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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 15, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Grizzlies34%9586
15Rockets66%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
35.6
35.1
10
39%
13
4
1
0
2
4
6
7
2-2
100%
4-12
7-15
33%
51%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.4
31.2
22.9
10
37%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
0-1
0%
5-13
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
30.2
32.5
15
68%
5
2
1
1
2
0
4
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
27.3
29.7
10
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.4
26.1
31.9
12
52%
1
9
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
3-7
43%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.4
21.9
14.4
10
71%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
42%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.8
16.8
16.6
5
31%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
1-1
100%
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.4
16.8
25.1
6
38%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
3-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.0
16.4
8.8
4
41%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
11.3
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
Chris Owens
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.1
6.3
4.6
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.6
2.4
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.6
41.6
35.1
18
64%
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
4-6
67%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.1
36.3
35.8
19
53%
5
9
2
1
0
3
3
2
3-4
75%
8-15
5-12
53%
47%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.3
32.5
30.5
16
69%
15
5
4
1
0
3
3
12
8-8
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.9
24.7
24.9
4
33%
6
0
2
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.6
21.3
24.1
10
58%
6
3
1
0
3
6
1
5
6-6
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.6
26.7
22.2
8
52%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
2-4
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-1
0%
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.9
22.2
19.1
3
30%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-5
20%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.3
18.4
6.2
17
94%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-8
1-2
88%
51%
1-1
100%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.7
16.4
13.7
2
17%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.5
16.8
0
3-7
47%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.8
6.5
0
1-1
45%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.8
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Tito Maddox
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.9
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.