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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks47%9893
4Spurs53%9972
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.8
37.7
39.0
25
48%
10
6
4
1
0
3
1
9
5-5
100%
7-21
7-14
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
35.3
19.7
7
47%
9
0
1
1
0
2
2
7
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.2
31.3
34.1
9
38%
5
10
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
29.0
26.9
6
33%
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-4
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.1
17.4
16.3
7
58%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.4
27.3
30.2
14
70%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
43%
2-3
67%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.8
22.8
17.3
4
33%
3
5
4
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.1
18.8
19.3
15
84%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.1
12.7
5.5
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
7.7
22.8
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
52%
0-0
-
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 28.4
9.2
0
1-3
43%
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
7.2
0
0-1
43%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33.0
5.7
0
0-1
41%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.8
4.7
0
1-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.0
37.1
8.6
11
46%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
1-7
14%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.7
27.3
20.1
7
66%
9
1
2
1
2
4
2
7
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.8
24.4
29.2
3
40%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.9
22.5
29.1
10
38%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
5-9
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.4
18.3
29.8
7
41%
5
1
1
1
0
6
2
3
5-6
83%
1-6
5-10
17%
47%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.9
25.5
18.9
9
48%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-9
2-6
44%
45%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.5
25.3
4.0
6
33%
9
1
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-8
0-0
38%
40%
0-1
0%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
23.6
4.0
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
13.8
4.5
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.4
11.3
2.7
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
43%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
10.9
27.9
5
87%
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.