TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 4:30TORRAPTORS Rebound87
88
Q4 - 4:30TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 287
88
Q4 - 4:30MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P4.T3)87
88
Q4 - 4:33TORBradley REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)87
88
Q4 - 4:34TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 4:51MIAEllis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 5:04TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)85
88
Q4 - 5:04TORRAPTORS Rebound85
88
Q4 - 5:04TORMISS Bradley 12' Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 5:32MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 5:48TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 2 Short 0)82
88
Q4 - 5:48TORPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T4)82
88
Q4 - 6:06TORBradley Tip Shot (8 PTS)82
88
Q4 - 6:07TORBradley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
86
Q4 - 6:09TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
86
Q4 - 6:28TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)82
86
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot82
86
Q4 - 6:31TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)82
86
Q4 - 6:32TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot82
86
Q4 - 6:34TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
86
Q4 - 6:36TORMISS Alston 3' Driving Hook Shot82
86
Q4 - 6:40TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
86
Q4 - 6:44MIABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)82
86
Q4 - 6:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
86
Q4 - 6:56TORMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot82
86
Q4 - 7:17MIAJames 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
86
Q4 - 7:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
86
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
86
Q4 - 7:42TORBradley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)80
86
Q4 - 7:51TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
84
Q4 - 7:53TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
84
Q4 - 8:11MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lampley 4 AST)80
84
Q4 - 8:21TORWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)77
84
Q4 - 8:31MIASUB: Johnson FOR Stepania77
82
Q4 - 8:31MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)77
82
Q4 - 8:46TORN'diaye P.FOUL (P4.T3)77
82
Q4 - 8:5277
82
Q4 - 8:52TORN'diaye P.FOUL (P3.T2)77
82
Q4 - 8:59TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (N'diaye 2 AST)77
82
Q4 - 9:11MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T2)77
79
Q4 - 9:23MIAStepania Tip Shot (8 PTS)77
79
Q4 - 9:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
79
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup75
79
Q4 - 9:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
79
Q4 - 9:45TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot75
79
Q4 - 9:56TORRAPTORS Rebound75
79
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot75
79
Q4 - 10:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
79
Q4 - 10:08MIAPeterson BLOCK (1 BLK)75
79
Q4 - 10:21TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)75
79
Q4 - 10:21TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
78
Q4 - 10:21TORSUB: Williams FOR Jefferies75
77
Q4 - 10:21TORSUB: N'diaye FOR McCoy75
77
Q4 - 10:21MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)75
77
Q4 - 10:39MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)75
77
Q4 - 10:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
77
Q4 - 10:46TORMISS McCoy Layup73
77
Q4 - 11:03MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
77
Q4 - 11:03MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
77
Q4 - 11:03TORMcCoy S.FOUL (P2.T1)71
77
Q4 - 11:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
77
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot71
77
Q4 - 11:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
77
Q4 - 11:24TORMISS Jefferies 16' Jump Shot71
77
Q4 - 11:40MIAStepania 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)71
77
Q4 - 11:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
77
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
77
Q4 - 12:0069
77
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR69
77
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound69
77
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 49' 3PT Jump Shot69
77
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)69
77
Q3 - 0:23.0TORMcCoy 8' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)67
77
Q3 - 0:40.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)67
75
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Stepania 11' Turnaround Jump Shot67
75
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
75
Q3 - 0:58.0TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
75
Q3 - 1:13MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
75
Q3 - 1:13MIAHeat Rebound66
75
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 266
75
Q3 - 1:13TORAlston P.FOUL (P3.PN)66
75
Q3 - 1:23MIAHeat Rebound66
75
Q3 - 1:24TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
75
Q3 - 1:42TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
75
Q3 - 1:44TORMISS Jefferies 5' Running Jump Shot66
75
Q3 - 2:05MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
75
Q3 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound65
75
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 265
75
Q3 - 2:05TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T4)65
75
Q3 - 2:20TORJefferies Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
75
Q3 - 2:20TORJefferies Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
74
Q3 - 2:20TORSUB: McCoy FOR N'diaye65
73
Q3 - 2:20MIASUB: Stepania FOR Johnson65
73
Q3 - 2:20MIAHeat Timeout: Official TV (Reg.1 Short 0)65
73
Q3 - 2:20MIALampley P.FOUL (P1.PN)65
73
Q3 - 2:37MIABest 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
73
Q3 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
73
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS N'diaye 9' Fadeaway Jumper63
73
Q3 - 2:54TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)63
73
Q3 - 2:56TORMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot63
73
Q3 - 3:05TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
73
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot63
73
Q3 - 3:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
73
Q3 - 3:15TORMISS Peterson 11' Jump Shot63
73
Q3 - 3:18TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)63
73
Q3 - 3:20TORMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot63
73
Q3 - 3:41MIABest 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
73
Q3 - 3:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
73
Q3 - 3:50TORMISS Jefferies Free Throw 2 of 261
73
Q3 - 3:50TORJefferies Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
73
Q3 - 3:50MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen61
72
Q3 - 3:50MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.PN)61
72
Q3 - 4:03TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
72
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Allen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot61
72
Q3 - 4:13TORAlston P.FOUL (P2.T3)61
72
Q3 - 4:23TORN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
72
Q3 - 4:23TORRAPTORS Rebound61
71
Q3 - 4:23TORMISS N'diaye Free Throw 1 of 261
71
Q3 - 4:23MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler61
71
Q3 - 4:23MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T4)61
71
Q3 - 4:45MIAJohnson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)61
71
Q3 - 5:05TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)59
71
Q3 - 5:22MIAButler Driving Layup (7 PTS)59
68
Q3 - 5:31TORN'diaye L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)57
68
Q3 - 5:32MIAHeat Rebound57
68
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 5:46MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
68
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 6:02TORAlston 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 6:14TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
66
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot57
66
Q3 - 6:31TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)57
66
Q3 - 6:31TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)57
65
Q3 - 6:31MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T3)57
64
Q3 - 6:46MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
64
Q3 - 6:46MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
64
Q3 - 6:46TORAlston S.FOUL (P1.T1)55
64
Q3 - 6:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
64
Q3 - 6:53TORMISS Jefferies Layup55
64
Q3 - 7:07TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)55
64
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
64
Q3 - 7:25TORAlston 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
64
Q3 - 7:46TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)55
62
Q3 - 7:46MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
62
Q3 - 7:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
62
Q3 - 7:54TORMISS N'diaye 16' Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 8:14MIAJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)55
62
Q3 - 8:23TORJefferies Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)53
62
Q3 - 8:28MIAAlston STEAL (1 STL)53
60
Q3 - 8:48TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (N'diaye 1 AST)53
60
Q3 - 8:50TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
57
Q3 - 8:52TORMISS Peterson 13' Running Jump Shot53
57
Q3 - 9:08TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
57
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Butler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot53
57
Q3 - 9:29TORN'diaye Layup (10 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)53
57
Q3 - 9:53MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)53
55
Q3 - 9:53MIAHeat Rebound53
55
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Butler 34' 3PT Jump Shot53
55
Q3 - 10:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
55
Q3 - 10:21TORMISS Jefferies 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
55
Q3 - 10:39MIABest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)53
55
Q3 - 10:57TORJefferies 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
55
Q3 - 11:12MIAAllen P.FOUL (P2.T2)50
53
Q3 - 11:32MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)50
53
Q3 - 11:46TORN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
53
Q3 - 11:46TORN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
52
Q3 - 11:46MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T1)48
51
Q3 - 12:0048
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot48
51
Q2 - 0:01.0TORJefferies 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)48
49
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
49
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot46
49
Q2 - 0:31.0TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)46
49
Q2 - 0:37.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
49
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAN'diaye BLOCK (3 BLK)46
49
Q2 - 0:43.0TORAlston Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)46
49
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
47
Q2 - 1:04TORWilliams Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)43
47
Q2 - 1:20TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
47
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot43
47
Q2 - 1:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
47
Q2 - 1:33TORMISS Williams Driving Dunk43
47
Q2 - 1:51MIAButler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 2:01TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)41
47
Q2 - 2:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
47
Q2 - 2:17TORMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 241
47
Q2 - 2:17TORRAPTORS Rebound41
47
Q2 - 2:17TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 241
47
Q2 - 2:17MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellis41
47
Q2 - 2:17TORSUB: N'diaye FOR McCoy41
47
Q2 - 2:17TORSUB: Peterson FOR Bradley41
47
Q2 - 2:17MIAHeat Timeout: Official TV (Reg.1 Short 0)41
47
Q2 - 2:17MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T4)41
47
Q2 - 2:39MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
47
Q2 - 2:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
47
Q2 - 2:46TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot39
47
Q2 - 2:48TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
47
Q2 - 2:50TORMISS Jefferies 10' Hook Shot39
47
Q2 - 3:08MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
47
Q2 - 3:08TORMcCoy S.FOUL (P1.T1)38
47
Q2 - 3:08MIAAllen 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)38
47
Q2 - 3:20TORWilliams Layup (4 PTS)36
47
Q2 - 3:22TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)36
45
Q2 - 3:24TORMISS Williams 6' Hook Shot36
45
Q2 - 3:40MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)36
45
Q2 - 3:51TORBradley 8' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 3:53TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
43
Q2 - 3:55TORMISS McCoy 10' Turnaround Hook Shot34
43
Q2 - 4:15MIAEllis Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)34
43
Q2 - 4:34TORAlston 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
43
Q2 - 4:47TORSUB: Williams FOR Peterson32
41
Q2 - 4:47MIASUB: Allen FOR Johnson32
41
Q2 - 4:47TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)32
41
Q2 - 4:58MIAHouse 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
41
Q2 - 5:04TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)30
41
Q2 - 5:09MIAMcCoy STEAL (1 STL)30
41
Q2 - 5:21TORMcCoy Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)30
41
Q2 - 5:35TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
39
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 5:48TORBradley Layup (2 PTS) (McCoy 2 AST)30
39
Q2 - 6:08MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)30
37
Q2 - 6:25MIASUB: Butler FOR Lampley28
37
Q2 - 6:25TORSUB: Jefferies FOR Williams28
37
Q2 - 6:25MIAHeat Rebound28
37
Q2 - 6:27TORMISS McCoy 13' Jump Shot28
37
Q2 - 6:48TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
37
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Lampley Reverse Layup28
37
Q2 - 6:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
37
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
37
Q2 - 7:10TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)28
37
Q2 - 7:38MIAJames Driving Layup (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)28
37
Q2 - 7:43TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)26
37
Q2 - 7:50TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
37
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 8:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
37
Q2 - 8:18TORMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 8:2426
37
Q2 - 8:24TORRAPTORS Rebound26
37
Q2 - 8:24TORMISS Bradley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 8:43TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
37
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 8:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
37
Q2 - 8:56TORMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 9:05TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
37
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Ellis Layup26
37
Q2 - 9:07MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
37
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Ellis 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 9:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
37
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 9:26TORMcCoy Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
37
Q2 - 9:26TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)26
36
Q2 - 9:26MIASUB: House FOR Butler26
35
Q2 - 9:26MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)26
35
Q2 - 9:44MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST)26
35
Q2 - 9:54TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)23
35
Q2 - 10:06TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
32
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Lampley 20' Jump Shot23
32
Q2 - 10:28TORPeterson Driving Layup (19 PTS) (McCoy 1 AST)23
32
Q2 - 10:44MIAButler Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)23
30
Q2 - 10:50TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)21
30
Q2 - 10:56TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27
Q2 - 10:56TORMISS McCoy Free Throw 2 of 221
27
Q2 - 10:56TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 10:56TORSUB: Alston FOR Jefferies21
26
Q2 - 10:56MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T2)21
26
Q2 - 11:11MIALampley 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
26
Q2 - 11:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26
Q2 - 11:31TORMISS McCoy 6' Driving Hook Shot19
26
Q2 - 11:43MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T1)19
26
Q2 - 12:0019
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup19
26
Q1 - 0:19.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)19
26
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Lampley 15' Jump Shot19
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26
Q1 - 0:35.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 219
26
Q1 - 0:35.0TORRAPTORS Rebound19
26
Q1 - 0:35.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 219
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASUB: James FOR Butler19
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen19
26
Q1 - 0:35.0TORSUB: Bradley FOR Alston19
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
26
Q1 - 0:39.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)19
26
Q1 - 0:41.0TORMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot19
26
Q1 - 1:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)19
26
Q1 - 1:04TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
26
Q1 - 1:13TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
26
Q1 - 1:16MIAN'diaye BLOCK (2 BLK)19
26
Q1 - 1:26TORWilliams Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)19
26
Q1 - 1:36TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
24
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot19
24
Q1 - 1:52TORN'diaye Tip Shot (6 PTS)19
24
Q1 - 1:53TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
22
Q1 - 1:56TORMISS Jefferies Driving Finger Roll19
22
Q1 - 2:16MIAJohnson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)19
22
Q1 - 2:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
22
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 2:31TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
22
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 2:47MIAButler Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
22
Q1 - 2:47TORAlston T.FOUL (P0.T1)16
22
Q1 - 2:47TORAlston Palming Turnover (P1.T1)16
22
Q1 - 2:51TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
22
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 3:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
22
Q1 - 3:09TORPeterson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)16
22
Q1 - 3:16MIAJefferies STEAL (1 STL)16
20
Q1 - 3:25TORPeterson Running Layup (12 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)16
20
Q1 - 3:47MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)16
18
Q1 - 3:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18
Q1 - 3:56TORMISS Jefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
18
Q1 - 4:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
18
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
18
Q1 - 4:32TORN'diaye 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
18
Q1 - 4:46TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
16
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Johnson Layup14
16
Q1 - 4:54TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 4:54MIASUB: Lampley FOR Carter14
15
Q1 - 4:54TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
15
Q1 - 4:54MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
14
Q1 - 4:57TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 5:00MIAN'diaye BLOCK (1 BLK)14
14
Q1 - 5:17MIAHeat Rebound14
14
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS N'diaye 8' Running Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 5:24TORRAPTORS Rebound14
14
Q1 - 5:24TORMISS Peterson 7' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 5:31MIASUB: Johnson FOR Grant14
14
Q1 - 5:31TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 0)14
14
Q1 - 5:39TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup14
14
Q1 - 5:59TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 6:26MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
11
Q1 - 6:39TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 6:39TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 6:39MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
9
Q1 - 6:54MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
9
Q1 - 7:02TORN'diaye P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
9
Q1 - 7:15TORN'diaye 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)10
9
Q1 - 7:36MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)10
7
Q1 - 7:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
7
Q1 - 7:50TORMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot8
7
Q1 - 8:01MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
7
Q1 - 8:13TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 8:21MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 8:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:31TORMISS Williams Driving Layup6
4
Q1 - 8:48MIAButler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Jefferies 20' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:26MIAAllen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:36MIAHeat Rebound2
4
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:09TORRAPTORS Rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:24TORPeterson Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:41MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:51TORJefferies 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:17TORMISS Williams Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:18TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:20TORMISS Williams Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:43TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Allen 9' Turnaround Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball N'diaye vs. Grant: Tip to Butler0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
TOR
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
21
57%
TOR
14
27
52%
Midrange
MIA
22
49
45%
TOR
13
41
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
TOR
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
TOR
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler1956%9.5 / 17
M. James1583%7.5 / 9
L. Ellis1346%6.5 / 14
M. Allen1155%5.5 / 10
K. Johnson844%4.0 / 9
V. Stepania867%4.0 / 6
C. Butler739%3.5 / 9
S. Lampley739%3.5 / 9
T. Best7117%3.5 / 3
E. House660%3.0 / 5
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
B. Grant0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Peterson3363%16.5 / 26
R. Alston1953%9.5 / 18
C. Jefferies1137%5.5 / 15
M. N'diaye1161%5.5 / 9
J. Williams1029%5.0 / 17
M. Bradley840%4.0 / 10
J. McCoy744%3.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-8
99
TOR
83
+24
-7
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
TOR
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
28
94.5
25
98.1
MIA 115.7 +5.7
TOR 110.0
Pace
28
90.0
21
92.1
MIA 93.1 +6.8
TOR 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
3
16.2
8
16.0
MIA 15.5 −1.2
TOR 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
28
43.9%
26
45.8%
MIA 50.6% +5.8%
TOR 44.8%
TO %
14
14.8%
12
14.6%
MIA 9.6%
TOR 8.2% −1.4%
ORB %
23
26.8%
16
28.3%
MIA 35.0%
TOR 38.8% +3.8%
FTrt
27
25.9
23
28.2
MIA 23.5
TOR 34.5 +11.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
27
55.8%
28
55.6%
MIA 57.5% +11.8%
TOR 45.7%
STL %
21
7.9%
20
8.0%
MIA 3.4%
TOR 4.4% +1.0%
BLK %
23
6.4%
21
7.0%
MIA 2.9%
TOR 7.1% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
28
46.0%
26
47.3%
MIA 52.0% +5.7%
TOR 46.3%
Rim FG%
28
53.7%
20
55.5%
MIA 57.1% +5.2%
TOR 51.9%
Mid FG%
25
37.6%
22
37.8%
MIA 44.9% +13.2%
TOR 31.7%
3P %
26
31.6%
19
34.3%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 42.1% +2.1%
FT %
14
76.5%
28
71.8%
MIA 85.0% +15.0%
TOR 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26
28.9%
21
31.4%
MIA 24.7%
TOR 31.0% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
27
54.2%
21
50.7%
MIA 57.6%
TOR 47.1% −10.5%
3P Att. %
20
16.9%
14
17.9%
MIA 17.6%
TOR 21.8% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10399
Rebounds4445
Assists2316
Steals34
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)26 (2)
Field Goals40-8535-87
At-the-Rim FG12-2114-27
Midrange FG22-4913-41
2-Point FG34-7027-68
3-Point FG6-158-19
Free Throws17-2021-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

27 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Rasual Butler
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
41.8
19
56%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
24.4
11
55%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
22.2
7
39%
3
4
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
7.1
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
6.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
33.2
8
44%
10
0
1
1
1
5
1
9
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
26.9
7
39%
1
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
26.1
13
46%
7
1
0
0
1
3
3
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
24.6
15
83%
6
7
0
0
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
12.0
7
117%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
9.4
6
60%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
5.8
8
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
 52%
44
23
3
2
8
0
14
30
17-20
85%
34-70
49%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.