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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hawks29%9277
12Hornets71%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
34.0
33.2
15
47%
11
2
1
1
0
5
1
10
0-0
-
6-13
4-9
46%
44%
1-3
33%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.3
33.9
32.2
10
40%
6
1
0
1
0
4
0
6
4-6
67%
3-10
6-12
30%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
33.0
35.2
13
45%
4
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
32.4
34.6
5
83%
3
0
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
24.9
31.9
6
25%
7
0
0
1
5
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-12
4-9
25%
45%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
26.1
16.5
10
71%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
21.3
10.1
8
45%
5
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-2
0%
4-7
1-2
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.6
15.0
12.4
8
100%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
2-2
100%
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.9
14.1
18.0
2
35%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 27.4
5.3
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.3
10.4
0
2-4
45%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.6
3.9
0
1-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 30.4
32.1
37.3
15
41%
10
11
3
1
0
1
0
10
7-7
100%
4-14
7-15
29%
45%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 33.5
30.7
25.8
10
57%
7
1
1
1
2
0
2
5
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 32.4
26.0
29.2
10
38%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-13
4-8
38%
45%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
25.4
27.6
5
32%
10
2
1
1
2
1
4
6
3-4
75%
1-6
4-8
17%
52%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.0
24.1
28.7
21
76%
0
1
3
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
3-5
60%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26.2
22.6
16.2
15
69%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
1-1
100%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
21.4
28.0
6
44%
5
0
3
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 32.5
19.8
15.4
4
29%
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
15.7
8.7
4
22%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
1-3
22%
45%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
12.0
8.2
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 34.7
8.3
16.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Pack
G · 6'2" 190 · 34.2
1.9
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.