Final Win Prob. pScore
247%98
93
453%99
72
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
97.99598.5
SAS logo Spurs
74.29793.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS93
100%
72
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 5 AST)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBateer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALBradley 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04DALBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Bateer 21' Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24SASFerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DALMISS Griffin 18' Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASFerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASFerry 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24DALSUB: Bradley FOR Nash89
68
Q4 - 2:24DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)89
68
Q4 - 2:24DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)89
68
Q4 - 2:30DALBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32DALMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Bateer 8' Turnaround Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17DALLaFrentz 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Ferry 4' Jump Shot87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Bateer 4' Layup87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00DALGriffin 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot85
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 4:24DALMISS Griffin 7' Fadeaway Jumper85
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57DALMISS Johnson 8' Running Finger Roll85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12DALSUB: Johnson FOR Van Exel85
65
Q4 - 5:12DALSUB: Bell FOR Nowitzki85
65
Q4 - 5:12SASSmith P.FOUL (P2.T4)85
65
Q4 - 5:34DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36SASMISS Bateer 16' Jump Shot85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:5083
65
Q4 - 5:50SASBateer S.FOUL (P3.T3)83
65
Q4 - 5:54SASBateer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T22)83
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:16SASSPURS Rebound83
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 6:17DALMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot83
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:24DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:26SASMISS Kerr 21' Jump Shot83
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:46DALVan Exel 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 6:56SASSUB: Ferry FOR Robinson81
65
Q4 - 6:56SASBateer P.FOUL (P2.T2)81
65
Q4 - 7:09DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 7:11SASMISS Robinson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot81
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 7:24SASBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 7:27DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 7:30SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)81
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 7:32DALRobinson STEAL (2 STL)81
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 7:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 7:43SASMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot81
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 7:51SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot81
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 8:11SASClaxton 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bateer 1 AST)81
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 8:30DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)81
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 8:49SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)79
98.7%
63
1.3%
Q4 - 8:59SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)79
63
Q4 - 9:02DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)79
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 9:16SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)77
97.1%
63
2.9%
Q4 - 9:18DALSUB: Nash FOR Bell77
63
Q4 - 9:40SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q4 - 9:41DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot77
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q4 - 9:57SASKerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)77
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q4 - 10:13SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
97.7%
60
2.3%
Q4 - 10:15DALMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot77
97.9%
60
2.1%
Q4 - 10:22SASBateer Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 10:28SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q4 - 10:30DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot77
97.9%
60
2.1%
Q4 - 10:35SASBateer P.FOUL (P1.T1)77
60
Q4 - 10:37SASBateer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 10:54DALLaFrentz 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)77
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q4 - 10:56DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
97.2%
60
2.8%
Q4 - 10:58DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper75
96.8%
60
3.2%
Q4 - 11:20SASSUB: Bateer FOR Ferry75
60
Q4 - 11:20SASKerr Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)75
96.6%
60
3.4%
Q4 - 11:36DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)75
95.8%
60
4.2%
Q4 - 12:0072
60
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL72
93.7%
60
6.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
93.7%
60
6.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Smith 3' Running Layup72
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)72
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASClaxton 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
92.7%
60
7.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)72
94.2%
58
5.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASRobinson 3' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)70
92.8%
58
7.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)70
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
95.1%
56
4.9%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Ferry 9' Jump Shot70
94.1%
56
5.9%
Q3 - 1:09SASSUB: Smith FOR Ginobili70
56
Q3 - 1:09DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Bradley70
56
Q3 - 1:09SASSUB: Robinson FOR Willis70
56
Q3 - 1:09DALBell P.FOUL (P2.T4)70
56
Q3 - 1:26DALBradley 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)70
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 1:35DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
92.0%
56
8.0%
Q3 - 1:38SASMISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
91.6%
56
8.4%
Q3 - 1:54DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
90.6%
56
9.4%
Q3 - 1:54DALMavericks Rebound67
56
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 267
90.4%
56
9.6%
Q3 - 1:54SASFerry S.FOUL (P2.T4)67
56
Q3 - 2:09DALSUB: Griffin FOR Finley67
56
Q3 - 2:09SASSUB: Kerr FOR Smith67
56
Q3 - 2:09DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
56
Q3 - 2:09SASWillis L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)67
56
Q3 - 2:09SASClaxton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)67
89.4%
56
10.6%
Q3 - 2:31DALVan Exel 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
91.1%
54
8.9%
Q3 - 2:37DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
89.5%
54
10.5%
Q3 - 2:40SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
89.0%
54
11.0%
Q3 - 3:00DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)65
87.7%
54
12.3%
Q3 - 3:07SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen63
54
Q3 - 3:07SASSUB: Claxton FOR Parker63
54
Q3 - 3:07SASParker P.FOUL (P3.T2)63
54
Q3 - 3:17SASSmith 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 3:45DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)63
86.7%
52
13.3%
Q3 - 3:56DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
82.1%
52
17.9%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup60
81.2%
52
18.8%
Q3 - 4:04DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Nash60
52
Q3 - 4:04SASSUB: Willis FOR Robinson60
52
Q3 - 4:04SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)60
52
Q3 - 4:08DALBell 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)60
78.1%
52
21.9%
Q3 - 4:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
75.5%
52
24.5%
Q3 - 4:15SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
74.4%
52
25.6%
Q3 - 4:25SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
71.6%
52
28.4%
Q3 - 4:27DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot58
72.8%
52
27.2%
Q3 - 4:46SASSmith 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q3 - 5:01SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q3 - 5:03DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot58
77.9%
50
22.1%
Q3 - 5:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
80.1%
50
19.9%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
79.2%
50
20.8%
Q3 - 5:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
77.0%
50
23.0%
Q3 - 5:31DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
78.0%
50
22.0%
Q3 - 5:49SASParker 4' Layup (10 PTS)58
80.2%
50
19.8%
Q3 - 5:54SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
82.4%
48
17.6%
Q3 - 5:57DALMISS Nash 3' Layup58
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q3 - 6:02DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
84.0%
48
16.0%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 3' Layup58
83.3%
48
16.7%
Q3 - 6:16SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
81.5%
48
18.5%
Q3 - 6:18DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
82.3%
48
17.7%
Q3 - 6:31SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)58
84.0%
48
16.0%
Q3 - 6:57DALBradley 4' Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
81.6%
48
18.4%
Q3 - 7:17SASFerry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)56
77.9%
48
22.1%
Q3 - 7:36DALNash 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)56
80.4%
46
19.6%
Q3 - 7:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
75.2%
46
24.8%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot53
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q3 - 8:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
71.3%
46
28.7%
Q3 - 8:07DALMISS Bradley 6' Hook Shot53
72.3%
46
27.7%
Q3 - 8:22SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)53
74.5%
46
25.5%
Q3 - 8:38SASSUB: Ferry FOR Rose53
44
Q3 - 8:38SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
44
Q3 - 8:41DALNowitzki 3' Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)53
77.1%
44
22.9%
Q3 - 8:47DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
74.5%
44
25.5%
Q3 - 8:48SASMISS Parker 16' Fadeaway Jumper51
73.6%
44
26.4%
Q3 - 9:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q3 - 9:12DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot51
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q3 - 9:22DALSUB: Bradley FOR LaFrentz51
44
Q3 - 9:22SASRose Foul Turnover (P6.T14)51
74.0%
44
26.0%
Q3 - 9:22SASRose OFF.Foul (P4)51
44
Q3 - 9:28DALFinley L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)51
44
Q3 - 9:49DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)51
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q3 - 10:01SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
67.2%
44
32.8%
Q3 - 10:01SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
67.8%
43
32.2%
Q3 - 10:01DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P3.T2)49
42
Q3 - 10:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q3 - 10:02SASMISS Rose 3' Layup49
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q3 - 10:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q3 - 10:14DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot49
71.1%
42
28.9%
Q3 - 10:26SASRose L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)49
42
Q3 - 10:26DALMavericks Rebound49
73.2%
42
26.8%
Q3 - 10:27SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot49
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q3 - 10:47DALNash 2' Layup (6 PTS)49
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q3 - 10:54DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot47
66.3%
42
33.7%
Q3 - 11:19DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)47
63.5%
42
36.5%
Q3 - 11:31SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
60.5%
42
39.5%
Q3 - 11:31SASSPURS Rebound45
41
Q3 - 11:31SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 245
61.1%
41
38.9%
Q3 - 11:31DALNash S.FOUL (P2.T1)45
41
Q3 - 11:43DALRobinson STEAL (1 STL)45
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q3 - 11:47SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)45
63.7%
41
36.3%
Q3 - 12:0045
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Willis 5' Jump Shot45
62.1%
41
37.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Nowitzki45
41
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T7)45
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki OFF.Foul (P3)45
41
Q2 - 0:28.0SASSmith 3' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)45
62.9%
41
37.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
66.7%
39
33.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot45
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T12)45
69.0%
39
31.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASParker OFF.Foul (P2)45
39
Q2 - 1:13DALNash Foul Turnover (P2.T6)45
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 1:13DALNash OFF.Foul (P1)45
39
Q2 - 1:17DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
68.5%
39
31.5%
Q2 - 1:19SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot45
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 1:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
66.4%
39
33.6%
Q2 - 1:29DALWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)45
67.0%
39
33.0%
Q2 - 1:43SASParker 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)45
68.5%
39
31.5%
Q2 - 1:48DALRose STEAL (1 STL)45
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 1:53DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
73.8%
37
26.2%
Q2 - 1:55SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
73.3%
37
26.7%
Q2 - 2:26DALNash 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
70.9%
37
29.1%
Q2 - 2:28DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
68.2%
37
31.8%
Q2 - 2:31DALMISS Nash 10' Running Jump Shot43
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 2:37DALMavericks Rebound43
68.2%
37
31.8%
Q2 - 2:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
68.2%
37
31.8%
Q2 - 2:38DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Tip Shot43
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 2:41DALMISS Van Exel Layup43
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 2:57DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)43
37
Q2 - 2:57SASRose L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)43
37
Q2 - 2:57DALMavericks Rebound43
68.3%
37
31.7%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot43
67.4%
37
32.6%
Q2 - 3:19DALVan Exel 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)43
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 3:24SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)41
62.4%
37
37.6%
Q2 - 3:32SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 3:35DALMISS Nash 10' Jump Shot41
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 3:40SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)41
62.4%
37
37.6%
Q2 - 3:56SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 3:58DALMISS Najera 3' Reverse Layup41
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 4:07SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
61.8%
37
38.2%
Q2 - 4:07SASSUB: Willis FOR Robinson41
36
Q2 - 4:07SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 4:07DALNajera P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
35
Q2 - 4:19SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
64.5%
35
35.5%
Q2 - 4:21DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
65.4%
35
34.6%
Q2 - 4:29DALSUB: Nash FOR Johnson41
35
Q2 - 4:29SASSUB: Parker FOR Claxton41
35
Q2 - 4:29SASSUB: Rose FOR Ferry41
35
Q2 - 4:29SASSmith P.FOUL (P1.T3)41
35
Q2 - 4:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
67.4%
35
32.6%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Ferry 19' Jump Shot41
66.5%
35
33.5%
Q2 - 5:06DALJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
64.3%
35
35.7%
Q2 - 5:11SASFerry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)39
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 5:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
58.7%
35
41.3%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
59.6%
35
40.4%
Q2 - 5:42SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 5:42SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)39
62.9%
34
37.1%
Q2 - 5:42SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
33
Q2 - 5:42DALJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)39
33
Q2 - 5:48DALNajera 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)39
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 5:58DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 6:00SASMISS Claxton 11' Jump Shot37
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 6:05SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
57.9%
33
42.1%
Q2 - 6:07DALRobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)37
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q2 - 6:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
61.3%
33
38.7%
Q2 - 6:23SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 237
60.8%
33
39.2%
Q2 - 6:23SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
59.8%
33
40.2%
Q2 - 6:23DALVan Exel P.FOUL (P1.PN)37
32
Q2 - 6:29SASSPURS Rebound37
60.8%
32
39.2%
Q2 - 6:29DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Najera 5' Jump Shot37
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 6:33DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot37
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 6:43SASFerry P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
32
Q2 - 6:56SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)37
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 6:56SASRobinson OFF.Foul (P2)37
32
Q2 - 7:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 7:17DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot37
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 7:33SASRobinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
63.5%
32
36.5%
Q2 - 7:43DALSUB: Najera FOR LaFrentz37
32
Q2 - 7:43SASSUB: Smith FOR Kerr37
32
Q2 - 7:43DALNowitzki P.FOUL (P2.T4)37
32
Q2 - 7:52SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 7:54DALMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot37
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 8:03SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
62.8%
32
37.2%
Q2 - 8:03DALJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
31
Q2 - 8:03SASClaxton 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 8:13SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 8:15DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot37
68.6%
29
31.4%
Q2 - 8:27SASKerr 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)37
70.2%
29
29.8%
Q2 - 8:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
72.5%
27
27.5%
Q2 - 8:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
72.3%
27
27.7%
Q2 - 8:39DALSUB: Griffin FOR Bell35
27
Q2 - 8:3935
27
Q2 - 8:39SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili35
27
Q2 - 8:39SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.T1)35
27
Q2 - 8:56SASFerry 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)35
70.2%
27
29.8%
Q2 - 9:14DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)35
71.8%
25
28.2%
Q2 - 9:32SASKerr 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)32
67.3%
25
32.7%
Q2 - 9:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
69.6%
23
30.4%
Q2 - 9:37DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q2 - 9:37DALMISS Bell 3' Follow Up Dunk32
70.3%
23
29.7%
Q2 - 9:39DALRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
70.3%
23
29.7%
Q2 - 9:46DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Kerr 17' Jump Shot32
71.2%
23
28.8%
Q2 - 9:52DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bradley32
23
Q2 - 9:52DALBradley P.FOUL (P2.T2)32
23
Q2 - 10:01DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)32
69.0%
23
31.0%
Q2 - 10:27SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)32
71.3%
23
28.7%
Q2 - 10:33SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Claxton 12' Jump Shot32
76.7%
20
23.3%
Q2 - 10:43DALLaFrentz P.FOUL (P2.T1)32
20
Q2 - 10:58DALBradley 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)32
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q2 - 11:15SASSUB: Robinson FOR Willis30
20
Q2 - 11:15SASKerr Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 11:29SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q2 - 11:31DALMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot30
71.3%
20
28.7%
Q2 - 11:43DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
72.8%
20
27.2%
Q2 - 11:45SASMISS Ferry 13' Jump Shot30
72.1%
20
27.9%
Q2 - 12:0030
20
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound30
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Jump Shot30
71.0%
20
29.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
70.4%
20
29.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASWillis 3' Layup (2 PTS)30
71.5%
20
28.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
74.0%
18
26.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
75.4%
18
24.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot30
75.0%
18
25.0%
Q1 - 1:11DALVan Exel 3' Layup (5 PTS)30
73.2%
18
26.8%
Q1 - 1:16DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
70.7%
18
29.3%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Ferry 14' Jump Shot28
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 1:34SASSUB: Ferry FOR Rose28
18
Q1 - 1:34DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q1 - 1:52SASWillis Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
70.8%
18
29.2%
Q1 - 2:04SASSPURS Rebound28
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q1 - 2:06DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q1 - 2:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot28
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q1 - 2:34DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)28
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q1 - 2:50DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Nowitzki25
18
Q1 - 2:50SASSUB: Claxton FOR Parker25
18
Q1 - 2:50DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
18
Q1 - 2:50SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T4)25
18
Q1 - 2:54DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q1 - 2:56SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot25
63.7%
18
36.3%
Q1 - 3:07DALBradley 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)25
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 3:14SASRose 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
60.1%
18
39.9%
Q1 - 3:33DALBradley 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 3:37DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
60.1%
16
39.9%
Q1 - 3:39DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot21
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 3:53DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
60.1%
16
39.9%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Kerr 16' Jump Shot21
59.4%
16
40.6%
Q1 - 4:14DALBradley 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)21
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 4:27DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Finley19
15
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
55.0%
15
45.0%
Q1 - 4:27DALBell S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
14
Q1 - 4:40SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
56.4%
14
43.6%
Q1 - 4:42DALMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot19
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 4:48SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)19
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 5:08SASSUB: Kerr FOR Bowen19
14
Q1 - 5:08DALBradley L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)19
14
Q1 - 5:08SASSPURS Rebound19
55.8%
14
44.2%
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot19
57.3%
14
42.7%
Q1 - 5:29DALFinley 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)19
55.7%
14
44.3%
Q1 - 5:38SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Smith17
14
Q1 - 5:38SASRose P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
14
Q1 - 5:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 5:39SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot17
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 5:45SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 5:47DALMISS Nash 2' Reverse Layup17
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 6:02SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
53.6%
14
46.4%
Q1 - 6:02DALSUB: Bradley FOR LaFrentz17
13
Q1 - 6:02SASSUB: Willis FOR Robinson17
13
Q1 - 6:02SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
53.9%
13
46.1%
Q1 - 6:02DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
12
Q1 - 6:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 6:12DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Jump Shot17
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 6:25SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
57.0%
12
43.0%
Q1 - 6:38SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 6:40DALMISS Nash 14' Fadeaway Jumper17
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 6:47SASParker Violation:Kicked Ball17
12
Q1 - 6:52DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 7:07SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:09DALMISS LaFrentz 13' Jump Shot17
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q1 - 7:25SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
56.2%
12
43.8%
Q1 - 7:25DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
11
Q1 - 7:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 7:25SASRobinson 2' Layup (4 PTS)17
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 7:26SASMISS Robinson 3' Layup17
60.3%
9
39.7%
Q1 - 7:43DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)17
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 7:46DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 7:48DALMISS Finley 11' Fadeaway Jumper14
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 7:54SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 8:01SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
9
Q1 - 8:04DALBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 8:04SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
9
Q1 - 8:04DALBell 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)13
52.4%
9
47.6%
Q1 - 8:08SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
50.8%
9
49.2%
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
49.2%
9
50.8%
Q1 - 8:19SASRobinson S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
9
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 8:34DALMavericks Rebound8
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 8:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 8:49DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot8
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 8:58SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot8
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 9:08DALNash 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
45.4%
9
54.6%
Q1 - 9:16SASParker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 9:21DALParker STEAL (1 STL)6
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
46.5%
7
53.5%
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 9:33DALFinley S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
5
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 9:33SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot6
48.4%
5
51.6%
Q1 - 9:53DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 10:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.6%
5
53.4%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.3%
5
53.7%
Q1 - 10:21DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
45.8%
5
54.2%
Q1 - 10:34SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 10:49DALBell 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 11:08DALMavericks Rebound0
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 11:10DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:18SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 11:39SASSPURS Rebound0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:40DALMISS Finley 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Nowitzki0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.95 47.4%
SAS
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
16
26
62%
SAS
13
21
62%
Midrange
DAL
18
48
38%
SAS
9
35
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
DAL
7
8
88%
SAS
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2546%12.5 / 27
S. Bradley1583%7.5 / 9
N. Van Exel1470%7.0 / 10
S. Nash938%4.5 / 12
R. Bell744%3.5 / 8
M. Finley758%3.5 / 6
R. LaFrentz633%3.0 / 9
A. Griffin433%2.0 / 6
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
E. Najera220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
T. Parker1038%5.0 / 13
S. Kerr1063%5.0 / 8
S. Claxton945%4.5 / 10
D. Robinson758%3.5 / 6
M. Rose739%3.5 / 9
D. Ferry633%3.0 / 9
M. Ginobili5125%2.5 / 2
B. Bowen338%1.5 / 4
K. Willis233%1.0 / 3
M. Bateer220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
85
+11
-10
96
SAS
76
+9
-21
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.95 47.4%
SAS
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
1
108.0
9
102.7
DAL 97.9 +23.7
SAS 74.2
Pace
8
94.9
19
92.6
DAL 98.5 +4.8
SAS 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16
15.3
14
15.6
DAL 14.6 −0.8
SAS 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
3
49.8%
4
49.7%
DAL 47.3% +8.4%
SAS 38.9%
TO %
1
11.6%
24
16.5%
DAL 10.4% −11.2%
SAS 21.6%
ORB %
27
25.5%
14
28.8%
DAL 20.0% +3.3%
SAS 16.7%
FTrt
28
25.7
2
34.8
DAL 8.8
SAS 25.0 +16.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
20
58.1%
25
56.3%
DAL 70.0% +16.2%
SAS 53.8%
STL %
13
8.5%
14
8.3%
DAL 12.6% +7.4%
SAS 5.2%
BLK %
9
8.5%
1
9.3%
DAL 3.6%
SAS 4.1% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
1
52.1%
3
51.4%
DAL 47.4% +5.5%
SAS 41.9%
Rim FG%
8
58.2%
6
59.3%
DAL 61.5%
SAS 61.9% +0.4%
Mid FG%
6
40.7%
15
38.8%
DAL 37.5% +11.8%
SAS 25.7%
3P %
3
38.1%
11
35.4%
DAL 35.3% +10.3%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
1
82.9%
26
72.5%
DAL 87.5%
SAS 88.9% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25
29.6%
2
39.3%
DAL 28.6%
SAS 29.2% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
9
46.5%
2
40.6%
DAL 52.7%
SAS 48.6% −4.1%
3P Att. %
2
23.9%
7
20.2%
DAL 18.7%
SAS 22.2% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9372
Rebounds4443
Assists2814
Steals125
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)36 (4)
Field Goals40-9126-72
At-the-Rim FG16-2613-21
Midrange FG18-489-35
2-Point FG34-7422-56
3-Point FG6-174-16
Free Throws7-816-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 25
37.7
25
46%
10
6
4
0
3
3
1
9
5-5
100%
7-21
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
35.3
7
44%
9
0
1
0
2
2
2
7
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 29
31.3
9
38%
5
10
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
29.0
6
33%
3
0
1
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 30
17.4
7
58%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
27.3
14
70%
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 29
22.8
4
33%
3
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 31
18.8
15
83%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 38
12.7
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
7.7
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 28
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33
F · 6'8" 265 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
44
28
12
2
10
0
9
35
7-8
88%
34-74
46%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.